Johnny Cueto didn’t give up an extra base hit, just four singles – none of which was hit particularly hard. I don’t believe there was anything wrong with Cueto today other than the emotion of it being the last game he’ll pitch for the Cincinnati Reds at Great American Ball Park. It’s hard to command […]
Terrific to win a series in Pittsburgh. Even better to do it without using Johnny Cueto. The Pirates have the second-best record in the NL and had a 7-game winning streak at home. The Reds beat true ace Gerrit Cole on Wednesday and got contributions throughout the lineup for a dramatic 5-4, extra-inning win last […]
The Cincinnati Reds (28-34) will look to rebound from back-to-back walk-off losses in Chicago, as they begin the first of four games against the Detroit Tigers (33-30) on Monday evening. The two teams will play two games in Detroit on Monday/Tuesday, before both teams travel to Cincinnati for games Wednesday/Thursday. Every other team in the […]
Final – Game 1 R H E Cincinnati Reds (15-14) 10 13 0 Chicago White Sox (10-16) 4 6 2 W: Cueto (3-3) L: Carroll (0-1) FanGraphs Win Probability | Box Score FINAL – GAME 2 R H E Cincinnati Reds (15-15) 2 6 0 Chicago White Sox (11-16) 8 14 0 W: Rodon (1-0) L: Marquis (3-2) FanGraphs Win Probability […]
The FIRST place Cincinnati Reds (5-3) play the final game of a 3-game series against the Chicago Cubs (4-3) tonight on Jackie Robinson Day. STARTING PITCHERS The following stats are all 2013 actuals for Marquis and 2014 actuals for Wood except that the first column is the 2015 FIP projection (ZiPS) for both. PITCHER 2015 […]
Mike Leake pitched well and Josh Satin was the hero Sunday as the Reds beat the A’s 4-3. Satin hit a 3-run game-tying homer in the 8th and a walk-off RBI single in the 9th. Final R H E Oakland A’s (13-8) 3 7 0 Cincinnati Reds (9-9) 4 6 1 W: Cingrani (1-0) L: Rodriguez (0-1) | Box Score | MLB.com Recap | AP Recap | […]
Wednesday’s big news came off the field, as Reds announced that their starting rotation to begin the season will be Johnny Cueto (two thumbs up), Mike Leake (thumbs up), Anthony DeSclafani (intrigued), Jason Marquis (sigh) and Raisel Iglesias (intrigued). On the field, the Reds’ arms did not exactly enjoy a banner performance. Final R H E […]
I’m going to take a look at the Reds top level minor league depth at seasons end. Last week I covered the starting pitchers. This week we’ll look at the relievers and then the position players in subsequent weeks. This will be more of a who is closest to helping in the majors type of […]
Final R H E St. Louis Cardinals (80-64) 5 10 0 Cincinnati Reds (67-77) 0 3 0 W: Miller (9-9) L: Parra (0-3) FanGraphs Win Probability | The Worldwide Leader’s Box Score | Game Photos POSITIVES Another Reds player goes down with injury, but reliever David Holmberg puts together a very strong outing in an emergency […]
Now that the Reds have clinched a postseason spot, the biggest decision they have in front of them is what to do about the starting rotation in the playoffs. I have a pretty solid idea of what they will do, and I know what I would do (I’ll share that at the end), but I […]
The Reds have pitched the 2013 season with 20 different arms (compared to just 17 last year.) Eight different pitchers have made at least one start this year while another 12 were used exclusively in relief appearances.
The table below summarizes the season’s statistics (through 8/17) for these 20 pitchers, ranked by WAR. Some items worth noting:
— After having five different starters make all but one start last year, the Reds still had 4 different pitchers make at least 30 starts this season.
— Looking at all MLB pitchers, Mat Latos and Homer Bailey rank 9th and 17th, respectively, in fWAR.
— The pitching staff is still very young.
— If you extrapolate LeCure’s and Hoover’s WAR out to the number of innings the starters threw, they’d have a WAR slightly better than Mike Leake.
— Adjusted for innings pitched, Aroldis Chapman has the best WAR on the team.
— Manny Parra has struck out more than 11 batters per nine innings, the highest rate of his career.
I think it is pretty clear that the pitchers on the playoff roster come from the top 12 on this list. As Steve posed yesterday, if the Reds go with 11 pitchers (in the NLDS/NLCS/WS rounds) there is a tough decision to be made about who is left off the roster.
|1||Mat Latos (25)||30/30||197.2||3.14||3.24||1.21||.301||0.5||2.5||8.2||4.2|
|2||Homer Bailey (27)||30/30||198.1||3.40||3.16||1.11||.291||0.8||2.1||8.8||3.9|
|3||Mike Leake (25)||30/30||190.2||3.21||3.97||1.22||.277||0.9||2.3||5.7||2.7|
|4||Bronson Arroyo (36)||30/30||192.1||3.56||3.99||1.13||.270||1.2||1.5||5.6||2.5|
|5||Tony Cingrani (23)||23/18||104.2||2.92||3.65||1.10||.241||1.2||3.7||10.3||1.9|
|6||Aroldis Chapman (25)||64||59.2||2.56||2.28||1.04||.287||1.1||3.9||15.8||1.7|
|7||Johnny Cueto (27)||10/10||53.2||3.02||3.41||1.08||.252||1.0||2.5||7.7||1.0|
|8||Sam LeCure (29)||59||57||2.84||3.18||1.21||.290||0.6||3.6||9.8||1.0|
|9||J.J. Hoover (25)||63||61||2.95||3.70||1.12||.245||0.9||3.5||9.3||0.9|
|10||Manny Parra (30)||51||41.2||3.46||3.02||1.25||.317||1.1||3.2||11.4||0.5|
|11||Alfredo Simon (32)||58||78||3.23||4.05||1.08||.243||0.9||2.4||6.8||0.4|
|12||Sean Marshall (30)||12||8||2.25||1.98||0.75||.211||0.0||2.3||10.1||0.2|
|13||Nick Christiani (25)||2||3||0.00||6.53||0.67||.000||0.0||6.0||3.0||0.1|
|14||Zach Duke (30)||9||5.2||1.59||3.39||0.71||.188||1.6||0.0||6.4||0.1|
|15||Justin Freeman (26)||1||1||18.00||11.61||2.00||.250||9.0||0.0||0.0||-0.1|
|16||Logan Ondrusek (28)||46||48||4.13||4.07||1.31||.284||1.3||3.0||7.7||-0.1|
|17||Greg Reynolds (27)||4/3||20.2||5.66||4.88||1.4||.307||1.3||1.3||3.5||-0.2|
|18||Jonathan Broxton (29)||34||30.2||4.11||4.60||1.27||.261||1.2||3.5||7.3||-0.4|
|19||Pedro Villarreal (25)||2/1||5.2||12.71||9.27||2.82||.429||6.4||4.8||6.4||-0.4|
|20||Curtis Partch (26)||13||21.1||6.75||7.83||1.55||.161||3.4||6.8||6.3||-0.7|
Games Played on 9/1/2013 Minor League Player of the Day: Louisville RHP, Pedro Villarreal, threw 6 innings of shutout baseball against the Indians. He allowed only 2 hits, didn’t walk a batter, and struck out 8. That runs his record in AAA to 4-9 on the season and his ERA stands at 4.43. His WHIP […]