Final 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 R H E
Reds 0 0 0 2 0 0 0 0 0 2 10 1
Cubs 0 0 2 0 2 0 0 0 X 4 7 0

A two-run rally in the bottom of the fifth inning was the difference for the Chicago Cubs (50-47), as they scored a critical 4-2 win over the Cincinnati Reds (49-48) at Wrigley Field.

That was the result today as Strat-O-Matic games of Glen Head, N.Y., continued its announced plan to simulate the entire 2020 Major League Baseball season on a day-by-day basis for as long as actual game play is on hold.


Help set the lineup, batting order for the simulated Reds:

Have you ever dreamed of your opportunity to “manage” the Reds? Now is your chance. Learn more below!


With the score tied at 2-2 in the bottom of the fifth, Steven Souza Jr. led off against sim Reds starter and loser Trevor Bauer with a double. Albert Almora Jr. then followed with a triple to right field, scoring Souza. Almora scored when Nick Castellanos failed to cleanly field Almora’s extra-base hit, putting the home team ahead 4-2, which was the final score.

Chicago scored first in the bottom of the third on Anthony Rizzo’s two-run homer, but the Reds came right back in the top of the fourth on a two-run dinger by Mike Moustakas. After the Cubs went ahead, the sim Reds’ best opportunity to rally came in the top of the eighth, when Shogo Akiyama led off with a walk and Michael Lorenzen followed with a single. However, Cubs righthanded reliever Rowan Wick then retired the heart of the Reds order — Joey Votto, Eugenio Suarez and Castellanos — without any further advance of the runners.

Freddy Galvis led the Reds offensively with three hits, and Moustakas and Castellanos tallied two each.

Here is the sim Reds box score, as provided by Strat-O-Matic:

A-Pinch Hit For Bauer In 7th Inning
D-Pinch Hit For Kuhnel In 9th Inning

B-Pinch Hit For Quintana In 7th Inning
C-Pinch Hit For Wick In 8th Inning

Standings following the July 17 games:

NL Central WON LOST PCT GB
Brewers 53 43 .552 0.0
Cardinals 53 45 .541 1.0
Cubs 50 47 .515 3.5
Reds 49 48 .505 4.5
Pirates 37 60 .381 16.5

Chicago’s win allowed them to keep pace with Milwaukee and St. Louis, who both also won today.  Cincinnati fell out of a tie with the Cubs and into fourth place, one game behind Chicago and four and a half behind division-leading Milwaukee.

The 2020 schedule has the Reds and Cubs playing game two of the three-game series at Wrigley Field on Saturday. Whoever the Redleg Nation commenter/manager turns out to be will choose the starting pitcher from anyone except Bauer. Righthander Yu Darvish will start for Chicago.

Help set the lineup, batting order for the simulated Reds:

Have you ever dreamed of your opportunity to “manage” the Reds? Now is your chance.

Strat-O-Matic has agreed to allow Redleg Nation to submit the Cincinnati Reds’ lineups for each day’s simulated game. We want all of our readers who want to participate to get involved.

Here is how it will work:

  • In each wrap up of that day’s simulated game, Redleg Nation will post the opposing starting pitcher for the next game. You will know who the pitcher is and whether he is left-handed or right-handed, and you can use that information in creating a lineup for the next game, and submitting it in the comments below. “Splits” such as performance vs. left-handers or right-handers are replicated in the Strat-O-Matic game algorithm, and therefore should be considered.
  • We will accept lineups from every reader who wants to submit one. The lineup that will be submitted to Strat-O-Matic each day will be the one that receives the most positive replies (in effect, “yes” votes) from readers other than the submitter. In case of ties:
    • First tiebreaker: Lineup submitted by the reader who has had the fewest number of opportunities as a “manager.”
    • Second tiebreaker: Lineup submitted earliest in the comment thread. (So get your lineup in “early” each day.)
  • What is “early?” Redleg Nation posts these articles daily between 5 and 6 p.m. Eastern time. Strat-O-Matic’s deadline for us to submit a lineup for the next day’s game is midnight. On most days, we’ll do this before “bedtime,” which is typically between 10:30 and 11 Eastern time.

All players’ batting stats

All players’ pitching stats

Batting and pitching player stats by team

Have fun with this! If you have any questions, please post them in the comment string below. Here are the “managerial records” of our Redleg Nation participants to date:

Commenter/
“Manager”
WON LOST PCT
Peter Onte 2 1 .667
Jon Davis 9 5 .643
BK 9 6 .600
James Owens 4 3 .571
Gonzo Reds 6 5 .545
Melvin 6 5 .545
Redsfan4life 5 5 .500
RedsEuphoria 1 1 .500
Tomn 1 1 .500
Doug Gray 1 1 .500
Don 3 6 .333
AirborneJayJay 0 1 .000
Jeff 0 1 .000
VaRedsFan 0 1 .000
Mark Moore 0 2 .000
Tom Mitsoff 0 2 .000

About Strat-O-Matic

Strat-O-Matic has been in the sports simulation business since the 1960s. A USA Today article contained this explanation:

Strat-O-Matic and other baseball simulations use statistics from the previous season to create “cards” for each player on a roster. The team managers select the batting order and the starting pitcher. From there, a series of dice rolls and calculations determines the outcome of each at-bat.

Strat-O, as it’s known to longtime players, first gained its immense popularity as a board game. The company has since expanded to a downloadable Windows version and one that’s played online. A few years ago, it introduced Baseball Daily – a new iteration that combined the player cards from the previous season with statistics from the real season being played at the same time.

Unlike many video games, the Strat-O-Matic results are based on algorithms that account for players’ performance based on statistics that their statistical experts project for each player in the 2020 season. It’s not a game played with a joystick that relies more on the skill of the person with the video game controller in his or her hand.

The simulation software will keep comprehensive statistics for all teams for the season, so we’ll be able to track year-to-date leaders in many statistical categories. Our current plan is to provide statistical leader summaries here at Redleg Nation each Sunday. You can follow the season at Strat-O-Matic.com, where they plan to post the results from each day’s schedule at 2 p.m. Eastern time.

37 Responses

  1. Melvin

    Tough loss. Everyone contributed with a hit except Suarez and Casali. We can’t get first place before we turn things over to Strato but we can still get close which is very important in our chances to win out the rest of the sim season.

    Akiyama CF
    Votto 1B
    Suarez 3B
    Moose 2B
    Castellanos RF
    Winker LF
    Galvis SS
    Casali C
    Miley P

    • Melvin

      Whether we want to admit it or not Miley has been one of our best pitchers this year. That along with being a lefty is why I have him for the next game.

      • Don

        Miley has been the 2nd best starter for the Sim Reds season so far.

        The Sim Pitching just gives up to many walks and the team cannot overcome them.

    • Melvin

      I was sure based on our conversations the past two weeks that Lorenzen just needed one more start before today and now would have two way status. If indeed that is not correct than this is my revised lineup for tomorrow. Now that we can’t take over 1st place before we lose control getting him to that two way status is more of a priority for the rest of the sim season. Unless of course we know that there is going to be LH pitcher coming up in the last two games after tomorrow then we can revert back to the original lineup and use Mikey against the lefty. 🙂

      Akiyama RF
      Votto 1B
      Suarez 3B
      Moose 2B
      Winker LF
      Lorenzen CF
      Galvis SS
      Casali C
      Miley P

      • Melvin

        Anyone project a LH starter in our last two games?

  2. Melvin

    Concerning Lorenzen and his two way status. He now has 20 starts so if indeed it is true and he does now have two way status then of course we need to use that to our best advantage. I’ve thought about it and I believe the best use would be to send down AlfRod and bring up another pitcher. Having 14 pitchers on our active roster would be a tool that no other NL team would have. It could potentially be the difference in a tight NL Central race or WC in finishing out the sim season. If Galvis was to get injured Strato would bring up a player. Hopefully that player would be Garcia or AlfRod IMO but either way we would have no control over that. Having a four man bench could also mean more opportunities for Lorenzen. Strato has not used him, to the best of my knowledge, in a PH role so far. I think that’s a good role for him. So in short we would have 14 pitchers and still have a five man bench. Like I said, it’s a weapon no other NL team could possibly have. We’d be crazy not to use it for the rest of the sim season IMO. 🙂

    • Don

      Lorenzen starting games with 3 PAs
      4-19 – Yankees 2-3 (J. Happ) – L
      5/2 – Nats – 0-3 (J. Ross) – R
      5/16 – Brewers 1-4 (B. Anderson) – L
      5/24 – Padres 2-4 (J. Lucchesi) – L
      5/26 – Pirates 2-5 (D Holland) – L
      5/30 – Cubs 2-4 (J. Quintana) – L
      6/1 – Cubs 1-3 (Y. Darvish) – R
      6/4 – Cubs 1-4 (J. Quintana) – L
      6/6 – Cubs 0-4 (Y. Darvish) – R
      6/7 – Cubs 1-3 (J. Lester) – L
      6/9 – Dodgers 0-4 (W. Buehler) – R
      6/10 – Dodgers 0-7 (D. Price) – L
      6/20 – Cards 3-5 (Hudson) – R
      6-21 – Cards 0-4 (Martinez) – R
      6-22 – Cubs 2-4 – (J. Quintana) – L
      6-27 – Nats 0-3 – Corbin – R
      6-29 – Dodgers 0-3 – Kershaw – L
      7-10 – Pirates – 2-4 – Holland – L
      7-17 – Cubs – 1-4 – Quintna – L

      In games with a righty starts he is 4-26
      In games which a lefty starts he is 16-52only count 18, Not sure which one I missed

      • Don

        I only count 19 games, I do not think I missed any but I may have

      • Don

        correction to this below, I missed a July 1st game when Lorenzen started.

  3. Don

    Starting lineup got 10 hits and only scored 2 runs. No timely hitting. I believe Suarez has someone on base each time he came up and could not get that key hit.

    Hopefully the Sim Reds can get the next two vs Cubs.

    • Melvin

      Yeah I know. We should have had more runs.

  4. Jon Davis

    Current Roster
    (* = player has NO options)
    (+ = LHP or LHB)
    (^ = Switch Hitter)

    Our current 26 man roster is:
    C – Stephenson, *Casali
    IF – *+Votto, *+Moustakas, *Suarez, *^Galvis, Rodriguez
    OF – +Akiyama, Lorenzen, *Ervin, *Castellanos, +Payton, +Winker, Senzel
    SP – *Bauer, *Desclafani, *Gray, *+Miley, Castillo
    RP – *+Reed, Iglesias, *+Garrett, *Sims, *Stephenson, Lorenzen, Kuhnel, Bowman
    DL – *+Barnhart(Can Return 7/25), *Strop(Can Return 7/31)

    Guys on the 40 man roster not on active roster
    C – Farmer
    IF – Garcia, +Vanmeter, Blandino
    OF – Aquino, +Jankowski, *+Schebler
    SP – Mahle, Santillan, DeLeon, Antone
    RP – Hendrix, Shafer, +Smith

    Finally here is a list of relevant non 40 man players
    C – Chris Okey
    IF – India, Davidson, Colon
    OF – +Friedl, +Powell, Barnes, Fairchild, +Hannah, +Siani
    SP – +Lodolo, Greene, Gutierrez, +Naughton, +Raley, Solomon, Lillie, +Sanmartin
    RP – Thornburg, +Biddle, Romano, +Finnegan, Carpenter, Alaniz, Powers

    • Melvin

      Thanks Jon. Your post is now as important as ever in deciding what we do next.

  5. Gonzo Reds

    I vote to request two way status for Lorenzen and send down AlfRod, bring up Lodelo. Perhaps Tom can do that as soon as we have 3 votes so that we verify it’s a go before we pick a lineup?

    I’d designate Lodelo to the pen and designate Gray back in the fold as our fifth starter since we really need to indicate that anyway before they take control.

    • BK

      Hendrix will get my vote … absolutely dominated AA after returning from an injury. He was just as dominate in 2018, too. Strato has a basis for giving him a good card. That is simply not the case for Lodolo.

      • Melvin

        Doug had some positive things to say about Hendrix in a post today. Lodolo would give us a lefty. Hard to decide. We still don’t know for sure how many starts Mikey has yet do we?

      • Don

        Assuming Lorenzen is designated a 2 way player (my corrections for the 20 games is further down).
        I vote Hendrix up and AlfRod down.

  6. Gonzo Reds

    As you all know I’m a fan of Galvis at 9 so this is my lineup…

    Akiyama CF
    Votto 1B
    Suarez 3B
    Moose 2B
    Castellanos RF
    Winker LF
    Casali C
    Miley P
    Galvis SS

    • BK

      This one has my vote — looks like the winning lineup!

    • Melvin

      I’ll vote for this one. After we win tomorrow YOU can decide about Lorenzen. 🙂

  7. Redsfan4life

    I am bummed that stato is going to take control and play out every game at once. Looks like we could continue to set lineups one day at a time. Gonzo you and I are usualy on the same page on lineups. You have my vote.
    I vote for Alfrod down as well and give Hendrix a shot. Probably short term anyway as Strato will probably send him back out as soon as Strop comes back.
    Gonzo win out for us till our time is up.
    Tom, Thank you so much for doing this I really had fun with it. Enjoyed checking box scores and everyones comments each day.

    • Tom Mitsoff

      It has really been fun! Like you, I check all of the Strat results every day, sometimes looking through all of the other game box scores. It feeds my hunger for real baseball, which we are getting closer to every day. I can’t wait!

      • Melvin

        Tom, do we know if Lorenzen has 20 starts and is available for two way status?

      • Tom Mitsoff

        All I know is what Don posted above. I trust that he is accurate.

      • Melvin

        Okay thanks. I know he almost always is. Just wanted to make sure. I guess we need to get Lorenzen in soon if we want his two way status.

      • Don

        I did find a game I missed, July 1st vs Dodgers Lorene started with Price Pitching.
        So Lorenzen does have 20 games with 3 PAs after today’s game.

        Sorry for the asking as I went back and checked my work
        Here is the corrected list

        Lorenzen OF starting games with 3 PAs
        4-19 – Yankees 2-3 (J. Happ) – L
        5/2 – Nats – 0-3 (J. Ross) – R
        5/16 – Brewers 1-4 (B. Anderson) – L
        5/24 – Padres 2-4 (J. Lucchesi) – L
        5/26 – Pirates 2-5 (D Holland) – L
        5/30 – Cubs 2-4 (J. Quintana) – L
        6/1 – Cubs 1-3 (Y. Darvish) – R
        6/4 – Cubs 1-4 (J. Quintana) – L
        6/6 – Cubs 0-4 (Y. Darvish) – R
        6/7 – Cubs 1-3 (J. Lester) – L
        6/9 – Dodgers 0-4 (W. Buehler) – R
        6/10 – Dodgers 0-7 (D. Price) – L
        6/20 – Cards 3-5 (Hudson) – R
        6-21 – Cards 0-4 (Martinez) – R
        6-23 – Cubs 2-4 – (J. Quintana) – L
        6-27 – Nats 0-3 – Corbin – R
        6-29 – Dodgers 0-3 – Kershaw – L
        7-1 – Dodgers 0-3 – Price – L
        7-10 – Pirates – 2-4 – Holland – L
        7-17 – Cubs – 1-4 – Quintna – L

        In games with a righty starts he is 4-26
        In games which a lefty starts he is 16-55

    • Don

      I agree with your proposal BK, Bring up Hendrix and demote Rodriguez

  8. Gonzo Reds

    My plan was to coach second but cant figure out where to stand! I am going to wear my new Get Pete Into The HOF face mask tho. (Should get one for Doug too.)

    • Melvin

      Stand right in front of the Cubs second baseman when we’re hitting. I’m sure he won’t mind.

  9. Tom Mitsoff

    At 10:22 p.m. Eastern, Gonzo has four endorsements and the lineup for Saturday. I’ll also submit the roster move of AlfRod down and Ryan Hendrix recalled. Hoping for a big win!

  10. Gonzo Reds

    Tom just to make sure since you didn’t mention it… Gray is indeed out of our pen so I won’t have to worry about him popping up in relief in our game today? (Plus would put him in a bad spot trying to start his next turn on 2 days rest.)

    Also does anyone know as prep for Saturday if Castillo or Disco have faced the Cubs this sim season and how they fared?

  11. Don

    Here are the stats to pick Sunday’s starter,

    Castillo
    June 23 – 7in,3H,1R,1ER,2BB,3K,0HR – 3-2 Win – Home
    Hits = 3 singles (Schwarber,Hayward,Happ)

    June 5 – 5in,4H,6R,3ER,3BB,5K,1HR – 9-5 Loss – Home
    Hits = 2 singles (Hayward(2)), 1 double(Baez), 1HR(Souza)

    May 31 – 5in,4H,2R,2ER,4BB,5K,0HR – 12-2 Win – Away
    Hits = 3 Singles(Rizzo,Baez,Hayward),1 double(Rizzo), 1 Hit Batter(Kipnis)

    Disco
    June 25 -6in,3H,1R,1ER,2BB,5K,0HR – 4-1 Win – Home
    Hits = Single(Bryant), 2 Doubles(Baez,Happ)

    May 29 – 5in,8H,2R,2ER,0BB,9K,0HR – No Decision, 4-3 Win – Away
    Hits = 6 Singles(Rizzo(2),Bryant,Kipnis,Hayward,Contreras), 2 Doubles(Bryant,Baez)

    Castillo’s loss was due to a Suarez error that would have been 3rd out of 5th inning which instead turned into 3 runs. Game could have been different without that error.

    Castillo has given up 11 hits (3 Extra base) in 17 innings
    Disco has given up 11 hits (4 Extra base) in 11 innings

    My suggestion would be Castillo

    • Gonzo Reds

      Thanks Don, hopefully I’ll get to make the choice. I’d lean towards Disco because I think the K-BB ratio is important against the Cubs as they have power but K alot. You don’t want to be issuing free passes and not be able to K them to get out of the inning. Disco’s ratios there are better.

      Whenever we get to the last game that we as commentators manage, win or lose, I think we should give that game to Tom to manage.