Final 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 R H E
Pirates 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 4 0 4 9 1
Reds 2 0 1 1 0 1 0 0 X 5 6 0

Wade Miley pitched scoreless baseball for his second consecutive start, leading the Cincinnati Reds (49-47) to a 5-4 victory over the Pittsburgh Pirates (37-59) at Great American Ball Park.

That was the result today as Strat-O-Matic games of Glen Head, N.Y., continued its announced plan to simulate the entire 2020 Major League Baseball season on a day-by-day basis for as long as actual game play is on hold.


Help set the lineup, batting order for the simulated Reds:

Have you ever dreamed of your opportunity to “manage” the Reds? Now is your chance. Learn more below!


The victorious outing stretched Miley’s scoreless innings streak to 11, after he pitched five scoreless innings in a victory over Cleveland on Tuesday. Miley has the best won-loss percentage among sim Reds starters at .727.

The sim Reds got the scoring going early in the first inning with a two-run single by Mark Payton with the bases loaded. Curt Casali walked with the bases loaded in the third to make it 3-0, and Shogo Akiyama and Eugenio Suarez hit solo homers in the fourth and sixth innings, respectfully to give the home team a 5-0 lead.

However, things got a bit dicey in the eighth inning. Sonny Gray, making his second relief appearance, was ineffective. He allowed four hits, a walk and four runs before Raisel Iglesias got the final out in the eighth. In the ninth, Iglesias allowed two of the first three batters to reach, but retired Josh Bell and Jose Osuna without any runs scoring to preserve the one-run victory.

Akiyama and Nick Castellanos had two hits apiece to lead the sim Reds attack that was limited to only six hits, but benefitted from drawing 11 walks from Pirates pitching.

Here is the sim Reds box score, as provided by Strat-O-Matic:

A-Subbed Defensively (RF) For Polanco In 6th Inning
C-Pinch Hit For Feliz In 8th Inning

B-Pinch Hit For Bowman In 7th Inning
D-Subbed Defensively (CF) For Castellanos In 9th Inning

Standings following the July 12 games:

NL Central WON LOST PCT GB
Brewers 52 43 .547 0.0
Cardinals 52 45 .536 1.0
Reds 49 47 .510 3.5
Cubs 49 47 .505 3.5
Pirates 37 59 .385 15.5

Milwaukee defeated Colorado today while St. Louis fell to Tampa Bay, breaking the virtual tie for first place in the NL Central between the teams. Cincinnati and Chicago both won to keep pace with the Brew Crew.

The 2020 schedule has the Reds and all of the sim league off for four days for the sim All-Star Game break. Akiyama will represent the Reds in that sim game. Then on Friday, the Reds travel to Wrigley Field for the first of a very important three-game series against the Cubs. Don, the Redleg Nation winning commenter/manager today, can choose any starting pitcher for Cincinnati because all will have had at least four days rest. The Friday starter for Chicago has not yet been announced by Strat-O-Matic, but we will update here when that is available.

Help set the lineup, batting order for the simulated Reds:

Have you ever dreamed of your opportunity to “manage” the Reds? Now is your chance.

Strat-O-Matic has agreed to allow Redleg Nation to submit the Cincinnati Reds’ lineups for each day’s simulated game. We want all of our readers who want to participate to get involved.

Here is how it will work:

  • In each wrap up of that day’s simulated game, Redleg Nation will post the opposing starting pitcher for the next game. You will know who the pitcher is and whether he is left-handed or right-handed, and you can use that information in creating a lineup for the next game, and submitting it in the comments below. “Splits” such as performance vs. left-handers or right-handers are replicated in the Strat-O-Matic game algorithm, and therefore should be considered.
  • We will accept lineups from every reader who wants to submit one. The lineup that will be submitted to Strat-O-Matic each day will be the one that receives the most positive replies (in effect, “yes” votes) from readers other than the submitter. In case of ties:
    • First tiebreaker: Lineup submitted by the reader who has had the fewest number of opportunities as a “manager.”
    • Second tiebreaker: Lineup submitted earliest in the comment thread. (So get your lineup in “early” each day.)
  • What is “early?” Redleg Nation posts these articles daily between 5 and 6 p.m. Eastern time. Strat-O-Matic’s deadline for us to submit a lineup for the next day’s game is midnight. On most days, we’ll do this before “bedtime,” which is typically between 10:30 and 11 Eastern time.

All players’ batting stats

All players’ pitching stats

Batting and pitching player stats by team

Today’s winning Redleg Nation commenter/manager Don will have priority for Friday’s lineup. Have fun with this! If you have any questions, please post them in the comment string below. Here are the “managerial records” of our Redleg Nation participants to date:

Commenter/
“Manager”
WON LOST PCT
Peter Onte 2 1 .667
Jon Davis 9 5 .643
BK 9 6 .600
James Owens 4 3 .571
Gonzo Reds 6 5 .545
Melvin 6 5 .545
Redsfan4life 5 5 .500
RedsEuphoria 1 1 .500
Tomn 1 1 .500
Doug Gray 1 1 .500
Don 3 5 .375
AirborneJayJay 0 1 .000
Jeff 0 1 .000
VaRedsFan 0 1 .000
Mark Moore 0 2 .000
Tom Mitsoff 0 2 .000

About Strat-O-Matic

Strat-O-Matic has been in the sports simulation business since the 1960s. A USA Today article contained this explanation:

Strat-O-Matic and other baseball simulations use statistics from the previous season to create “cards” for each player on a roster. The team managers select the batting order and the starting pitcher. From there, a series of dice rolls and calculations determines the outcome of each at-bat.

Strat-O, as it’s known to longtime players, first gained its immense popularity as a board game. The company has since expanded to a downloadable Windows version and one that’s played online. A few years ago, it introduced Baseball Daily – a new iteration that combined the player cards from the previous season with statistics from the real season being played at the same time.

Unlike many video games, the Strat-O-Matic results are based on algorithms that account for players’ performance based on statistics that their statistical experts project for each player in the 2020 season. It’s not a game played with a joystick that relies more on the skill of the person with the video game controller in his or her hand.

The simulation software will keep comprehensive statistics for all teams for the season, so we’ll be able to track year-to-date leaders in many statistical categories. Our current plan is to provide statistical leader summaries here at Redleg Nation each Sunday. You can follow the season at Strat-O-Matic.com, where they plan to post the results from each day’s schedule at 2 p.m. Eastern time.

38 Responses

  1. Don

    Glad to hang on for the win.

    Miley pitched great. Gray can’t seem to get out of his own way.

    Will wait to see whom is pitching for Cubs on Friday before posting lineup.

    • Redsfan4life

      Great job Don
      I only have one suggestion start Lorenzen in CF Move Shogo to either LF or RF for next game Lorenzen will then gain 2 player status and we can recall another player.

      • Gonzo Reds

        I agree, and bat 9th preferably. We can send down Rodriguez and call up Lodelo or Antone depending on R vs L preference.

        Also, I vote to take Gray out of pen and designate him 5th in rotation coming out of All Star break.

      • Don

        I would like to understand the Sim Reds need for Lorenzen as a two way player, add a 14th pitcher and go to a 4 man bench?
        Unless the idea is to bring up the14th pitcher to be in the rotation (Mahle, Santillan, DeLeon) and leave Gray in the BP to let him do limited damage, I do not understand the need for a 9th bullpen arm. With 8 in the pen, for the most part they are pitching 1 inning every three days. That does not seem to be overworking.

        Lorenzen is the 6th options offensively in the outfield behind: Akiyama, Castallanos, Ervin, Winker, Payton and offensive players do not need days off in this Sim.

        The only Sim Reds Outfielder with a lower Avg, OB%, OPS and BABIP than Lorenen is Senzel.

        Sim Lorenzen does not seem able to hit right handed pitching, so he is a spot starter vs lefties and then when he is put in as a relief pitcher the next day he seems to give up runs and walks batters. I have not looked at this is details but that is what my impression is.

        I am interested in understand what would be the roster move with getting Lorenzen 2 way status?

    • Melvin

      Bottom line: Have to win tomorrow (next game). If Lorenzen is one of your best players to do that then play him. If not you can’t afford to.

      • Redsfan4life

        Playing Lorenzen to get him 2 player status gives us options.Like we can activate Strop when he is ready and send out Rodriquez instead of Bowman. Rodriquez serves no purpose at all as we all start Galvis every single day in our lineups and at 2b we either play Moose or Senzel. Plus anytime Lorenzen plays we have more speed and better defense. Just my 2 cents.

      • Don

        Strop comes back after we loose roster control so whom is demoted will be up to Strat-o-Matic. Same with Barnhart returning from the IL.

        I am not against Lorenzen getting 2 way status.

        The stats at the all star break show that he is the 6th best offensive outfielder on the Sim Reds roster.

        To me him being available as a pitcher, late inning defensive substitute and pinch runner is the best us of his talent on the Sim Reds.

      • Melvin

        Getting Lorenzen two way status sounds really cool but we just can’t afford to play him fighting for every game of these last five. Sure I agree that having an extra pitcher would be more valuable than someone like AlfRod. However at the moment AlfRod is not hurting us. Playing Lorenzen could. As stated earlier our pen, with all the days off, should be just fine for the rest of our control of the Reds sim season. Who know’s what Strato is going to do when it takes the reigns.

  2. Don

    Team has played 96 games prior to the this All Star break.
    Win/Losses by Month
    March/April 13-17
    May 17-12
    June 12-15
    July 7-3

  3. Jon Davis

    Current Roster
    (* = player has NO options)
    (+ = LHP or LHB)
    (^ = Switch Hitter)

    Our current 26 man roster is:
    C – Stephenson, *Casali
    IF – *+Votto, *+Moustakas, *Suarez, *^Galvis, Rodriguez
    OF – +Akiyama, Lorenzen(19), *Ervin, *Castellanos, +Payton, +Winker, Senzel
    SP – *Bauer, *Desclafani, *Gray, *+Miley, Castillo
    RP – *+Reed, Iglesias, *+Garrett, *Sims, *Stephenson, Lorenzen, Kuhnel, Bowman
    DL – *+Barnhart(Can Return 7/25), *Strop(Can Return 7/31)

    Guys on the 40 man roster not on active roster
    C – Farmer
    IF – Garcia, +Vanmeter, Blandino
    OF – Aquino, +Jankowski, *+Schebler
    SP – Mahle, Santillan, DeLeon, Antone
    RP – Hendrix, Shafer, +Smith

    Finally here is a list of relevant non 40 man players
    C – Chris Okey
    IF – India, Davidson, Colon
    OF – +Friedl, +Powell, Barnes, Fairchild, +Hannah, +Siani
    SP – +Lodolo, Greene, Gutierrez, +Naughton, +Raley, Solomon, Lillie, +Sanmartin
    RP – Thornburg, +Biddle, Romano, +Finnegan, Carpenter, Alaniz, Powers

  4. Melvin

    All right! Great win for Don and our sim Reds! Sure glad we chose Miley over Gray. I almost wish we could send down Gray for these final games but I guess that’s not happening. Good we picked up on the Cards. They go home now for six against the Yankees and Giants. Need the Yanks to do damage big time and the Giants to play their best. Brewers have their toughest stretch now out west against the Padres and Dodgers. We know about the Dodgers but in case anyone doesn’t know it the Padres are 17 over and playing great too. We know have our biggest series yet against our “hated” Cubs. Whoever pitches the first game after the ASG will get another start in our last game. I assume that will be Bauer although an argument could be made, I can’t believe I’m saying this, for MIley. Miley at least puts his name in the discussion of one of our best starters against the Cubs. We can still win out our last five. Have to really dig down deep and figure out the absolute BEST lineup to win every game. We now have won seven of our last nine. It would be awesome and a whole lot of fun to win 12 of our last 14 to finish. We can do it. 🙂

    • Melvin

      One option we may have since we now have a rested pen after the ASG is to tell Strato that we now want to hold back Gray as a possible starter so that he will not be used unless we want him to.

      • Tom Mitsoff

        I told Strat-O-Matic that we’d like Gray to be in the bullpen until further notice. What that means is that one of our commenter/managers can choose to start him if they wish. If not, he will presumably remain in the pen.

      • BK

        Gray’s work in the pen hasn’t been too good. We should put him as #5 in the rotation. There is really no reason to believe he won’t rebound–he’s significantly under-performing his 2019 numbers. As an established pitcher, I think we’ll see improvement.

      • Melvin

        The two games that Strato used Gray in the pen were when we had a big lead. The first game he pitched so so for two innings and gave up two runs. No big deal. Just ate up some innings for us. The last game however he almost gave it up and we barely hung on. The idea was for him to help, not make us worry if he’s going to pitch. In my opinion we now have to move him back to the #5 starter where he will have to be anyway once we set our final lineup before Strato takes over. Moving him there will pretty much guarantee he won’t get into a game and hurt us with so much on the line in our last five. We’ve had a big break for the ASG and then have another day off after the three with the Cubs before our last two. Our bullpen should be and stay well rested so we shouldn’t need an extra arm right now.

  5. Don

    During these 4 days without games, I think we should discuss what to do with the position players in preparation for Start-o-Matic playing out all the games on July 23rd.

    We seemed to have gotten to a bench which 2 players will most likely not start: Rodriguez and Stephenson and they are both at the bottom of the Pinch Hitting role.
    3 players: Senzel and Payton whom start infrequently.
    One Platoon: Ervin and WInker.
    Catcher: Barnhart and Casali.

    This has given up a consistent 6 starters in the lineup pretty much every day which has lead to a very solid offensive team over the last 5 to 6 weeks.

    I am thinking that we should bring Farmer back up to replace Rodriguez as Farmer should be better for the stretch run as a pinch hitter.

    • Tom Mitsoff

      The only reason to consider keeping Alf-Rod is as insurance against Galvis suffering a significant injury. Nobody else on the roster (other than Jose Garcia) would have the defensive rating to play shortstop on an everyday basis, IMO. We know that playing people out of position has caused some issues.

      • Melvin

        I agree. Our defense improving is a big reason why we’ve been winning more IMO. Not playing people out of position is a big part of that. I wouldn’t be opposed to Garcia instead though. Just would have to get enough votes.

      • Melvin

        Just read another post about how Garcia is impressing…again in summer camp. Anyone else think we should bring him up and send AlfRod down? If so I’d vote for it. I don’t think he would mess up the chemistry and would be the same situation. I’m still okay with AlfRod though if no one else feels comfortable doing that. He’s good too.

    • Melvin

      Well we have to keep in mind why we brought AlfRod up instead of someone like Farmer. AlfRod doesn’t have much of a record and Strato won’t likely use him and certainly not over someone like Payton, Ervin, or Senzel. Remember it’s all about strategy and chemistry. If Farmer was a great hitter it would be fine. He’s not though and just average at best. A mediocre hitter (e.g. Dietrich) is the worst think that can happen because Strato will likely use him in situations that we would rather have the three just mentioned pinch hitting. We can set our roster the way we want and probably should after the 22nd. For all we know though Strato will make its’ own changes. In short bringing up someone like Farmer may do a lot more harm than good in the sim world. It’s been going good and we’ve been having the right people doing what we want. Have to be careful not to mess that up.

      • Don

        Just throwing out ideas.
        I would vote to have Garcia replace AlfRod before the 22nd and we loose control of the Roster.

        been working all day today, getting busy again

        Did some number crunching last night

        Reds Run scored per game is 16 overall, 7th in NL
        Reds Runs allowed per game is tied 15th overall, tied 9th in NL
        Vs the other NL central teams.
        Runs per game and runs allowed per game
        Cards = score 4.72 and allow 4.38
        Reds = score 4.66 and allow 4.52
        Cubs = Score 4.55 and allow 4.50
        Brewers = Score 4.61 and allow 4.71

        Current Run Differential, Projected Run Diff 162 games, X-W/L
        Cards = current = 33, projects to 55, Projected wins = 85
        Reds = current = 13, projects to 22, Projected wins = 83
        Cubs = current = 5, projects to 8, Projected wins = 82
        Brewers = current = -9, projects to -15, projected wins = 79

        Wild Card (current standings)
        Padres = current =39, Projects to 65, Projected wins = 86
        Cards = current = 33, projects to 55, Projected wins = 85
        Braves = current = 14, Projects to 23, projected wins = 83
        Reds = current = 13, projects to 22, Projected wins = 83
        Cubs = current = 5, projects to 8, Projected wins = 82
        Phillies = current = 40, Projects to 68, Projected wins = 88

        Our Sim Reds should be in on the action until the end but may just fall short of both the division and the WC

        Pitching needs to be better than the middle to just below middle of the pack.

      • Tom Mitsoff

        I agree that getting the roster “set up” is important. We can’t control anything that happens after next Tuesday or Wednesday (not exactly sure which day is the last day). Regarding Alf-Rod and Garcia, we have absolutely no idea which one of them has a better Strat card, nor do we know what Strat used as the basis for the cards they created. Coin flip if you ask me. Biggest question in my mind is who is the fifth starter. Gray? Mahle?

        I still have not heard about Friday’s Cubs starting pitcher, but I will poke Strat tomorrow since their All-Star game will be over then. Apparently it’s going to be somewhat of a big deal tonight with coverage on social media.

      • Melvin

        Yeah. From a strategy and chemistry stand point concerning AlfRod it might be better to leave well enough alone since we’ve been doing so well after bringing him up. I can go with Garcia if others want as I don’t see much risk. Gray will probably still be the fifth starter to go to at least in my mind. I was assuming that the last game for everyone would be Wednesday since the season starts for some on Thursday. Of course we need as many games as Strato will allow us to catch 1st place. ;)…maybe we can play our last sim game on Thursday since our first real games won’t start till Friday. Probably wishful thinking. lol Won’t hurt to ask I guess.

  6. Gonzo Reds

    Once Lorenzen gets 20… I still plan on voting to bring up Lodelo (or Antone) and send down AlfRod. I figure once we lose control strato will bring up a SS anyway if Galvis goes down, likely Garcia since he probably has the most SS starts for us (and Barnhart for Steph when available).

    This is our chance to possibly sneak another monster card into our pen, otherwise strato will stick with the same ole the rest of the season. This move could mean the extra little bit to get over the hump into the playoffs.

    • Tom Mitsoff

      When you think about trying to get a great card for someone without major league experience, consider that Strat-O-Matic has to have something to go on to create the profile for a card. A player whose minor league stats are mediocre probably is not going to get a great card. Mark Payton was someone who had an awesome season last year in Class AAA statistically, which is why I thought they might give him a decent card, which they apparently did. Just because Reds fans think young players are going to be great in no way means the baseball world does unless there are some bang-up stats to back it up.

  7. Tom Mitsoff

    Gentlemen, Strat-O-Matic tells me that the final day for daily sim games is July 21. For us, that is the first game of a three-game homestand against the Mets. After that, the remainder of the season will be simulated on the 22nd.

    No word yet on the Cubs starter for Friday, though they have promised to let me know as soon as they know.

    • Melvin

      All the more reason we have to win out. 🙂

  8. Tom Mitsoff

    Cubs starter for Friday is lefthander Jose Quintana.

  9. Gonzo Reds

    My suggestion against a LHP:

    Senzel – 2B
    Ervin – RF
    Galvis – SS
    Suarez – 3B
    Castellanos – 1B (Votto can’t hit lefties this year)
    Stephenson – C (give the kid a chance against the lefty to see how he does)
    Akiyama – LF (still using him just moving him lower against a lefty since he’s slumped a bit recently)
    P
    Lorenzen – CF (this our best opening NOW against a lefty!)

    Then designate Lorenzen as two way for Saturday and bring up Lodelo for AlfRod.

    My two cents worth…

  10. Don

    Been buried in work all week so have not done my normal research.
    Went back and looked the last game vs Quintana on June 23rd that the Reds one 3-2 and I realized I had he lineup for that game (set on the 21st) with assistance from Melvin.
    So I am going to go with the the only player change at Catcher as Barnhart is not available (went 2-4 that day) and a couple of swaps in the order.
    I am also going to start Bauer as he has been the most consistent Sim Reds starter in the 1st half.

    Akiyama LF
    Lorenzen CF
    Votto 1B
    Suarez 3B
    Castellanos RF
    Moose 2B
    Casali C
    Galvis SS
    Bauer P

    Hopefully the first win of a weekend sweep of the Cubs.

    Others ideas welcome and will listen to suggestions.

    • Melvin

      Looks good. I’m sure you’ve done your research along with your gut feeling and using Lorenzen instead of Ervin as your best chance to win tomorrow (next game). In my mind Votto has to be in there so I agree for sure. I like Casty in RF since he’s played there more and Strato might take that into consideration. Every little bit counts. We still have a chance to win it. If you wanted to go with Lefty/Righty it could go like this possibly.

      Akiyama LF
      Lorenzen CF
      Votto 1B
      Suarez 3B
      Moose 2B
      Catellanos RF
      Galvis SS
      Casali C
      Bauer P

      • Don

        My logic
        In the Sim
        Akiyama is 1-5
        Lorenzen has hit Quintana well,4-9,HR, this is why he is starting.
        Votto is 1-3 (and 5-9 in real life 2019)
        Suarez 1-6,BB
        Castellanos 0-8 (really thought about not playing him at all and using Ervin but he has been playing well in late June and July and Ervin has not when given chances.)
        Moose 0-3,BB (2-8, real life 2019 and I just do not have confidence in Sim Senzel)
        Galvis 1-6
        Casali 0-3 (been really good with Barnhart on IL)

        Others considered
        Senzel 1-3
        Ervin 1-4

        I appreciate everyone’s ideas.

    • BK

      Don, I recommend you play Ervin vs. the LHP (his splits are just hard to top). I understand the goal of getting Lorenzen to 2-way status. If that’s the objective, Votto doesn’t do as well against LHP. Perhaps Ervin takes his place in the lineup with Akiyama moving to RF and Castellanos moving to 1B. Alternatively, you could play Ervin over Lorenzen.

  11. James Owens

    Akiyama – RF
    Ervin – LF
    Suarez – 3B
    Castellanos – 1B
    Moustakis – 2B
    Lorenzen – CF
    Casali – C
    Galvis – SS
    Bauer – SP

  12. Redsfan4life

    Akiyama rf
    Ervin lf
    Suarez 3b
    Castellanos 1b
    Galvis ss
    Casali c
    Lorenzen cf
    Pitcher
    Senzel 2b

  13. Melvin

    The little bit of defense that we could be giving up (Casty at 1B) in terms of singles if nothing else, with so much on the line, is another reason in my mind not to take Votto out. Lorenzen or Ervin is your call. Looks like Lorenzen considering what he’s done against Quintana as you pointed out. May come down to Ervin or Casty. I personally feel comfortable with the lineup you have if that helps.

    • Melvin

      This post was meant to be under Don’s lineup of course.

  14. Tom Mitsoff

    I have Don’s lineup for Strat-O-Matic. Four games left for the Redleg Nation crew to put our best feet forward. 🙂 Let’s win all four and let the dice fall where they may.