Final 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 R H E
Indians 0 0 1 0 2 1 0 0 0 4 7 1
Reds 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 1 0 1 4 1

Limited to four hits, the Cincinnati Reds (47-46) saw their five-game winning streak come to an end in falling to the Cleveland Indians (56-37) by a 4-1 score at Great American Ball Park.

That was the result today as Strat-O-Matic games of Glen Head, N.Y., continued its announced plan to simulate the entire 2020 Major League Baseball season on a day-by-day basis for as long as actual game play is on hold.


Help set the lineup, batting order for the simulated Reds:

Have you ever dreamed of your opportunity to “manage” the Reds? Now is your chance. Learn more below!


Sim Reds starter Luis Castillo pitched decently, but surrendered a two-run home run to Francisco Lindor in the top of the fifth which proved to be more than enough for the visitors. The home run was a two-run shot because the batter before Lindor — Indians starting and winning pitcher Zach Plesac — reached first base when Jesse Winker dropped his fly ball to left field.

Cincinnati’s only run came in the eighth when Curt Casali led off with a triple, his second hit, and then scored on a ground ball out by relief pitcher Michael Lorenzen.

Here is the sim Reds box score, as provided by Strat-O-Matic:

B-Pinch Hit For Plesac In 8th Inning

A-Pinch Hit For Castillo In 5th Inning
C-Pinch Hit For Winker In 9th Inning

Standings following the July 8 games:

NL Central WON LOST PCT GB
Brewers 49 42 .538 0.0
Cardinals 49 44 .527 1.0
Reds 47 46 .505 3.0
Cubs 47 46 .505 3.0
Pirates 35 57 .380 14.5

In the Wild Card race, St. Louis is two behind Atlanta for the second berth, and the Reds and Cubs are both four games back.

The 2020 schedule has the Reds off Thursday, then opening a three-game series Friday against the Pirates at Great American Ball Park. Trevor Bauer, Anthony DeSclafani and Sonny Gray are all eligible to pitch for the sim Reds, and the decision will be made by Friday’s commenter/manager. Lefthander Derek Holland will start for Pittsburgh.

Help set the lineup, batting order for the simulated Reds:

Have you ever dreamed of your opportunity to “manage” the Reds? Now is your chance.

Strat-O-Matic has agreed to allow Redleg Nation to submit the Cincinnati Reds’ lineups for each day’s simulated game. We want all of our readers who want to participate to get involved.

Here is how it will work:

  • In each wrap up of that day’s simulated game, Redleg Nation will post the opposing starting pitcher for the next game. You will know who the pitcher is and whether he is left-handed or right-handed, and you can use that information in creating a lineup for the next game, and submitting it in the comments below. “Splits” such as performance vs. left-handers or right-handers are replicated in the Strat-O-Matic game algorithm, and therefore should be considered.
  • We will accept lineups from every reader who wants to submit one. The lineup that will be submitted to Strat-O-Matic each day will be the one that receives the most positive replies (in effect, “yes” votes) from readers other than the submitter. In case of ties:
    • First tiebreaker: Lineup submitted by the reader who has had the fewest number of opportunities as a “manager.”
    • Second tiebreaker: Lineup submitted earliest in the comment thread. (So get your lineup in “early” each day.)
  • What is “early?” Redleg Nation posts these articles daily between 5 and 6 p.m. Eastern time. Strat-O-Matic’s deadline for us to submit a lineup for the next day’s game is midnight. On most days, we’ll do this before “bedtime,” which is typically between 10:30 and 11 Eastern time.

All players’ batting stats

All players’ pitching stats

Batting and pitching player stats by team

Have fun with this! If you have any questions, please post them in the comment string below. Here are the “managerial records” of our Redleg Nation participants to date:

Commenter/
“Manager”
WON LOST PCT
Peter Onte 2 1 .667
Jon Davis 9 5 .643
BK 9 6 .600
James Owens 3 2 .600
Gonzo Reds 6 5 .545
Melvin 6 5 .545
Redsfan4life 5 5 .500
RedsEuphoria 1 1 .500
Tomn 1 1 .500
Doug Gray 1 1 .500
Don 2 5 .286
AirborneJayJay 0 1 .000
Jeff 0 1 .000
VaRedsFan 0 1 .000
Mark Moore 0 2 .000
Tom Mitsoff 0 2 .000

About Strat-O-Matic

Strat-O-Matic has been in the sports simulation business since the 1960s. A USA Today article contained this explanation:

Strat-O-Matic and other baseball simulations use statistics from the previous season to create “cards” for each player on a roster. The team managers select the batting order and the starting pitcher. From there, a series of dice rolls and calculations determines the outcome of each at-bat.

Strat-O, as it’s known to longtime players, first gained its immense popularity as a board game. The company has since expanded to a downloadable Windows version and one that’s played online. A few years ago, it introduced Baseball Daily – a new iteration that combined the player cards from the previous season with statistics from the real season being played at the same time.

Unlike many video games, the Strat-O-Matic results are based on algorithms that account for players’ performance based on statistics that their statistical experts project for each player in the 2020 season. It’s not a game played with a joystick that relies more on the skill of the person with the video game controller in his or her hand.

The simulation software will keep comprehensive statistics for all teams for the season, so we’ll be able to track year-to-date leaders in many statistical categories. Our current plan is to provide statistical leader summaries here at Redleg Nation each Sunday. You can follow the season at Strat-O-Matic.com, where they plan to post the results from each day’s schedule at 2 p.m. Eastern time.

33 Responses

  1. Mark Moore

    I’ll give this one final shot … no science behind this line-up, just who I’d like to see take the field:

    Shogo – CF
    Votto – 1B
    Geno – 3B
    Castellanos – RF
    Moose – 2B
    Winker – LF
    Galvis – SS
    Casali – C
    Pitcher’s spot (perhaps it’s time for a bullpen game?)

  2. Jon Davis

    Current Roster
    (* = player has NO options)
    (+ = LHP or LHB)
    (^ = Switch Hitter)

    Our current 26 man roster is:
    C – Stephenson, *Casali
    IF – *+Votto, *+Moustakas, *Suarez, *^Galvis, Rodriguez
    OF – +Akiyama, Lorenzen(18), *Ervin, *Castellanos, +Payton, +Winker, Senzel
    SP – *Bauer, *Desclafani, *Gray, *+Miley, Castillo
    RP – *+Reed, Iglesias, *+Garrett, *Sims, *Strop, *R. Stephenson, Lorenzen, Kuhnel
    DL – *+Barnhart(Can Return 7/18)

    Guys on the 40 man roster not on active roster
    C – Farmer
    IF – Garcia, +Vanmeter, Blandino
    OF – Aquino, +Jankowski, *+Schebler
    SP – Mahle, Santillan, DeLeon, Antone
    RP – Bowman, Hendrix, Shafer, +Smith

    Finally here is a list of relevant non 40 man players
    C – Chris Okey
    IF – India, Davidson, Colon
    OF – +Friedl, +Powell, Barnes, Fairchild, +Hannah, +Siani
    SP – +Lodolo, Greene, Gutierrez, +Naughton, +Raley, Solomon, Lillie, +Sanmartin
    RP – Thornburg, +Biddle, Romano, +Finnegan, Carpenter, Alaniz, Powers

    • Melvin

      Thanks Jon. I thought Barnhart is out for 10 games and won’t return until after the real season starts. Am I mistaken?

      • Tom Mitsoff

        That is correct. I think Jon counted 10 calendar days rather than 10 games, which is what Strat bases the injured list on.

      • Jon Davis

        That is correct Tom that is in fact what I did. So the actual return date would be the 25th?

  3. Melvin

    That’s okay guys. One game and those kind of games happen. We can still win our last eight in a row and the division. Our easiest part is coming up starting with the Pirates. Here’s a suggested lineup if it helps anyone or if they want to use it.

    Akiyama CF
    Votto 1B
    Suarez 3B
    Castellanos RF
    Ervin LF
    Moose 2B
    Galvis SS
    Casali C
    Bauer P

  4. Don

    All streaks must end, Great run Melvin.

    At least the Brewers also lost to stay 3 back

    Need to sweep the Pirates.

    Have not looked at the next games starter yet for possible lineup.

    • Melvin

      Yeah but the Cards won so we have to make that up. They’re the ones I’m concerned most about. The Cubs did lose two in a row two their cross town rivals. That’s good.

  5. Redsfan4life

    Akiyama rf
    Ervin lf
    Suarez 3b
    Castellanos 1b
    Galvis ss
    Casali c
    Senzel 2b
    Bauer p
    Lorenzen cf

    Votto can not hit LHP

    • Gonzo Reds

      Agree on Votto out and in getting Lorenzen number 19 and putting speed at number 9. Couldn’t have done it any better thus you get my vote!

    • James Owens

      I would suggest the same players, but this lineup:

      1. Akiyama RF
      2. Ervin LF
      3. Suarez 3B
      4. Castellanos 1B
      5. Lorenzen CF
      6. Casali C
      7. Galvis SS
      8. Bauer SP
      9. Senzel 2B

      • Gonzo Reds

        I’m good with RedsFan4Life or James Owens lineup actually. If either of you gets another vote I’ll join for numbers. If neither gets another vote I’ll stick with RedsFan4Life since he got his in first.

      • Jon Davis

        I vote for James Owens. I like his lineup the best of the options available.

  6. Jon Davis

    Ok guys last time out we scored 9 against Holland so I am leaning towards duplicating those results. As far as the order I am flexible but figured Votto is not slugging much but getting on base while Akiyama is doing both plus this way we make it more difficult for the Rats pen after we chase Holland. Ok here is My suggested lineup.

    1. Votto – 1B
    2. Ervin – RF
    3. Akiyama – LF
    4. Suarez – 3B
    5. Moustakas – 2B
    6. Lorenzen – CF
    7. Casali – C
    8. Bauer – P
    9. Galvis – SS

  7. Redsfan4life

    If my lineup is chosen how many more game would Lorenzen need to be 2 way player one?

  8. Don

    Probable Pirate pitchers to face Sim Reds for these 3 games before the 4 day all-star break and their SIM Stats
    Holland – 4-10, 4.47 ERA
    Musgrove – 5-10, 4.08 ERA
    Keller – 3-8 , 5.08 ERA

    Holland has 18 starts in the SIM
    ERA 4.77, averages 5.1 innings per start.
    WHIP 1.6
    This is someone to score on.
    Sim Reds are only 4-4 vs Sim Pirates (35 wins total)
    So the Reds have accounted for 11% of all Pirates wins.
    Sim Reds have to sweep this series to make things right vs this .380 win % team.

    Holland pitched vs Sim Reds on May 26th
    Only lasted 3 2/3rd innings
    7 hits, 9 runs, 3 BB, 5 HR

    Lineup vs Holland on May 26th
    Votto 0-2,BB
    Ervin 2-2,HR,BB
    Suarez 3-3,2HR,2B
    Lorenzen 0-2
    Aquino 0-2
    Galvis 1-2, HR
    Casali 1-2, HR
    Castillo 0-2

    Reds vs Holland in 2019
    Ervin 0-1
    Galvis 0-1
    Suarez 0-1
    Votto 0-2
    Moose 1-3, BB

    Hollands 2019 and Career splits are to play heavy right handed hitting lineup.
    Even with that only change from what has been winning for Melvin is Senzel for Moose at 2B.

    Have to rid the hot horses and Akiyama and Votto have been getting on base a lot since both coming off IL. Just cannot sit them so that means Lorenzen is not starting as Ervin and Castellanos are also must starts vs Lefty.

    Proposed Lineup
    Akiyama – CF
    Votto – 1B
    Suarez – 3B
    Castellanos – RF
    Casali – C
    Galvis – SS
    Senzel – 2B
    Bauer – P

    • Jon Davis

      Heads up Don your lineup is short a LF.

      • Don

        Thanks, Had Ervin in LF hitting 5th.

        No clue how I did that

      • Don

        Corrected Lineup

        Akiyama – CF
        Votto – 1B
        Suarez – 3B
        Castellanos – RF
        Ervin – LF
        Casali – C
        Galvis – SS
        Senzel – 2B
        Bauer – P

  9. Eddiek957

    I really enjoy the sim games. Looking at a box score seems the most normal thing I’ve done lately. Thanks so much Tom. Take care all

  10. Tom Mitsoff

    Standings are updated. St. Louis won today over Washington. Everyone else lost. (Milwaukee to Tampa Bay, Cubs to White Sox.)

  11. Melvin

    According to quick research, if this helps anyone. Votto when starting vs. LH starters since the IL.

    2-4
    0-4
    2-5
    0-4 BB

    • Melvin

      One of the hitless games was against Kershaw when the entire team had one hit.
      The other hitless game was against Ray when the team had six hits and he had a BB. Galvis saved us that game with 2H, 3RBI, and a HR. In other words he’s not struggling when everyone else is hitting. It’s a team thing against very good pitching that day.

      BA since IL .367
      Total OBP .396

      Do we really want to take him out with eight games left battling for 1st place?

  12. BK

    CF – Akiyama
    3B – Suarez (moving hin up against LHP)
    1B – Votto (keeping the OBP machine towards the top of the order)
    RF – Castellanos (crushes LHP; out of early season slump)
    2B – Moustakas (solid splits against LHP)
    LF – Ervin (crushes LHP, but off a bit recently)
    SS – Galvis
    C – Casali
    P – Bauer

    Mostly right handed lineup. Moustakas has good splits against LHP. Votto has been our best hitter over the last month or so. Akiyama has gotten it done all year. Go sim Reds.

    • Redsfan14

      I like this lineup, it’s got my vote

    • Melvin

      I vote for this one.

      No offense to anyone but for me any lineup from here on out has to have Votto s name in it. He’s much too much of an asset not to be in there with only eight games left and so much on the line. Not only that but everyone else in this lineup is who I think should be in there too.

  13. Tom Mitsoff

    Commenter/managers and others: Strat-O-Matic is holding an All-Star game next week for the sim. Here are the managers and the players who have been chosen. (Shogo is the only Red!)

    AMERICAN LEAGUE (managed by Drew Carey)
    Starters
    C: Yasmani Grandal, White Sox
    1B: Carlos Santana, Indians
    2B: Jose Altuve, Astros
    3B: Alex Bregman, Astros
    SS: Francisco Lindor, Indians
    LF: Eloy Jimenez, White Sox
    CF: Mike Trout, Angels
    RF: George Springer, Astros
    DH: Jorge Soler, Royals
    P: Sean Manaea, Athletics

    Reserves
    C: Mitch Garver, Twins
    1B: Evan White, Mariners
    2B: Hanser Alberto, Orioles
    3B: Jose Ramirez, Indians
    3B: Anthony Rendon, Angels
    SS: Xander Bogaerts, Red Sox
    SS: Gleyber Torres, Yankees
    OF: Brett Gardner, Yankees
    OF: Max Kepler, Twins
    OF: Luis Robert, White Sox
    DH: Franmil Reyes, Indians

    Pitchers
    RHP: Shane Bieber, Indians
    RHP: Gerrit Cole, Yankees
    RHP: Chris Devenski, Astros
    RHP: Mike Fiers, Athletics
    RHP: Liam Hendriks, Athletics
    RHP: Joe Jimenez, Tigers
    RHP: Corey Kluber, Rangers
    RHP: Charlie Morton, Rays
    RHP: Roberto Osuna, Astros
    LHP: Hyun-Jin Ryu, Blue Jays
    LHP: Blake Snell, Rays
    RHP: Justin Verlander, Astros

    Final AL All-Star Vote
    DH: Yordan Alvarez, Astros
    RHP: Brad Keller, Royals
    1B: Miguel Sano, Twins
    SS: Marcus Semien, Athletics

    NATIONAL LEAGUE (managed by Slim Jim Phantom)
    Starters
    C: Willson Contreras, Cubs
    1B: Pete Alonso, Mets
    2B: Keston Hiura, Brewers
    3B: Nolan Arenado, Rockies
    SS: Trevor Story, Rockies
    LF: Christian Yelich, Brewers
    CF: Cody Bellinger, Dodgers
    RF: Mookie Betts, Dodgers
    DH: Matt Carpenter, Cardinals
    P: Clayton Kershaw, Dodgers

    Reserves
    C: JT Realmuto, Phillies
    1B: Freddie Freeman, Braves
    2B: Adam Frazier, Pirates
    2B: Ketel Marte, Diamondbacks
    3B: Kris Bryant, Cubs
    SS: Fernando Tatis Jr, Padres
    SS: Trea Turner, Nationals
    OF: Shogo Akiyama, Reds
    OF: Bryce Harper, Phillies
    OF: Joc Pederson, Dodgers
    UTL: Tommy Edman, Cardinals

    Pitchers
    RHP: Jacob deGrom, Mets
    LHP: Josh Hader, Brewers
    RHP: Craig Kimbrel, Cubs
    RHP: Carlos Martinez, Cardinals
    RHP: Tyler Rogers, Giants
    RHP: Max Scherzer, Nationals
    LHP: Will Smith, Braves
    LHP: Caleb Smith, Marlins
    RHP: Mike Soroka, Braves
    RHP: Stephen Strasburg, Nationals
    RHP: Luke Weaver, Diamondbacks
    RHP: Kirby Yates, Padres

    Final NL All-Star Vote
    OF: Ronald Acuna, Braves
    1B: Paul Goldschmidt, Cardinals
    C: Carson Kelly, Diamondbacks
    RHP: Joe Ross, Nationals

  14. Tom Mitsoff

    At 10:17 p.m. Eastern, I am reading BK with two endorsements.

    Then I have to make an interpretation on James Owens and Redsfan4life. Gonzo first said he voted for Redsfan4life. Jon Davis said he voted for James.

    Gonzo then said “I’m good with RedsFan4Life or James Owens lineup actually. If either of you gets another vote I’ll join for numbers. If neither gets another vote I’ll stick with RedsFan4Life since he got his in first.”

    Because he said “If either of you gets another vote I’ll join for numbers,” and James got a vote from Jon, I am interpreting that as a vote for James.

    That gives James and BK two endorsements each. The tiebreaker, as James was correct to point out, is that he has fewer chances in the commenter/manager seat, so his is the one going to Strat-O-Matic.

    It’s important to take AT LEAST two of three from Pittsburgh, which has lost six in a row!

    • Gonzo Reds

      Sorry Tom, got tied up and didn’t make it back on earlier. Thanks for sorting that out!

      • Tom Mitsoff

        All in a general manager’s day’s work. 🙂

  15. Melvin

    Go get em James. Lead us to a sweep or our last eight. 🙂