Final 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 R H E
Reds 0 1 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 1 1 0
Dodgers 0 1 0 2 0 2 2 1 X 8 12 2

Clayton Kershaw pitched eight innings of one-hit baseball to lead the Los Angeles Dodgers (56-29) to a convincing 8-1 victory over the Cincinnati Reds (42-43) at Dodger Stadium.

That was the result today as Strat-O-Matic games of Glen Head, N.Y., continued its announced plan to simulate the entire 2020 Major League Baseball season on a day-by-day basis for as long as actual game play is on hold.


Help set the lineup, batting order for the simulated Reds:

Have you ever dreamed of your opportunity to “manage” the Reds? Now is your chance. Learn more below!


The only hit Kershaw allowed was a second-inning home run by Curt Casali that gave the sim Reds a short-lived 1-0 lead. The Dodgers tied it against starter and loser Trevor Bauer in the bottom of the second, and went on to score in four of the final five innings against Reds pitching to leave no doubt as to the final outcome. Second baseman Gavin Lux had four hits and knocked in three runs to lead the LA attack.

Interestingly, it was the second consecutive day the sim Reds were involved in a one-hitter. Luis Castillo pitched one Sunday for Cincinnati in a 13-0 win over Washington. Kershaw improved his record to 12-2, the most wins in the Strat-O-Matic sim league.

After today’s sim games, the Brewers stand alone in first place in the NL Central after their win over the Cubs, as all of the other division member teams lost. The Reds are four games behind and in fourth place.

Here is the sim Reds box score, as provided by Strat-O-Matic:

B-Pinch Hit For Stephenson In 8th Inning

A-Pinch Hit For Pederson In 6th Inning

Standings following the June 29 games: 

NL Central WON LOST PCT GB
Brewers 45 38 .542 0.0
Cubs 45 40 .529 1.0
Cardinals 44 41 .518 2.0
Reds 42 43 .494 4.0
Pirates 34 50 .405 11.5

The 2020 schedule has the Reds at Dodger Stadium Tuesday for the second game of the four-game series. Anthony DeSclafani pitches for the sim Reds, and righthander Walker Buehler will start for LA.

News/Notes from around baseball

One of the things we would have during the season in the game threads was a section comprised of news and notes for the day. While there’s a lot less going on these days in the baseball world than usual for this time of year, there still are some things that are worth highlighting. When there are, we’ll be adding them to these daily simulation threads.

60-man roster transaction rule breakdown

Levi Weaver of The Athletic has an interesting breakdown of the 60-man roster transaction rules with regards to 40-man roster players, positive COVID-19 tests and how that works with the 60-man, what would happen in a situation if there’s a “team outbreak”, and more over on twitter in a long thread. If you’re interested in you can see the entire thing right here.

Over at Fangraphs, Craig Edwards also has a piece up with some of the things we learned from the 60-day player pool.

Mike Leake opts out of playing in 2020

Former Cincinnati Reds pitcher Mike Leake is opting to not play in 2020. His agent Danny Horwits put out a statement on the decision for Leake. He will not be paid beyond the initial money paid up front by MLB, leaving roughly $5,000,000 on the table by choosing to not play this season.

Expect the schedule in “about a week”

Bob Nightengale of USA Today is reporting that we should expect to see the Major League Baseball schedule in about a week from today.

Help set the lineup, batting order for the simulated Reds:

Have you ever dreamed of your opportunity to “manage” the Reds? Now is your chance.

Strat-O-Matic has agreed to allow Redleg Nation to submit the Cincinnati Reds’ lineups for each day’s simulated game. We want all of our readers who want to participate to get involved.

Here is how it will work:

  • In each wrap up of that day’s simulated game, Redleg Nation will post the opposing starting pitcher for the next game. You will know who the pitcher is and whether he is left-handed or right-handed, and you can use that information in creating a lineup for the next game, and submitting it in the comments below. “Splits” such as performance vs. left-handers or right-handers are replicated in the Strat-O-Matic game algorithm, and therefore should be considered.
  • We will accept lineups from every reader who wants to submit one. The lineup that will be submitted to Strat-O-Matic each day will be the one that receives the most positive replies (in effect, “yes” votes) from readers other than the submitter. In case of ties:
    • First tiebreaker: Lineup submitted by the reader who has had the fewest number of opportunities as a “manager.”
    • Second tiebreaker: Lineup submitted earliest in the comment thread. (So get your lineup in “early” each day.)
  • What is “early?” Redleg Nation posts these articles daily between 5 and 6 p.m. Eastern time. Strat-O-Matic’s deadline for us to submit a lineup for the next day’s game is midnight. On most days, we’ll do this before “bedtime,” which is typically between 10:30 and 11 Eastern time.

All players’ batting stats

All players’ pitching stats

Batting and pitching player stats by team

Have fun with this! If you have any questions, please post them in the comment string below. Here are the “managerial records” of our Redleg Nation participants to date:

Commenter/
“Manager”
WON LOST PCT
Peter Onte 2 1 .667
BK 9 5 .643
Jon Davis 9 5 .643
James Owens 3 2 .600
Redsfan4life 5 4 .556
Gonzo Reds 6 5 .545
RedsEuphoria 1 1 .500
Tomn 1 1 .500
Doug Gray 1 1 .500
Don 2 5 .286
Melvin 1 4 .200
AirborneJayJay 0 1 .000
Jeff 0 1 .000
VaRedsFan 0 1 .000
Mark Moore 0 2 .000
Tom Mitsoff 0 2 .000

About Strat-O-Matic

Strat-O-Matic has been in the sports simulation business since the 1960s. A USA Today article contained this explanation:

Strat-O-Matic and other baseball simulations use statistics from the previous season to create “cards” for each player on a roster. The team managers select the batting order and the starting pitcher. From there, a series of dice rolls and calculations determines the outcome of each at-bat.

Strat-O, as it’s known to longtime players, first gained its immense popularity as a board game. The company has since expanded to a downloadable Windows version and one that’s played online. A few years ago, it introduced Baseball Daily – a new iteration that combined the player cards from the previous season with statistics from the real season being played at the same time.

Unlike many video games, the Strat-O-Matic results are based on algorithms that account for players’ performance based on statistics that their statistical experts project for each player in the 2020 season. It’s not a game played with a joystick that relies more on the skill of the person with the video game controller in his or her hand.

The simulation software will keep comprehensive statistics for all teams for the season, so we’ll be able to track year-to-date leaders in many statistical categories. Our current plan is to provide statistical leader summaries here at Redleg Nation each Sunday. You can follow the season at Strat-O-Matic.com, where they plan to post the results from each day’s schedule at 2 p.m. Eastern time.

39 Responses

  1. Jon Davis

    Current Roster
    (* = player has NO options)
    (+ = LHP or LHB)
    (^ = Switch Hitter)

    Our current 26 man roster is:
    C – *+Barnhart, *Casali
    IF – *+Votto, *+Moustakas, *Suarez, *^Galvis, Rodriguez
    OF – +Akiyama, Lorenzen(17), *Ervin, *Castellanos, +Payton, +Winker, Senzel
    SP – *Bauer, *Desclafani, *Gray, *+Miley, Castillo
    RP – *+Reed, Iglesias, *+Garrett, *Sims, *Strop, *R. Stephenson, Lorenzen, Kuhnel

    Guys on the 40 man roster not on active roster
    C – Stephenson, Farmer
    IF – Garcia, +Vanmeter, Blandino, *+Dietrich
    OF – Aquino, +Jankowski, *+Schebler
    SP – Mahle, Santillan, DeLeon, Antone
    RP – Bowman, *Jones(Can Return 7/4), Hendrix, Shafer, +Smith

    Finally here is a list of relevant non 40 man players
    C – Chris Okey
    IF – India, Davidson, Colon, Trahan
    OF – +Friedl, +Powell, Barnes, Fairchild, +Hannah, +Siani
    SP – +Lodolo, Greene, Gutierrez, +Naughton, +Raley, Solomon, Lillie, +Sanmartin
    RP – Thornburg, +Biddle, Romano, +Finnegan, Carpenter, Alaniz, Powers

    Reply
  2. Melvin

    Tough loss today. Offense and pitching especially with only Casali’s HR and Stephenson one inning 2K no ER. Defense seemed solid. It’s only one game though and have to put it behind us. Have to push on ahead strong. Didn’t lose any ground to Cards or Cubs. Need Cubs to come back and take 2 of 3, the Nats to continue to pound the Cards. We have to take it to the Dodgers. We CAN. We need especially to work on the Cards and Cubs since the Brews finish up on the west coast facing the Padres (10>.500) and the Dodgers (17>.500). They have the toughest schedule left with only one sub .500 team for four games @ home (Rocks 4<.500). Only two other home games vs. Rays.

    Reply
  3. Don

    figured it would be very hard to score vs Kershaw. I figured on more than 1 hit and 1 BB.
    Brewers beat Cubs, Cards lost to Nats, so lost one game to brewers.
    Overall that is the best outcome for the Reds for the other teams.

    NL Central Run differential
    Brewers are -13 (projected X-W/L is 2 under 500 for 162 games) now +7 over 500
    Cubs are +24 (X-W/L 2 or 3 over 500 for 162 games) now +5 over 500
    Cards are +19 (projects to 2 over 500 for 162 games) Currently +3
    Reds are +35 (projects to 3 or 4 over 500 for 162 games) Currently -1

    Brewers are the team most likely to be caught by the others in the NL Central

    NL Wild Card (based on Run Differential to X-W/L)
    Padres Are +24 now, projects to 85 wins
    Cubs (83 or 84 wins)
    Braves are +13 now, projects to 83 or 84 wins
    Cards (83 wins)
    Reds (84 or 85 wins)

    Sim Reds should be in the division race and the WC race to the last days of the full Sim season.

    Reds Schedule (opponent win%=0.528)
    June 30,July1,2 – @ Dodgers (56-29)
    July 3,4,5- @ D’backs (42-43)
    July 6 – Off Day
    July7,8 – Indians (53-32)
    July 9 – Off Day
    July 10,11,12 – Pirates (34-50)
    July 13-16 – Off Days
    July 17,18,19 -@ Cubs (45-40)
    July 20 – Off Day
    July 21,22 – Mets (39-45)

    Brewers Schedule (opponent win%=0.552)
    June 30, July1,2 -@Cubs(45-40)
    July 3,4,5- @Cards(44-41)
    July 6- Off
    July 7,8 – Rays (52-34)
    July9,10,11,12-Rockies (40-44)
    July 13-16 – Off Days
    July 17,18,19 – @ Padres (47-37)
    July 20,21,22 – @ Dodgers (56-29)

    Cubs Schedule (opponent win%=0.519)
    June 30, July1,2 – Brewers(45-38)
    July 3,4,5 – Rays (52-34)
    July 6- Off
    July 7,8 @ White Sox (38-47)
    July 9 – Off
    July 10,11,12 – Braves (45-40)
    July 13-16 – Off Days
    July 17,18,19 – Reds (42-43)
    July 20,21 White Sox (38-47)
    July 22 – Off

    Cards Schedule (opponent win%=0.516)
    June 30, July1,2 – Nats (51-34)
    July 3,4,5- Brewers(45-38)
    July 6- Off
    July 7,8,9 – @ Nats (51-34)
    July 10,11,12 – @ Rays (52-34)
    July 13-16 – Off Days
    July 17,18,19 – Mets (39-45)
    July 20,21,22 – Giants (32-52)

    Odds of making up 4 games and passing 3 teams before real baseball starts on July 23rd is slim but I like the odd of the Sim Reds making the playoffs as Division winner or WC2 as Strat-O plays all the games after we are done with the lineups.

    Reply
    • Melvin

      I like your charts better. That’s why I let you guys handle the stats most of the time. 🙂

      Reply
    • Melvin

      The Brews have the toughest schedule by far. They’d better enjoy their time in first right now. If they win it all they will have earned it. We don’t have the most home games left but we have the best over all in terms of opponents with only two against the Indians and the rest against the Pirates and Mets. All of those games are at the end with three against the Cubs at Wrigley in between. We have to find a way to stay close until then against the Dodgers and D-backs and then take care of business. We can do it. Let’s just win the rest. Whatiya say?

      Reply
    • Melvin

      I wander if Strato will allow us to make any adjustments to our roster after our last sim game before they play it out so we can set things the way we want. Like I said before I wish they would play it one game at a time. I don’t want this to happen, don’t think it’s going to happen, but if the season gets interrupted for any reason we could just pick up the reigns again at that point.

      Reply
  4. Gonzo Reds

    Strato obviously put in the throttle the Reds, as always, on the left coast card. Sigh, some things don’t even change in simulated baseball…

    And now they are hiding their starting pitcher so we cant set a lineup. ;<

    Reply
  5. Don

    I believe that the LAD starter will be Buehler his spot in rotation or Price (possible to coming off IL)
    If Buehler
    Reds beat Buehler in their 1st meeting with Disco getting the Win.
    Disco Line 6in,4H,2R,2BB,6K
    Buehler’s line 6in,8hits,4R,1BB,7K,2HR
    Akiyama 1-3,2B
    Ervin 2-3,2B
    Lorenzen 0-3
    Winker 1-3
    Suarez 1-3
    Mouse 1-3,HR
    Stephenson 1-3
    Disco 0-2,SAC
    Galvis 1-1,HR,2BB

    Reds 2019 vs Buehler
    Barnhart 1-2
    Casali 0-2
    Senzel 1-3
    Suarez 0-3
    Votto 0-5, BB
    Winker 1-6

    Buehler’s has a slight reverse split with RHB slightly better than LHB in 2019
    Ervin is 13-56 (232 in June) so did think of play him but he is ice cold so going with Winker.

    If Buehler starts
    Akiyama CF
    Winker LF
    Votto 1B
    Suarez 3B
    Mouse 2B
    Castellanos RF
    Galvis SS
    Barnhardt C
    Disco P

    If Price Starts
    (playing defense with Senzel in CF and Akiyama in LF as Ervin is just so cold)

    Akiyama LF
    Votto 1B
    Suarez 3B
    Mouse 2B
    Castellanos RF
    Casali C
    Galvis SS
    Disco P
    Senzel CF

    Reply
    • Don

      If they do not announce, go with the Buehler lineup and hope they do not swap in Price at the last minute

      Reply
      • Tom Mitsoff

        I just got word that it is Buehler, so I edited that in the article.

  6. Melvin

    Did a little crunch time digging of games remaining Home and Away and opponents +/- .500. Season (for real) starts on July 23. Starting on 6/30/2020

    Home Away vs. +10< 5-9< 1-41-4 >5-9 >+10

    Reds 8 9 3 3 3 0 3 5

    Cards 12 6 3 0 0 3 3 9

    Cubs 11 5 0 4 3 (Reds @ H) 0 6 3

    Brews 6 12 0 0 4 3 3 8

    Reply
    • Tom Mitsoff

      Regarding schedule, the June schedule has been a murderer’s row for the sim Reds. They are 11-14, and only two games all month were against teams below .500. Honestly, I thought there was a chance this team could get buried in June, but it didn’t happen.

      Reply
      • Melvin

        Naw. We wouldn’t let them get buried for you Tom. 🙂 i still think we have a chance for first before the 23rd. We’re definitely going to go for it.

      • Melvin

        Our pitching looks pretty good. If it goes as planned Miley will only have one more start on Thursday then we can move him to the pen. With the All Star break we should be able to set our rotation with Castillo/Bauer/Disco for the three game series at Wrigley. After Bauer’s and Disco’s last starts on the 18th and 19th we can move them to the pen if needed for the last few games. We will have Castillo for the last game. Everyone will be available for that last one even Gray who pitched the day before. LOL

      • Tom Mitsoff

        Melvin, I think as long as the sim Reds stay within three or four games prior to turning things over to Strat-O-Matic, there is a chance. Also, they are only three games behind in the wild card race. But there are a bunch of teams ahead of them, making the tasks of overtaking everyone more difficult.

      • Melvin

        Yeah. I agree. When it comes to winning I’m greedy though. I want to win before the 23rd and then everything afterward. I think we can. I don’t give up until the math says we can’t. 🙂

  7. Melvin

    Woah. That chart didn’t turn out the way I wanted at all. LOl Will try again.

    Reply
  8. BK

    Don, I like the players you’ve selected, but prefer a slightly different order:

    CF – Akiyama
    1B – Votto (better OBP vs. Winker)
    LF – Winker
    3B – Suarez
    2B – Moustakas
    RF – Castellanos
    C – Barnhart (I try to take advantage of his OBP skills by putting him in front of the P)
    P – DeSclafani
    SS – Galvis (prefer his speed after the pitcher and next to our next fastest starter, Akiyama)

    Reply
    • Redsfan4life

      BK i vote for this.
      Not that it would have mattered yesterday but Votto should not start ever against a LHP. We have forgot Ervin. He should have been in LF and Nick at 1b. I thought Ervin was being used too much a few weeks ago no I think he is being under used.

      Against a LHP
      Ervin lf Lorenzen Cf Shogo rf
      Castellanos 1b Senzel 2b Galvis SS Suarez 3b Casali C In whatever batting order .
      Against a RHP
      Winker LF Shogo Cf Castellanos Rf
      Votto 1b Moose 2b Galvis ss Suarez 3b Tucker c

      Reply
    • Gonzo Reds

      Agree on the players as well but if you want my vote Galvis has to be in the 9 hole for the reason stated here, thus BK gets my vote also.

      Reply
    • Melvin

      Take us on a 17 game winning streak to finish the season BK. It’s all on your shoulders….just kidding. We’re behind you. 🙂

      Reply
  9. Melvin

    First # Home
    Second # Away
    Third # +10<.500
    Fourth # 5-9<.500
    Fifth # 1-4.500
    Seventh # 5-9>.500
    Eighth # +10>.500

    To use us as an example we have:
    8 Home games remaining
    9 Away
    3 vs. Opponents 10+ or more games under .500
    3 5-9
    3 1-4
    0 1-4 over
    3 5-9
    5 10+

    Hope this makes sense and helps a little.

    Reply
    • BK

      Makes sense … tough schedule ahead. Are we down to 3 games before Lorenzen qualifies as a 2-way player?

      Reply
      • Melvin

        I’m sure Don knows for sure about the two way status.

      • Jon Davis

        Yes BK he has currently started 17 games.

      • Melvin

        Of course Jon wold know too. Thanks Jon. 🙂

  10. Jon Davis

    With it being Buehler on the mound I would go with this lineup.

    1. Akiyama – CF
    2. Votto – 1B
    3. Suarez – 3B
    4. Moustakas – 2B
    5. Winker – LF
    6. Castellanos – RF
    7. Barnhart – C
    8. Desclafani – P
    9. Galvis – SS

    Reply
  11. Melvin

    I don’t mind Galvis batting 9th guys. The thing I’ve always struggled with is usually we bat Barnhart in front of the pitcher. “Sweet Lou” Piniella used to say he liked having a guy with speed in front of the pitcher since that’s who the pitcher was often trying to bunt over. Don’t know if there is a solution to that with our guys though. Sure couldn’t be Winker. 🙂

    Reply
    • BK

      Great point … Pinella’s teams had a good bit of speed on them to work with, today’s Reds are less fleet of foot. Here’s my theory:

      – Our weakest hitters play SS and C. So, SS, C, and P should be our bottom 3 on most days as it minimizes the number of PAs for our weaker hitters

      – With that in mind I’m simply trying to put guys in a spot that will maximize their skillset. It’s good to have the player hitting in front of the pitcher willing to take a walk. Barnhart is far more willing to work a BB than Galvis.

      – Galvis has good speed and decent power. Unfortunately, OBP is his weakness. I think he fits best just in front of our leadoff hitter. If he’s on base, his speed won’t slow our faster players (i.e., Akiyama, Ervin).

      – Downside is our P comes up to bat a little more often. Now that starters exit earlier, I think this is less of a problem.

      Bottom-line: I think this tactic fits our players. I wouldn’t necessarily try it if we had different players to work with.

      Reply
  12. Melvin

    I agree. As I said I don’t know if there is a solution with our lineups. They’re not built for speed. I was thinking the same thing about our pitchers generally not hitting that much only going five innings or so. It’s not like it used to be even in real baseball with pitchers throwing complete games. Our pinch hitters get used more often. That’s one reason why I thought it so important to make sure we had the correct people we wanted doing that.

    Reply
  13. Tom Mitsoff

    Gentlemen, BK has five endorsements, so his lineup will be used for Tuesday.

    Reply
  14. Gonzo Reds

    Tom, we kicked this around while you were out I think… since strato indicated we could lose a player with no options… can you find out if there’s a list of players from other teams that are available because they were optioned with no options? I’m guessing there won’t be many as strato is probably not doing that for all the teams they are managing but curious if you can find out.

    Reply
    • Tom Mitsoff

      I asked about this and got a response. Essentially, if a player without options is sent down, they are essentially lost to the team. They said that those players are not offered to other teams, but they are not used for the original team any longer.

      Reply
      • Gonzo Reds

        Thanks for checking. Thus we can tell Jon that Dietrich and Nate Jones can be taken off his possible recall list. Schebler can stay as we haven’t called him up this season.

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