Final 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 R H E
Nationals 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 1 1
Reds 2 4 2 0 2 1 0 2 X 13 15 1

Luis Castillo pitched a one-hit complete-game shutout to lead the Cincinnati Reds (42-42) to a convincing 13-0 victory over the Washington Nationals (50-34) at Great American Ball Park.

That was the result today as Strat-O-Matic games of Glen Head, N.Y., continued its announced plan to simulate the entire 2020 Major League Baseball season on a day-by-day basis for as long as actual game play is on hold.


Help set the lineup, batting order for the simulated Reds:

Have you ever dreamed of your opportunity to “manage” the Reds? Now is your chance. Learn more below!


Castillo retired the first nine Washington batters he faced, but Trea Turner led off the top of the fourth inning with a single, which turned out to be the visitors’ only hit. Castillo walked two and struck out 11 in what was the best pitching performance by a sim Reds pitcher all season.

On offense, Nick Castellanos was the shining star. He batted 3-for-5 with two home runs (his sixth and seventh) and knocked in five runs in what was his best single-game offensive performance of the season.

Things went so well for the sim Reds that Alfredo Rodriguez made his major league debut, pinch-hitting for Freddy Galvis in the bottom of the eighth inning, and he got his first sim major league hit and first RBI.

After today’s sim games, the Brewers maintained their one-percentage-point lead in the division over the Cubs. St. Louis lost and fell one game behind. The Reds are three games behind the co-leaders and in fourth place.

Here is the sim Reds box score, as provided by Strat-O-Matic:

A-Pinch Hit For Voth In 6th Inning
B-Subbed Defensively (2B) For Castro In 8th Inning

C-Pinch Hit For Barnhart In 8th Inning
D-Pinch Hit For Galvis In 8th Inning
E-Pinch Hit For Akiyama In 8th Inning

Standings following the June 28 games: 

NL Central WON LOST PCT GB
Brewers 44 38 .537 0.0
Cubs 45 39 .536 0.0
Cardinals 44 40 .524 1.0
Reds 42 42 .500 3.0
Pirates 34 49 .410 10.5

The 2020 schedule has the Reds hitting the road for Los Angeles for a four-game series against the Dodgers Monday. Trevor Bauer pitches for the sim Reds, and lefthander Clayton Kershaw — the sim league leader in wins with 11 — pitches for LA.

News/Notes from around baseball

One of the things we would have during the season in the game threads was a section comprised of news and notes for the day. While there’s a lot less going on these days in the baseball world than usual for this time of year, there still are some things that are worth highlighting. When there are, we’ll be adding them to these daily simulation threads.

The Reds 60-man roster

The Cincinnati Reds, along with all other MLB teams, must submit their 60-man player pool roster to MLB by 4pm ET today. It’s likely that we will find out that roster today. We wrote a little bit about it this morning, speculating about some things and who may wind up on it. Once it’s released, we’ll have a full report.

Will the short season have legitimacy?

Mo Egger, a local sports radio talk show host in Cincinnati who fills in at times for ESPN Radio at the national level, also contributes at The Athletic with more of a “fan perspective”. On Friday he wrote about the 2020 baseball season and how legitimate it could be.

If the Reds can avoid a repeat of last season’s dreadful start and emerge from a chaotic and unpredictable regular season with a playoff berth, then somehow survive the most arbitrary postseason in pro sports and capture the franchise’s first world championship in 30 years, I will celebrate by whatever means are socially acceptable. That could be mauling total strangers in ecstasy or quietly enjoying a cigar finer than the one I tweeted a picture of the other night.

I would bask in what would be an immensely cathartic moment for our city and I’d buy every souvenir shirt, hoodie, hat and trinket available.

Texas Rangers staff is “terrified for their safety”

Jeff Passan of ESPN wrote about what’s happening in Texas right now, particularly with the Rangers and their staff at the new ballpark. Multiple employees have tested positive for COVID-19. The Rangers, of course play in Texas, and they have been attempting to plan around allowing fans back into their ballpark as allowed by their governor. That’s led to many ballpark employees being asked to work at the stadium rather than remotely, like is happening in many other places who are not planning around fans just yet.

Help set the lineup, batting order for the simulated Reds:

Have you ever dreamed of your opportunity to “manage” the Reds? Now is your chance.

Strat-O-Matic has agreed to allow Redleg Nation to submit the Cincinnati Reds’ lineups for each day’s simulated game. We want all of our readers who want to participate to get involved.

Here is how it will work:

  • In each wrap up of that day’s simulated game, Redleg Nation will post the opposing starting pitcher for the next game. You will know who the pitcher is and whether he is left-handed or right-handed, and you can use that information in creating a lineup for the next game, and submitting it in the comments below. “Splits” such as performance vs. left-handers or right-handers are replicated in the Strat-O-Matic game algorithm, and therefore should be considered.
  • We will accept lineups from every reader who wants to submit one. The lineup that will be submitted to Strat-O-Matic each day will be the one that receives the most positive replies (in effect, “yes” votes) from readers other than the submitter. In case of ties:
    • First tiebreaker: Lineup submitted by the reader who has had the fewest number of opportunities as a “manager.”
    • Second tiebreaker: Lineup submitted earliest in the comment thread. (So get your lineup in “early” each day.)
  • What is “early?” Redleg Nation posts these articles daily between 5 and 6 p.m. Eastern time. Strat-O-Matic’s deadline for us to submit a lineup for the next day’s game is midnight. On most days, we’ll do this before “bedtime,” which is typically between 10:30 and 11 Eastern time.

All players’ batting stats

All players’ pitching stats

Batting and pitching player stats by team

Jon Davis has the priority for Sunday’s lineup since he was the winning manager today. Have fun with this! If you have any questions, please post them in the comment string below. Here are the “managerial records” of our Redleg Nation participants to date:

Commenter/
“Manager”
WON LOST PCT
Jon Davis 9 4 .692
Peter Onte 2 1 .667
BK 9 5 .643
James Owens 3 2 .600
Redsfan4life 5 4 .556
Gonzo Reds 6 5 .545
RedsEuphoria 1 1 .500
Tomn 1 1 .500
Doug Gray 1 1 .500
Don 2 5 .286
Melvin 1 4 .200
AirborneJayJay 0 1 .000
Jeff 0 1 .000
VaRedsFan 0 1 .000
Mark Moore 0 2 .000
Tom Mitsoff 0 2 .000

About Strat-O-Matic

Strat-O-Matic has been in the sports simulation business since the 1960s. A USA Today article contained this explanation:

Strat-O-Matic and other baseball simulations use statistics from the previous season to create “cards” for each player on a roster. The team managers select the batting order and the starting pitcher. From there, a series of dice rolls and calculations determines the outcome of each at-bat.

Strat-O, as it’s known to longtime players, first gained its immense popularity as a board game. The company has since expanded to a downloadable Windows version and one that’s played online. A few years ago, it introduced Baseball Daily – a new iteration that combined the player cards from the previous season with statistics from the real season being played at the same time.

Unlike many video games, the Strat-O-Matic results are based on algorithms that account for players’ performance based on statistics that their statistical experts project for each player in the 2020 season. It’s not a game played with a joystick that relies more on the skill of the person with the video game controller in his or her hand.

The simulation software will keep comprehensive statistics for all teams for the season, so we’ll be able to track year-to-date leaders in many statistical categories. Our current plan is to provide statistical leader summaries here at Redleg Nation each Sunday. You can follow the season at Strat-O-Matic.com, where they plan to post the results from each day’s schedule at 2 p.m. Eastern time.

20 Responses

  1. Redsfan4life

    Wow Castillo complete game 1 hit shutout.
    Jon, you got us to .500.
    Kershaw up next. Hope our RH hitters are on tomorrow.
    My only suggestion would be to sit every LH batter we have. Keep up the streak Jon.

    Reply
    • Melvin

      Just want us to keep in mind that Aki is leading the league in hitting and Votto, since coming back off the IL, is hitting .395 with an 11 game hitting streak. They both can hit LH pitching when going good. Hard to keep them out of any lineup when so much on the line.

      Reply
      • Don

        I agree with you Melvin, Akiyama and Votto are playing great since coming off the IL. They need to stay in the lineup.

  2. Melvin

    What a day for our sim Reds! Complete game one hitter for Castillo. That’s more like it. Thirteen runs on 15 hits. Just want to make a point. When I say that it is to our advantage to be in low scoring games, It’s okay if we’re not……as long as we’re the team scoring all the runs. Just want to make that clarification. 🙂 With a big lead Strato did us a favor late in the game giving Akiyama, Barnhart, and especially Galvis a little extra time off. I think it’s been about three years since Galvis had an inning or two off. LOL Speaking of that our AlRrod experiment continues to pay dividends. Not only did he give Galvis some much needed rest he actually got an AB and had a hit and an RBI. We’ll forgive his error and chalk it up to MLB sim debut jittters. 🙂 Great day for Casty at the plate. Best all around game all year for him and our team. Cubs and Brews one but we gained on the Cards, which in my opinion will be our greatest obstacle to overcome. Big week coming up. Brews go to play the Cubs in Chicago for four games. We need them to split. Cards go to Washington for four games. Hopefully the defending WS champions will be upset after what we just did to them and take it out on the Cards. We have to scratch and claw, do everything we can to play well against the Dodgers in LA for four games. We’re definitely leaving Cincy with a good feeling with momentum. Have to focus one game at a time. Let’s keep winning! Three games back of first and two back of the Cards. More crunch time fun. 🙂

    Reply
    • BK

      LOL … Strato mocked us to with an AlfRod hit and error in his debut. I guess this is what keeps me interested. No sport is as unpredictable as baseball.

      Reply
      • Melvin

        Unpredictability? Makes baseball and life interesting at least. 🙂

  3. Jon Davis

    Current Roster
    (* = player has NO options)
    (+ = LHP or LHB)
    (^ = Switch Hitter)

    Our current 26 man roster is:
    C – *+Barnhart, *Casali
    IF – *+Votto, *+Moustakas, *Suarez, *^Galvis, Rodriguez
    OF – +Akiyama, Lorenzen(16), *Ervin, *Castellanos, +Payton, +Winker, Senzel
    SP – *Bauer, *Desclafani, *Gray, *+Miley, Castillo
    RP – *+Reed, Iglesias, *+Garrett, *Sims, *Strop, *R. Stephenson, Lorenzen, Kuhnel

    Guys on the 40 man roster not on active roster
    C – Stephenson, Farmer
    IF – Garcia, +Vanmeter, Blandino, *+Dietrich
    OF – Aquino, +Jankowski, *+Schebler
    SP – Mahle, Santillan, DeLeon, Antone
    RP – Bowman, *Jones(Can Return 7/4), Hendrix, Shafer, +Smith

    Finally here is a list of relevant non 40 man players
    C – Chris Okey
    IF – India, Davidson, Colon, Trahan
    OF – +Friedl, +Powell, Barnes, Fairchild, +Hannah, +Siani
    SP – +Lodolo, Greene, Gutierrez, +Naughton, +Raley, Solomon, Lillie, +Sanmartin
    RP – Thornburg, +Biddle, Romano, +Finnegan, Carpenter, Alaniz, Powers

    Reply
    • Gonzo Reds

      I guess you can adjust this once the 60 is released here soon. No Hunter Greene for one…

      Reply
  4. Jon Davis

    Ok I have to make this quick as I have family obligations. The lineup I am looking at is this as always input is appreciated and will check back around 8.

    1. Akiyama – LF
    2. Votto – 1B
    3. Suarez – 3B
    4. Castellanos – RF
    5. Lorenzen – CF
    6. Casali – C
    7. Senzel – 2B
    8. Bauer – P
    9. Galvis – SS

    Reply
    • Gonzo Reds

      Looks good. Man wish I had that Castillo performance and not the two dud losses. Have to wonder if Strato tweaks unrealistically bad strato cards as well…

      Reply
    • BK

      This is more of a thought than a suggestion … RH hitters fare Kershaw better than LH hitters, but the split is narrow. We’ve played Akiyama pretty much every day he hasn’t been on the IL. That said, he played nearly every game in Japan, so he can probably handle it. Tomorrow is the mid-point of a 13 straight days of baseball between off days. Ervin does very well against LHP; he’s never faced Kershaw. Perhaps he brings a small advantage. If we want to give a day off, tomorrow is probably the ideal day. That said, Kershaw is tough on everybody and he’s crushing it in sim-world. Hope you enjoy your day.

      Your faithful Bench Coach.

      Reply
  5. Mark Moore

    As the late Harry Carey would have said … HOLY COW!!!

    What a win all the way around. Let’s keep rolling!

    Reply
  6. Don

    That is the Castillo we all expected.
    ===================
    I posted this in Saturday’s game thread on Sunday am so I am not sure whom has seen or not.
    I thought it was worth sharing again.

    Through Saturday June 27th games Team hitting (pitcher position not included as I summed each team batters from Strat-o-Matic hitting stats page so that I could have the Sac Fly’s in the BABIP calculation)
    This will also tell us how the Sim Reds offensive players we pick are doing against the rest of the league being run by Strat-O-Matic

    Sim Reds
    BABIP (0.321) – Tied 9th
    AVG (0.276) – Tied 5th, Tied 3rd NL, 1st Central
    OBP (0.344) – 6th, 5th NL, 2nd in Central (Cards 1st 0.349)
    SLG% (0.440) – Tied 9th, 4th NL, 1st Central (Tied with Cubs)
    OPS (0.784) – 7th, 4th NL, 1st Central

    League Averages
    BABIP = 0.315
    Avg = 0.265
    OB% = 0.329
    SLG% = 0.429
    OPS =0.757

    So our Sim Reds are a top 10 if not top 5 in all the key offensive statistics.

    Sometimes I think we are pretty hard on ourselves trying to find the offense.
    We should be proud of ourselves that we as a group have been able to figure out how to play the game and are maximizing the part of the game that is in our control.
    ==============
    Again great to win 2 of 3 vs the 1st place Nats.

    Now the same needs to be done vs the Dodgers.

    Reply
    • BK

      Our Defensive BABIP is now down to .305 for the year and .281 for the month. When we play a player out of position, our BABIP is .325. Our defense has improved, our luck has gotten better, or our pitching is better … or some combination of all 3.

      Reply
      • BK

        Of note, our two best games from a BABIP perspective, have been Castillo’s last two starts.

  7. Tom Mitsoff

    I have Jon’s lineup. Let’s keep the good times rolling!

    Reply

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