Final 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 R H E
Reds 0 0 1 0 0 2 3 0 0 1 7 12 1
Brewers 2 1 2 0 0 0 0 1 0 0 6 15 4

Tyler Stephenson doubled home Phillip Ervin in top of the 10th inning to lead the Cincinnati Reds (34-36) to an important 7-6 victory over the Milwaukee Brewers (35-34) at Milwaukee’s Miller Park.

That was the result today as Strat-O-Matic games of Glen Head, N.Y., continued its announced plan to simulate the entire 2020 Major League Baseball season on a day-by-day basis for as long as actual game play is on hold.


Help set the lineup, batting order for the simulated Reds:

Have you ever dreamed of your opportunity to “manage” the Reds? Now is your chance. Learn more below!


Ervin led off the top of the 10th inning with a triple against Brewers reliever David Phelps. After Freddy Galvis struck out, Stephenson struck his double — the biggest hit of his still-young sim Reds career.

The game started poorly for the Reds, as starter Sonny Gray didn’t have his good stuff. Milwaukee led 5-1 after five innings, and Gray was out after four. Cincinnati’s comeback started in the sixth, and it was pretty much all due to porous Brewers defense. Eugenio Suarez led off with a single, then Mike Moustakas hit a fly ball to right that was dropped by right fielder Christian Yelich, putting Reds runners on second and third with nobody out. Two outs later, Stephenson hit a grounder to third baseman Brock Holt, who kicked it, allowing Suarez to score. Then Curt Casali, pinch-hitting for Cody Reed, singled to knock in Moustakas.

Cincinnati came all the way back in the top of the seventh, thanks to a three-run homer by Ervin off Brewers reliever Freddy Peralta to take a 6-5 lead.

Milwaukee responded in the bottom of the eighth, as the first three hitters who Amir Garrett faced all reached him for hits, tying the game at 6-6. But Michael Lorenzen, who has had a rocky year in relief, had perhaps his finest outing today. Entering the game with runners on second and third and nobody out and the game tied, Lorenzen slammed the door against the heart of the Brewers batting order. Lorenzo Cain grounded out with the runners not advancing, then Luis Urias hit a fly ball that was not deep enough to score the run from third. Yelich was walked intentionally, and Keston Hiura grounded out to end the inning.

Lorenzen also pitched the bottom of the ninth, holding Milwaukee scoreless, and received credit for the victory.

Shogo Akiyama extended his hitting streak to 19 games, best on the sim Reds this season. Ervin and Galvis led a balanced Reds offense with two hits apiece.

Here is the sim Reds box score, as provided by Strat-O-Matic:

A-Pinch Hit For Gray In 5th Inning
B-Pinch Hit For Reed In 6th Inning
D-Pinch Hit For Winker In 7th Inning
E-Pinch Hit For Strop In 8th Inning

C-Pinch Hit For Supak In 6th Inning
F-Pinch Hit For Holt In 8th Inning
G-Pinch Hit For Peralta In 8th Inning
H-Pinch Hit For Phelps In 10th Inning

Standings following the June 12 games:

NL Central WON LOST PCT GB
Cardinals 39 30 .565 0.0
Cubs 37 33 .529 2.5
Brewers 35 34 .507 4.0
Reds 34 36 .486 5.5
Pirates 29 40 .420 10.0

The 2020 schedule as currently constituted has the Reds in Milwaukee Saturday for the second game of a three-game series at Miller Park. Today’s Redleg Nation winning commenter/manager Redsfan4life will announce the starting pitcher for the Reds later Friday, while right-hander Josh Lindblom will pitch for Milwaukee.

News/Notes from around baseball

One of the things we would have during the season in the game threads was a section comprised of news and notes for the day. While there’s a lot less going on these days in the baseball world than usual for this time of year, there still are some things that are worth highlighting. When there are, we’ll be adding them to these daily simulation threads.

More on the Cincinnati Reds Draft

Over at RedsMinorLeagues.com Doug Gray has provided full scouting reports, videos, stats, and quotes from all six of the players selected by the Cincinnati Reds in the 2020 Major League Baseball Draft. So if that’s the thing you are looking for more information on, here’s the link. If you’re interested in just a bit of a recap on the draft by the organization, then check out the piece here at Redleg Nation from this morning.

About that NBA bubble plan…..

Remember how quickly Major League Baseball players shut down the idea of playing in a “bubble” in Arizona or a combination of Arizona and Florida? Well, it seems that the NBA, who decided that they could have a bubble in Orlando at one of the Disney resorts didn’t exactly get full approval of that plan from the players and there could be a snag according to Howard Beck, the Senior NBA Writer at Bleacher Report.

It seems that Major League Baseball may not be the only league with a hiccup or five to get through in order to get back to playing.

“It wasn’t just a 2-man sign stealing show in Houston”

Alex Cora isn’t backing down from his involvement in the Trash Can Sign Stealing for the Houston Astros, but in speaking with Marly Rivera of ESPN he wants to be sure to remind everyone that it wasn’t just him and Carlos Beltran that were involved.

If there is one thing I am absolutely sure of, it is that it was not a two-man show. We all did it. And let me be very clear that I am not denying my responsibility, because we were all responsible.”

That bus that just drove by? Alex Cora just tossed everyone under it.

How are the simReds performing?

The Hitters

The Pitchers

Help set the lineup, batting order for the simulated Reds:

Have you ever dreamed of your opportunity to “manage” the Reds? Now is your chance.

Strat-O-Matic has agreed to allow Redleg Nation to submit the Cincinnati Reds’ lineups for each day’s simulated game. We want all of our readers who want to participate to get involved.

Here is how it will work:

  • In each wrap up of that day’s simulated game, Redleg Nation will post the opposing starting pitcher for the next game. You will know who the pitcher is and whether he is left-handed or right-handed, and you can use that information in creating a lineup for the next game, and submitting it in the comments below. “Splits” such as performance vs. left-handers or right-handers are replicated in the Strat-O-Matic game algorithm, and therefore should be considered.
  • We will accept lineups from every reader who wants to submit one. The lineup that will be submitted to Strat-O-Matic each day will be the one that receives the most positive replies (in effect, “yes” votes) from readers other than the submitter. In case of ties:
    • First tiebreaker: Lineup submitted by the reader who has had the fewest number of opportunities as a “manager.”
    • Second tiebreaker: Lineup submitted earliest in the comment thread. (So get your lineup in “early” each day.)
  • What is “early?” Redleg Nation posts these articles daily between 5 and 6 p.m. Eastern time. Strat-O-Matic’s deadline for us to submit a lineup for the next day’s game is midnight. On most days, we’ll do this before “bedtime,” which is typically between 10:30 and 11 Eastern time.

All players’ batting stats

All players’ pitching stats

Batting and pitching player stats by team

Redleg Nation commenter/manager Redsfan4life will have priority on the lineup for Saturday because he was the winning manager Friday. Have fun with this! If you have any questions, please post them in the comment string below. Here are the “managerial records” of our Redleg Nation participants to date:

Commenter/
“Manager”
WON LOST PCT
Jon Davis 6 2 .750
Peter Onte 2 1 .667
BK 9 5 .643
James Owens 3 2 .600
Redsfan4life 4 3 .571
Doug Gray 1 1 .500
RedsEuphoria 1 1 .500
Tomn 1 1 .500
Gonzo Reds 3 4 .429
Melvin 1 4 .200
Don 1 4 .200
AirborneJayJay 0 1 .000
Jeff 0 1 .000
Mark Moore 0 1 .000
VaRedsFan 0 1 .000
Tom Mitsoff 0 2 .000

About Strat-O-Matic

Strat-O-Matic has been in the sports simulation business since the 1960s. A USA Today article contained this explanation:

Strat-O-Matic and other baseball simulations use statistics from the previous season to create “cards” for each player on a roster. The team managers select the batting order and the starting pitcher. From there, a series of dice rolls and calculations determines the outcome of each at-bat.

Strat-O, as it’s known to longtime players, first gained its immense popularity as a board game. The company has since expanded to a downloadable Windows version and one that’s played online. A few years ago, it introduced Baseball Daily – a new iteration that combined the player cards from the previous season with statistics from the real season being played at the same time.

Unlike many video games, the Strat-O-Matic results are based on algorithms that account for players’ performance based on statistics that their statistical experts project for each player in the 2020 season. It’s not a game played with a joystick that relies more on the skill of the person with the video game controller in his or her hand.

The simulation software will keep comprehensive statistics for all teams for the season, so we’ll be able to track year-to-date leaders in many statistical categories. Our current plan is to provide statistical leader summaries here at Redleg Nation each Sunday. You can follow the season at Strat-O-Matic.com, where they plan to post the results from each day’s schedule at 2 p.m. Eastern time.

31 Responses

  1. Melvin

    Good win and good to see Stephenson get a good hit with no passed balls or errors on his part. Brewers with 12 singles out of 15 hits. Interesting.

  2. Tom Mitsoff

    Gentlemen, two points for your consideration:

    1) Joey Votto is eligible for activation Saturday. You folks need to decide which player will be sent down to make room for him.

    2) Redsfan4life will need to pick the starting pitcher for Saturday. It can be either a reliever (“opener”) for a bullpen day, essentially, or he can recall a starter from the minors and the group will decide which reliever gets sent down.

    Note: For the “opener” role, Lorenzen and Reed are not eligible because they both have pitched in back-to-back games.

    • Don

      reasoning further down in the discussion.

      1) Demote Garcia for Votto

      2) Demote Bowman and start De Leon (bullpen way overused right now)

  3. Jon Davis

    Current Roster
    (* = player has NO options)
    (+ = LHP or LHB)
    (^ = Switch Hitter)

    Our current 26 man roster is:
    C – T. Stephenson, *+Barnhart, *Casali
    IF – *+Moustakas, *Suarez, *^Galvis, *+Dietrich, Garcia
    OF – +Akiyama, Lorenzen, *Ervin, *Castellanos, +Payton, +Winker
    IL – *+Votto (Ready to return on 6/13)
    SP – *Desclafani, *Gray, *+Miley, Castillo
    RP – *+Reed, Bowman, Iglesias, *+Garrett, *Sims, *Strop, *R. Stephenson, Lorenzen, *Jones
    DL – *+Votto (Ready to return on 6/13), *Bauer (Ready to return on 6/24)

    Guys on the 40 man roster not on active roster
    C – Farmer
    IF – +Vanmeter, Blandino
    OF – Senzel, Aquino, +Jankowski, *+Schebler
    SP – Mahle, Santillan, DeLeon, Antone
    RP – Hendrix, Kuhnel, Shafer, +Smith

    Finally here is a list of relevant non 40 man players
    C – Chris Okey
    IF – India, Davidson, Colon, Rodriguez, Trahan
    OF – +Friedl, +Powell, Barnes, Fairchild, +Hannah, +Siani
    SP – +Lodolo, Greene, Gutierrez, +Naughton, +Raley, Solomon, Lillie, +Sanmartin
    RP – Thornburg, +Biddle, Romano, +Finnegan, Carpenter, Alaniz, Powers

  4. Tomn

    Gray also having a pretty bad Sim season. Not as bad as Castillo but almost 5 era. Those strat-o-mat guys need to take another hard look at their cards. Meanwhile Ervin is hitting 341.

    Yeah, it’s all about the roll of the die. But it’s also about the make-up of the cards. I think the strat-o-mat guys were hitting the brew pretty hard when they made them up this year.

  5. Don

    Great team win and great for Stephenson to contribute offensively with the GWRBI.

    Looking to tomorrow’s pitching.

    Bullpen Usage last 4 days and number of innings

    June 9
    P.Strop 2/3
    A.Garrett 1 1/3
    R.Iglesias 1

    June 10
    R.Stephenson 1
    N.Jones 1
    A.Garrett 2/3
    M.Bowman 1/3
    P.Strop 1
    R.Iglesias 2
    L.Sims 1
    C.Reed 1

    June 11
    M.Lorenzen 1
    C.Reed 2/3
    M.Bowman 1/3

    June 12
    C.Reed 1
    R.Stephenson 1
    P.Strop 1
    A.Garrett 0
    M.Lorenzen 2
    R.Iglesias 1

    This is 19 innings in the last 4 days.
    Reed has pitched 3 days in a row so he would not be available for tommorrow’s game in real life.
    Lorenzen has pitched two days in a row (2 inning today) so he cannot open and would most likely not be available for tomorrow’s game in real life to pitch at all.
    Garrett, Igelsias and Strop have pitched in 3 of the last 4 and would most likely not pitch 4 of 5 in real life more to close out an inning or the minimum 3 batters.

    Stephenson has pitched 2 of the last 3 games, would be available to pitch no more than 1 inning.

    That leaved Sims, Bowman and Jones to basically cover all 9 innings.

    I do not that that would be a prudent move to have a bullpen day with 5 of the bullpen with lots of work the last 4 days. We need a starting pitcher from the minors.

    The pitchers with options are Bowman, Lorenzen and Iglesias and anyone sent down has to stay there for 10 days.

    Bowman is the only real option to send to the minors (and he is one of the rested bullpen arms). I think we need to do that as a team and bring up either De Leon or Mahle for this start. My vote is for De Leon to start tomorrow and hope he finishes at least 6 innings.

  6. Don

    Votto is also set to come off the IL so either release Deitrich or demote Payton, Garcia or Stephenson.

    Dietrich (3-19 (.158) with 1 2B and 3BB (272 OPB), 5Ks) has not been the PH of the bench that was being hoped to get.

    I do not think that Garcia should start in front of Galvis or Mouse and moving them around to start Garcia instead of Suarez is not the correct desicion based on BK’s analysis yesterday, we need to live with Suarez defense as his offense is making up for his errors overall.

    I also think that Garcia would be demoted in the same situation if this was real life, it is a numbers games and I vote to demote Garcia.

    If Galvis or Moose go on the IL, then I would want to bring back Garcia and have him play in their place.

    • Melvin

      Ditriech down – Votto activated
      Bowman down – Mahle up

  7. Redsfan4life

    Folks that was my 4th different time being picked to manage the lineup.
    I am 4-0 my first games but 0-3 in game twos. I need to break the streak.
    Votto 1b
    Akiyama cf
    Suarez 3b
    Winker lf
    Ervin rf
    Moustakis 2b
    Galvis ss
    Mahle p Bullpen is gased I am going with a starter over a opener.
    Stephenson c

    My vote would be to option Bowman for Mahle and Garcia for Votto.
    Then my vote would be whoever the manager is tomorrow to option Mahle out for Kuhnel or Deleon.

    • Don

      Redsfan4life,
      Since you want to start Mahle and you are the current manager. I change my vote to bring up Mahle for Bowman.

      I agree with demoting Mahle tomorrow for Kuhnel or Hendrix and save De Leon for the next time we may need a starter for Bauer. Of course if Mahle goes 7 or 8 with giving up 1 or 2 runs that may change and just let him stay up for Bauer’s next start.

      Whomever comes up this time for Mahle tomorrow, goes down for De Leon if he is needed to start as Mahle would be not be in the minors for the required 10 days.

      • Redsfan4life

        Don good point about Mahle and Deleon. We can use each once for Bauers next two starts and in between starts have another much need bullpen arm.

      • Don

        I would think Kuhnel for Mahle and then Hendrix comes up after De Leon’s start if it plays out that way.

        Hendrix would then stay up for a while as Doug seemed high on him earlier and his minor league numbers are good.

    • BK

      What is the rationale behind hitting Votto first? It would seem the two easiest spots in our lineup tomorrow would be Akiyama leading off followed by Ervin to take full advantage of their elite OBPs.

      As discussed, below, I’m not sure sim Votto even belongs in the starting lineup given the strong productivity we’re getting from Akiyama, Ervin, Winker and Payton.

    • Jon Davis

      Like the lineup Redsfan4life good luck here is hoping you at the beginning of a long winning streak. Just because I can’t help myself here is what I would suggest, same players just a different order.

      1. Akiyama – CF
      2. Winker – LF
      3. Ervin – RF
      4. Moustakas – 2B
      5. Suarez – 3B
      6. Votto – 1B
      7. Galvis – SS
      8. Stephenson – C
      9. Mahle – P

  8. Redsfan4life

    I am fine if everyone would rather use Deleon over Mahle.
    Whoever gets most votes wins the start. My vote is for Mahle.
    Tom or Doug if Deleon gets more votes swap him in my lineup for Mahle. This is a group thing and the group should pick tomorrows pitcher.

    • BK

      My preference is DeLeon based on performance. Then next week we have the option of Mahle or a bullpen day. I agree with our recent bullpen usage, tomorrow is not a good time for a bullpen day.

  9. Redsfan4life

    Another thought we could just dfa Nate Jones. I bet Strat would let us keep him in minors. Over sending down Bowman as Bowman has been good.
    That will be my votes. Mahle up Jones Dfa Votto back and Garcia down.
    Kuhnel up after tomorrows game and Mahle back down.

  10. Melvin

    I really don’t think there is a waiver wire so I don’t think we’re in danger of losing Dietrich. As Tom stated before Strato is not being strict about that. If there is one why haven’t we seen it ourselves. Even if there is one Dietrich is not good defensively anywhere and besides that he’s not hittin a lick. We need to add more weight to our thinking about defense. Garcia could start in a situation where we want to give someone a day off or have a strong defense that day anywhere in the infield and we could make it work. We know what Dietrich gives us which isn’t much. Garcia has 2 AB and never played an inning. At the very least he would be better defensively and can’t hit much worse if any than Dietrich.

    • Don

      Melvin, I understand your logic about Garcia and wanting to keep him. The same thoughts went through my head about what to do with Votto coming back. Most likely, at some point we will have to cut someone, I just do not think 19 ABs for Dietrich is enough time, if he gets another 10 and only has 5 hits then it is time to cut him and bring back up Garcia.

      • Melvin

        Yeah I know but he really doesn’t have that much potential to help us defensively at least. As far as hitting practically every game Strato has him pinch hit and he comes up empty. Those opportunities would then go to our better hitters. Here are the defensive possibilities.

        Votto off – Moose 1B, Garcia 2B, Galvis SS, Suarez 3B
        Moose off – Votto 1B, Garcia 2B, Galvis SS, Suarez 3B
        Galvis off – Votto 1B, Moose 2B, Garcia SS, Suarez 3B
        Suarez off – Votto 1B, Garcia 2B, Galvis SS, Moose 3B

    • BK

      I went through everyday in the Strato season, today. I didn’t look for waiver claims, but I did notice a couple of Rule 5 picks that were returned. Further, Strato will simply make the call on whether they believe the player we DFA would be plucked or not.

  11. VaRedsFan

    Garcia out – Votto in
    Bowman down – DeLeon up

  12. Gonzo Reds

    We know Mahle’s card and it hasn’t been good, let’s see a start from DeLeon to see what they concoct for his card. My reasoning is that the unknown cards have been pretty good, the knowns like Castillo and Grey have been really off base and I agree they were drinking the hootch or smoking dope when they made those, sad! Bowman down is fine.

    Dietrich won’t be on anyone’s start board and has been a terrible PH. Let’s just option him out and activate Votto. We got up the youngsters Garcia and Stephenson up to play some so let’s just leave them on the roster for now and see how they do.

  13. BK

    In my effort to win a “Nerd of the Day” award, I compiled the Reds Defensive Batting Average on Balls in Play, today. I did this to evaluate the impact of playing someone out of place at 1B. Here’s what the data shows:

    – Reds overall defensive BABIP through 70 games: .313
    – Reds BABIP w/a none 1B playing 1B: .321

    In short, had we played Joey Votto at 1B in the 18 games we elected to play a player with no 1B record (Castellanos, 11 starts; Winker, 6 starts; and Suarez 1 start) we could have saved 3.8 hits.

    With Votto now available, should we continue to play Winker at 1B? I say Winker because, as I explained yesterday, Suarez should remain our everyday 3B–his offense more than makes up for his defensive miscues and his defense is worse than he’s ever shown. We should expect improvement, but even if his defense remains constant, his total value warrants every day playing time. Castellanos, on the other hand, has not hit well enough to justify starting over Votto.

    With Lorenzen’s hitting regressing to his career norms, we have Akiyama, Ervin, Winker and Payton as outfielders, but just three spots to play them. Payton, with an OPS of .814 is the lightest hitting of the four, but is defensively better than Winker. So, while we would actually play Winker at 1B, it’s Payton’s offense that we have to evaluate against Votto to determine the net effect.

    Using the Reds BABIP from the first 70 games, we can project that playing Winker at 1B (Payton in RF) over Votto would result in the Reds giving up 13.9 hits defensively. Payton, with an OPS that is .079 points higher than Votto’s would be expected to collect 19.6 additional hits over the next 70 games, assuming 3.5 ABs per game.

    Just some food for thought about defense.

    • VaRedsFan

      Good analysis for the SIM world.
      The great thing about SIM, is that we can sit aging veterans that aren’t producing and it won’t hurt their feelings.

  14. Jon Davis

    I don’t really have a strong opinion on who is sent out for Votto but I would go with Dietrich over Garcia. The small tipping point was that with Dietrich gone maybe Strato would actually use Payton as a pinch hitter. Either way I am good agree with Don that Garcia won’t play much but if an injury hits the IF I would say he is first in line. As far as the pitching side I agree with the consensus that a bullpen day is a bad idea. I concur we should bring up a RP in between the two starts. As far as who to send down I would say Lorenzen since he just threw 2 up and Bowman is one of only three rested RP for tomorrow, as Don mentioned, plus we aren’t playing him in the OF, even though I think we should to get him to that 20 game mark so he doesn’t have to count against our pitcher count. I would go Mahle then DeLeon then Santillan but again don’t have a strong opinion separating the three. So to recap my thoughts

    1. Dietrich down and Votto activated
    2. Mahle up and Lorenzen optioned

    Then tomorrow Mahle down and Kuhnel up

    • Don

      I just cannot see Strat-O-Matic approving demotion of Lorenzen, when we tried to Demote Miley, Toms comment was that we could move Miley to the bullpen, demote Bowman or release Reed or Sims. Demoting Lorenzen is not something the Reds would do in real life so I do not think it would pass the game integriaty test.

      Also whomever is demoted has to be in the minors for 10 days. Bowman can be replaced with Kuhnel or Hendrix or someone else from the minors. Lorenzen is to integral to the team than Bowman to loose for 10 days. Whomever is sent down on the 13th misses the 2 vs Brewers, 3 vs Padres, 3 vs Cards and 1 vs the Cubs.

  15. Redsfan14

    I don’t vote often but I gotta vote this time.

    I vote for Dietrick going down. Makes no sense to keep him – activate Votto of course.

    Bowman down – Mahle up

  16. Tom Mitsoff

    Results of the votes:

    Send down to make room for Votto: Garcia 4, Dietrich 4 — I decided to use something already in our tiebreaker rules to break this tie, and that is who posted a vote first. That was Don, and he voted Garcia, so he is going down.
    Starting pitcher for Saturday: Mahle 5, DeLeon 3
    Send down to make room for Mahle: Bowman 6, Lorenzen 1, Jones 1

    I have Redsfan4life’s lineup and greatly hope he can make it two in a row!

    Guys, don’t forget that Doug is your GM effective Saturday morning. I’m sending him the starting pitching plan based on maximizing Castillo, Gray and DeSclafani starts over the time when Bauer is out, so he’ll know the days when there are decisions to be made for the starting pitcher.

    Keep having fun! I’ll be checking in from time to time.