Final 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 R H E
Reds 0 0 0 0 2 0 0 0 0 2 7 1
Cubs 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 1 2 3 8 0

An error by first baseman Nick Castellanos allowed the winning run to score in the bottom of the ninth inning, the second consecutive day that the Chicago Cubs (32-27) defeated the Cincinnati Reds (29-29) in the bottom of the ninth inning. Today the score was 3-2 Cubs at Wrigley Field.

That was the result today as Strat-O-Matic games of Glen Head, N.Y., continued its announced plan to simulate the entire 2020 Major League Baseball season on a day-by-day basis for as long as actual game play is on hold.


Help set the lineup, batting order for the simulated Reds:

Have you ever dreamed of your opportunity to “manage” the Reds? Now is your chance. Learn more below!


The sim Reds led 2-0 going to the bottom of the eighth. Cincinnati scored twice in the top of the fifth. Kyle Farmer doubled with one out, and one out later, Nick Senzel singled him in for the game’s first run. Wade Miley then singled, and Michael Lorenzen singled to score Senzel to make it 2-0. Phillip Ervin then walked to load the bases, which meant the end of the day for Cubs starter Jose Quintana. Casey Sadler came on, and induced Castellanos to ground out to end the rally.

Miley pitched perhaps his best game as a sim Red, going six shutout innings. But the Reds bullpen was not as effective. Former Cub Pedro Strop walked David Bote with one out in the bottom of the eighth, and Kris Bryant then tripled him in. Jose Baez followed with a sacrifice fly to tie the game.

In the bottom of the ninth, Reds reliever Lucas Sims walked leadoff batter Ian Happ. One out later, Hernan Perez singled, moving Happ to second. Albert Almora Jr. then hit a ball to first baseman Castellanos. He made a good stop on the ball, keeping it on the infield and the ball was scored an infield hit. But Castellanos then committed an error that allowed Happ to score from third and give the Cubs the win.

Here is the sim Reds box score, as provided by Strat-O-Matic:

B-Pinch Hit For Miley In 7th Inning
D-Pinch Hit For Farmer In 9th Inning

A-Pinch Hit For Sadler In 5th Inning
C-Pinch Hit For Tepera In 8th Inning

Standings following the May 30 games:

Division-leading St. Louis was blanked by Pittsburgh, so the Reds remain three and a half games off the first-place pace. Wins by both the Cubs and Brewers moved them within one and one and a half games, respectively.

NL Central WON LOST PCT GB
Cardinals 33 26 .559 0.0
Cubs 32 27 .542 1.0
Brewers 31 27 .534 1.5
Reds 29 29 .500 3.5
Pirates 25 33 .431 7.5

The 2020 schedule as currently constituted has the Reds back in Chicago Sunday for the third game of the four-game series against the Cubs at Wrigley Field. Luis Castillo will pitch for the sim Reds, while right-hander Tyler Chatwood pitches for the Cubs.

News/Notes from around baseball

One of the things we would have during the season in the game threads was a section comprised of news and notes for the day. While there’s a lot less going on these days in the baseball world than usual for this time of year, there still are some things that are worth highlighting. When there are, we’ll be adding them to these daily simulation threads.

Reds to continue to pay minor leaguers

Over at RedsMinorLeagues.com Doug Gray is reporting that the Cincinnati Reds will continue to pay their minor league players through September 7th – the furthest out such date by any team in baseball.

Reds to continue paying minor leaguers through September 7th

Help set the lineup, batting order for the simulated Reds:

Have you ever dreamed of your opportunity to “manage” the Reds? Now is your chance.

Strat-O-Matic has agreed to allow Redleg Nation to submit the Cincinnati Reds’ lineups for each day’s simulated game. We want all of our readers who want to participate to get involved.

Here is how it will work:

  • In each wrap up of that day’s simulated game, Redleg Nation will post the opposing starting pitcher for the next game. You will know who the pitcher is and whether he is left-handed or right-handed, and you can use that information in creating a lineup for the next game, and submitting it in the comments below. “Splits” such as performance vs. left-handers or right-handers are replicated in the Strat-O-Matic game algorithm, and therefore should be considered.
  • We will accept lineups from every reader who wants to submit one. The lineup that will be submitted to Strat-O-Matic each day will be the one that receives the most positive replies (in effect, “yes” votes) from readers other than the submitter. In case of ties:
    • First tiebreaker: Lineup submitted by the reader who has had the fewest number of opportunities as a “manager.”
    • Second tiebreaker: Lineup submitted earliest in the comment thread. (So get your lineup in “early” each day.)
  • What is “early?” Redleg Nation posts these articles daily between 5 and 6 p.m. Eastern time. Strat-O-Matic’s deadline for us to submit a lineup for the next day’s game is midnight. On most days, we’ll do this before “bedtime,” which is typically between 10:30 and 11 Eastern time.

All players’ batting stats

All players’ pitching stats

Batting and pitching player stats by team

Have fun with this! If you have any questions, please post them in the comment string below. Here are the “managerial records” of our Redleg Nation participants to date:

Commenter/
“Manager”
WON LOST PCT
Jon Davis 6 1 .857
Peter Onte 2 1 .667
BK 7 4 .636
James Owens 3 2 .600
Redsfan4life 3 3 .500
Gonzo Reds 2 2 .500
Doug Gray 1 1 .500
RedsEuphoria 1 1 .500
Tomn 1 1 .500
Melvin 1 3 .250
AirborneJayJay 0 1 .000
Jeff 0 1 .000
Mark Moore 0 1 .000
Tom Mitsoff 0 1 .000
VaRedsFan 0 1 .000
Don 0 3 .000

About Strat-O-Matic

Strat-O-Matic has been in the sports simulation business since the 1960s. A USA Today article contained this explanation:

Strat-O-Matic and other baseball simulations use statistics from the previous season to create “cards” for each player on a roster. The team managers select the batting order and the starting pitcher. From there, a series of dice rolls and calculations determines the outcome of each at-bat.

Strat-O, as it’s known to longtime players, first gained its immense popularity as a board game. The company has since expanded to a downloadable Windows version and one that’s played online. A few years ago, it introduced Baseball Daily – a new iteration that combined the player cards from the previous season with statistics from the real season being played at the same time.

Unlike many video games, the Strat-O-Matic results are based on algorithms that account for players’ performance based on statistics that their statistical experts project for each player in the 2020 season. It’s not a game played with a joystick that relies more on the skill of the person with the video game controller in his or her hand.

The simulation software will keep comprehensive statistics for all teams for the season, so we’ll be able to track year-to-date leaders in many statistical categories. Our current plan is to provide statistical leader summaries here at Redleg Nation each Sunday. You can follow the season at Strat-O-Matic.com, where they plan to post the results from each day’s schedule at 2 p.m. Eastern time.

22 Responses

  1. Gonzo Reds

    Those darn annoying Cubs! Ok, let’s see here…

    Winker – CF
    Peyton – LF
    Votto – 1B
    Suarez – 3B
    Dietrich – RF
    Moustakas – 2B
    Barnhart – C
    P
    Galvis – SS

    • Gonzo Reds

      p.s. Casty sits for making a Nasty game losing error!

    • Melvin

      This looks like a good lineup. Chatwood hasn’t pitched well. Let’s hit the snot out of the ball. The only thing I would point out, I’m sure you’ve already considered this, is that even though Ervin was 0-3 yesterday he did still have a walk and has basically been our best all around hitter with the possible exception of Akiyama who isn’t available of course. He’s batting .348 with a .430 OBP. Might want to reconsider instead of Dietrich but your call of course. I vote for this lienup.

      • Gonzo Reds

        I think if we play the limited 2019 MLB AB guys too much they get injured (see Aki) via some radical stratomatic programming code. That trend may get more pronounced later as players get above what they were intended to play. Ervin will come up in a key spot and hit a pH HR anyway.

        If D gets an 0-get he knows he’s prime to be designated for assignment so he’ll do well off Chatwood.

      • Melvin

        Sounds fine buddy. This certainly is not an exact science. Go for it.

    • BK

      I like the lineup, but the outfield defensive alignment may hurt us. Dietrich is a liability in the outfield and he only has 1 ML inning in RF. It’s likely he gets the lowest possible defensive rating from the simulation. Payton has the most professional time in CF and Winker grades out much better in RF than CF. I suggest you adjust to Dietrich in LF, Payton in CF and Winker in RF to maximize our defense.

      Note the costly error today by Castellanos playing 1B (he now has two and he’s only made a handful of starts at 1B). Personally, I think Castellanos as a former 3B would be excellent defensively at 1B. But the simulation grades players that don’t have experience at a position with its lowest possible grade. Just my two cents.

      • Tom Mitsoff

        I agree with BK on changing the outfield positioning.

      • Jon Davis

        Yes BK I was just looking at the OFers here and thinking I would adjust them. Also with the Castellanos at 1B thing looking more and more iffy my question is who backs up 1B then? I am thinking more about long term if needed but a little in the short term. I guess 2 questions come to mind, first is any experience better than none regardless of level? Or is Strato just looking at MLB experience? And how much does the experience level come into play? I.e. is it pass and fail you either have experience at the position or not.

        Currently on the roster these are the guys, besides Votto, who have played 1B going at all. I ranked them by Total chances at the position and included what level their experience came from. For comparison
        Votto – 19590 (14427 in MLB)

        Dietrich – 560 (483 in MLB)
        Vanmeter – 180 (67 in MLB)
        Farmer – 149 (76 in MLB)
        Barnhart – 77 (All in MLB)
        Casali – 36 (All in MLB)
        Senzel 35 (All in the Cape Cod League in 2015)?
        Moustakas – 34 (All in MLB)

        Aquino is the outlier that makes all these questions race through my mind since he has played 1B in MLB for 1/3 of an inning and had no chances So? Does he have a better grade than Castellanos?

        Anyone have any thoughts or insight?

      • Melvin

        I’m not sure we should do it all that often but 1B is a spot where we should he able to sub in a hot hitter from time to time without too much liability. Hard to know just how much of an effect it has at any position really. Who knows why Strato has Suarez with 10 errors. We know he’s generally very good. Still not sure anyone really understands Strato completely. I’m sure Tom does a lot more than anyone else.

      • BK

        So recap, I think Gonzo’s updated OF/lineup is:

        Winker – RF
        Payton – CF
        Votto – 1B
        Suarez – 3B
        Dietrich – LF
        Moustakas – 2B
        Barnhart – C
        P
        Galvis – SS

        LH hitters should do well against Chatwood. It will be good to see how Dietrich does in a start. If the sim factors in fatigue, this is a good day to rest Ervin. This lineup has my vote. Let’s go beat the Cubs!

  2. Melvin

    Another tough 1 run loss in the 9th guys. Our bats cooled off a little, with the exception of Lorenzen who continues to hit a lot better than he’s been pitching. He looks like he wants to just be an every day player in the sim world. Stacking our lineup is generally a good idea but doesn’t always work does it? Senzel and Farmer did each have a hit apiece today but generally have not been much help. Not sure what you guys think but maybe it’s time to relegate them strictly to bench roles mostly if they’re going to stay on the roster. We’re in a pennant race and have to keep the regulars going as much as possible. Can’t blame this one on Lorenzen. We had the lead late in the game again but just couldn’t hold it. Strop blew the save and Sims took the loss this time. I know Castellanos made an error late. Not sure if we should hit the panic button on him playing 1B from time to time though. I believe it’s his first there. To put it in perspective Suarez leads the team with 10. We know he’s not known for his defense and could have made an error in the outfield just as easy had he been playing there. He has three errors out there as well and is second on the team in that category. His bat has been pretty good lately but not today. We just have to again, refocus on the next game. We’re right there. Just need to get over the hump. Our sim world future is still bright. Let’s do something to motivate Castillo for tomorrow if possible. 🙂 We need him.

    • BK

      It’s Castellanos second error at 1B; the first one didn’t cost us. Not against playing him there, but it is a calculated risk we take every time we play a player out of position. His bat did not overcome his fielding, today.

      • Melvin

        Yeah it sure didn’t. Like I said though I’m not so sure it’s his defense at 1B or defense period. Even if that’s his sefond error at 1B, and I believe you, he still has two in the outfield as well. This wouldn’t be an issue if we didn’t have so many good hitting outfielders. I’m disappointed in our front office making it so hard on us aren’t you? 🙂

  3. Don

    To bad the bullpen let another one go. Tough Loss. I feel like I let everyone down a little.
    Strop was the best reliever up to this game.
    Galvis was the only regular with a hit in today’s game.
    Farmer and Senzel scored the only runs, with Lorenzen and Senzel getting the RBIs.

    Lorenzen lead off the top of the 8th with a triple and the best player so far this year (Ervin) promptly hit into a double play, that 3rd run in the 8th would have been huge.

    The everyday starting players when 1 for 14 in this game.

    If anything the bullpen is getting tired having to over 3+ innings every game as I do not remember a starter going more than 6 many times this year.

    It is to bad that the bullpen is made up of players without options as to me a refreshing of the arms in the bullpen is needed.

    Hopefully Castillo can show up on Sunday and give the possibility of a split with Gray pitching Monday.

    • Jon Davis

      I am sure that we all agree it is not your fault Don, and anyone who disagrees is wrong. Also everyone gets a vote so even if you were to blame, Which You Are Not, it wouldn’t be all your fault anyway. I just had an idea Don you need a fall guy so you should submit my lineup then if we lose you can just blame me.

  4. Melvin

    You did fine buddy. Not your fault and didn’t let anyone down. It was a good lineup. Just didn’t work this time.

    • Don

      Thanks for the support.

      As a clarification,
      Ervin hit a flyball to right field and Lorenzen was thrown out at the plate in the 8th.

      Again, hope Castillo has a great game can goes more tan 7 innings on Sunday. The team needs a great start from their ace.

  5. Jon Davis

    Ok well that is getting annoying, seems like we are just finding a way to lose. I really wanted to see Don get that first win. I have decided that for the foreseeable future I am going to go with Lorenzen in the lineup, well as much as possible anyway. So for tomorrow after the easy picks that leaves me with just one decision Winker vs Payton, or previous matchups vs defense. My gut is saying to go with Payton. So he is my suggested lineup.

    1. Lorenzen – CF
    2. Votto – 1B
    3. Ervin – RF
    4. Moustakas – 2B
    5. Suarez – 3B
    6. Payton – LF
    7. Barnhart – C
    8. Castillo – P
    9. Galvis – SS

  6. Tom Mitsoff

    Guys, I have Gonzo Reds lineup with the position changes he agreed to. Gotta get this one Sunday!