Final 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 R H E
Padres 0 4 0 0 0 0 1 0 0 3 8 11 0
Reds 0 0 0 2 0 3 0 0 0 0 5 9 0

Matt Bowman had his first subpar relief outing of the season, allowing the San Diego Padres (29-25) to score three times in the top of the 10th inning on their way to an 8-5 extra-inning victory over the Cincinnati Reds (27-26) at Great American Ball Park.

That was the result today as Strat-O-Matic games of Glen Head, N.Y., continued its announced plan to simulate the entire 2020 Major League Baseball season on a day-by-day basis for as long as actual game play is on hold.


Help set the lineup, batting order for the simulated Reds:

Have you ever dreamed of your opportunity to “manage” the Reds? Now is your chance. Learn more below!


San Diego jumped on sim Reds starter Wade Miley for four runs in the top of the second, capped by a three-run homer by Fernando Tatis Jr. Cincinnati started the road back in the bottom of the fourth on a sacrifice fly by Mike Moustakas. Freddy Galvis plated Phillip Ervin with the second run of the inning with a two-out double, but Jesse Winker was thrown out at the plate trying to score from first base on Galvis’ double to end the inning.

The sim Reds scored three in the bottom of the sixth to temporarily take the lead, with all of the runs coming on home-run power from Eugenio Suarez (his team-leading 14th) and Winker (his third). But San Diego came right back in the top of the seventh to tie the score at 5-5, as Michael Lorenzen surrendered a two-out run-scoring triple to Tatis.

The first two Padres batters in the 10th inning reached against Bowman, and the visitors turned that opportunity into three runs which would ultimately result in a 2-2 split of the four-game series. Cincinnati’s first two batters in the bottom of the 10th reached base against San Diego relief ace Kirby Yates, who suffered his first blown save of the year in Friday’s sim Reds win. But with runners on second and third and nobody out, Yates bowed his back and shut down the Reds without any runs scoring to finish the game.

Despite the loss, the sim Reds have won seven of their past nine and 10 of their last 13 games.

Division-leading St. Louis won, and the Cincinnati loss dropped the sim Reds three games behind the division leaders and into third place. The Cubs were idle, and therefore moved a half-game ahead of the Reds into second place by themselves.

Here is the sim Reds box score, as provided by Strat-O-Matic:

B-Subbed Defensively (2B) For Paddack In 6th Inning
D-Pinch Hit For Strahm In 8th Inning
G-Pinch Hit For Castillo In 10th Inning

A-Pinch Hit For Miley In 5th Inning
C-Pinch Hit For Lorenzen In 7th Inning
E-Pinch Hit For Winker In 9th Inning
F-Pinch Hit For Iglesias In 9th Inning

Standings following the May 25 games:

NL Central WON LOST PCT GB
Cardinals 31 24 .564 0.0
Cubs 28 26 .519 2.5
Reds 27 26 .509 3.0
Brewers 27 27 .500 3.5
Pirates 23 30 .434 7.0

The 2020 schedule as currently constituted has the Reds opening a three-game series against the Pittsburgh Pirates Tuesday at Great American Ball Park. Luis Castillo will pitch for the sim Reds, while left-hander Derek Holland pitches for the Pirates.

News/Notes from around baseball

One of the things we would have during the season in the game threads was a section comprised of news and notes for the day. While there’s a lot less going on these days in the baseball world than usual for this time of year, there still are some things that are worth highlighting. When there are, we’ll be adding them to these daily simulation threads.

Japan’s NPB set to start on June 19th

Jim Allen of jballallen.com is reporting that the Nippon Professional Baseball League is set to start their regular season on June 19th, which is about three months later than they had initially planned.

Teams in both leagues are slated to play 120-game seasons, with 24 games against each league opponent, no interleague, and no all-star break. Each team will have four practice-game series starting from June 2. The season will start behind closed doors as they have already done in Taiwan’s CPBL and South Korea’s KBO.

The Jim Day Podcast: The Rob Ribble Edition

In the latest episode to drop of The Jim Day Podcast, the guest to join Day is former Cincinnati Reds reliever Rob Dibble. You can listen on iTunes, Spotify, Stitcher, or wherever else you get your favorite podcast at. Or you can just listen below – but we still suggest subscribing to the podcast because it’s outstanding.

Help set the lineup, batting order for the simulated Reds:

Have you ever dreamed of your opportunity to “manage” the Reds? Now is your chance.

Strat-O-Matic has agreed to allow Redleg Nation to submit the Cincinnati Reds’ lineups for each day’s simulated game. We want all of our readers who want to participate to get involved.

Here is how it will work:

  • In each wrap up of that day’s simulated game, Redleg Nation will post the opposing starting pitcher for the next game. You will know who the pitcher is and whether he is left-handed or right-handed, and you can use that information in creating a lineup for the next game, and submitting it in the comments below. “Splits” such as performance vs. left-handers or right-handers are replicated in the Strat-O-Matic game algorithm, and therefore should be considered.
  • We will accept lineups from every reader who wants to submit one. The lineup that will be submitted to Strat-O-Matic each day will be the one that receives the most positive replies (in effect, “yes” votes) from readers other than the submitter. In case of ties:
    • First tiebreaker: Lineup submitted by the reader who has had the fewest number of opportunities as a “manager.”
    • Second tiebreaker: Lineup submitted earliest in the comment thread. (So get your lineup in “early” each day.)
  • What is “early?” Redleg Nation posts these articles daily between 5 and 6 p.m. Eastern time. Strat-O-Matic’s deadline for us to submit a lineup for the next day’s game is midnight. On most days, we’ll do this before “bedtime,” which is typically between 10:30 and 11 Eastern time.

All players’ batting stats

All players’ pitching stats

Batting and pitching player stats by team

Have fun with this! If you have any questions, please post them in the comment string below. Here are the “managerial records” of our Redleg Nation participants to date:

Commenter/
“Manager”
WON LOST PCT
Jon Davis 6 1 .857
Peter Onte 2 1 .667
BK 7 4 .636
James Owens 3 2 .600
Gonzo Reds 2 2 .500
Redsfan4life 2 2 .500
Doug Gray 1 1 .500
RedsEuphoria 1 1 .500
Tomn 1 1 .500
AirborneJayJay 0 1 .000
Jeff 0 1 .000
Mark Moore 0 1 .000
Tom Mitsoff 0 1 .000
VaRedsFan 0 1 .000
Don 0 2 .000
Melvin 0 2 .000

About Strat-O-Matic

Strat-O-Matic has been in the sports simulation business since the 1960s. A USA Today article contained this explanation:

Strat-O-Matic and other baseball simulations use statistics from the previous season to create “cards” for each player on a roster. The team managers select the batting order and the starting pitcher. From there, a series of dice rolls and calculations determines the outcome of each at-bat.

Strat-O, as it’s known to longtime players, first gained its immense popularity as a board game. The company has since expanded to a downloadable Windows version and one that’s played online. A few years ago, it introduced Baseball Daily – a new iteration that combined the player cards from the previous season with statistics from the real season being played at the same time.

Unlike many video games, the Strat-O-Matic results are based on algorithms that account for players’ performance based on statistics that their statistical experts project for each player in the 2020 season. It’s not a game played with a joystick that relies more on the skill of the person with the video game controller in his or her hand.

The simulation software will keep comprehensive statistics for all teams for the season, so we’ll be able to track year-to-date leaders in many statistical categories. Our current plan is to provide statistical leader summaries here at Redleg Nation each Sunday. You can follow the season at Strat-O-Matic.com, where they plan to post the results from each day’s schedule at 2 p.m. Eastern time.

25 Responses

  1. BK

    RH hitters crush Holland so we need to load up, tomorrow:

    RF, Lorenzen
    LF, Ervin
    3B, Suarez
    C, Casali
    2B, Moustakas (hit lefties well and had a nice game against Holland last year)
    SS, Galvis
    1B, Farmer
    P, Castillo
    CF, Senzel

    • Jon Davis

      I like what BK has done here and he has one of the best records. I made a few different decisions but I get what he is going for and as long as it makes sense I am good.

  2. Tomn

    Like BKs lineup but Votto seems to be heating up a bit.

    Galvis SS
    Votto 1B
    Suarez 3b
    Aquino RF
    Ervin LF
    Moustakas 2b
    Senzel CF
    Casali C
    P

  3. Melvin

    Lineups above are good but I do like Votto, Lorenzen, and Winker in at the same time. Winker is batting above .300 and deserves a shot at playing even against lefties. Ervin has to bat near the top. He’s arguably batting consistently like the team MVP so far.

    Lorenzen CF (Hitting awesome with great game the other day)
    Ervin RF (See above)
    Votto 1B (Coming on strong)
    Suarez 3B (Best RBI & HR guy)
    Galvis SS (Still The Unsung Hero)
    Casali C (Hitting over .300 and getting harder to keep out)
    Winker LF (See Above)
    Moustakas 2B (Agree with BK)
    Castillo P

    • Redsfan14

      Based on what everyone’s done so far I’m all in for this lineup

  4. redfan4life

    1. Votto 1b
    2. Ervin lf
    3.Suarez 3b
    4.Lorenzen CF
    5. Aquino rf
    6. Galvis ss
    7. Casali c
    8. Castillo p
    9. Senzel 2b

    Joey is my lead off hitter every game till he slumps again. He is getting on base a lot.
    Going to try Senzel at 2B vs. LHP He played a handful of inings at 2b last season.

  5. Mark Moore

    So as poorly as Miley pitched, he was in line for the win until Mikey Biceps blew the save …

    Oh well, there’s always tomorrow.

    • Hal was best

      nice lineup. good move putting Senzel at 2b

  6. Jon Davis

    As mentioned heavy splits for Holland in favor of the RHB so I feel we should get some guys into the lineup. Here is my suggested lineup.

    1. Lorenzen – CF
    2. Ervin – LF
    3. Suarez – 3B
    4. Galvis – SS
    5. Aquino – RF
    6. Casali – C
    7. Senzel – 2B
    8. Farmer – 1B
    9. Castillo – P

    • Jon Davis

      Well obviously I vote for my lineup but I am guessing this is a no voting for yourself situation? I am guessing it is whoever gets the most votes from others so just one question can I vote for multiple guys? If so I would say BK and redfan4life are my top choices, other than my own of course. If I can pick only one then I would have to go with redfan4life by a nose over BK, sorry BK.

      • Tom Mitsoff

        Sparky, just for the sake of clarity, we never have and never will count someone voting for themselves. Nor will we count someone who votes multiple times for someone else (the same person). It just seems like common sense.

        To further answer your questions, you are certainly welcome to endorse more than one lineup.

      • Jon Davis

        Yeah sure makes sense well just thought I would give it a go. You can’t blame a guy for trying. I got a taste for the power of the simulation managers seat and I may be jonesing for it now. Sorry

    • BK

      I should have included Aquino in my lineup. This one has my vote. We need to go RH hitters against Holland and we have the ability to do it at every position. RH had a .469 OPS advantage, a nearly 100 point advantage in batting average, and a 100 point OBP advantage against Holland compared to LH hitters in 2019. This is the lineup that should give Holland an early exit.

  7. Don

    Guess the key to winning this game would have been to start Lorenzen in the field so that he would have not been put in as a pitcher. This sim does not like Lorenzen as a pitcher, this is his 3rd blown save, he has 3 losses with a 1.67 WHIP which is terrible.

    Oh well, hopefully a new streak will be started.

  8. Don

    Looking at the pitching stats no pitchers are really having a great year.

    Anyone think that the staff needs a shake up?

    A 1.3 WHIP is considered average per fangraphs. 1.3 is below avg, a 1.5 or higher poor, 1.6 is awful

    P.Strop 1.15
    S.Gray 1.23
    R.Stephenson 1.24
    M.Bowman 1.32
    A.Desclafani 1.32
    A.Garrett 1.34
    R.Iglesias 1.43
    T.Bauer 1.49
    L.Sims 1.51
    W.Miley 1.55
    L.Castillo 1.67
    M.Lorenzen 1.68
    C.Reed 1.78
    T.Mahle 2.10

    Pitchers on 26 man with options
    Bowman, Iglesias, Castillo, Lorenzen

    Pitchers on 26 man without options (demoted and exposed to being claimed)
    Strop,Reed,Bauer,Sims,Disco,Gray,Garrett,Stephenson,Miley

    Pitchers that can be called up (all have options)
    Ryan Hendrix,Joel Kuhnel,Tyler Mahle,Justin Shafer,Josh D. Smith

    These would never happen in real life,
    Maybe demote Reed and bring up Smith?
    Demote Sims and bring up Hendrix?
    Demote Iglesias and bring up Kuhnel?
    Demote Castillo and shuffle to rotation?

    Just some wild ideas for the Sim Reds and the team GM’s to think about.

  9. Tom Mitsoff

    At 11:15 p.m. Eastern time, we had BK and Redsfan4life with three lineup endorsements each. Our tiebreaker rules state that the person with fewer opportunities is chosen, and that is Redsfan4life.

    Regarding the transactions proposed by Don, we’ll need more than one yes vote to make such a move. Gonzo Reds voted for Cody Reed down and Josh D. Smith up, and that can be revisited in the future, but moves like this will have to have more than one vote so they are the choice of at least three people (the person proposing the move, and at least two people voting in agreement).

    All of that being said, this series against Pittsburgh is important in that a team in contention has to take at least two of three from the cellar dweller. Go, go, go!

    • Don

      Tom,

      Totally agree on the moving players and need multiple people’s input.

      So far all the changes have to the roster have been on the position player side and other then Mahle down and then Bowman up, I do not remember any other pitcher changes.
      After 53 games, Miley has 9 starts, the other 4 have 11.

      All the relievers except for Bowman have > 20 innings so for relievers the sample size is getting meaningful.

      The Reds Staff WHIP is 1.43,
      Cardinals = 1.34
      Cubs = 1.43
      Brewers 1.46
      Pirates 1.43

      Dodgers =1.17
      Nationals = 1.24
      Braves = 1.21
      Padres = 1.31

      On average the Cards staff is having one less base runner a game than the Reds.
      That will lead to more runs and losses for the Reds and Wins for the Cards.

      I do not think without better pitching the Reds will catch the Cards in the division or the Padres or Atlanta for the wild card.

      Just trying to see if there was interest by others to do some pitching staff changes.
      as I do not think the current staff is living up to expectations and is not playing well enough for this team to make the playoffs.

      • Don

        Runs per game
        Reds Offenses = 4.87 , Reds giving up = 4.52
        St Louis 4.69, 4.29
        Cubs 4.87, 4.44
        Brewers 4.65, 5.15
        Pirates 3.55, 4.77

        Reds are tied for most runs per game but the middle of the division for total runs allowed per game.

        The point I am trying to make is that the Cards are in 1st due to pitching not offense.

  10. Melvin

    Maybe I should have talked Jon “Sparky” into voting for me too and then he would have voted three times and there would have been a three way tie. hahahaha!!! That’s okay. We’re all here to win and have a good time. Go get em redsfan4life.