Final 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 R H E
Marlins 0 2 1 0 2 0 0 1 1 7 13 2
Reds 2 2 0 3 4 0 3 0 X 14 17 1

Sweep! Sweep! Sweep!

Three hits apiece from Mark Payton, Tucker Barnhart and Joey Votto led a relentless Cincinnati Reds (20-23) offensive attack which defeated the Miami Marlins (16-28) by a 14-7 score at Great American Ball Park. The three-game sweep of the Marlins was the first for the sim Reds this season.

That was the result today as Strat-O-Matic games of Glen Head, N.Y., continued its announced plan to simulate the entire 2020 Major League Baseball season on a day-by-day basis for as long as actual game play is on hold.


Help set the lineup, batting order for the simulated Reds:

Have you ever dreamed of your opportunity to “manage” the Reds? Now is your chance. Learn more below!


The sim Reds took the lead for good in the bottom of the second. With the score tied at 2-2, Freddy Galvis led off with a walk, and Payton launched his second home run over the wall, giving the home team a 4-2 lead. Other offensive highlights for the winners included a two-run home run by Phillip Ervin following a Payton double in the fifth, and doubles by Mike Moustakas and Votto.

Unfortunately, Jesse Winker suffered an injury in the sixth inning while batting against Jose Urena. Winker hit a line drive that was caught for an out, but was injured on the play. He will miss the entire upcoming four-game series against the Brewers.

Winning commenter/manager BK now has seven wins in that role, tops among Redleg Nation participants, and it was his third straight win. BK made the unconventional move of appointing some of his fellow Redleg Nation readers as members of his coaching staff prior to today’s game — a move which clearly paid dividends. Because he submitted a winning lineup today, BK will have priority for submitting Thursday’s lineup.

The St. Louis Cardinals defeated Pittsburgh for the second straight day, while the Chicago Cubs lost their third straight to Milwaukee — moving St. Louis ahead of Chicago into undisputed possession of first place in the NL Central. The Cubs are one game back, Milwaukee two back, the Reds 4.5 back, and Pittsburgh six games back.

Here is the sim Reds box score, as provided by Strat-O-Matic:

A-Subbed Defensively (2B) For Conley In 5th Inning
D-Pinch Hit For Urena In 7th Inning
E-Pinch Hit For Tarpley In 9th Inning

B-Pinch Hit For Stephenson In 5th Inning
C-Subbed Defensively (CF) For Winker In 7th Inning

Standings following the May 13 games:

NL Central WON LOST PCT GB
Cardinals 25 19 .568 0.0
Cubs 24 20 .545 1.0
Brewers 23 21 .523 2.0
Reds 20 23 .465 4.5
Pirates 18 24 .429 6.0

The 2020 schedule as currently constituted has the Reds welcoming the Milwaukee Brewers to Great American Ball Park for what must be characterized as an important early-season four-game series due to the tightness of the standings. Luis Castillo will pitch for the sim Reds in the opener Thursday, while lefthander Eric Lauer pitches for Milwaukee.

Help set the lineup, batting order for the simulated Reds:

Have you ever dreamed of your opportunity to “manage” the Reds? Now is your chance.

Strat-O-Matic has agreed to allow Redleg Nation to submit the Cincinnati Reds’ lineups for each day’s simulated game. We want all of our readers who want to participate to get involved.

Here is how it will work:

  • In each wrap up of that day’s simulated game, Redleg Nation will post the opposing starting pitcher for the next game. You will know who the pitcher is and whether he is left-handed or right-handed, and you can use that information in creating a lineup for the next game, and submitting it in the comments below. “Splits” such as performance vs. left-handers or right-handers are replicated in the Strat-O-Matic game algorithm, and therefore should be considered.
  • We will accept lineups from every reader who wants to submit one. The lineup that will be submitted to Strat-O-Matic each day will be the one that receives the most positive replies (in effect, “yes” votes) from readers other than the submitter. In case of ties:
    • First tiebreaker: Lineup submitted by the reader who has had the fewest number of opportunities as a “manager.”
    • Second tiebreaker: Lineup submitted earliest in the comment thread. (So get your lineup in “early” each day.)
  • What is “early?” Redleg Nation posts these articles daily between 5 and 6 p.m. Eastern time. Strat-O-Matic’s deadline for us to submit a lineup for the next day’s game is midnight. On most days, we’ll do this before “bedtime,” which is typically between 10:30 and 11 Eastern time.

All players’ batting stats

All players’ pitching stats

Batting and pitching player stats by team

Have fun with this! If you have any questions, please post them in the comment string below. Here are the “managerial records” of our Redleg Nation participants to date:

Commenter/
“Manager”
WON LOST PCT
BK 7 3 .700
Peter Onte 2 1 .667
Gonzo Reds 2 2 .500
James Owens 2 2 .500
Redsfan4life 2 2 .500
Doug Gray 1 1 .500
RedsEuphoria 1 1 .500
Tomn 1 1 .500
AirborneJayJay 0 1 .000
Don 0 1 .000
Jeff 0 1 .000
Mark Moore 0 1 .000
Tom Mitsoff 0 1 .000
VaRedsFan 0 1 .000
Melvin 0 2 .000

About Strat-O-Matic

Strat-O-Matic has been in the sports simulation business since the 1960s. A USA Today article contained this explanation:

Strat-O-Matic and other baseball simulations use statistics from the previous season to create “cards” for each player on a roster. The team managers select the batting order and the starting pitcher. From there, a series of dice rolls and calculations determines the outcome of each at-bat.

Strat-O, as it’s known to longtime players, first gained its immense popularity as a board game. The company has since expanded to a downloadable Windows version and one that’s played online. A few years ago, it introduced Baseball Daily – a new iteration that combined the player cards from the previous season with statistics from the real season being played at the same time.

Unlike many video games, the Strat-O-Matic results are based on algorithms that account for players’ performance based on statistics that their statistical experts project for each player in the 2020 season. It’s not a game played with a joystick that relies more on the skill of the person with the video game controller in his or her hand.

The simulation software will keep comprehensive statistics for all teams for the season, so we’ll be able to track year-to-date leaders in many statistical categories. Our current plan is to provide statistical leader summaries here at Redleg Nation each Sunday. You can follow the season at Strat-O-Matic.com, where they plan to post the results from each day’s schedule at 2 p.m. Eastern time.

News/Notes from around baseball

One of the things we would have during the season in the game threads was a section comprised of news and notes for the day. While there’s a lot less going on these days in the baseball world than usual for this time of year, there still are some things that are worth highlighting. When there are, we’ll be adding them to these daily simulation threads.

Watch the 1976 World Series, starting tonight

Starting tonight, Fox Sports Ohio will be rebroadcasting the Cincinnati Reds destruction of the New York Yankees in the 1976 World Series. The sweep saw The Big Red Machine outscore their opponent 22-8 over the four games, with Johnny Bench going wild – hitting .533 and slugging 1.133 during the series. Dan Driessen, George Foster, and Joe Morgan all saw an OPS of at least 1.000 during the series, too.

A 5-round draft is shortsighted, pound foolish

Craig Edwards of Fangraphs looked into the reduction of the 2020 Major League Baseball draft and how it’s reduction to just five rounds is ill thought out and doesn’t really save that much money overall. He uses Jacob deGrom as his ultimate example of a “what if” scenario of the potential consequences.

It might be unfair to cite the Met’s 2010 draft because deGrom is an unquestionably great success and not generally representative of the kind of players teams take in rounds six to 10. He’s also a player who might not even be in the big leagues if there weren’t at least 10 rounds in the 2010 draft.

The players major league teams are passing on this year might not make it back to them in future years. The October after deGrom was drafted, he had Tommy John surgery. If there had been just five rounds the year he was actually drafted, deGrom very likely goes back to school for his senior year. There’s a decent chance he would have still needed Tommy John surgery at some point and it quite likely would have been before the draft. If deGrom was coming off an injury-riddled senior season, or hadn’t pitched at all due to a surgery that would have kept him out a full year after the draft, he might well have gone undrafted and potentially pursued a career outside of baseball with his college degree. The winner of the last two NL Cy Young awards might not even be playing baseball with a five-round draft in 2010.

It was an interesting thought process to go through. The odds aren’t good that it will happen that way – but the fact that it could really sucks given how little actual money is being saved here.

Stan Musial and a called shot in the All-Star Game

Let’s end the notes today with a fun look back at history via Tim Kurkjian of ESPN. Earlier today he wrote a quick note about Stan The Man and the 1955 All-Star Game. The game took place in Milwaukee and the game went to extra innings. It was the bottom of the 12th and Musial came to the plate and told American League catcher Yogi Berra, “I’m going to end this thing right here. Yogi, I’m tired, it’s time to go home.” And he wasn’t kidding, either. The 24-time All-Star did just that as he crushed a home run to walk it off and indeed, go home.

24 Responses

  1. Melvin

    Alright! Looks like our hitting bailed out our pitching for once. Lost one of our best hitters in Winker for awhile though. With he and Akiyama being out Strat-O-Matic isn’t making it easy on us. Just have to adjust again. No errors today (at least by position players). haha The Marlins provided a little easier competition but wins are wins regardless. Let’s keep the winning going against the Brewers.

  2. Jeff

    Even though this is simulated, maybe the Reds should hire BK as an advisor, bench coach, etc.

  3. Jon Davis

    Yeah my first game as a coach and we won. My ego wants to take all the credit but my brain says I didn’t do anything, so I will just go with the good old standard “it was a team effort”

    Should my manager BK want my thoughts or if you want or need me to step in for some reason. It was great to see Moustakas and Votto get going really would be great if to have them hitting like we know they can. My gut said with the lefty on the mound it is a good time to get some others into the lineup, but a quick peek into the numbers says Lauer has a hefty reverse split so lets ride with them and hope this is the start of them getting hot.

    1. Mark Payton – CF
    2. Phillip Ervin – LF
    3. Eugenio Suarez – 3B
    4. Mike Moustakas – 2B
    5. Nick Castellanos – RF
    6. Joey Votto – 1B
    7. Curt Casali – C
    8. Luis Castillo – P
    9. Freddy Galvis – SS

    I made sure to get Galvis in the 9 hole since I am pretty sure my manager will want him there. Other than that just a small thing but BK keeps putting Ervin in CF and I think we should be playing Payton there. He has more experience in CF and I feel we need to see if he can play there. We have already seen from Ervin that while he can play CF he is better suited to the corners.

    • Melvin

      Good job. Maybe having you around is just good clubhouse chemistry that doesn’t show up in the stats. 🙂

      • Jon Davis

        Yeah maybe Hmmm yes I am all good with that I can be like Bob Uecker just keeping the guys loose.

      • Melvin

        Yeah definitely need to stay loose especially these days. 🙂

    • Melvin

      Since there were no errors by position players I’ll take credit for defensive alignments THIS time. LOL

  4. Redsfan4life

    Keep the winning streak going guys.

  5. Don

    keep up the streak going.

    Tom, great call on Payton. 5 for 13, 1 double, 2 HRs, 1SB in 3 games and he seems to have sparked the team.

    Some Roster Questions:

    1) Any thoughts to put Winker on 10 day and bring up a replacement for the big series with the Brewers as there are two off days in the next 10?
    After Brewers, off day, 2 at Indians, off day, then 4 vs Padres at home. Winker would be eligible for come of IL for 3rd Padres game.

    An eligible Winker would be ready to play 4 games which is what I think a health Akiyama is missing (2 vs Brewers and 2 vs Indians). Just a thought.

    From other post of the options when Akiyama went on IL.
    D.Dietrich
    T.Jankowski
    A.Blandino
    S.Schebler
    A. Aquino

    I would think put Winker on the IL to not be short a player and bring up T.Jankowski for some speed, defense and double switchers vs Brewers.

    2) Akiyama was hurt on 9th and transaction was with May 10th Strat-O-Matic results, can he be brought back for the 2nd Indians game May 20th or the off day between Indians and Padres series and be ready for the 1st Padres game?

    • Tom Mitsoff

      Don, good questions. Akiyama’s 10-day DL stay ends with the second game against the Indians next week. Winker would be available Tuesday against the Indians if he does not go on the DL.

      I will leave it to the community: Do you want to disable Winker for 10 days? Yes or no? If yes, who would you like to call up from the minors? Don’s list immediately above is the list of eligible players who can be recalled.

      Please respond as a reply to this post if you wish to vote.

      • BK

        We’re going to need a DH against the Indians on Tuesday so we will want Winker in the lineup then. Even with two productive outfielders on the IL, we have 3 productive ones to insert into the lineup. Lorenzen and Senzel can sub defensively. VanMeter can play OF in a pinch. I think we’re better no placing Winker on the IL.

        At some point, we need to think about optioning Senzel. Dietrich would help … if the sim card thought his drop-off last year was injury related. It’s a mystery to me why the sim card is so hard on Senzel. Weird things happen in baseball … it is super hard to forecast. I think he must of just picked up a random “this player struggles” code. That said, I’m super excited to see him when real baseball begins — I think he will breakout in a huge way. But in simland, I’m heartless and just want to win!

      • Melvin

        If you want a formal reply I guess I have to vote no.

      • Jon Davis

        As the Bench Coach, ? I really love that idea, I defer to my manager, but I see BK has already voted not to DL Winker. I completely agree and also vote no on sending Winker to the DL.

  6. BK

    As we return to division play, we face Ohio native and Kent State alum Eric Lauer. Hate to beat up on a local, but he is returning home in something very close to maize and blue with a big “M” on his cap so he deserves a good beatdown, tomorrow.

    As our faithful bench coach points out, he has a strong reverse split where LH hitters have .143 OPS against him compared to RH hitters. So I agree with @Jon Davis that we should avoid going with the traditional RH lineup as we face this LHP.

    CF – Payton (if you’re not going to listen to your coaches, don’t hire them)
    LF – Ervin
    SS – Galvis (he’s on a good streak: walked twice today and has a HR vs. Lauer)
    RF – Castellanos (we’ll bat him third as Suarez has been struggling)
    3B – Moustakas (@Melvin, I felt this is what you wanted)
    C – Barnhart (we’ll go w/our LH catcher against Lauer)
    1B – Votto (still draws the walks and coming off an excellent game)
    P – Castillo (let’s hope our ace throws a gem against the Brew Crew)
    2B – VanMeter (Suarez is simming like he needs a day off & JVM gives us another LH)

    I guess I should have hired a pitching coach, yesterday.

    Feedback is welcome! Go Reds!

    • BK

      Tom, just got back from my jog and I would like to reissue tomorrow’s lineup:

      CF – Payton
      LF – Ervin
      RF – Castellanos (crushes LHP)
      3B – Suarez (1 for 12 against Miami, but he crushed the Rockies and crushes LHP)
      2B – Moustakas (@Melvin, thanks for the feedback)
      C – Barnhart
      1B – Votto
      P – Castillo
      SS – Galvis (he’ll be hitting RH against Lauer, so not a good time to move him up)

      We’ll trust Suarez and Castellanos strength against LHP, tomorrow. About a mile into my run, it hit me that Galvis won’t be hitting LH, at least against Lauer.
      Sorry for the redo, but I think a tweak is warranted.

      • Tom Mitsoff

        No need to apologize for a reset. On 99 percent of the evenings, I’ll send our lineup to Strat-O-Matic at around 11 p.m. Eastern time.

  7. Melvin

    Hey man. Sure not here to criticize. You’re doing good and there’es no fool proof way. Payton and Ervin are no brainers at the top. Moving Galvis up in these circumstances makes sense as he’s getting better all the time and consistent. Castellanos coming on and Moustakas and Votto good games. It would be nice if they start hitting too. We’d all love that. Moustakas at 3B is certainly cool with me if that’s what you want. VanMeter can play there too if you’d rather leave Moose at his regular spot. Barnhart 3 hits in two different games recently. Things looking up. Someone mentioned possibly bringing a player up to replace Winker. Not sure if that’s the right move or not. With only four games off I’d tend to keep things the way they are for now but could be wrong. Senzel still struggling big time. He is doing better in baseball-reference stimulation ( .319 BA – .365 OBP) if it makes anyone feel better. 🙂

    • Don

      I did notice the sim stats are very different between Strat-o-Matic and baseball reference (Out of the Park Baseball 21) is using.

      Senzel looks to be the odd man out in the outfield rotation in that sim also, 74PAs

      In that Sim, Castellonos has 11 HRs and 9 2B’s and Mouse has 9 Hr’s and 11 2Bs, Galvis has 6 HRs and 14 doubles, these three are leading the team’s offense, Votto and Winker are leading the team with about 390 OBP while hitting about 260 (this would be what the Front Office planned). Suarez looks to be the only hitter that is struggling big time in that sim.

      Bauer is the only starter with an ERA under 3 (rest of starting 5are over 4, Disco is almost 8 runs per nine. Lorenzen is walking a lot of batters and giving up many hits. Strop is doing bad. Reed, Jones, Bob Steve and Kuhnel are the studs of that bullpen.

      Interesting to compare the sims as that is all the baseball we have right now.

      • Melvin

        Yeah and with all that bad starting pitching they’re 5 games over .500 and just 2 1/2 out of first. Go figure huh?

  8. Tom Mitsoff

    I have BK’s second lineup, and also, the vote was not to place Winker on the disabled list.

    Big, big series vs. Milwaukee!

  9. Gonzo Reds

    I vote to play the Marlins every game the rest of the season….