Jarrod Dyson’s two-out, two-run home run in the bottom of the eighth inning off Michael Lorenzen propelled the Pittsburgh Pirates (5-4) to a victory over the Cincinnati Reds (3-6) in the rubber game of a three-game series at PNC Park.
That was the result today as Strat-O-Matic games of Glen Head, N.Y., continued its announced plan to simulate the entire 2020 Major League Baseball season on a day-by-day basis for as long as actual game play is on hold.
Help set the lineup, batting order for the simulated Reds:
Have you ever dreamed of your opportunity to “manage” the Reds? Now is your chance. Learn more below!
The simulated Reds scored the first three runs of the game, but could not score thereafter. In the second inning, the Reds loaded the bases with one out, and Tucker Barnhart’s groundout drove in the first run. In the third inning, Mike Moustakas’ second home run of the simulated season scored Eugenio Suarez for a 3-0 Reds lead.
But the Pirates rallied back and tied it in the bottom of the fourth on Kevin Newman’s RBI single against starting pitcher Anthony DeSclafani.
Amir Garrett struck out league-leading hitter Colin Moran with the bases loaded in the bottom of the seventh to snuff out a Pittsburgh rally, but the Dyson home run the following inning was the game-winner.
Nick Senzel was the only Reds batter with more than one hit. This was the third consecutive three-game series to start the season in which the Reds split the first two games and then lost the rubber match.
The Reds loss combined with a Cubs win sent Cincinnati four games behind Chicago, still in the NL Central basement.
Here is the box score, as provided by Strat-O-Matic:
A-Pinch Hit For Desclafani In 7th Inning
C-Subbed Defensively (CF) For Garrett In 8th Inning
B-Pinch Hit For Rodriguez In 7th Inning
D-Subbed Defensively (RF) For Osuna In 9th Inning
Standings following the April 5 games:
The 2020 schedule as currently constituted has the Reds returning to Great American Ball Park for a two-game series against the Milwaukee Brewers, as the start of a nine-game homestand. Luis Castillo will pitch for Cincinnati, and righthander Brandon Woodruff will ascend the hill for the Brew Crew.
Help set the lineup, batting order for the simulated Reds:
Have you ever dreamed of your opportunity to “manage” the Reds? Now is your chance.
Strat-O-Matic has agreed to allow Redleg Nation to submit the Cincinnati Reds’ lineups for each day’s simulated game. We want all of our readers who want to participate to get involved.
Here is how it will work:
- In each wrap up of that day’s simulated game, Redleg Nation will post the opposing starting pitcher for the next game. You will know who the pitcher is and whether he is left-handed or right-handed, and you can use that information in creating a lineup for the next game, and submitting it in the comments below. “Splits” such as performance vs. left-handers or right-handers are replicated in the Strat-O-Matic game algorithm, and therefore should be considered.
- We will accept lineups from every reader who wants to submit one. The lineup that will be submitted to Strat-O-Matic each day will be the one that receives the most positive replies (in effect, “yes” votes) from readers other than the submitter. In case of ties:
- First tiebreaker: Lineup submitted by the reader who has had the fewest number of opportunities as a “manager.”
- Second tiebreaker: Lineup submitted earliest in the comment thread. (So get your lineup in “early” each day.)
- What is “early?” Redleg Nation posts these articles daily between 5 and 6 p.m. Eastern time. Strat-O-Matic’s deadline for us to submit a lineup for the next day’s game is midnight. On most days, we’ll do this before “bedtime,” which is typically between 10:30 and 11 Eastern time.
Have fun with this! If you have any questions, please post them in the comment string below.
Strat-O-Matic simulation league leaders
On Sundays, we present you a snapshot of how the rest of the league is unfolding. The following numbers are all through games of Saturday, April 4.
In the individual leaders, Strat-O-Matic does not distinguish between American League and National League. On a daily basis, they present the top 12 in each of the following categories. Following are the simulation leaders to date (with any Reds who show up in the leaders notated):
- Batting average: Colin Moran, Pittsburgh, .538
- Hits: Franmil Reyes, Cleveland, 18
- Doubles: Manny Machado, San Diego, 8
- Triples: Ketel Marte, Arizona, 3
- Homers: Reyes, Cleveland, and Jorge Soler, Kansas City, 6 apiece
- Runs batted in: Reyes and Soler, 13 apiece
- Walks: Cavan Biggio, Toronto, 13
- Sacrifice hits: Trevor Bauer, Cincinnati, among seven players with 2 each
- Stolen bases: Ronald Acuna Jr., Atlanta, Christian Yelich, Milwaukee, Jarrod Dyson, Pittsburgh, and Trea Turner, Washington, with 3 apiece
- Slugging percentage: Soler, Kansas City, 1.250
- On-base percentage, Soler, .606
- Batting average vs. left-handed pitching: Carlos Santana, Cleveland, .636; Phillip Ervin, Cincinnati is tied for third at .600
- Errors: Eugenio Suarez, Cincinnati, 3
- Opponent steals allowed: Curt Casali, Cincinnati, tied with five others for fourth with 3
- Earned Run Average: David Price, LA Dodgers, Blake Snell, Tampa Bay and Sean Manaea, Oakland, 0.00
- Innings pitched: Zach Davies, San Diego, 15.2
- Walks allowed: Tyler Glasnow, San Diego, 10; Luis Castillo, Cincinnati, tied for second with 9
- Strikeouts: Sonny Gray, Cincinnati, Zac Plesac, Cleveland, Kyle Gibson, Texas, Aaron Nola, Philadelphia, 18
- Strikeouts per 9 innings: Gray and Nola, 14.73
- Opponent steals allowed: Bryan Abreu, Houston, 3; Trevor Bauer, Cincinnati and 10 others, 2
- Batting average of right-handed batting opponents: Charlie Morton, Tampa, .040; Castillo, Cincinnati, fifth at .100; Gray, Cincinnati, 11th at .150
Simulated Reds statistics after nine games
Strat-O-Matic has been in the sports simulation business since the 1960s. A USA Today article contained this explanation:
Strat-O-Matic and other baseball simulations use statistics from the previous season to create “cards” for each player on a roster. The team managers select the batting order and the starting pitcher. From there, a series of dice rolls and calculations determines the outcome of each at-bat.
Strat-O, as it’s known to longtime players, first gained its immense popularity as a board game. The company has since expanded to a downloadable Windows version and one that’s played online. A few years ago, it introduced Baseball Daily – a new iteration that combined the player cards from the previous season with statistics from the real season being played at the same time.
Unlike many video games, the Strat-O-Matic results are based on algorithms that account for players’ actual past performance. It’s not a game played with a joystick that relies more on the skill of the person with the video game controller in his or her hand.
The simulation software will keep comprehensive statistics for all teams for the season, so we’ll be able to track year-to-date leaders in many statistical categories. Our current plan is to provide statistical leader summaries here at Redleg Nation each Sunday. You can follow the season at Strat-O-Matic.com, where they plan to post the results from each day’s schedule at 2 p.m. Eastern time.