If you are inclined to read about the history-making game last night, here’s the recap. That’s all I’m going to say about it. The Reds (69-80) will go for the series win this afternoon against the Diamondbacks (76-73) at Chase Field. First pitch is at 4:10 EDT.

Starting Pitchers

Name IP ERA FIP xFIP K% BB%
Trevor Bauer 198.0 4.55 4.41 4.40 27.7% 9.5%
Zac Gallen 74.1 2.66 3.17 4.02 29.4% 11.0%

REDS

Trevor Bauer tries again to get things fixed before the 2019 season ends. He looked like he was on track in his last start against the Mariners when he took a no-hitter into the fifth inning, but he gave up a home run in the fifth and the sixth to lose the lead. The Reds would eventually lose on a Kyle Seager home run in the eighth.

Many of Bauer’s struggles have come from giving up home runs. He has allowed the sixth most home runs in MLB and his HR/9 rate is 1.45, 17th worst in MLB. His BB% is also higher this season at 9.5%. [I know I sound like a broken record when I talk about walks and home runs for a struggling pitcher, but that’s usually were the problem lies when that pitcher is struggling].

If you’re looking for positives for Bauer, he only needs two innings to reach 200 innings for the first time in his career. He’s also got 236 strikeouts on the season. Fifty-one of those strikeouts came after he was traded to the Reds, in 41.1 innings. His K% is down from his near Cy Young season a year ago, but it’s still very high at 27.7%.

DIAMONDBACKS

Despite pitching fairly well in his minor league career in the Cardinals and Marlins organizations, Arizona is Zac Gallen’s third organization since being drafted in 2016. He made 14 starts with the Marlins Triple-A team early in the season, posting a 1.77 ERA in 91.1 innings, while striking out 112 and walking only 17. Gallen made his major league debut for Miami on June 20. He continued his success at the major league level, with a 2.72 ERA in 36.1 inning with the Marlins. After he was traded to the Diamondbacks at the deadline, he has pitched better, posting a 2.61 ERA with 48 strikeouts in 38.0 innings.

Gallen won’t give up a lot of home runs. Throughout his professional career, his HR/9 rate has been consistently under 1.00. He also won’t walk a lot of batters, though he’s walked more since being in the majors than through his minor league career. The highest his BB% ever got was 8.2%, and in 2019 before being called up, it was at 5.1% at Triple-A.

He throws five pitches, but very rarely throws the sinker. Instead, Gallen relies on his four-seamer that tops out around 93 mph, and then throws the curve ball and the change up with varying speeds to keep hitters off balance. His change up can get up to 85 mph, while his curve is a slow curve around 79 mph.

Lineups

REDS DIAMONDBACKS
1. Phillip Ervin (LF)
2. Josh VanMeter (2B)
3. Eugenio Suarez (3B)
4. Aristides Aquino (RF)
5. Tucker Barnhart (C)
6. Michael Lorenzen (CF)
7. Brian O’Grady (1B)
8. Jose Peraza (SS)
9. Trevor Bauer (P)
1. Wilmer Flores (2B)
2. Ketel Marte (CF)
3. Eduardo Escobar (3B)
4. Christian Walker (1B)
5. Josh Rojas (LF)
6. Adam Jones (RF)
7. Nick Ahmed (SS)
8. Alex Avila (C)
9. Zac Gallen (P)

-Alex Avila is 7-for-19 with two home runs against Bauer.

-None of the Reds have faced Gallen. This game is going to go one of two ways.

News and Notes

-It looks like Freddy Galvis will be alright. He left the game last night in the middle of an at-bat.

-Speaking of Galvis, he did a really cool thing for a kid yesterday.

Final Thought

#GetTheHitting, Reds.

31 Responses

  1. Shchi Cossack

    This is weird…

    1. Phillip Ervin (LF) – no complaints if this happens a lot.
    The only other player in LF should be O’Grady.
    2. Josh VanMeter (2B) – no complaint if this happens every game.
    Every game for the remainder of the 2019 season.
    6. Michael Lorenzen (CF) – no complaints if this happens a lot.
    Lorenzen and O’Grady should be the only players occupying CF.
    7. Brian O’Grady (1B) – no complaints if this happens a lot.
    O’Grady starts in LF,CF or 1B every game for the remainder of the 2019 season.
    8. Jose Peraza (SS) – no complaints as long as it’s always at SS.
    Ditto for Galvis and Iglesias, one and only one starts and always at SS.

    • Klugo

      No complaints??
      This lineup would win maybe 50 games if trotted out there every day. If they were all in their prime. Maybe.

      • Shchi Cossack

        Maybe…but these are the players that need evaluation at the MLB level before the offseason commences. If any have a chance of becoming keepers, that makes the offseason that much easier. If none have a chance of becoming keepers, then we know what needs to be accomplished during the offseason and the outlook becomes bleak.

      • Doc

        I doubt it since there are only 13 games left this season and Shchi did not say this was a recommendation for next season, though one can infer that Lorenzen in CF is not likely a 2020 plan.

  2. RedNat

    I like ervin and van meter at the top of the lineup. Is it time to move Joey back to the 3 hole now?

    • Shchi Cossack

      With Senzel out for the remainder of the season, I like Votto in the #4 hole between Suarez and Aquino, with Ervin at #1 and JVM at #2. Let’s see how the prospects shake out in 2019 with regular starts and playing time before offseason decisions and options for 2020.

  3. Pete

    Best lineup I’ve seen for evaluation purposes. Nitpicking but I’d drop TB to the the 7th spot. Time for the kids to start impressing, Votto & Suarez have been carrying the offense for several weeks. Are the youngsters hungry? Are they confident? Are they big leaguers or scrubs? Great game to start to uncover the truth, wish they’d use it everyday.

    • Chris Holbert

      I agree, TB should never bat 5th, let’s see what they have

  4. RedNat

    Man the century from hades continues for Cincinnati sports . 49ers whipping the Bengals. Reds with another 90 loss season potentially. When does college hoops start up,? Lol

    • Old-school

      I just witnessed the carnage at PBS. There were as many 49’er fans as Bengals and complete total domination by SF. Back in time to watch the Reds potentially clinch a 6 th non winning season in a row.

      • RedNat

        When will the torture ever end? It’s not even fun going to gabp or PBS because of all the fans from the visiting teams rub it in. Lol.

  5. Old-school

    Back to back great plays by the rookies .AA with an outfield assist and van meter homers.

  6. Alex Reds

    If only the Reds traded for Zac Gallen instead of Trevor Bauer, irregardless of how they perform today. Gallen has 5+ years of control and Bauer has ~1.2 years when traded. Yet, the Reds gave up the much better prospect than what the Diamondbacks gave up.

    • VaRedsFan

      Maybe you should take a look at the stats of the prospect we gave up.
      @AA Reds .236/.349/.336
      @AA Padres .229/.316/.331

      • Sliotar

        It hopefully won’t matter because Bauer has been great and on a decent pitch count ….

        but, the Reds rarely seem to bust up games and put teams away. That last inning felt ripe for the picking.

        Only Suarez, Aquino and Van Meter have hits… leadoff and 5 through 8…nada.

        Probably have enough offense to win today, but too many passengers on the Reds offensive bus.

        If Suarez were to be gone for an extended amount of time in 2020….yikes.

  7. Old-school

    Geno 46/47.The race for 50 is here. The ML lead is here
    George Foster is now in sight.

    • Eric B

      With consistent playing time Peraza will produce positive numbers. His 2018 year end stats back this assumption. Take a look at the stats. He led the team in alot of categories including games played, at bats, hits, doubles, lowest K%. Second best in runs scored, slash line and triples. If he were to play SS everyday in 2020 he will prove his worth. If regular playing time is not possible then trade him. He is no pinch hitter or multi-role player, he needs regular at bats. I refuse to give up on Peraza with the reds. If he gets traded so be it.

  8. Sliotar

    It hopefully won’t matter because Bauer has been great and on a decent pitch count ….

    but, the Reds rarely seem to bust up games and put teams away. That last inning felt ripe for the picking.

    Only Suarez, Aquino and Van Meter have hits… leadoff and 5 through 8…nada.

    Probably have enough offense to win today, but too many passengers on the Reds offensive bus.

    If Suarez were to be gone for an extended amount of time in 2020….yikes.

    • MARK MOORE

      He is looking like the backbone

  9. Seat101

    Just got home in time to see my main man not hit a grand slam. Nor triple. Nor a double. Not a single. Not a hit by pitch or an error.

    My brothers and some friends and I started to pull of the year we each got to pick a Reds to be the first to hit a grand slam.

    You can guess whom I picked. But Votto Senzel Winker Suarez & Shebler have not come through. We add a dollar a day to the pool open parentheses actually twice with the chip put in $50).

    In the unlikely event that one of our guys did it we each picked the name of a charity That will be selected from a blind draw at the end of the season.

    Can someone please tell me how long the sixth inning has been?

    • Seat101

      What seat 101 meant to say was We started a pool at the beginning of the year.

      And in the unlikely event no one did it. …

  10. Seat101

    There seem to be a lot of statistical anomaly’s around the Reds this season. You could almost write a Doctor Who episode around it

  11. Seat101

    Trevor Bauer looking good. Maybe he could hit a grand slam.

    I guess everyone else has a life and isn’t posting today

  12. MARK MOORE

    That K of Avila was filthy stuff!!

  13. Doc

    If the Reds are not seriously considering Lorenzen as a possible 2020 CF, why is he taking starts from players who need to be evaluated? Or is a position switch possible? They can’t get him enough starts this year to meet two way player criteria.

    I hope the rest of the staff develops the Bauer mindset that the game is nine innings, not five, six, seven or eight, then develop what it takes to throw that many effectively. If you shoot for nine and fall an inning or two short, you’e still rested the BP. Shoot for six and fall short and you have put the team in a bad way.

    • RedsMonk65

      I suppose, for now anyway, that there just aren’t many healthy (and true) Reds outfielders, so why not get an extended look at Lorenzen? Senzel and Winker are out. Van Meter and Peraza have each demonstrated playing outfield is a stretch for them.

      Aquino has been starting almost every game, and today O’Grady and Ervin started (though O’Grady was not in the OF). I would agree, however, that most days we should be looking at Ervin, O’Grady and Aquino in the outfield for the rest of 2019. I don’t think Lorenzen has been taking significant playing time away from anyone just yet (for the reasons stated above). He would be, however, if they parked him in CF every day, which will not happen since they need him to pitch now and then.

      In the long view, the Reds really must address the dearth of CFers in the organization, especially since Senzel’s durability is becoming an issue. What’s really needed is a FA signing or trade to bring one in, then move Senzel back to the infield where he belongs. Lorenzen continues to pitch and provide flexibility at the plate and in the field as needed.

    • Eric B

      Lorenzen has been lobbying Bell all year for playing time. This may just be DB giving in with the tail end of a season which no longer has implications other than draft position. They will most likely mess that up too I think. Hope not. We need a top 8 pick.