In what qualifies as a scheduling quirk, the Reds and Arizona Diamondbacks face each other for the first time this year in September. Six of Cincinnati’s next nine games are against the D-backs, and the Reds are hoping to change their recent losing-six-of-nine streak beginning this evening at 7:10 p.m. Eastern time at Great American Ball Park.

Starting Pitchers

Name IP ERA xFIP K% BB%
Robbie Ray 152 3.97 3.75 30.8% 10.8%
Tyler Mahle 108.2 4.72 3.83 24.1% 5.7%

In terms of xFIP, this appears to be a fairly even starting pitching matchup. Mahle pitched well in his first start back after his injured list stay and then demotion to Louisville. He struck out five, walked none, and allowed only one earned run in 6.1 innings against St. Louis. Arizona has won eight of Ray’s last 10 starts, so the visiting team obviously likes their chances tonight.

Bullpen

Robert Stephenson and Raisel Iglesias have both appeared in the past two games, and that’s as close as anyone in the Reds bullpen could come to being considered as not available tonight. In other words, all hands should be on deck.

Starting Lineups

Diamondbacks Reds
CF Ketel Marte 2B Alex Blandino
2B Wilmer Flores 1B Joey Votto
3B Eduardo Escobar 3B Eugenio Suarez
1B Christian Walker RF Aristides Aquino
LF Josh Rojas SS Jose Iglesias
RF Adam Jones CF Phillip Ervin
SS Nick Ahmed C Curt Casali
C Carson Kelly LF Jose Peraza
P Robbie Ray P Tyler Mahle

It’s an all-righthanded-batting starting eight position players (with the exception of Votto) against the lefthander Ray. D-backs first baseman Walker passed through the Reds roster one spring training during the height of the rebuild and did not stick. He’s landed with Arizona and has hit 25 homers this year with a 110 OPS+.

Additional insights into the statistical history of the players in today’s game is available all season long at BaseballSavant.com.

News and Notes

It’s Fiesta Rojos night …

Earlier today at Redleg Nation

The Reds are showing interest in reliever Jeremy Jeffress, who is a free agent and can be signed right now.

Reds showing interest in reliever Jeremy Jeffress

Matt Habel takes a look at whether or not the strength of a teams wins matters or not.

Does strength of victories matter?

58 Responses

  1. matthew hendley

    What the heck is going on in LF. I got Senzel perhaps still injured. And Ervins placement in CF makes some sense. Seriously do not understand why Peraza is on this team anymore.

    • Pete

      Where’s Lorenzen? He’s a better hitter, fielder and base runner than Peraza. NFL season has started so it will limit my viewing opportunities to catch the Redlegs. How sad.

      • VaRedsFan

        I assume Lorenzen is slated to pitch tonight.

      • Jim Walker

        And (Lorenzen) is a better pitcher too 😉

        I guess when it is September and basically every healthy pitcher on the 40 man in up, I’d put my best available CF on field and get the pitching figured out around that unless that best available CF was also the starting pitcher scheduled tonight or tomorrow.

  2. CI3J

    Why no Josh VanMeter? He hits lefties about equally as well as righties. Surely Bell has to be aware of this??

    • vegastypo

      VanMeter has a much better chance against this bases-on-balls prone pitcher, too. And Robbie Ray is walking players shy of one for every two innings pitched. But by all means, play Mr. Anti-Walk, Peraza.

  3. Seat101

    What are we going to do this off-season if we can’t complain about Jose Peraza?

    Doug………By the way this game thread post did not show up until I killed the previous RedlegNation page and opened a brand new one

    • VaRedsFan

      It’s been happening for a week now.
      It seems we have to push the refresh button several times to get the posts/new threads to open now.

    • Jim Walker

      Last nite on Android (V9P) killing the page didn’t even get the job done for me until I refreshed on the new incidence. So far so good on Win10

    • vegastypo

      “What are we going to do this off-season if we can’t complain about Jose Peraza?”

      Maybe, discuss who should have his roster spot? Shouldn’t be the least bit difficult to find a replacement. Starting with any infielder who has a pulse.

    • Old-school

      What a tired hackneyed refrain from @seat101 comments on Jose Peraza. Seat clearly enjoys being a contrarian and never actually engages in facts . Jose Peraza is the worst hitter in baseball by objective measures. He’s negative WAR. He’s bad defensively. He makes 2.75 million dollars. He’s not a major league player. If your point is take him off the roster and the Reds still don’t win the World Series- that’s obvious. Beyond that, contribute something that actually elevates the discussion.

      • matthew hendley

        indeed the only question should be non tender or tender and trade

  4. Pete

    This is why I like AA batting third, Suarez tends to be all or nothing. IMO, Aquino is the better hitter.

  5. Chris Holbert

    Where is O’Grady…..seriously. Is there some contest you win to set the lineup every game, that is the only logical reason for the constant changes….no major league manager would do that?

    • VaRedsFan

      Facing a lefty…so mostly RH’d bats tonight. Don’t necessarily agree with it for everybody, but some need to face only their best platoon situation

  6. Chris Holbert

    It seems everyone are platoon players with the exception of Votto, Suarez, J Iggy and Aquino….young players and the FO will never know without the opportunity……and you need to be given the opportunity to prove it one way or the other..

  7. Slicc50

    Show em Alex. There is nothing wrong with taking a walk!

      • Slicc50

        This is the perfect game to show that. Alex Blandino, the leadoff hitter tonight, has drawn 2 walks. Both times he has scored! It’s a beautiful thing! 2 runs scored and the Reds didn’t even have to hit a HR to do it!

  8. Seat101

    What a screwup by Peraza! He should never be allowed to play shortstop after a play like that!

    • vegastypo

      Nice. Your only defense of Peraza is to ridicule another player (who didn’t even make an error on the play). Peraza would not even had gotten to the ball to attempt to make a play on that freak bunt. But if you think he would have, you are entitled to your opinion.

  9. Seat101

    I can’t believe riser gave up that homerun on an 0-2 pitch.

    Decent people to turn their backs on him whenever he enters a room

  10. matthew hendley

    mahle demonstrating again why the reds may need to go out again, and get some more help in the off season.

    • VaRedsFan

      The results for Mahle are worse than the execution IMO. Votto drops a foul pop, next pitch single. Pop up bunt falls in no man’s land. Beat on an up and in fastball (decent pitch IMO). Next batter hits a double down the line that was nearly in the dirt. Pulled from the game. I’m not a big believer in luck, but that was a fair bit of bad luck with a little bit of skillful hitting mixed in.

      • matthew hendley

        in a singular game you may have a point. But this is September. He has lost 10. won 2. even placing the variables for run support in, he is not quite that good yet. MLB Releif pitcher, sure, but give him another year at LOU to develop another pitch, he could come back in 2021 as a dominant pitcher

  11. VaRedsFan

    fastball up and in, and Marte drives it out. just have to tip your cap.

  12. Seat101

    Riser = Peraza

    My AutoCorrect does not like it when I type his name, apparently.

  13. Hanawi

    Mahle needs to move to a team with a bigger park. Just too many home runs allowed.

  14. matthew hendley

    Brian ogrady subbed in for Jose Peraza. We may win this game after all

  15. VaRedsFan

    Suarez does it again….3-run tater….back in it.

  16. matthew hendley

    Suarez makes it a game again. Snakes reliever completely off. GOod thing for blisters. hahahaha

  17. matthew hendley

    4x on base for blandino, why this guy sits out any games is beyond me

    • matthew hendley

      joey reminding everyone who he is. On base again. 3x tonight vintage votto

      • matthew hendley

        clarifying. Blandino is a good player peraza is a bad player. I am a drunk typer tonight. noone not named joey votto is playing all the games. But peraza starting and blandino sitting is a problem.

    • Doug Gray

      I mean, if you want to argue he should play over Peraza, that holds water. But anyone else on this roster is a tough one to buy. Blandino was a below-average hitter in Triple-A this year in nearly 300 plate appearances (he had a .758 OPS in 293 PA this year – the league average OPS this year in the league was .787). He draws walks. He also hit .247 and slugged .372.

      • matthew hendley

        its always, always why he should beat the worst person on the traditional 25 man roster. Should he start TDB. Should he hava perazas starts, yes.

      • Doug Gray

        You asked why he should sit out ANY games. I told you why he should sit out almost all of them. Then you tried changing the question you asked.

      • matthew hendley

        ok let me rephrase, should he have all of Perazas 2019 starts yes..… fixed that

      • Doug Gray

        Well, if we’re going to argue who should actually have had all of Peraza’s starts, it’s Josh VanMeter, not Alex Blandino.

      • matthew hendley

        and his injury which was externally caused i.e. oposition running into him like 2018. as opposed to an injury produced by internal shortcommings, has denied him a full chance to demonstrate at the MLB level. SHould he have a roster spot yes. How much should hestart? 2/3 of a full season I think Is enough to fill a full opinion.
        of sourse shoud the reds get a starter on the FA that pushes him out, I will reconsider this opinion

      • Doug Gray

        Start over who? Literally everyone else that’s a starter has a much stronger history and resume than he does. There’s no argument to be made, at least logically, that he should start anywhere other than Louisville. If you want to argue, again, that he should be the 25th man on the roster instead of Peraza, sure, that’s an argument that can be made. Beyond that? There’s no argument.

      • matthew hendley

        “Well, if we’re going to argue who should actually have had all of Peraza’s starts, it’s Josh VanMeter, not Alex Blandino.”

        And no, the beautiful thing about OPS is for the vast majority it covers all sample sizes. VanMeter has received enough of a sample size to make a determination. .300 drop facing MLB leftys. drop of ten OPS+ points. So No, Blandino should have received those starts, He has destroyed jvmr at LHP AB.

        And yes I checked, JMR has met the 2019 reds requirement for AB/PA.

        Blandino should have received those starts.

      • Doug Gray

        So, Josh VanMeter outhits Alex Blandino in Triple-A by like 350 points of OPS, comes to the Majors and is ALSO a better hitter than Blandino’s ever been in the Majors (while being 2 entire years younger right now, too), and it’s Blandino who should be starting?

        Alright, man. You do you. I’ll bow out and let you argue with yourself from now on.

      • matthew hendley

        In real life. Minor league numbers mean nothing. Alex blandino deserves a chance against LHP. Josh Vmtr deserves a chance against RHP. Jose Peraza just needs to work on his selling real estate vision. I have pointed out almost hundreds of numbers of why players should play or not. Mocked. That Jose Peraza needs more playing time cause his feelings are hurt. I identify that a over exuberant post by my self due to intoxication and AB third walk, but mostly intoxication is taken as serious by a staff that has by all accounts neglected their for free site all season for ther for pay site. Jesus. I just wanted to give AB some props. But had to go look up stats and stufff…. and found out I was still right.

      • Doug Gray

        I don’t have a clue what you’re talking about. But I’m just going to go ahead and make the executive decision and put you back on the “not allowed to comment” list. Feel free to go post on twitter while intoxicated. You simply aren’t worth the headaches you cause.

  18. matthew hendley

    those asking why Lorenzen didn’t start in CF have been answered. .2 innings, might as well started him in center.

    • VaRedsFan

      Yeah…that way he wouldn’t of had to pitch.

  19. Chris Holbert

    If you look at the construction of the roster of 25 right now, the four man bench would have to be Casali/TB, Farmer, Winker/Ervin, and Galvis…that assumes JVM at 2B and 8 RP. That means no DD as well. Everyone else is at Louisville. Next year we will see, but he is probably on the bubble.

    • matthew hendley

      my understanding is the rules are to be changed for next year ensuring the elimination of the 4 man bench type

  20. Eric B

    Just thought I’d check in. Ok, it’s crap all over players you don’t like night.

    Later gator.

  21. VaRedsFan

    Reds season in a nutshell….Late inning…close games 2 runners on each of the last 3 innings, and nobody can come through big hit.

    • TR

      Hitting coach(s) change needed in the offseason.

  22. Ed R

    Suarez with 42 homers is pretty fantastic. Would’ve loved to have seen someone go yard, or even knock a double in the 9th there, with Votto and Suarez getting on, and then Aquino made contact to advance Votto to 3rd. JVM had a big opportunity to deliver but struck out big time on pitches right over the plate. Oh well. Ervin took a walk with ball 3 barely over the plate. Then Casali gave it a shot. Wasn’t a terribly played ball game, but there sure were a lot of missed opportunities.

    I like Mahle’s stuff but he really gets knocked around. Such a shame. I agree with earlier comments that maybe he just needs to pick up another pitch in the off-season, because a lot of what he’s doing is really good.