In December of 2017 the Cincinnati Reds picked up Mitch Nay in the Rule 5 draft. It wasn’t the one that most people know about where players must stick to the 25-man roster all year. No, instead it was the Triple-A version. The rules for eligibility for that would take too much to explain, so we’ll skip that. Unlike the big league version, a player taken in the Triple-A Rule 5 draft does not have to stick on any particular level roster. And the cost is much less, too. The Reds had to pay the Blue Jays $12,000 for the selection.

Mitch Nay has played in just 61 games during the 2017 season. And he was not good, either. The 23-year-old played in Low-A with the Lansing Lugnuts, and he hit .222/.265/.393. His age and that performance initially draw you into the “oh, that’s not a good sign” thought process. But Mitch Nay had some extenuating circumstances for his age and performance.

In late 2015 he began to experience knee issues. He would miss nearly all of 2016, and most of 2017 thanks to the issue. Ultimately he would undergo multiple knee surgeries due to staph infection. As a result of the surgeries and recovery, it took him quite a while to get back to where he was physically. The time away from the game, too, led to him needing to get his timing back and all of those things related to actually playing in games that you just can’t get without seeing live pitching.

Mitch Nay is a former supplemental first round pick. The Blue Jays selected him 58th overall in the 1st round of the 2012 draft. He hadn’t really had a “break out” kind of year with the Blue Jays before his knee issues popped up. But the Reds felt that for the price, and with his upside, he was worth the risk of picking up and giving a chance.

In 2018, the 24-year-old corner infielder (first and third base) spent the first half of the year in Daytona where he hit .271/.342/.418 in 69 games played. Daytona plays in the Advanced-A Florida State League. The FSL as it’s known, is the most pitcher friendly league in minor league baseball and is known to sap power output. His first half output earned him a promotion to Double-A Pensacola. With the Blue Wahoos in the second half he hit .262/.363/.389. While his power took a step back, he increased his walk rate and cut down his strikeout rate.

However, Mitch Nay was a free agent after the 2018 season unless the Reds chose to add him to the 40-man roster. They didn’t and he tested free agency. But before spring training began the Reds and Nay agreed to a minor league deal for the 2019 season.

With a new Double-A affiliate, who is also an old Double-A affiliate, the Reds assigned Mitch Nay to the Chattanooga Lookouts. His season didn’t begin immediately when the Lookouts did. And when he did get to Chattanooga in mid-April, he played sparingly. Nay started four games and came on as a pinch hitter in six others. In total he managed to get just 23 plate appearances, and he really struggled in them, going 1-17 with four walks and seven strikeouts.

But then when May began, Mitch Nay began to see consistent playing time. And with consistent at-bats, he began to rake. During the month, in 28 games played, the now 25-year-old hit .297/.354/.635 with 15 extra-base hits, seven walks, and 19 strikeouts. In June it was more of the same. He played in 27 games and hand 113 plate appearances. In that span he hit .356/.398/.587 and had 12 more extra-base hits. He struck out just 14 times during the month and picked up the Southern League Player of the Month for his efforts. Through eight games in July he’s hitting .290/.333/.645 with seven more extra-base hits.

On the year, through 73 games played, Mitch Nay is hitting .307/.364/.573 with 20 doubles, 2 triples, and 12 home runs. His .307 average ranks 3rd best in the league. His .364 on-base percentage ranks 9th in the league. He’s easily leading the league in slugging with a .573 mark (.539 is the next best). And he’s also atop of the league in OPS at .937.

It’s currently July 11th. The minor league baseball season is over for Double-A Chattanooga and Triple-A Louisville on September 2nd. That is, unless they make the playoffs. That means that there are just 51 games remaining for each team in the season. Mitch Nay will once again be a free agent when the season is over unless the Reds add him to the 40-man roster.

As a former 1st round pick who seems to be taking a big step forward this year, there’s not much time remaining to see if he can handle Triple-A. While the Reds certainly don’t ask me for my advice on what I would do in their situation, it certainly feels like it would be good business to promote Mitch Nay and see what he can do against pitching in the International League the rest of the way. That information seems like it would be rather useful to have when it comes to determining whether to keep him in the organization by adding him to the 40-man roster, or letting him head back into free agency this offseason.

25 Responses

  1. Pete

    Sounds promising, I’m with you if there is a chance to play at AAA get him there right away. Fast track these type of guys until when or if they hit a brick wall, some may not. Cheap, young talent is always good. Thanks Doug for the update – this is a pick me up.

    Reply
    • ToBeDetermined

      Klugo
      Other than I hope the best for Mitch Nay.
      The Lansing Lugnuts was my favorite part of this article – Great name.

      Reply
  2. RedsFan11

    Great article, but there is some proofreading required?

    I say Nay Nay! 🙂

    Reply
    • Andy

      This comment and the article definitely need some editing/proofreading.

      Reply
    • Doug Gray

      You know what would be helpful? If you saw a mistake and pointed it out. It makes correcting said mistake much easier.

      Reply
      • ToBeDetermined

        Doug
        Thanks for the suggestion about the proofreading.
        I second that.
        Your already working hard we don’t needlessly need to add to the burden.

  3. Hotto4Votto

    The Reds could have 15 or so spaces up for grabs depending on free agents, options, and decisions on fringe roster guys, most of whom are underperforming this season. A good opportunity for Nay and some of the AAA guys crushing the ball to grab a spot.

    Reply
  4. Roger Garrett

    For the first time in along time the Reds have guys that can hit in the minors.All hitters need to be moved up to the next level and see what they can do.Sadly though they seem to stop getting playing time once they get to the majors.Personally if you set JVM and Ervin for example and platoon Winker then why are they here.This is a last place team and we should be finding out what they can do.I know this article is about Nay and his numbers say he can hit but what makes any of us think he will be given a chance to help the big club.The Reds are so very inconsistent in how they handle young players it is amazing yet we run out guys every day hitting 220 hoping they turn the corner.

    Reply
    • James H.

      No doubt. They need to pipeline prospects way better, and to do that, the Reds need to trade, trade, trade MLB players that aren’t foundational players.

      Reply
    • RojoBenjy

      Roger- if they don’t come out of the gate on fire after the break, then it seems safe to say that they are grasping at straws to think 2019 playoffs are reachable.

      So if they reek for the next week, I sure hope the Reds start auditioning these young guys up in the majors to see what they have. If instead the owner hangs on to the delusion of playoffs, a winning team, or this notion of “alienating the fans” by making meaningful baseball changes to the club, then I, for one, will start rooting for a new owner, while trying to get some joy out of the players themselves.

      Reply
      • Roger Garrett

        Your right but that’s what ownership has done for several years now.Being delusional abut making the playoffs and settling for just a few more wins is what they continue to hope for and I am hoping they get beyond that and only time will tell.Baseball for position players is a young mans game.While some are exceptions life beyond 30 is limited to only the elite hitters such as our guy Joey.Fast guys get slower,injuries come more frequently and last longer(Scooter) and as they get older they become good bench pieces who when played long enough(DD) remind us why they are bench pieces.Reds must get younger and develop their own players.Sell while still having some value to fill positions of need.Roster this year is much much better but no where near to being competitive and yet we still talk about what to do with Puig,Scooter,Roark and guys in the pen including a closer that was signed for 3 years at a good rate on a team that doesn’t need a closer.Finally young productive players draw fans and inspire hope to all franchises but you have to play them and pitch them and sometimes take some lumps but as a friend of mine you to say even Ray Charles can see that.

      • Earmbrister

        Roger — Ownership has been delusional about making the playoffs for several years now? Who’s delusional? The Reds are a handful of games out of the playoffs for the first time in years. No one is expecting them to win the WS. Let the starting 8 sink or swim this year, so that we can write their names into the 2020 lineup in ink, or in pencil. We’ve turned the entire OF over in the past few years by doing just that: giving the starters enough rope to hang themselves.

        I may be in the minority but, I believe that both Winker and Puig are better than they’ve shown to date this year. Puig has finally started ripping, and I’d be happy with either an extension (preferred), or a trade for a legit prospect. If Puig is moved, then there will be a regular spot for Ervin or JVM. Senzel and Winker should play everyday.

      • ToBeDetermined

        Rojo

        That is very poetic – “If they reek for a week” – I like it.

  5. Ed

    Off-topic: Puig has unfortunately canceled his own Youth Pro Camp next week, and José Iglesias is taking his place. I’m really hoping they didn’t trade him.
    Here’s the dead link to where Puig’s event was- something he started when he first arrived in the area. Facebook announcement just says there’s been a scheduling conflict.
    https://www.procamps.com/yasielpuig

    Reply
    • RojoBenjy

      Or is it a sign that extension talks are dead? Prepping for being traded?

      Or maybe he got invited to a wedding and had to cancel! ;-P

      Reply
  6. Steve Schoenbaechler

    They may have found him. But, there seem to be several who are ahead of him at AAA.

    Reply
  7. SteveO

    He should definitely be in Louisville getting pt at the corner IF spots. Johnson should be released and Chavez sent down to Chattanooga. Hopefully see AlfRod or Dahl promoted to see how they can handle pitching in AAA. Also, hope to get some injured pitchers back soon. Archer, Markey and Stout have been terrible late May/Early June pickups and should be released. Herget probably returning to Louisville soon too.

    Reply
  8. TR

    If Nay is a breakout guy, where is he going to play since he’s a third and first baseman and the NL has no DH. Except for Senzel, the Reds seem to find it difficult to give young guys a real tryout with riding to bench the usual result.

    Reply
  9. BK

    Another option is to send Nay to the AFL this year. Personally, I would like to see him in Louisville soonest.

    Reply
    • Doug Gray

      Yes and no. The AFL ends after he could declare for free agency. I’m not entirely sure how it would work with teams/players in a situation like that.

      Reply

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