After back-to-back losses, the Cincinnati Reds (28-34) need a win in the worst way. They will try to get that win in the second of this weekend series against the Philadelphia Phillies (36-27) at Citizens Bank Park.

First pitch is at 4:05 ET.

Starting Pitchers

Name IP ERA FIP xFIP K% BB%
Tanner Roark 62.1 3.47 3.29 4.50 24.00% 9.20%
Nick Pivetta 29.1 6.14 5.37 4.23 23.00% 7.40%

REDS

Tanner Roark did not fare very well last Saturday against his former team in the Washington Nationals, giving up four runs on six hits over six innings. He struck out six and walked one in that start. It was his first below average start in over a month. I don’t think most fans thought Roark would be as good as he has been thus far in 2019. He’s always been a middle to back end of the rotation pitcher. This season, he’s been a solid pitcher who has been able to pitch at least five innings every start except two.

There are two reasons Roark has been so consistent this season. First, he’s not allowing home runs. He’s given up just four home runs all season. Second, his K% is up to 24% from 19.2% a year ago and 21.4% in 2017. He’s striking out more batters. Roark’s slider usage, like most other Reds pitchers this season, has jumped up about six percent. He’s gotten 10 strikeouts with his slider already. He had 17 strikeouts with his slider all of last season.

From his time spent in the NL East, Roark has faced most of the Phillies players many times. He will, however, face his former teammate Bryce Harper for the first time.

PHILLIES

After a 4.77 ERA/3.80 FIP in 164.1 innings in 2018, Nick Pivetta was sent to Triple-A Lehigh Valley in mid April after he gave up 17 runs in four starts to start the 2019 season. At Triple-A, he made six starts, posting a 3.41 ERA with 50 strikeouts in 37.1 innings. The Phillies recalled Pivetta at the end of May. In his most recent start, he pitched maybe the best game of his short career, throwing six scoreless innings and striking out nine at Dodger Stadium.

With a career 45.4 GB% rate, Pivetta is more of a ground ball pitcher. However, he does have a 23.3% HR/FB rate this season, and a career 17.7% HR/FB rate. While he induces ground balls, he also makes mistakes over the plate, and major league hitters capitalize on them.

Pivetta is essentially a three-pitch pitcher. While he has a change-up, a cutter and a sinker, he very rarely uses them. Mostly he throws a four-seamer, a curve, and a slider. In the last year, the usage of his curve ball has steadily increased. That means he’s getting even more used to throwing his curve where he wants it. It is effective for him too, as batters have struck out 14 times against it.

(Frustrating) Stat of the Day

Last night’s loss means the Reds have lost 23 games by two runs or less, which leads the majors. It’s stats like this that are frustrating. The Reds are so close to playing winning baseball, but haven’t quite turned the corner yet.

Lineups

REDS PHILLIES
1. Nick Senzel (CF)
2. Joey Votto (1B)
3. Eugenio Suarez (3B)
4. Derek Dietrich (2B)
5. Jesse Winker (RF)
6. Josh VanMeter (LF)
7. Jose Peraza (SS)
8. Tucker Barnhart (C)
9. Tanner Roark (P)
1. Cesar Hernandez (2B)
2. Bryce Harper (RF)
3. Jean Segura (SS)
4. Rhys Hoskins (1B)
5. J.T. Realmuto (C)
6. Jay Bruce (LF)
7. Scott Kingery (CF)
8. Maikel Franco (3B)
9. Nick Pivetta (P)

-Derek Dietrich and Eugenio Suarez each have a home run off Pivetta.

News and Notes

-Scooter Gennett is close to returning, as are Alex Blandino and Alex Wood.

-Joey Votto is starting to be Joey Votto again.

-Here’s how the Reds minor league teams did yesterday:

 

119 Responses

  1. Wayne nabors

    see peraza and barnhart in lineup again,sure wish i knew what casali has done to bell,just doesn’t make sense

    • VaRedsFan

      I can’t figure it out either.
      .372/.438/.581 vs right handers this year (SSS).
      I wish someone would ask Bell about this.

      • Wayne nabors

        casali was better last year to

      • Pete

        My interpretation from listening to Bell is Tucker made a very large investment in improving his defense and is being rewarded with a full-time spot in the lineup.

    • doofus

      The Reds know that Barnhart is a backup catcher. That is why they pursued JT Realmuto in the offseason.

  2. CFD3000

    Go Reds! How about an offensive outburst? 4 or 5 home runs, bounce back day for Suarez, break out day for Van Meter. Reds win 11-3. Because why not?

  3. FreeHouse

    Pivetta the type of pitcher who’s been shutting the reds down all year. The offense looks like it’s back to its anemic ways. Phillies 6 Reds 1.

  4. Sliotar

    Reds in 2019, in games away from GABP (or Coors Field East, as I like to call it)….

    wRC+ 69 (Dead. Last.)
    wOBA .277 (Dead. Last.)

    Folks can cherry-pick a team’s record over the last 4 weeks, 6 weeks, or close losses, whatever else….

    The above facts prohibit the Reds from being a serious contender.

    Especially when other teams’ offense can fatten up on any given day at HR-friendly GABP and the Reds are only 15-15 there.

    Maybe the team needs to shake up the coaching staff, get a new hitting coach. /s

    • matt hendley

      Indeed, while the Pitching coach pickup is a boon for the reds and David Bell has not been completely worthles (read: a clone of Price, Riggs), Tunner Ward needs to feel the heat. This offense is unacceptable. There are 2 ways to look at it. Either A) he introduced a change that was not effective with the hitters that he was responsible for or B) a change to the hitting of the players took place and while not his fault he is unable to rectify the situation, demonstrating his incompetence expecially with a player that was considered his pet project. A firing would be a wakeup call.

      • doofus

        Nice insight. Phillies announcer said Reds as a team see the 3rd less pitches per game. I cannot remember if that was all of MLB or National league.

        Why is Winker out-of-sync? He was looking at a breakout before he got hurt last season. I expected him to be nailing it this year.

    • Indy Red Man

      The first 9 games prohibited the Reds from being a serious contender. Eliminated on April 7 or whatever it was

  5. matt hendley

    Puig getting a day off, maybe its what he needs to get himself in gear…. another chance for JVMR. He must take advantage. I cannot think the Philles pitcher is so old that they have not faced each other.

    Iggy after driving in a run yesterday is rewarded with…. bench time? Jose Peraza getting additional chances to mess it up. All i got to say about that is…. get well soon BLANDINO

    • VaRedsFan

      Although Peraza is not a good option at all, I’m not in a hurry to see Blandino’s .234/.324/.289 here either

      • matt hendley

        granted he has been out for a long minute….but he was heating up right before the injury occurred. Most of the poor hitting was at the beginning of his call up as he went nearly 20 AB before registering a hit.

      • Michael Smith

        @varedsfan

        Especially since peraza has a 797 ops since the start of may.

      • vegastypo

        I at least trusted Blandino’s defense. Can’t say that about Peraza.

        On today’s pregame show, Bell gave the usual “gotta get him going” answer to why Peraza was playing, and that he and Van Meter were giving much needed days off to Iglesias and Puig. …………… With roster spots soon to be needed, I rather wonder whether these two are the easiest to part with unless they can convince Bell and Co. otherwise.

      • matt hendley

        David bell should have said he needed to get him going to the bus station and a ticket to Kentucky

      • Indy Red Man

        797 ops for Peraza since May? Yeah he shops for hits at Bloops-R-Us every once in a while, but give him a chance. He’ll give it back on defense

      • matt hendley

        just read the article. Disgusting. Sounds like Senzel is getting a day off tomorrow, just hope they don’t try Peraza in center.

  6. Old-school

    Puig needs a day off.
    The offense is unacceptable.
    My initial reaction to fire Turner Ward is no. But for the Reds to be in last place with THIS starting pitching staff is bewildering. Luis Castillo is an All star. Sonny Gray has been good. Tanner Roarck – can’t ask for more. Tyler Mahle 2 steps forward.

    Offense needs to get better very soon or major personnel changes need to happen across the board.

    Reds can’t fall back to 7 under and retreat to early April’s 1-8 start. Must win today .

  7. Old-school

    I don’t know that Senzel is a CF. I do know the kid can play baseball.

    • doofus

      Agree. The kid is an athlete. He has played a decent CF, but he is an infielder.

      He stayed back well on a Pivetta curve ball and scorched it to third last PA. Unfortunately, Franco snagged it otherwise a double.

      Senzel’s hustle turns a single to LF into a double. The kid can play this game. Now the front office needs to get a few more.

  8. vegastypo

    Nice catch by Senzel !!!!!!! He doesn’t look like an infielder playing the outfield.

  9. matt hendley

    who is behind the plate today? umpire wise?

      • vegastypo

        He’s got a really ‘high’ strike zone today. That first pitch to Bruce wasn’t even close.

      • VaRedsFan

        Only 5 starts behind the plate 4-0 to the over

  10. VaRedsFan

    JVM did a good job of cutting that ball off,,,,saved a run.

  11. matt hendley

    boy that shift worked right there

  12. VaRedsFan

    11 rbis for Bruce in 4+ games w/ the Phils

  13. Indy Red Man

    Roark. The guy competes, but you’re not going to keep a 3.40 era with a 1.40 whip? Thats just too many people on base.

    Good for the Reds though! Destroying that silly stat of teams scoring first win 75% of the time or whatever. They can come from ahead with the best of them:)

  14. WVRedlegs

    I was dead set against banning the defensive shifts by MLB. But the way team’s beat the Bell Shift so often, I may have to support that idea.

  15. Seat101

    I checked with the SPCA and there is been no one of Jose Pereza’s description going around kicking dogs

    I checked with a bunch of police departments and no one of Jose Peraza’s description has been turning in little kids selling lemonade illegally on the sidewalks.

    I checked with a bunch of fire departments too, and no one of Jose Peraza’s description has been putting cats in trees.

    Just letting you know he’s not completely evil

    • matt hendley

      he is robbing Tehran of actually getting a look as a BUSS, and RObbing him of those big league games.

    • Indy Red Man

      I’m more interested in their shift from being a bad team to a decent one.

  16. matt hendley

    Both JVMR and Peraza swinging that bat like they want to go to Louisville

    • Indy Red Man

      ? JVM worked it to a 3-1 count and then hit the ball over 100 mph. Just no launch angle or thats his first HR

      • matt hendley

        Then he better put some launch angle on it. For those two it is now a practical result exercise, it was a good swing, but not a good result

      • Indy Red Man

        Have to take baby steps when evaluation a baby player. JVM takes a few pitches. He’s not a hackmaster thats eager to a 49 mph popup on the first pitch like Jose. Not many guys hit 13 hrs in a month in pro ball. Not at any level! I’d like to see alot more of him. What other choice to the Reds have? They’re not winning with Scooter & DD & Puig? All these guys that are 29-30-31 years old. The Reds are 3 years away minimum

      • matt hendley

        DD is not why reds are losing games. Scooter wont be the reason either when he comes back. Puig, yea you got a point there, for now. Still to replace people you have to be better then people. JVMR is in that stage right now.

      • Indy Red Man

        You’re talking about this year and next. I’m not. The Reds are done. This year was over 9 games in and next years team won’t have the talent this one has. I’m looking at 2021 or 2022. Scooter is probably better then DD, but he’ll be too old. Puig will be gone. DD will be 32-33 years old. Probably a decent platoon type utility guy. If he has 20 hrs at the break then maybe they can flip him for someone that can help in 2022. This organization has been so bad at drafting that this team has to be blown up and rebuilt.

      • Doug Gray

        The Reds have like $60M coming off of the books and you already know that they are going to suck next year?

        Man, please tell me what the powerball numbers are for tonight so I can just go ahead and retire.

      • matt hendley

        Actually used the Reds lineup for the numbers for 2 of the slots, the rotation for the third. I swear the reds will win me something before this year is out,

      • matt hendley

        powerball aside, the fanbase will not tolerate another rebuild. Money is clearing out. Going to have to go the FA route, or the trade route, but the reds must field competitive teams for the next half-decade.

      • Indy Red Man

        Cmon Doug? I haven’t looked up the top FAs for next year, but whoever they are one thing is certain. They won’t be coming to Cincy. The Cubs, Brewers, and Cards are just better….and they can’t beat the Pirates either. Getting a semi-big name like Puig and having him blow up was about the best they could hope for, but instead he sucks. Maybe they get a guy like Avi Garcia and he has a great year. You still need alot more then 1 guy. They’re not drawing much…where is their revenue to hang with the big 3 that draw 30,000+ every night?

      • Indy Red Man

        Fanbase? Do you see the crowds? Nobody wants to see a perennial loser. You might 22k on a Sunday if the weather is unusually nice.

  17. DocProc

    Peraza, Barnhart, and Pitcher means a third of our lineup is dead weight. Good time for bathroom breaks and finding food.

    I guess the conclusion is that you can suck in last night’s game but not fear sitting the following afternoon.

    • matt hendley

      but but but…… he hit a homer in every game he hit a homer in in may…..on a tuesday.

    • DocProc

      Didn’t mean to dis Roark, who has hit better than Peraza and Barnhart lately.

      • matt hendley

        I did actually think of that. and Peraza was actually up the inning prior. Roark did actually make that pitcher work

  18. vegastypo

    I hope Barnhard didn’t injure himself on that leisurely trot to first base on the groundout.

  19. Wayne nabors

    when interviewing for new manager 1st question should have been,if named manager who would get the bulk of playing time at cather,everyone who said barnhart should have been escorted out immediately, saved us alot of aggravation

    • matt hendley

      The correct answer is, “who are you planning to get in the offseason”

  20. Old-school

    Stop with the shift. The reds can’t score runs.

      • Old-school

        Wonderful and great. But they are losing and in last place with a good starting rotation because they can’t hit.

        Not saying stop with the shift… sorry…..Saying stop focusing on the shift. It’s not the difference between 78-84 and 86-76. Hitting is. Focus on the lack of hitting . This team can’t hit.

  21. Indy Red Man

    Suarez now on a 6-33 streak (.182) with no Hrs. Thats all we needed.

    Had enough. Nick Pavetta Seaver rolling along….he of the 6.50 era fame!

  22. matt hendley

    Mistake pitch by Roark… not forgiven

  23. matt hendley

    Votto and Senzel only players on base today.Unacceptable

  24. FreeHouse

    Like I said Pivetta will throw a gem today. Phillies ganna sweep. Reds offense sucks they didn’t take advantage during the time they got hot. They need to sell and set sights for 2020.

    • VaRedsFan

      Teams aren’t buying the things they have for sale.

  25. C Holbert

    Why was everyone so surprised the Reds were mentioned as being in on JT Realmuto? A Gold Glove a couple years ago must be worth years of playing time. The pitching appears to be in good hands no matter who is catching. The “alleged” good defense no offense catcher on a team this offensively challenged is not realistic. I say give Casali the chance to play his way out of the lineup.

    • VaRedsFan

      Look at the bright side….we got to keep our Single A ( now AA) prospect….#eyeroll

  26. Old-school

    This 2019 season is teetering on the brink. 1-4 in June and last place and no signs of life on offense. Need to win today period. Someone with a bat needs to step up.

  27. Indy Red Man

    Scooter to Philly maybe? He’s not a good 3rd baseman, but maybe Hernandez could play 3rd?

    Reds announcers? Excusing Winker by saying nobody would run. Thats #%$. I’m gone. This team deserves a Bobby Knight expletive filled rant that would send women and children scurrying away & covering their ears. 6 pitches…14 in a row. A guy with a 6 era….lolllllllllllllllllll

    Cleaning toilets with a toothbrush in basic training was more fun then watching this team

    • Old-school

      Winker hit that ball 15 feet foul. How it gets back to fair is a Philly field issue. Literally never seen that ever. Not a Winker problem nor a reds problem. Random and strange, but not a narrative.

      • matt hendley

        agreed, that was extremely strange play and unfortunate for winker, but everyone and their mother thought that was foul. TIll it wasnt

    • matt hendley

      scooter 5y/35gwith 15 in incentives.

    • Wayne nabors

      im with you indy,i rented an apartment in otr,and got tix for july 2,3,4 and the birthday bash on the 5th,now im wondering why

  28. C Holbert

    Can Derek Johnson coach hitting as well?

  29. FreeHouse

    Are you surprised the Reds are getting owned by a guy with 6ERA? I’m not. This has been going on all year. The offense is not going to get any better. This team is what they are. Tomorrow Nola will toss another gem. By next week they’ll be looking at 10 games under 500.

  30. Pete

    The good news is it appears the run differential will soon catch up with the Reds record. The team looks really, really bad right now. I’m talking first week of April bad.

  31. VaRedsFan

    The next time Votto gets rung up on a close pitch…He got got an absurdly good call there.

  32. VaRedsFan

    Phillie announcer Kruk echoing what I saw…Geno’s hips and head flying open trying to pull the ball.

    • Pete

      Yup, he’s going to hit a HR if it kills him. Right now the approach is swing harder.

  33. Pete

    Suarez and DD had two the worst AB’s that you want to see.

  34. C Holbert

    I hate to say this but it looks like DD may have come back to earth….

  35. matt hendley

    Votto with the Multi Hit game again. At least someone showed up. Although winker should have walked on that play.

  36. Old-school

    Enquirer headline Peraza needs more playing time… Senzel sitting tomorrow . David Bell has lost his mind.

    • matt hendley

      I get the senzel sitting for a day, he has been in every inning since he came up. put peraza playing #$()*$)(*$ no

      • Pete

        I think they should just go ahead and lead him off every game. Build up his confidence while getting his out out of the way quickly. A two-fer.

    • vegastypo

      I suspect it’s a planned day off for Senzel, similar to Puig and Iglesias sitting today … Bell did say today that he wanted to increase Peraza’s playing time, that he thinks Peraza is close to being the better hitter that he has shown at times in the past.

  37. Hanawi

    Reds have a whole team of guys raking in AAA. Some of them have to be better than what they are putting out right now on the MLB team.

    I’m ready to fire Ward as well. Reds trying to hit a 3 run homerun every time at bat, like the Dodgers last year. Getting on base no longer seems to be the primary goal and thus they can’t manufacture runs.

  38. VaRedsFan

    That’s OK Tucker…maybe next game…or the next, or the next, because you will surely be out there GIDP’s

  39. DocProc

    Anyone predict that double play coming from Barnhart?
    Anyone?
    Everyone?

  40. Hanawi

    The number of rally killing double plays the Reds have grounded into in the last 2-3 weeks is truly astounding. Seems like 1-2 a game.

  41. matt hendley

    unbelievable, Peraza produces a miracle and then TB is like hold my beer. Absolute garbage.

  42. Satchmo

    Ward’s “homer or bust” philosophy simply does not work with these hitters. Perhaps his rep as a hitting coach was a product of the wealth of riches the Dodgers have, not Ward’s coaching ability.

  43. C Holbert

    Now I understand this is only a 1/3 of the year for 2019, but the trend is not good. Maybe the Dodgers were okay with Ward moving on.

    Dodgers 2018, BA .250, OBP .333, SLG .442, POS .774.
    Dodgers 2019, BA .264, OBP .346, SLG .465, POS .812.

    Reds 2018, BA .254, OBP .328, SLG .401, POS .729.
    Reds 2019, BA .233, OBP .303, SLG .405, POS .708.

  44. Pete

    Reds have lost 5 out of 6, and scored a total of 7 runs. You do the math.

  45. matt hendley

    Someone, either Tunner ward or a significant FO hire needs to be fired. Put the players on notice. Only Senzel and Votto showed up to play the entire game from the position player standpoint. Really hope Nola has the flu or something tommorow

  46. Wayne nabors

    senzel had 2 days off this week,im sure he would be fine,bell just has to tinker and go by his analytics, not to mention them stupid shifts

      • Wayne nabors

        keep showing that doug,and maybe you will start to believe it

      • Doug Gray

        Yeah, who needs verifiable facts when you’ve got an opinion?

      • Wayne nabors

        Doug I know you’re pretty slick,not gonna denied that,I just watch practically every game ,and I just think that is skewered the way the run differential had reds better than they were,but i will confess I’ve never liked the shift and think it is discriminatory toward left handed batters.sorry if I offended,didn’t mean to

      • Satchmo

        Very good chance that in the future we see a bias against drafting lefties unless the are clearly spray hitters.

    • Pete

      Analytics have nothing to do with it. All it does is look at the same information from a different perspective. The Reds can’t hit a baseball and this holds true in both standard and advance statistics. Not using analytics is kindred to sticking your head in the sand, the worse thing the Reds can do is go back to the old ways. Analytics do not recommend starting Barnhart and Peraza, this is 100% on David Bell.

  47. Ron Payne

    The Reds are one or two weeks away from becoming the same old crappy team we’ve watched for the last 4-5 years.
    I don’t know what moves could be made to turn things around, but I agree that something needs to be done soon or it isn’t going to matter.
    – Ward needs to go. Maybe not totally to blame for this struggling offense, but don’t he’s contributing either.
    – Rather see Phillip Ervin in RF over Puig and Casali over Barnhart.
    – Senzel should play every day.
    – Like to see more hustle from home plate to first.

    Getting Gennett and Wood should be a boost, but it likely will be too little too late.

  48. Culone

    Give Lorenzen some starts in the outfield and get Schebler up here . Maybe you can get a bag of balls for Barnhart ?

  49. Culone

    Hey, Mesoraco is available !! or maybe Bill Plummer . Barnhart must go.