It’s Luis Castillo day! If that’s not enough to get you excited and ready to follow this game, then I’m not sure what will. Also, if you are “out of market”, the game today is the FREE MLBtv Game of the Day – so you can watch it if you would like to, even if you don’t have the service. The game begins at 1:10pm.

Starting Pitchers

Name IP ERA xFIP K% BB%
Luis Castillo 61.2 1.90 2.61 31.8% 10.5%
Zach Davies 52.2 1.54 3.73 16.9% 7.5%

On paper, this match up should be all about Luis Castillo. While Zach Davies actually has the better ERA, he’s been rather lucky to get there. He’s got a well below-average strikeout rate, a good walk rate, and his ground ball rate (not listed above) is below-average. Castillo, on the flip side, has been dominant in every aspect.

Starting Lineup

Cincinnati Reds

  1. Nick Senzel – CF
  2. Joey Votto – 1B
  3. Eugenio Suarez – 3B
  4. Jesse Winker – RF
  5. Derek Dietrich – 2B
  6. Jose Iglesias – SS
  7. Josh VanMeter – LF
  8. Luis Castillo – P
  9. Tucker Barnhart – C

Milwaukee Brewers

  1. Lorenzo Cain – CF
  2. Mike Moustakas – 3B
  3. Yasmani Grandal – C
  4. Eric Thames – 1B
  5. Keston Hiura – 2B
  6. Ben Gamel – LF
  7. Hernan Perez – RF
  8. Orlando Arcia – SS
  9. Zach Davies – P

News and Notes

Yasiel Puig may be able to pinch hit today, according to John Fay.

The Cincinnati Reds pitched their 7th shutout of the season last night in their win. They had all of 6 shutouts last season. Today is May 22nd.

Amir Garrett has recorded his last 9 outs via the strikeout. The lefty has struck out 39% of the hitters he’s faced this season (31 of 80).

The Reds are 22-26 this season and in last placed in the National League central. They are 7.0 games back of the first place Cubs. But, they Reds are also only 4.5 or 3.5 games out of one of the wild card spots, trailing the Brewers (4.5), or the Pirates/Braves (3.5).

118 Responses

  1. ToBeDetermined

    As Fantastic as Castillo has been this year. It amazes me that Davies has even a better ERA in nearly as many innings.

    Hope it’s a good game with the Reds at least a little better than the BrewCrew today.

    • Scott Gennett

      Another inning killed by Votto, how much more?

  2. Tom Mitsoff

    Neither Yelich nor Braun starting today for Brewers!

  3. MARK MOORE

    No Yellich again? Did I miss an injury report?

    • ToBeDetermined

      I heard he got traded to the Reds for a player to be named later.
      Wait a minute.
      No, sorry that was in my dream from last night

  4. magi210

    Day to day with back spasms for Yellich I think.

  5. Eric

    Admittedly, I’m no expert, but it looks to me like Joey Votto’s entire swing needs an overhaul. I’m not quite sure what that was.

    • VaRedsFan

      Your eyes aren’t lying to you. He needs to go back and look at 2017 video. Copy and repeat.

  6. Rut

    Another soft tosser to torment our lineup.

    Joey just looks broken. For all the talk about his “decline” phase, I just can’t help but think so much of this is mental. He can’t physically have declined that much over a calendar year, or at least I hope not.

    Not sure if the mental block will be easier for Joey to overcome than a physical issue, but would have to think so.

    • CI3J

      Honestly, it’s entirely possible he did decline that much in a year. It’s really not unheard of, and in fact is somewhat common, for players his age to suddenly and precipitously fall off a cliff. Everyone ages in different ways. Sometimes it’s a gradual decline, other times it’s shockingly sudden.

      This season will be the tell for Votto. If he can get it together and have a few months where he hits .280+ with a .360+ OBP, he might still have a little left in the tank. But it’s definitely looking like he’s just about reached the end of his playing journey.

  7. Chris Holbert

    I know we do not want to think about a JV decline. The Reds have to have production from that position. This is a good test to see if team and winning is really the most important.

  8. Tom Mitsoff

    Brewers TV said today is the first game for the Brewers since 1971 in which the two starting pitchers have more than 50 innings pitched and ERAs below 2.00.

    • VaRedsFan

      Naturally a slug-fest will break out

  9. Roger Garrett

    I just keep hoping that this offense will one day start to hit but I just don’t know.Castillo and crew may have to shut them out and pray for one or two runs.Its just sad to watch soft tossers like Gio last night and Davies today say here is 88 and see if you can hit it.Which we can’t.

  10. VaRedsFan

    OMG…an embarassment of riches. Tucker 3 run blast!!!!

  11. Roger Garrett

    For this inning looks like we can hit 88.Five hits in an inning.Good job guys.Big time hitting by the rookie and Tucker.

  12. Doug Gray


    While Zach Davies actually has the better ERA, he’s been rather lucky to get there. He’s got a well below-average strikeout rate, a good walk rate, and his ground ball rate (not listed above) is below-average.

  13. Roger Garrett

    Castillo needs to right the ship right now.A homer and a walk to start the bottom of the inning.We need this game.

    • PhP

      I can’t figure out how to post images but ball 4 was clearly a strike. It didn’t miss low or outside. Umps need to be held accountable more than they are.

      • Doug Gray

        Just a note: Gameday isn’t 100% accurate.

  14. CI3J

    Ruh roh.

    Castillo looks like he’s on his way to matching Davies’ meltdown.

  15. Roger Garrett

    Castiilo hasn’t had a stinker all year and looks like this it.No time is a good time but with a 5 run lead its well gee.

  16. VaRedsFan

    Super play by Castillo and Tuck. Safety squeeze snuffed out

  17. CI3J

    Tucker doing his Gandalf impression on Gamel:

    YOU SHALL NOT PASS!

  18. Nate

    nice play at the plate by Castillo & Barnhart

  19. CI3J

    Iglesias flashes the leather to get the Reds out of the jam.

    Well done, lads.

    • Tom Mitsoff

      You bet. That guy is a keeper.

  20. Roger Garrett

    That could have been worse and much worse.Great play on the bunt and Iggy well is Iggy.Have we approached him about an extension.Would be a great time right now before he bats.Hurry please.

  21. renbutler

    KC up 7-0 at STL, Reds up 6-1 at MIL.

    Good first three innings in both cases!

  22. VaRedsFan

    Double D crushes one to get that run back

  23. CI3J

    Fun Fact: Castillo has only given up more than 2 runs once in this entire season: May 5th at San Fran, where he was tagged for 4.

    10 starts this season, and only ONCE has he given up more than 2 runs. Hopefully he grinds through today to keep that trend alive.

  24. Roger Garrett

    Got to go pick up the grand kids bring it home nation.Castillo one more time you need to right the ship now.

  25. CI3J

    Castillo is REALLY struggling out there. No control at all.

  26. Pete

    Hate to say but LC may not be long for this game. Happens to the best of them but Reds need to take this game.

  27. CI3J

    Raise your hand if you saw 10+ runs being scored before this game started.

    Yeah, me neither.

    • Tom Mitsoff

      So much for the pitching matchup of the century.

  28. Tom Mitsoff

    It’ll be interesting to see how Bell manages the bullpen with at least 6 1/3 innings to cover now. Might see Stephenson, Hughes and Peralta for multiple innings since they have been the least-used of late.

    • VaRedsFan

      Hoping Lorenzen can go the next 3 (scoreless of course)….maybe get 2 AB’s

      • TR

        Needed because of long trip to Chicago.

  29. CI3J

    Yeesh.

    The Reds are doing everything they can to give this one away. You’d think scoring 6 runs on a day Castillo pitches would be about as guaranteed as it gets.

  30. CI3J

    Welp.

    Tie game. Let’s see whose bullpen coughs it up.

  31. VaRedsFan

    The last 2 games, the Brewers have brought 2 front office execs into the TV booth to talk about the team.

    No disrespect to the Community fund or other charities in Cincy, but this is what I would prefer to hear from Reds home broadcasts

  32. Mark Lang

    The baseball gods are just against us today… nothing hit hard, dink…walk… dunk….boneheaded defensive play, dink…

  33. Pete

    If the Reds manage to lose this game, it will be more devastating then the SF disaster.

    6-1 lead with the team’s ace on the mound.

  34. VaRedsFan

    Geno looked at 2nd on the weak grounder. Looks like he had the guy at 2nd easily, but opted to go to 1st for the out. That man scored on the base hit. Any other opinion on that?

    • Old-school

      Not a 100% sure, but I don’t think Dietrich was at the bag. The camera went to him and I thought I heard Thom say no one at 2b for the double play

  35. citizen54

    Look on the bright side. At least the Reds didn’t blow a 8 run lead.

  36. Chris Holbert

    There is no way Votto can hit with any authority at all, with half the bat below his hands. I can see that with two strikes, but seriously, from the beginning of the AB.

    • Broseph

      Guy does look broken and lost for sure. He will turn it around at some point. Look at 2017. The question is, how far can he turn it around?

      • Hanawi

        He seemed to completely change his approach after getting pounded by inside fastballs early last year. Goes up to the plate looking defensive instead of trying to punish the ball.

  37. FreeHouse

    Votto has now become a nearly automatic out and Bell continues to bat him 2nd. I know the Reds should have won this game easily with Castillo on the mound but c’mon this guy is lost! Another big lead blown by Castillo and another L that cost this team. Reds will not score anymore today.

    • CI3J

      Reds will not score anymore today.

      You sure about that?

    • Pete

      Maybe we’ll see a lineup adjustment in Chicago, I won’t be surprised. Iglesias has made his case.

    • Doug Gray

      Another big lead blown by Castillo?

      • FreeHouse

        Blew a four run lead against an anemic Giants team. So yes.

  38. Pete

    EV of the two balls hit by DD: 111.7, 110.5 mph. Two hardest hit balls in this game by far. Swinging the bat….

    Iglesias is the man!

  39. Hanawi

    Votto is either hurt or his mental approach is completely broken at this point. Doesn’t hit anything hard at all. They need to put him on the IL and let him take a break for a bit.

    • Old-school

      And a good eye exam. I would assume every player gets them in ST.

      • Broseph

        I actually thought about this the other day. He’s reaction seems late. His swing is ok, but everything is late as if he’s not picking up the ball.

        Out of curiosity, I’m wondering how teams approach this. Are players mandated to take eye exams every year? I would hope so since free eye exams with insurance is a pretty good return on $25 million dollars.

  40. Joey

    Did Drew Stubbs possess Joey Votto’s body?

  41. Roger Garrett

    First good at bat by Joey in a long time.Actually fouled off 3 or 4 pitches.He just needs some time off to get things straight.He has to be just numb at the plate.

    • Broseph

      It did look better but he was late on everything. That’s the scary part. Is it mental or physical that’s making him apprehensive on swings

  42. Broseph

    Oh look, Peralta is in and instantaneously there is a hit. Can we petition for his release and Reed’s promotion yet?

  43. CI3J

    Tie game again.

    This has a feeling of a game that isn’t going to be decided until the final out of the 9th inning.

  44. Broseph

    Forget petition. Dude is burying his own grave. Two run bomb to Grandal

  45. Broseph

    Hello Bell!!!!! Get him out of the game.

    Edited

    • Doug Gray

      Do not call players garbage. Only warning you’re going to get.

  46. WVRedlegs

    Votto is just not himself at the plate. I, too, think a 10-day stint on the IL to rest whatever is ailing him should be in order. Rest for 2 or 3 days then get in the cage for 7-8 days and hit the ground running when he comes off the IL. It would be a very good time for it as the Reds have Brian O’Grady tearing it up at AAA who they could call up and play 1B. Grady with 2 more HR’s today at Louisville.
    O’Grady at 1B, Vanmeter at 2B, Senzel in CF, Winker in RF, and Ervin in LF for the next 10 days. Just turn the youngsters loose. Double-D can play a little 1B, a little 2B, a little 3B and a little LF in that span. They won’t have to sit him to play Vanmeter. It would be an interesting 10 days.

  47. SrRedsFan

    What is the definition of insanity again? Thank you…

  48. Roger Garrett

    I guess we ride Peralta until he gives up the lead.He is and has been awful outside of a couple of months in the last two years.Reed should meet this team in Chicago.

    • RojoBenjy

      Yes, Reed should be on his way to the airport right now.

  49. Seat101

    What happened?
    I have been asleep since the second inning. (I’ve had the bug that’s going through Cincinnati like hot soup through a sick kid.) I figured You all could handle this game while I took a nap.

    Seriously, what happened?

      • Seat101

        If only they had started Peraza.

        Wasn’t it the Brewers who gave up at seven run lead to us last year making every kind of mistake possible?

  50. Bruuuuuccceee

    I said before the inning, anyone but Peralta. It was 2-3-4 coming up, and you had just regained the lead, so giving it right back would be devastating. Hernandez, Iglesias, Garrett or BobSteve. You have an off day tomorrow and had an off day on Monday.

  51. Old-school

    On another note, Grandal and Moustakis are both FA at the end of year. They can both hit.

    • Seat101

      Where would you play them? As I understand it pictures aren’t sorry when Grandal leaves their team. The rest of the infield is pretty much spoken for.

      • Broseph

        Grandal can hit somewhat, but he’s no Buster Posey and his defense and game calling are noted for being average at best. It’s just swapping offense for defense.

  52. Roger Garrett

    Ball game.Its off to Chicago.Peralta should have been gone after the home run.Bell this one is on you especially after Sunday’s melt down by Peralta.Plane is ready to go and so is this team.Sad.

  53. Bruuuuuccceee

    ESPN has an in-game win-probability statistic. The Reds have to be at or near the top of the league for having 90%+ win probability and not eventually winning.

  54. Big Ed

    This team really is pathetic. They never miss a chance to miss a chance.

  55. VaRedsFan

    Iggy loads them up…the guy makes good contact with 2 strikes

  56. CI3J

    This has been some kind of wacky game.

  57. VaRedsFan

    except for Hughes, the rest of the pen has been terrible today.

  58. VaRedsFan

    Irvin misses a double by inches….
    No clean clear replay of course…where’s Hawkeye when you need it

  59. VaRedsFan

    That might have replaced Votto for the TOOTBLAN of the year

  60. CI3J

    Well.

    That’s something you don’t see every day.

    The baseball gods really want us to lose this one.

  61. Roger Garrett

    Told you they are already on the plane.

  62. Old-school

    This is a tough game as a Reds fan. Another opportunity lost. Every time the reds seem to be ready to make a push towards .500, they don’t.

  63. Ted

    Am I missing something or why didn’t the runner on third run home on the wild pitch?

    • Broseph

      Saw the ball come back to the catcher. Probably would’ve been out. That’s on Casali

  64. Tex

    It sure look like that ball that Ervin hit was fair …looked like it definitely kicked up dirt on the fair side of the foul line.

  65. Ted

    I think it’s at least 50-50 he makes it home those are better odds than scoring with 2 outs…and the runner on first is expecting both the runners to move up, I think thats on the runner at 3rd

    • renbutler

      Dietrich made the right choice — at first.

      But as soon as it was clear that Casali was going to be the third out, Dietrich should have run home and at least forced a throw.

  66. CI3J

    Really seems like the Brewers are catching all the lucky breaks while the Reds are getting none. Brewers hit a ball that falls right on the line, fair ball, double. Reds have had several balls fall literally inches outside the line. Then Winker hits a screamer that was almost a sure double with runners on the corners, right at their SS.

    Then of course, the whole passed ball strikeout.

    Just wasn’t meant to be.

  67. Old-school

    I was at the reds,Cubs walk off win game. Winker abd Dietrich abd Votto all had good hits off Cubs lefty relievers. Winker had a hut of Ryu abd just obliterated a ball off Hader, unfortunately right at the SS.

    Anyone got an exit velo on that ball. No one barrels up Hader.

    Put Winker in left and leave him there.

  68. CI3J

    That was a really, really tough one to lose. And as I said earlier, it was more about some (un)lucky bounces than actually being outplayed.

    Oh well. Back to 5 games under .500. Holding pattern since April 11th.

    • CI3J

      Actually, I guess if you want to get technical, they were 5 under .500 on April 6th, when they were 1-6.

      So basically, they dug an early hole, and have been a .500 team since.

      • Old-school

        This is likely who they are. Most projections have them at the 78-84 range.

  69. steve stevens

    These Reds really look for new ways to embarrass themselves. This one was even worst than the 8-run lead against Giants, or the 4-run lead. Sure, Mil had a couple of breaks, but come on….Now our Senzel starting to look like Votto letting by good pitches right in the zone. It seems there’s only one player in that team: Jose Iglesias. Disgusting really.

  70. matthew hendley

    actually mised the game today at work, so looks like peralta is teying to become the setup guy for the Bats. Unfortunatly, because the Reds did not bring Reed back up when Duke was injured, there will be a delay before the reds can recall him. Shame. Cant blame the hitting when they score 9 runs. Now going to watch the game. Anything I should pay special attention to?

    • RedsMonk65

      Have a good, stiff drink handy.

      • matthew hendley

        I see what you mean. Votto did come through with a hit in the end. His on base streak continues. Lots of hits, walks and HBP. Defiantly a pitching fail today. On to the Cubs.