The Reds beat up on the St. Louis Cardinals as a great way to kick off a seven game roadtrip. Peraza, Votto, Suarez, Winker and Puig all hit home runs. It was the first time in Reds history that batters hitting 9 through 4 in the order all homered in the same game.

Anthony DeSclafani had his second consecutive strong start for the Reds. He held the Cardinals scoreless over six innings. The Reds broke the game open with six runs in the top of the 9th inning, and they forced the Cardinals to bring in a position player to pitch. The Reds are now 10-6 over their last 16 games following their 1-8 start to the season.

Final R H E
St. Louis Cardinals (15-10) 1 8 0
Cincinnati Reds (11-14) 12 14 0
W: DeSclafani (1-1) L: Mikolas (2-2)
FanGraphs Win Probability | Statcast | Box Score | Game Thread

Biggest Play of the Game

According to Fangraphs WPA statistic (winning percentage added), the most important play of the game was Jesse Winker’s solo home run in the 4th inning with 0 outs, giving the Reds a 2-0 lead. That play increased the Reds chances of winning by 11.1% (from 57.5% to 74.4%).

Positives

Yasiel Puig hit his 3rd home run of the season to straight away centerfield (it was the hardest hit ball of the night with an exit velocity of 108.7). Puig is now 5 for 12 with 2 HR over the last four games. Puig is starting to heat up, and it’s just about that time of the year for him. He has a career .886 OPS in May (.970 last year). April has never been his month, as he only has a career .691 OPS (just .500 last year).

Anthony DeSclafani turned in his second consecutive stellar start: 6.0 IP, 4 H, 0 R, 3 BB, 6 K. Disco has now allowed just 1 run over his last two starts (12.0 IP). His ERA has also crept down to 4.26.

Joey Votto had two hits, including his 3rd home run of the season.. Votto’s wRC+ has crept above 100 at 106.

Jesse Winker hit his 7th home run of the season. That already matched his total from all of last year. This is the same guy that hit only 5 home runs in an entire season in the minors in 2016.

Jose Peraza had two hits, including a stunning upper deck home run into Big Mac land. It was Peraza’s first time reaching base multiple times since April 9th.

Eugenio Suarez hit his 6th home run of the season. Suarez now has a 125 wRC+ on the season (he was at 135 last year).

Curt Casali had three hits tonight, including a bases clearing double to really blow the game open. He is now hitting .306/.342/.444 on the season.

Scott Schebler had a pair of walks. Jose Iglesias also had two hits.

Negatives

Nope….nothing to see here tonight.

Not so random thoughts……….

The Reds now have a run differential of +16. That is the 9th best in the MLB at the moment, and it is the 5th best in the NL.

Up Next:

Reds at Cardinals
Saturday, 2:15 PM
TV: FOX Sports Ohio, MLB Network (out of market only)
Tyler Mahle (3.52 ERA/3.24 FIP) vs Dakota Hudson (5.89 ERA/8.79 FIP)

39 Responses

  1. matthew hendley

    Even schebler wasn’t HORRIBLE, (please notice I didn’t say good) Great game by the reds, win one of the next 2 and another seies won

    • RichS

      Sorry, but Schebler looks lost at the plate. AAA is calling!

  2. Scott Gennett

    Iglesias is quietly having an outstanding season, it’s very unlikely he’ll be benched once Gennett returns. Good to see Suarez, Winker & Puig all heating-up.

    • Tomn

      Iglesias is our starting SS. He’s outstanding. Sorry Peraza. 2b/CF/utility for you now. I’m sure Peraza works hard but Iglesias is just that good. Senzel becomes either our 2b or C.f. and when Gennett returns, I’d have Gannett start at 2b against RH, moving Senzel to CF. Against LH, Senzel to 2b, Peraza or Ervin to CF.

      • TomN

        Autocorrect makes me crazy. Turns Senzel to Denzel. I like Washington, but he’s not a Red.

  3. Klugo

    How old is Jose Iglesias?
    Just wondering.

      • Klugo

        Is that too old to be the Red’s SS of the future?
        If Scooter were to come back tomorrow, who would go to the bench?

      • matthew hendley

        No. A 3 to 4 year deal at a reasonable rate would not be too much. This guy is starter material.

  4. Joey

    Im from southeastern Ohio but have been living in southeastern Kansas the last four years. This is Cardinals country out here and Royals country. Had a guy from church invite me over tonight to watch his first place team put it to the Reds. I enjoyed his hospitality, his hamburger, the t bone steak he made me, and then proceeded to watch the Reds T bone the cardinals. It was one glorious evening. Who wod have guessed Winker would be leading the team in home runs after a month? I know it was a beat down and he walked twice but Schebler should be on the negative list. His other at bat’s he looked lost at the plate and struck out on a ball 4 in the dirt. Nick Senzel countdown +/- 10 days?

    • matthew hendley

      No garrentee, but I would strongly think the next homestand. Do it at home so the home crowd sees his debut, first hit etc. Just like Vlad

      • WVRedlegs

        The next home stand is a 3 game series vs. SF. It will be the following home stand on May14 vs the Cubs. That is the rumor.

  5. Klugo

    Redlegs playing well. Even the defense was stellar.
    Schebs is painful to watch at the plate, but everyone else is looking more comfortable up there. I’m just as excited for Puig’s single as I am his HR.

  6. Curt

    If i’m In charge, I’d be drawing up a contract offer for Puig like yesterday.

    • matthew hendley

      Puig, Iglesias, Scooter, there is a few.

      • Curt

        Didn’t mean to put the question mark 🙂

      • da bear

        There’s a price on everything. The price for Scooter is too high. Much better values elsewhere.

      • matthew hendley

        Price on Scooter after figuring in the Hometown discount, the injury discount, and the general movement away from free agency are all driving his price down. The time has never been better. Furthermore, using price as a primary argument has not ever been a valid argument.

  7. jreis

    talk about the home runs all you want. I say the play of the game was the Iglesias/Schebler hit and run. that almost brought a tear to my eye. more of that please!

  8. Scott Gennett

    Not sure about statcast appraisal, but that IF hit by Iglesias in the top of the 9th should have had a very low probability to get on base.

  9. Scott Gennett

    Can’t understand Schebler’s clumsiness at the plate now, the guy destroyed pitching during last ST, 1st half of 2018 (until injured) and all of 2017. Perhaps his reassignment to CF has something to do with it.

    • Still a Red

      Just an eye test, but it seems (as in the past) that Schebler is a sucker for the low inside breaking ball. What seems a little different perhaps is he’s not getting to the high fast ball. Meaning, the pitchers are attacking his weaknesses. That said, he still pretty much scorches the ball when he hits it (unfortunately, the shift probably robs of quite a few hits). There was a time when he used to choke up with 2 strikes and go the opposite way more often. Seems to have abandoned that.

      • jazzmanbbfan

        At the beginning of the season the TV announcers were talking about how he can’t lay off the high fastball. I just think right now he doesn’t look good on anything. If he gets hot we’ll all forget it at least momentarily but he’s starting to make Jay Bruce look like the picture of consistency.

  10. Scott Gennett

    Looks like Reds struck gold with Iglesias: outstanding defense & base running skills, coupled with a 284/324/373 line.

  11. Slicc50

    The boys are looking good! What a turn around by the pitching so far! 77 ER allowed and 19 HR through 25 games. That is #1 in MLB right now. Thru last April, the Reds pitching had allowed 136 ER and 41 HR. If they can keep this up, who knows what can happen?

  12. Scott C

    I think Iglesias has been a great pick up, not quite sure I want to jump on the bandwagon of signing him up for a three or four year contract. He is probably never going to be a great hitter, but I do like him at short better than Peraza. First of all his defense is way better than Peraza’s and secondly I think his plate discipline is better. Peraza may hit for more power and may even hit for a marginally better average but I think that Iglesias will have over a career a better OBP.

    • Indy Red Man

      Iglesias (SS) is 29. Scooter will be 29 next week. DD will be 30 in July. Some tough decisions. I think most players start fading at 32 and definitely at 33. I wouldn’t be signing anyone to a 4 year deal. In fact if they wanted to keep Scooter they would’ve done it by now. We’ll see what happens when he gets back? This Josh VanMeter kid is on my radar as well. He’s hitting .349 with 7 bombs at Louisville and he’s only 24! He’s a lefty hitter as well.

      I throw out alot of stink and some of it sticks to the wall. I was calling for Puig and Sonny Gray 2 years ago. I was also on the sign Scooter bandwagon, but predicted he’d go to the Yankees. It makes more sense then ever now….with all their injuries. Work out something for RHP Johnny Lasagna

      • Jefferson Green

        Good call, Indy. Pointing out age is critically important in these evaluations. Serious decline usually begins by 32 for speed related positions/skills (including range), and it usually begins around 27. Experience and skill level can keep rising to more than compensate for the beginning of the decline because it is small at first, but it is already beginning.
        Peraza is still 24 years old. Van Meter is 24 years old. Both have 2 more years of growth before hitting peak. Iglesias is 29 years old – already had those two years of growth and almost two more of peak career that we are seeing now. Normal curve is that Iglesias will improve little from here on out, and will mostly decline; Peraza and Van Meter will improve more.

      • matthew hendley

        Counter Argument-Next year, short of a long Stint in the minors, Peraza hits Arbitration and becomes expensive. At this time we must figure out where he fits in. Second? No, Scooter is light years better then him (even factoring in a age related decline). Deitrich, also has started making real noise about taking his spot as well. When you are being threatened by Derick Dietrich, you are not anything of the future. Short? All can agree that Jose I has the better defense, but Jose I also can contribute with the bat better then Jose P. The Eye test confirms that. If the numbers are not supporting it I would recon that Peraza has gotten incredibly lucky with BABIP.
        Peraza has had chance after chance after chance. He has wasted almost all of them. I am not saying get rid of him, but the need to recognize him as a bench piece and not a starter is important. Also with the exception of Glove first Blake Tehran there is no depth of note in the minors. All of the 2B prospects of Note are gone as well, (Dixon to Detroit, Long to Seattle) Detrich, who I would provide his third year of arbitration to, but would not extend is a platoon player. Scooter still has 2-3 seasons of real production ahead of him, and with a 4Y extension can either be traded off then or used to be a ‘Veteran voice in the clubhouse’.
        Jose I would not be expensive to extend. Scooters Money can come from the money being dropped by the Kemp, Roark, and RP contracts, and still have space left over.
        Stop with the projections, Scooter has made projections look silly for 2 years and will do so again when he returns from injury (which will reduce his cost). Peraza has made predictions look silly, just as his swing, has he has been grossly overvalued.
        Trammel is still a year and change away, Siri is not a sure thing. There is no current prospect block issue, assuming that senzel establishes himself in center.

      • Scott C

        I agree that Iglesias age is against him, which is why I am not jumping on his bandwagon, at least totally. No way do I sign him for 4 years. 2 maybe? I don’t think his decline is going to be as great as Scooter’s will be. He seems to have good plate discipline. He has a 270 career BA and career 315 OBP. Not outstanding but not bad for a defense first SS. Peraza is 277/313 career and does not bring as near a s good a glove. At least to me, Iglesias would bring better value than Peraza for the next 2 years. Yes Peraza is younger but unless he can get a better grip on the strike zone he is not going to improve. Last year could have been an outlier.

    • Jefferson Green

      The key difference between Iglesias and Peraza (as noted by Indy below) is age and where each is in the development curve. At 24 (turning 25) Peraza has age on his side. At 29 Iglesias has age working against him. With his breakout over the final 4 months last year, Peraza showed glimpses of a strong bat (for a shortstop) that could develop into a consistent wRC+ of 110+, which would be a big asset for this team for the next 4 years. Iglesisas is indeed a great fielder – one of the best SS in baseball over the last three years, but his hitting is very light and plate discipline poor (Peraza’s has been poor, too, but believe it or not, Iglesias has a worse O-swing%).

  13. Danny Red

    Why did Bell take Garrett out with 2 outs and the game under control? Lorenzen is a good pitcher but not a good inherited runner pitcher. The Reds should have shut out the Cards with two outs and a runner on first, Bell should have let Garrett work it out just like he does when Garrett get inherited runners on 3rd and holds the run. Use analytics when needed Bell and quit wasting our bullpen arms!!

    • Jefferson Green

      Maybe it was a good chance for Lorenzen to work on coming in with runners on in a game the Reds had under control? Maybe a good chance to get some work in since he had only faced one batter since last Sunday. Maybe other reasons.
      Overall, the bullpen is pitching fewer innings than last year, and the load is spread over an extra arm (8, versus 7 most of last year). While Bell may be switching a little too often, it is too early to tell whether the bullpen winds up overworked as we get into the summer.

    • Pete

      Reds bullpen is ranked third in ERA: 3.36. Only behind the Giants & Rays. The advanced stats are not as impressive but I’m giving high marks to Bell on his handling of the relievers. Whatever he is doing, keep doing it.

    • Warren Leeman

      100% ditto @Danny Red! DB routinely works the L-R game until runs out of pitchers and is stuck hoping that the remaining option(s) are on their game that day. He’s wearing out his bullpen arm by using them (and warming them up) excessively for short stints (< an inning) while he plays matchup batter by batter. He also has no clue if the pitcher he brings in for his matchup game will be on his game that day. The result is often a walk to the first batter faced, further exacerbating the situation.

  14. TR

    Today will be a test to see if the Reds can break the bugaboo (common to all teams) of not being able to score much after a blowout.