This weekend the Cardinals (8-5) and Reds (4-8) start a two game series in Monterrey, México as part of MLB’s México Series. The Reds look to continue their three game winning streak, while the Cardinals have won five straight, including a four game sweep against the Los Angeles Dodgers at Busch Stadium.

The Reds are the home team this weekend in México. First pitch tonight is set for 7:10 ET.

Starting Pitchers

REDS

Through the first two weeks of the season, Tanner Roark has struggled the most of those in the starting rotation. He’s given up six runs on 13 hits in 9.1 innings against the Milwaukee Brewers and the Pittsburgh Pirates.

What is a little troubling is that he’s given up five walks in two starts. Roark has never been one to walk a lot of batters. His BB% has never been higher than 8.5%, and he is usually in the 5-6% range. This season, while still a very small sample size, his BB% is at 11.1%. Most of the balls he’s thrown this season have been on his curve, even though he only throws his curve about 13.1% of the time. He’s missing with his curve off the plate. It could be something to watch as the season goes on.

Marcell Ozuna is the player to watch against Roark, as he’s faced him 43 times and hits .317/.349/.488 with a .837 OPS. Ozuna and Harrison Bader both have home runs off Roark.

CARDINALS

At 37 years old, Wainwright is still making starts for the Cardinals every year. He has dealt with injuries over the last couple of seasons, however.  In 2017, he pitched 123.1 innings, with a stint on the disabled list (now the injured list) for a right elbow impingement at the end of August. Then in 2018, he had more right elbow inflammation, which resulted in him only pitching 40.1 innings, mostly in September. He finished last season with a 4.46 ERA and a 4.28 FIP.

In his first start of 2019, he struggled against the Pirates, giving up four runs in four innings with four walks, but rebounded nicely against the San Diego Padres last Sunday when he pitched six innings of one run baseball while striking out nine.

Wainwright has six pitches, but relies mostly on his curve, sinker, and cutter. His pitches have ranged from 75.1 mph on his curve to 89.2 on his sinker. The curve is what he gets most batters to strike out with, as his K% on that pitch is consistently in the mid-30 percent range.

Joey Votto has three home runs and four doubles in 46 at-bats against Wainwright. Yasiel Puig and Tucker Barnhart both have an OPS over 1.000 against him as well.

IP ERA FIP WHIP HR/9 BB% K%
Tanner Roark (2018) 180.1 4.34 4.27 1.28 1.2 6.60% 19.20%
Adam Wainwright (2018) 40.1 4.46 4.28 1.46 1.12 9.90% 22.10%

Lineups

CARDINALS REDS
1. Matt Carpenter (3B)
2. Paul Goldschmidt (1B)
3. Paul DeJong (SS)
4. Marcell Ozuna (LF)
5. Yadier Molina (C)
6. Dexter Fowler (RF)
7. Kolten Wong (2B)
8. Harrison Bader (CF)
9. Adam Wainwright (P)
1. Jesse Winker (LF)
2. Joey Votto (1B)
3. Yasiel Puig (RF)
4. Eugenio Suarez (3B)
5. Scott Schebler (CF)
6. Derek Dietrich (2B)
7. Tucker Barnhart (C)
8. Jose Peraza (SS)
9. Tanner Roark (P)

News and Notes

-Both the Reds and Cardinals have worked with children in México this weekend. Players participated in a MLB Play Ball event, while Jared Hughes and Zach Duke went to Back2Back Ministries yesterday.

-The Reds are giving away this Yasiel Puig bobblehead in July. I am determined to get one.

Pre-game Reading

43 Responses

  1. CFD3000

    This Mexico series is good for baseball and, hopefully, good for the Reds. At elevation and against Wainwright I expect a productive offense. If Roark is even decent the Reds should win. And once they have the momentum why not just win tomorrow and sweep Mexico? I’m looking forward to these two games. Go Reds!

  2. Shchi Cossack

    It’s time for Tanner Roark to step up and accept the challenge as a Reds starting pitcher.

    4.1 IP w/ 6-H & 3-BB
    5.0 IP w/ 7-H, 2-BB & 1-HR

    His 9.6 SO/9 shows there’s more in Roark’s tank than he’s demonstrated in his 1st 2 starts. No better time than today against the dirty birds to make a statement.

  3. Shchi Cossack

    It’s time for DB and DJ to lean on the strength of the bullpen over the 2 games in Monterey.

    Amir Garrett: 12.7 SO/9, 0.0 HR/9 & 8.00 SO/W
    Robert Stephenson: 11.4 SO/9, 0.0 HR/9 & 8.00 SO/W

  4. Shchi Cossack

    Ashley has some big shoes to fill following the sweep authored by Mary Beth, but I have all the confidence in the ‘world’ that she’s up to the task.

    • Jefferson Green

      I’m sure they shared some champagne, blonde and brunette, and the mojo will continue through the weekend!

  5. Sliotar

    Vegas has the over/under on runs at 10.5, and the fantasy projections love several Reds, especially the OFs.

    Is this place Coors Field South, with the altitude and the short fences? If so, Ye Olde Redlegs should feel very much at home.

  6. VaRedsFan

    Dietrich was there waiting for the pop up…This team continues to suffer from mental errors.

  7. VaRedsFan

    The 4 man outfield experiment should be scrapped. The Cubs tried it last year and got burned. Have never seen it benefit any team ever.

  8. VaRedsFan

    Nice effort by Roark. Runner on 3rd no outs….no soup for you!

  9. Sliotar

    With the off-day and the way Roark is pitching (28 p in 1st), better not let him get exposed a third time to the top of the Cardinals lineup.

    Plenty of rested arm in bullpen to get involved.

  10. Seat101

    The pitching seems to be working, but the picture and the catcher don’t seem to be on the same page… Anyone else think that?

  11. VaRedsFan

    Why not give a steady diet of breaking pitches to a good hitting pitcher like wainwright????

  12. Sliotar

    Homer Bailey is mowing down the Indians.

    5 innings, 6 K’s, 1BB, 2 hits allowed.

    He is averaging over 1 K per inning so far this season.

    Maybe he did need a change of scenery, especially if it’s from GABP to a much more pitcher-friendly park in KC.

  13. Preach

    Wainright has only thrown 58 pitches so far.

    Maybe it was just the Marlins….sigh

  14. Indy Red Man

    Roark is battling, but this offense sucks? 28 runs in 11 games? Its not like they’re ran into these great pitchers either? Wainwright is washed up? Its good that sweeping Miami made people feel better, but 1-8 in division tells the story so far

  15. Broseph

    Probably the weakest balk call of all time. I’ve seen pitchers move more just breathing. Ridiculous.

  16. Indy Red Man

    Only down 1, but its time to for our guys to battle at the plate like their guys? 3 outs on 7 pitches? They see 7 pitches every at-bat. Cmon lets go? 1-9 in division? Thats unacceptable for any team!

  17. VaRedsFan

    Tie game…Winker….just as THOM was saying how much he was struggling.

  18. Preach

    WINKER!!!

    I’m trying to be “glass half full” guy:

    I would be more concerned if the pitching was bad and we were hitting. I think the O will come around.

    OTOH, young pitching is mecurial and it’s a shame to waste it.

  19. Sliotar

    Third time through lineup gets to Waino.

  20. Indy Red Man

    Amir Garrett and Winker are keepers. Mahle is going to be atleast a good #3 imo. Suarez is still only 27. Castillo is 26. Puig is only 28 if they can keep him. The jury is out on everyone else? Dietrich is very good for his role. Move him around and maybe give him 300 atbats. He’s 29. Senzel? I’d be happy if he’s as good offensively as Winker. More speed for a lesser ability to get on base

  21. VaRedsFan

    My 5 minute scouting report on Dietrich…NEVER throw him a fastball in the zone.

  22. Sliotar

    Thanks, Cardinals manager.

    Wainwright fading last inning, starts 7th inning with LH pop in Dietrich and Barnhart.

    Playing with fire…and got burned.

  23. Indy Red Man

    Kemp is just a shell of himself at this point. He was like the NL version of Manny Ramirez at one point. Just amazing. Winker should play over him 6 days a week easily

  24. VaRedsFan

    Of course the throw is up the line, when they don’t tag.

  25. VaRedsFan

    DD likes fastballs!!!!! 2 run triple

  26. Indy Red Man

    It turned into a fun game tonite! DD didn’t hit that last ball that well…looked like the guy slipped on the field turf? Billy or Cain or someone elite in CF has Ervin’s ball easily and 2/3 of the guys in RF get that last one? I thought our outfield D was bad?

    • VaRedsFan

      Agree…both catchable. Bader is good though

  27. VaRedsFan

    It was a save chance anyway THOM….Duke entered with a 1 run lead

  28. Indy Red Man

    I have Over 10.5….but I can lose a little $ for a nice Reds win

  29. CFD3000

    That was fun. Roark was impressive, especially after a tough start to the first through no fault of his own. Puig contributed on defense and his bat will get going. Winker and Votto heating up, clutch at bats from Ervin, Schebler and Dietrich. A few weird plays but on a strange trip on a strange surface that’s not too surprising. How about a sweep tomorrow? Go Reds!