THE STREAK IS DEAD! Thanks to this home run by Kyle Farmer in the third inning of yesterday’s game, the 30-inning scoreless streak is no longer. Unfortunately, the Reds would go on to lose on a walk off single in 10 innings. Baby steps, right?

The Reds (1-7) try to avoid the four game sweep against the Pirates (4-3) this afternoon at PNC Park. First pitch is set for 1:35 ET.

Starting Pitchers

REDS

Anthony DeSclafani will try to build off his first start this season when he went five innings and gave up only one run on three hits to the Milwaukee Brewers. He did have three walks, but struck out eight. If DeSclafani in 2019 can be the DeSclafani of 2016 with a 3.28 ERA and a 3.96 FIP, it’s going to be a very good year for him.

DeSclafani has five pitches, but usually uses only three (slider, four-seamer, sinker) on a regular basis. He threw his curve only 64 times in all of 2018. On Monday against the Brewers, he still threw the four-seamer and slider most, but also threw his curve 13 times–nine of those to left-handed hitters–and recorded three strikeouts with it.

Colin Moran and Elias Diaz each have a home run off DeSclafani, while Josh Bell is 4-for-9 with two doubles against him.

PIRATES

The Pirates traded two top prospects for Chris Archer after the All-Star break last season. The Pirates were in the midst of a 11-game winning streak at the time and thought Archer could be the player they needed to help them contend for the playoffs last year. It did not work, as the Pirates went 26-27 in August and September, but they did get Archer for 2019 and two option years, if they choose to pick up those.

Archer made his first start on Monday against the St. Louis Cardinals, pitching five innings of scoreless baseball, giving up two hits while walking three and striking out eight. He’s primarily a two-pitch pitcher, relying on his slider and four-seam fastball. He will occasionally throw a sinker and a change-up, but very rarely throws a curve. Because he uses only two pitches mainly, Archer does do well facing a lineup the third time through the order. Last season, his FIP went from 3.62 the second time through to a 4.10 FIP the third time through.

Only two current Reds have faced Archer. Jose Iglesias is 4-for-16 with a walk, and Derek Dietrich is 0-for-4 against him.

IP ERA FIP WHIP HR/9 BB% K%
Anthony DeSclafani (2018) 115 4.93 4.83 1.29 1.88 6.20% 22.30%
Chris Archer (2018) 148.1 4.31 3.75 1.38 1.15 7.70% 25.40%

 

Bullpens

REDS

Raisel Iglesias may be the only one not available to pitch out the bullpen, given that he pitched 2.1 innings and gave up the walk-off hit. However, the Reds do have an off day tomorrow, so David Bell might choose to pitch Iglesias if he is needed. Michael Lorenzen hasn’t looked too good on the mound during this first week. I wouldn’t be surprised if he gets a day off, as he has been used a lot thus far.

PIRATES

The Pirates also look to be in pretty good shape with their bullpen. Keone Kela is the only reliever who has pitched back-to-back days. Even though the Pirates play tomorrow, Clint Hurdle should have everyone available with the possible exception of Kela.

Lineups

REDS PIRATES
1. Jesse Winker (LF)
2. Yasiel Puig (RF)
3. Scott Schebler (CF)
4. Eugenio Suarez (3B)
5. Derek Dietrich (1B)
6. Jose Peraza (2B)
7. Tucker Barnhart (C)
8. Jose Iglesias (SS)
9. Anthony DeSclafani (P)
1. Adam Frazier (2B)
2. Starling Marte (CF)
3. Francisco Cervelli (C)
4. Josh Bell (1B)
5. Jung Ho Kang (3B)
6. Melky Cabrera (RF)
7. Jason Martin (LF)
8. Erik Gonzalez (SS)
9. Chris Archer (P)

-Joey Votto gets the day off today. If he’s going to get regularly scheduled days off this season, a Sunday afternoon before an off day is a good time to do it.

News and Notes

On this date two years ago:

Taylor Trammell hit his first home run of the year last night at Double-A Chattanooga.

Interesting piece in the Cincinnati Enquirer about David Bell and how he weighs analytics vs. intuition.

 

All stats courtesy of Baseball-Reference.com, Fangraphs, and baseballsavant.com.

69 Responses

  1. WVRedlegs

    David Bell, how’s about going too far with the numbers in the win column, eh??
    Fire Turner Ward!!!!!

  2. FreeHouse

    This team is pathetic. The losing streak extends to 8 games. Reds lose 4-1.

  3. matt hendley

    That’s Brilliant, Sit the guy who homered yesterday. Oh my goodness….. I really am beginning to think that I could Manage better then David Bell

  4. Sliotar

    I posted on here the other day that Nightengale reported that Bell sets his lineups 2-3 days in advance, and notifiies players accordingly.

    Nothing would portray “panic” like going Votto after yesterday’s game and telling him he’s starting today, assuming he had been told earlier he was off.

    It is what it is. Let’s hope Dietrich rises to the occasion filling the position.

    • matt hendley

      Its not like Deitrich is horrible. But setting the lineups in advance is a horrible Idea. No willingness to respond to changes in a person output. I.e. giving a slumping player a day off. Playing the player that is producing higher then normal

      • CP

        Setting the lineup in advance doesn’t mean the lineups are set in stone. Votto isn’t producing higher than normal, he’s simply being Joey Votto. Waiting on him to start scuffling or Joey Votto to say he needs rest is what Bell’s predecessors did, and it resulted in him being overused.

  5. Sliotar

    Pirates were 14-5 last season vs. the Reds.

    If Pittsburgh wins today, they will be 5-1 this season vs. Ye Olde Redlegs.

    Tough to think of being playoff-caliber when you can’t beat the expected 4th-place team in your division.

    Go Redlegs.

  6. Old-school

    Joey Votto hit his 270th career HR yesterday- tying Adam Dunn for 4th all time. Tony Perez is next at 287. Congratulations to Joey Votto.

    Love to see him hit 20+ this year.

  7. CI3J

    I know David Bell is supposed to be more analytically minded than pretty much any manager the Reds have had in the past. That said, can anyone explain the benefit of constantly tinkering with the lineup? I know the “old school” approach was to play the same guys in the same batting order, day in and day out, and maybe let the bench guys get a start every now and then.

    Bell seems to be constantly juggling starters, batting order, and even player positions. In my experience, the offensive side of baseball is a skillset that relies heavily on timing and consistency, so I’m really curious if there is some new data out there that says that constantly moving guys around is somehow more beneficial than having a consistent daily lineup?

    • CP

      Bell has more depth to play with than his recent predecessors, so he wants to keep guys like Dietrich involved and has to be creative to do so. It has worked well for organizations like Chicago and Boston. The only one I kind of question is Matt Kemp, simply because that bat speed is looking sllllooooow.

      • Pete

        Bat speed? In my eyes Schebler looks a little slow but to your broader point, I agree. The bench guys have been hitting better than the regulars. We appear to have a strong bench – Bell should use it especially when the starters are struggling.

        Schebler hits a breaking ball for a homer. Thanks Archer, may Scott have another.

  8. TyGuy88

    I’m sorry but it is a sad state of affairs when I see days of Schebler batting #3 and Kemp batting #4.

  9. Hanawi

    Doesn’t seem to matter where they are in the lineup. The OF is horrendous right now. 6 total hits on the season for the top 3 guys in the order today. Call up Ervin. See what he can do. At least it’ll give another body for CF.

    • TyGuy88

      I agree. Ervin couldn’t be worse.

    • Old-school

      Ervin is hitting .154 in AAA with 2 singles.

      • Hanawi

        Right. They’ve played a third the number of games and he already has more hits than Winker and Kemp and as many as Schebler. That’s how bad the OF has been for the Reds in the first week.

      • TyGuy88

        That’s better than 0.077 and 0.048. Plus I’m sure he wasn’t exactly enthused that he didn’t get a spot out of ST.

  10. Indy Red Man

    Winker K’s on a 3-2 pitch that was never in the strike zone. Schebler takes strike 3 right down the middle? Thats not on Bell. These guys aren’t doing what got them to the big leagues?

    We knew coming in that the outfield defense would be bad. Most of us knew the pen had big holes, but their bats are going to bury them in April for the 2nd year in a row.

  11. Sliotar

    Dietrich has risen to the occasion of getting the start at 1B.

  12. Indy Red Man

    Dietrich!!! You can’t sit this guy vs righties? Iglesias is also obviously outplaying Peraza and is better defensively. The starting combo shouldn’t be hard to figure out? Unless you want to try Dietrich in LF? Dietrich could possibly pull a Scooter here! That park in Miami is twice the size of GABP. Look at Yelich

    Archer hops off the mound and acts a little cocky so Dietrich stays and watches his blast for a little while. Gotta love it!!!

  13. Indy Red Man

    8 hitter burns the Reds again? Hanging breaking ball with the pitcher on deck. Atleast Iglesias made a nice play again. Dietrich and Iglesias are keepers!

  14. Indy Red Man

    Archer isn’t fooling anyone. Puig hit a laser. WInker and Suarez made hard outs.

    Both pitchers are hanging breaking balls and putting 94-95 right down broadway

  15. vegastypo

    And Puig makes sure the situation doesn’t calm down. … He can leave after this season, too.

    • Still a Reds fan

      I don’t have a problem with Puig. Hopefully it ignites a fire with the team. Just hope it’s not Kemp replacing him.
      Different topic, when is Senzel going to play? Is he still injured?

  16. vegastypo

    I’ve got the radio feed on, with the TV feed for visual. Brantley said the pitch was well behind Dietrich??? Looked to me like the pitch about clipped him on the derriere.

  17. Aaron B.

    Aaron, this is your one warning. Do not curse again or you will be banned from commenting.

  18. Indy Red Man

    Joey’s not enough? They need 3-4 big boys to keep Puig from crushing someone. Archer can #&*$&$+# $$ *. The way he acts…he deserves to have the hitters watch his blasts go 440 ft

  19. Matt WI

    Guess Puig wanted a day off too! Someone must have said something to get him to go off too.

    • vegastypo

      Quite possibly, but he shouldn’t have been out there in the first place. The Pirates probably knew they could bait him into something like that.

  20. Indy Red Man

    That was stupid of Puig though….agree with you guys on that. If you want to help your team turn it around then don’t get suspended in early April. He’s out atleast 3 games now. It should be a chance to start Lorenzen in CF?

    • matt hendley

      Dont think there will be a suspension now. Not without a reciprical one for the 2 Bucs pitchers

    • Steelerfan

      Archer absolutely should have been ejected for the pitch. It was behind Dietrich, and archer did not even try and pretend he wasn’t throwing at him.

      And Puig absolutely was Baited into doing something stupid. They keep showi mag the replay of him with a leg over the railing waiting to run into the field. Then after things were mostly calmed down, pirate says something to him and he spins Barnhart into the ground to get back into the Pirates scrum. Can’t tell what was said, and obviously much easier to say from the couch calm, than to do it, but you have to know when you are being played.

      Reds all trying to hit homeruns now…

  21. matt hendley

    1. The Umps failed massively, there is no requirement for warnings. Deliberate Aimed pitches can lead to immediate Ejections and in the case of Archer should have immediately given the Heave ho.

    2. Good Job on Puig, He is out there showing emotion fighting for his team. Yes he got calmed down, YES, AFTER HE GOT CALMED DOWN he was provoked again by a pirate ( suspect Archer). It is looking that 2 of the Tail end Bullpen types for the Bucs have been ejected so it could be them. Anyway, yes he got ejected, and so did David bell, who showed he, in fact, has emotions and is fired up defending his team. The emotion is desperately needed for this team. Another reason i would use for resigning him.

  22. Indy Red Man

    473 feet by Bell….lol

    Disco is just serving up prime center-cut. Not enough breaking pitches. Really bad effort considering they’ve given him 2 leads already. This is what bad teams do. They can lose 1-0 and they can find a way to lose 6-5. Cmon already? The Pirates suck. Cervelli batting 3rd for Gods sake?

    • FreeHouse

      Facts! Lol Guess this Reds team is used to it’s Losing Culture

  23. Matt WI

    Brantley’s play-by-play still kills me sometimes. He does a bad job of explaining the action as it’s happening, and then just kind of sums up at the end. Like, “oh, and yeah, a run scored there.”

  24. Oldtimer

    Stupid move by Dietrich to admire his long HR. Bob Gibson or Don Drysdale would have drilled him back in the 1960s.

    • vegastypo

      True, but you wouldn’t have seen Gibson or Drysdale hopping around like Archer does with a strikeout, either.

    • Steelerfan

      After how this started can’t believe archer still in the game. Had him on the ropes and didn’t put him away…

  25. FreeHouse

    2018 and 2019 April’s to remember! Just sad…..

  26. docmike

    If you don’t want the batter to admire his home run, don’t serve up a pitch that gets hit into the river. Simple as that.

  27. Indy Red Man

    Personally I’m not interested in keeping Disco. I hope he puts a run together and they can deal him. He’ll be 29 later this month. A 4.93 era last year and 4.16 home era in the last 3 seasons with 23 bombs allowed in 129 ip. He’s a flyball pitcher in a tiny home park. Don’t give Disco another dime. If he did put together a nice streak then guess what would happen next? See Scott Schebler….slump slump slump heater heater injury

    • BigRedMike

      DeSclafani is fine as a 5th starter. I guess it depends on how much it will cost to keep him. I cannot imagine he would have much trade value.

      This game is officially ugly now. The Reds bullpen is pretty awful.

  28. BigRedMike

    Surprised that the Dodgers were willing to get trade Kemp. He appears to have a lot left. I guess it was the only way to get Homer off the roster.

    Dietrich did admire that HR a long time. Archer should be allowed to hit him as Welch pointed out. Just let the players settle it.

    • Steelerfan

      Lol ok that made me feel a little better.

      Wish we could have fought back a little after that bell hr. this was a winnable game.

  29. Indy Red Man

    Hernandez….who was it on RLN that said they can’t count on two 68 yr old relief pitchers to repeat great seasons. Bell is now suddenly Barry Bonds. Swept by a bunch of scrubs and now 1-8. I’m gone. Have a nice Sunday fellas

  30. BigRedMike

    Thom is on a rant. He has all the answers per usual. He wants the Reds to just walk everyone instead of throwing effective pitches.

    • matt hendley

      Except in the situation that he was describing, he was 100% right. ONE. Hundred. Percent. They should have walked Bell, instead, the pitching collapse happened. It’s a sad day where Thom shows more baseball savvy then the REds Coaching staff.

      • BigRedMike

        No. He wasn’t correct.

        The Reds pitchers were not throwing to the correct locations.

  31. steelerfan

    Well that escalated quickly…

    Worst part of this is the pirates, who I think are now the most juvenile team on mlb, get to go home smug about their antics.

    And it for look at my username, not just an anti-Pitt thing 🙂

  32. FreeHouse

    This team is insanely pathetic. I know us fans are in loss of words. Man this is going to be a looooong season. Reds are 9 games in and you can stick a fork in them. Attendance will most likely be their worst ever.

  33. Tom Mitsoff

    Even at my age, I still watch this team and this game through the eyes of a kid at times. Is anyone else’s heart breaking as they watch these results over and over? Nobody expected a true contender, but this team was absolutely not supposed to be this bad. The optimists will say small sample size, and I sure hope that is correct.

    • Doug Gray

      Small sample size is true. But “luck” matters, and right now it’s 1-8, short of a crazy comeback. That’s tough to overcome. And as I wrote yesterday – I think this already has the casual fan done for the year.

      • mat

        true the only benifit is that the Marlins at home are next. Hopefully, the reds get a streak of the NL worst team and right the ship.

      • Tom Mitsoff

        I did read your article, and I found your conclusions right on the mark — unfortunately. I have been a die-hard, everyday fan of this team and the Bengals for 45 of my 56 years on this earth. I know that I will be a fan of these teams for the remainder of my years. But you wonder when the disappointment will end.

  34. matt hendley

    To top it all off… almost definite that Archer has been using Pine Tar during his start. THat Guy deserves a suspension. Shame DIsco collapsed as he did.

  35. Bbfan

    This is really hard to watch. This team does not play with any emotion and they are totally unprepared to play. This is what happens when the heart of your team has been dealt away or let go.

  36. Tom Mitsoff

    Dietrich needs to start every day at some position.

    • TyGuy88

      I second this motion! I believe he may be able to play OF also.

    • BigRedMike

      Should be a 2B. Put Peraza back at short. Iglesias is not an every day player