Tonight the Reds and Brewers have at each other again in game 2 of the current 3 game set at GABP. The Reds will try to even the series at one following a tough loss in game 1. Game time is 6:40 pm.

Starting Pitchers

BREWERS

Jhoulys Chacín makes his second start of 2019 tonight for the Brewers.  The 30 year old right hander’s  decade long journey through MLB to his current spot with the Brewers has been a long and winding road. After debuting with Colorado in 2009 as a top prospect, he bounced through a succession of teams as he battled injury and inconsistency. He seemingly righted himself in 2017 during a 1 year stint with San Diego and subsequently signed with the Brewers (2 years; $15.5M). His career FIP of 4.08 and 19.8 bWAR suggest he has been average MLB pitcher while rarely having an average season prior to 2017.

Chacín is almost exclusively a fastball/ slider pitcher at this point in his career. He uses a sinker (35%) instead of a 4 seamer (13%) as his primary fastball. In 2018, Chacín began using a split finger fastball as his change up. Watch for this pitch tonight as he used the splitter almost 11% of the time in his opening start of the season.

REDS

Right hander Anthony DeSclafani starts for the Reds tonight. Just making it to a major league mound in April must feel like redemption for Desclafani since the last time he emerged healthy from spring training was 2015. Elbow issues followed oblique woes cost Desclafani major portions of 2 seasons (2016, 2018) and all of 2017.  Last season, DeSclafani first made it to the mound in early June. He went on to post 21 MLB starts and understandably achieved inconsistent results. He hopes to follow up on a strong and healthy spring  by returning to the form he had shown through the end of 2015.

If DeSclafani can recover his prior form and stay health, he could become a major force in the Reds rotation. Tonight, watch for improvement in Disco’s secondary pitches, most notably his curveball, as they were an area of focus in his off season work.

PITCHER 2018 FIP 2018 WHIP HR/9 BB% K%
Jhoulys Chacín 4.03 1.16 0.84 8.9% 19.6%
Anthony DeSlcafani 4.83 1.29 1.88 6.2% 22.3%

Bullpens

BREWERS

The Brewers used three pitchers to cover 4 innings. None of them worked over 1.2 innings. None were working on consecutive days. However Alex Claudio and Alex Wilson both threw ~25 pitches and may be limited tonight. For those wondering, Josh Hader worked exactly an inning (16 pitches) and no doubt is available to do at least the same tonight.

REDS

The Reds used 4 pitchers to cover 4.1 innings. Only Amir Garrett worked longer than an inning. No one was working on a consecutive day. Amir Garrett and David Hernandez did have pitch counts >20 and may be limited tonight.

Bullpen stat of the day>>> Raisel Iglesias used 3 fewer pitches (13) to allow the winning run in the 9th than Josh Hader needed (16) to save the game in the 9th.

Lineups

            BREWERS

1. Lorenzo Cain (CF)
2. Christian Yelich (RF)
3. Travis Shaw (3B)
4. Jesus Aguilar (1B)
5. Mike Moustakas (2B)
6. Yasmani Grandal (C)
7. Ben Gamel (LF)
8. Orlando Arcia (SS)
9. Jhoulys Chacin (P)

            REDS

1. Jesse Winker (LF)
2. Joey Votto (1B)
3. Yasiel Puig (RF)
4. Eugenio Suarez (3B)
5. Scott Schebler (CF)
6. Derek Dietrich (2B)
7. Tucker Barnhart (C)
8. Jose Peraza (SS)
9. Anthony DeSclafani (P)

Jesse Winker has been “freed”. Glad to see Dietrich get a start. He has been a contributor off the bench. Maybe Curt Casali can get one tomorrow?

News and Notes

The Reds announced distressing information about top pitching prospect Hunter Greene. He’s going to require Tommy John surgery. Doug Gray wrote about the situation in depth here at Redleg Nation earlier this afternoon, breaking down the timeline of events since last July when he was initially injured. There’s also video of Dick Williams meeting with the press to announce, and discuss the situation during the Cincinnati Reds game last night.

Left-Handed Pitcher Brandon Finnegan cleared waivers and has been outrighted to the minor leagues.

Designated for assignment pitcher Matt Wisler has been traded to San Diego for a pitching prospect

Sounds like Scooter is getting cabin fever to be back in action

And what is with this “wooooo” stuff?

 

Final Thoughts

Yesterday I wrote that over the course of an MLB season, turning the outcome in just 1 in 10 games is often the difference between teams that go on to play in October and the teams sitting at home watching. Last night had the feel of one of those marginal games. After the Brewers jumped out to a 3 run lead in the first, the Reds held fast and finally tied the score in the 6th.

And so things stood as both bullpens held through the 8th. Then in the Brewers 9th, the Reds top reliever, Raisel Iglesias, confronted by the top of the Brewers, order failed to hold serve after having 2 outs and nobody on base. Enter the Brewers top bullpen man, Josh Hader. Hader yielded a leadoff double. Unlike Iglesias, Hader then shut down the Reds 1-3 hitters to save the game for the Brewers. Not that iglesias alone was responsible for the loss. The Reds had bases loaded in the 1st with just 1 out and came up empty, Next time through the order they had 2 on and no outs and failed to score. Little things that made a big difference.

Today is another chance to set the ship right. However if the Reds are to rise above the mire of the last 4 seasons, the Reds must learn to do the little things right at the correct times to win these marginal games.  But to be clear, for the most part it is NOT the manager or coaches who need to step up. It is the guys on the field. Hitters must get on base and advance runners. Pitchers and fielders must find ways to keep the opposition hitters from doing the same. As basketball great Bill Russell often said, “It is better to be good than lucky because the good make their own luck”.  GO REDS!

 

Stats and data courtesy of Baseball Reference, Fangraphs, and MLB.com

 

 

56 Responses

  1. matt hendley

    Winker back in the lineup, good. Also, like the Detrich start. Hope this is better then last night.

  2. Sliotar

    Nice set-up per usual, Jim.

    “The Reds must learn to do the little things right at the correct times to win these marginal games.”

    Maybe related….maybe not….Winker gets to play, goes to leadoff, Schebler moved down.

    Last season –

    Schebler
    430 PA
    9.1 BB%
    23.0 K%

    Winker
    334 PA
    14.7 BB%
    13.8 K%

    Maybe this is a little thing by David Bell to marginally improve that extra at-bat the top of the lineup seems to get a lot of nights.

    Go Redlegs.

    • Shchi Cossack

      DB is on record saying that Winker will led off when he start and Schebler will leadoff when Kemp starts.

  3. Old-school

    The Reds have 27 more games in April. That’s what matters. They need to be 16-14. They play 6 games in the next 6 days against NL central opponents. Coming home Sunday 3-6 isn’t acceptable. Win today. Be 5-4 Monday. Not winning series is just cause for concern

  4. Vada

    I heard that the Reds have Price on standby mode. Perhaps as the 26th man on the roster.

  5. Steven Ross

    Not that anyone from Reds management contacted me but I did say a few days ago: move Schebler down! Peraza and/or Winker should leadoff…only. Yes, it is time forCurt Casali to get a start.

  6. Wayne nabors

    Seen braves extended acuna for 8 yrs,thats how good organization do things,you dont manipulate service time

    • Matt Hendley

      Except last year they did. And acuna walked away from ALOT of money for that extension.

    • Doug Gray

      The Brave DID manipulate his service time. They just did it last year.

      • Wayne nabors

        He was only 20,wasnt he,cant say that manipulation

      • Doug Gray

        Why does his age have anything to do with them purposefully keeping him in the minors despite him being the best option they had in their outfield?

  7. Old-school

    Never seen GABP this empty. Clearly, reds saw this coming over the winter and that was reason for Dodgers trade. Marketing team knew fans tired of losing… and tired of Hamilton and tired of Bailey and price and riggleman. Reds knew ticket sales worst ever and abandoned Winker and Senzel for Kemp brand and Puig and Schebler CF to try and sell tickets April – june.

    • Matt Hendley

      Your right, the cold has nothing to do with it.

      • Old-school

        Do u live in Cincinnati? It’s gorgeous today.

      • Old-school

        There’s not one Cincinnatian complaining about the weather today. Not one. Spectacular sunny spring day. Tomorrow is better

      • Doug Gray

        Me, today at noon, to my dog, “If it’s warmer later we’ll go on a longer walk, buddy.”

        But yeah, the weather right now/at game time, was fine.

  8. Vada

    Maybe someone cursed the Reds. Something is going on.

  9. Seat101

    Increased ticket sales always lag an improving team.

    By the way Peraza will hit a grand slam tonight

  10. Gerardo Helguera

    Dietrech will have a nice guy, had a really nice at bat. As for the others they need to wake up.

  11. Indy Red Man

    Schebler .000
    Winker .000
    Puig .083
    Suarez .091

    I feel like the Dean in Animal House when he reading off their grade point averages
    “Fat, drunk and stupid is no way to go through life, son.”

    • VaRedsFan

      Schebler left his wallet in Arizona. Pitiful.

      • Indy Red Man

        I think the shift has gotten into his head? He can’t get a bunt down to take advantage of it? As soon as Senzel is physically ready then his era needs to begin! We get nothing out of these high picks so if he can play then play him!

  12. Seat101

    Welcome to Small Sample Size Theatre!

    • Indy Red Man

      He is streaky though. Plus his hot streaks are always ended by injury. He also can’t throw and is a defensive liability. He has his attributes, but if Senzel isn’t a much better player then Schebler then the Reds are going nowhere

  13. VaRedsFan

    Sorry Welsh, but Votto would never have beat Cain to the bag there.

    • Chris

      And it’s an incredibly dangerous angle (running across the batter’s path vs. the pitcher running almost parallel).

  14. Joey

    That’s the Desclafani I remember! Welcome back!

  15. ToBeDetermined

    “You overestimate both my powers and the authoritarian powers of an independent business. I find it annoying too — but I don’t see any way to change it”

    “Can you do anything at all to get the Reds to somehow try to stop the lunatic, incessant, unbearable “woo-ing”? The few are ruining things for the many. Seriously. Not right. I will write to the Reds also.”

    REALLY ! “I Don’t see any way to change it” REALLY.
    On July 20, 1969 Neil Armstrong (as Thom Brennaman would say “…from nearby Wapakoneta, Ohio) walked on the moon [If you are flat-earther, my apologies]. Yet, the Cincinnati Reds can’t get people from doing the woo-ing.
    I beg to differ.

  16. Indy Red Man

    Somebody a few weeks ago on RLN was calling for Casali to get equal or more playing time. I agree! Casali has 549 career atbats with 30 doubles and 23 hrs. He’s a big guy that could do damage in a little park. Tucker is a great guy, but he’s never going to do much offensively

  17. Indy Red Man

    All the losing and the spring training injuries already took the wind out of my sails coming in. I knew the pen was going to be bad. Lorenzen with a 89 hanging slider there? Cmon? Pitcher on deck….you have to be smarter then that?

    The more things change the more they remain the same

    • J

      Mental toughness has been lacking on this team for years. You’ve got to say to yourself “if I miss, I’m going to miss away” in that situation. You can’t make a mistake over the plate there. And Lorenzen predictably throws it right down the middle. “Oops.”

  18. Richard Lang

    We may have just witnessed the worst managerial move of the year… maybe all time.

    • ToBeDetermined

      “We may have just witnessed the worst managerial move of the year… maybe all time.”

      Wow, that’s quite a statement

  19. VaRedsFan

    Arcia 4-9 with a HR off Lorenzen…….
    Nevermind….small samples don’t apply according to some.
    Now 5-10 …2 HRs

  20. Wayne nabors

    This bullpen is a train wreck

  21. VaRedsFan

    Lorenzen rarely comes in without allowing baserunners….carryover from last year

    • Indy Red Man

      It was just stupid? Arcia was 4-9 against him and Chacin is on deck? 2 of their key guys in the pen are hurt. They probably just let Chacin bat…or a pinch-hitter coming off the bench cold? I’m done making excuses for Lorenzen or saying what he might be down the road? Atleast as a pitcher. I support him like the rest of you guys are with Stephenson. The hope defies the results on the field

      • VaRedsFan

        He’s like Garrett. Looks so dominating at times….but then gives it up every other game.

  22. VaRedsFan

    Schebler another chance. They need a big hit here.

    • VaRedsFan

      It’s just a plain bad approach. Soft tossing lefty and he’s trying to pull the ball. Serve it to left field, should be the approach

  23. VaRedsFan

    Bronson Arroyo could come back today and pitch against the Reds and tie them in knots.

  24. FreeHouse

    Arroyo could come back and get Schebler out too lol

  25. Indy Red Man

    I don’t expect the Reds to win the WS, but 2 key numbers of 85 that I can’t deal with this year!

    1. 85 losses
    2. Thom B. talking 85% of the time

    I’ll check out well before the AS break if things go that direction. I’ve never seen a another broadcast team where one guy does all the talking…or his case just babbling

  26. Old-school

    Reds need to rally or else 2 series in and haven’t won one. Pittsburgh coming up

  27. WVRedlegs

    Win or lose, tonight is the same kind of night Geno had last year early that jump started his season after he came back from the hand injury. This could jump start him to another good year.
    Great to see DeSclafani with a good outing.
    Stephenson looking sharp.

  28. Drrobo

    Several weeks ago I commented that if Schebler was starting, the Reds would not be relevant. He could not start for any other team in baseball, yet here he is. Not his fault but result of complete mishandling of Senzel. How could a combination of the other three outfielders be any worse?

    • Wayne nabors

      And we were told they would take the best 25,and they didnt

      • matt hendley

        we do however have the healthiest 25 though

  29. matt hendley

    To answer the question, while i am from Cincinnati originally, I am curently in South Carolina. It is unusually cold here. ANYWAY,
    1. Managing mistakes abound. Disco, great job btw, should have been allowed to go out for the 6th. If you absolutely had to pull him then, Farmer should have pinch hit there. Put Kemp into high-pressure situations. At least he is used to them.
    2. Kemp and Winker have the same number of hits. Just saying.
    3. I think the minute that he is healthy enough to do so, senzels ‘defensive issues’ will disappear and he will be in a reds uniform
    4. Great Jobs by Stephenson, and to a certain extent duke. Lorenzen is getting exposed on the mound for what he is.
    5. It may be my imagination, but I am pretty sure the Reds are taking more walks than usual.

    • Wayne nabors

      Senzel was healthy when they got to 25,should have never been in minor leagues,that guy can flat out hit,would have much rather he been up earlier instead of schebler

      • matt hendley

        Then he would just be burning service time on the IL. The FO would look like idiots, cause they would be in that situation. We are nearing the clock point anyway so it will be a moot issue soon. Scheb does need to either hit or get off the pot.

  30. Drrobo

    Not ready to jump DB because player performance determines the success or failure of managerial decisions and right now the reds performances are spotty at best. I’m infuriated at the FO for giving the manager the outfield choices he has. Being of the analytical persuasion I’m sure analytics plays into the decisions but not to be forgotten is the eyeball tests. This is a concept that I have argued with Doug about. The fact remains that this team is not going to flourish with Schebler as a starter.

    • ToBeDetermined

      DB has an office downstairs with the players and one upstairs with the FO.
      I don’t believe you can simply lay the problem with the Outfield entirely at the feet of the FO.
      Of course we are only 4 games in. So lets give this another 16 games or so to see how this works out.
      But, of course I’m starting to get flashbacks of last years start.

  31. Wayne nabors

    Matt ,senzel got hurt in the minors,he would not have been on il if he was on 25 man