Tonight the Reds and Brewers meet in the middle game of the current three game series at Miller Park. The Brewers will be looking to solidify their hold atop NL wildcard race 3.5 games clear of the #3 team in the wildcard chase, the Colorado Rockies, and hoping perhaps still to catch the Cubs for the NL Central title. The Reds hope to improve on Monday’s uninspiring effort in their 8-0 loss to the Brewers. Game time is 7:40 Eastern.
This is Tuesday; so, the Reds starting pitcher must be right hander Michael Lorenzen, making his first start since 2015. Steve Mancuso authored this excellent retrospective of Michael Lorenzen’s journey as a Red. The Brewers will send rightie Chase Anderson to the mound.
Realistically what can we expect from Michael Lorenzen tonight in the starter’s role? Three times this season Lorenzon has pitched at least 4 innings in relief appearances with a longest stint of 4.1 innings. On three other occasions, he has pitched 3 innings. Lorenzen is clearly acclimated to process of pitching then sitting down then getting up and pitching again (and again and again), one of the major differences between starting and relieving. Lorenzen has thrown 60 or more pitches in an appearance twice this season topping out at 66 in his 4.1 inning stint. If he is getting the job done efficiently, he could go 5 innings. That’s not atypical of many other Reds starts this season by “regular” starting pitchers. However to make it that deep, Lorenzen will have to mix his pitches and come up with a put away pitch both of which have been problematic areas for him this season.
Tonight marks Chase Anderson’s fourth start against the Reds in 2018. In his 3 prior starts versus the Reds this year, all won by the Brewers, Anderson has pitched 17.1 innings and struck 15 Reds; but, he has been prone to being burned by the long ball (4 allowed). His 2018 FIP versus the Reds is 5.29. In the last month, Anderson has made 6 starts and compiled an ERA of 4.03 (5.08 FIP) in 29 innings of work. The Brewers are 4-2 in those games, an indication Anderson while not flashy is doing job 1 for a starter, pitching well enough relative to his team’s capabilities to give his team a chance to win.
Comparative 2018 Stats
To succeed as a starter Michael Lorenzen most likely is going to need to maintain his HR/9 rate at around 1 (or lower) and bump up the differential between his K% and BB%.
The Reds pen had to cover 3 innings on Monday. However none of their front line leverage relievers worked on Monday. They should be good to go to pick up from Michael Lorenzen if he can give them 5 innings tonight.
The Brewers pen covered 4 innings on Monday. Josh Hader worked a single inning prior to the Brewers pushing the game into a clearly blow out status; but is likely available for an inning if needed tonight. Brandon Woodruff worked 3 innings and figures to not be available tonight. Overall, the Brew Crew look to be in solid shape.
|1. Scott Schebler (RF)
2. Jose Peraza (SS)
3. Joey Votto (1B)
4. Scooter Gennett (2B)
5. Tucker Barnhart (C)
6. Phillip Ervin (LF)
7. Mason Williams (CF)
8. Brandon Dixon (3B)
9. Michael Lorenzen (P)
|1. Curtis Granderson (RF)
2. Christian Yelich (LF)
3. Lorenzo Cain (CF)
4. Travis Shaw (2B)
5. Jesus Aguilar (1B)
6. Mike Moustakas (3B)
7. Jonathan Schoop (SS)
8. Manny Pina (C)
9. Chase Anderson (P)
Eugenio Suarez actually gets a day off. Wonder how much thought Jim Riggleman put into where to slot Michael Lorenzen into the lineup?
News and Notes
Chad Dotson says there is reason to believe that light at the end of the tunnel isn’t another locomotive headlight coming at us….
On the surface, 2018 looks suspiciously similar to previous seasons in this never-ending mess of a rebuilding process. Still, there are plenty of reasons to be excited. https://t.co/kCqKUkIP2c via @dotsonc @Reds
— Cincinnati Magazine (@CincinnatiMag) September 18, 2018
Matt Wilkes looks at both sides of the Reds Matt Harvey conundrum
The long offseason is almost upon us. One burning question for the Reds: Should they re-sign Matt Harvey? I made an argument for both sides in this week's column: https://t.co/QPYdBgcQV5
— Matt Wilkes (@_MattWilkes) September 18, 2018
Joey has been cooking at the plate
— Cincinnati Reds (@Reds) September 18, 2018
Read and weep time……
Christian Yelich was taken 23rd overall in the 2010 MLB Draft, 20 picks after Manny Machado. Both are 26 years old.
Yelich has a higher career OPS than Machado and higher bWAR in 2018, and Machado's about to sign a $200+ million deal.
That's how good Yelich's contract is.
— Red Reporter (@redreporter) September 18, 2018
Tonight Michael Lorenzen is back in the center ring at the start of a Reds game for the first time since 2015. His appearance in this role adds excitement and interest to what otherwise would likely be just another ho hum countdown to season’s end for
many most Reds fans. Collectively we are yearning for a ray of hope to ride into the off season and carry us to spring training 2019. A strong performance by Lorenzen tonight which stokes the promise of what he might bring to this team in 2019 not just as a starting pitcher but also as a contributing player between starts could go a long way in kick starting those hopes for 2019. Go Michael! GO REDS!