The Cincinnati Reds (55-69) are riding high off a three-game sweep at GABP over the San Francisco Giants. The Reds will start a 7-game road trip tonight at 8:10 PM against the Milwaukee Brewers (69-57). The Reds are a remarkable 47-42 since May 8th.

The Brewers are right in the middle of a crowded NL wild-card race. The Brewers are in a three-way tie for the top wild card spot with the Rockies and Phillies, but have the Cardinals just a half game behind them, and the mighty Dodgers just 1.5 games back. The Brewers are also just 3.5 games behind the Cubs for first place in the NL Central.

The Reds will get to play a lot of meaningful baseball for their opponents down the stretch. The Reds next 16 games are against the Brewers, Cubs, Cardinals, and Pirates. In fact, of the Reds final 38 games, 29 of those games are against the Brewers, Cubs, Cardinals, Pirates, and Dodgers, who are all still in the race.

Starting Pitchers

The Reds are 1-15 in games started by Homer Bailey. The Reds are 14 games under .500. You do the math. You have to imagine at this point the Reds are just going to let Bailey finish the season or pitch until he gets hurt again just to make absolutely, positively sure that he is done. The last thing the Reds would want is to DFA Bailey, and him somehow get picked up and pitch well for someone else while they are paying him. Bailey has a career 4.79 ERA in 27 career starts against the Brewers. He gave up 5 ER in 5.0 innings in his only start against the Brewers this season.

Chase Anderson really has numbers not all that much better than Bailey, but his ERA is nearly 2 1/2 runs better due to his ridiculous .235 BABIP. Anderson has been hit pretty hard in his last two starts (8 ER in 8.2 IP), so the luck could be ending for Chase. He has a 2.98 ERA in 9 career starts against the Reds.

Starting Lineups

Reds Brewers
1. Billy Hamilton (CF)
2. Jose Peraza (SS)
3. Scooter Gennett (2B)
4. Eugenio Suarez (3B)
5. Preston Tucker (LF)
6. Phillip Ervin (RF)
7. Tucker Barnhart (C)
8. Brandon Dixon (1B)
9. Homer Bailey (P)
1. Christian Yelich (RF)
2. Lorenzo Cain (CF)
3. Mike Moustakas (3B)
4. Jesus Aguilar (1B)
5. Travis Shaw (2B)
6. Ryan Braun (LF)
7. Jonathan Schoop (SS)
8. Manny Pina (C)
9. Chase Anderson (P)

Phillip Ervin is starting to really see some everyday playing time. He has started in 9 of the last 11 games for the Reds.

42 Responses

  1. Sliotar

    Reds games at Brewers always seem to be high-scoring, like 8-5. Both SPs tonight have FIPs above 5.

    Feels like an Indy “Take the Over in 4.5 innings” special. LOL.

    Go Redlegs.

  2. Sliotar

    On MLB Radio in the 4 pm hour, the hosts, Casey Stern and Brad Lidge, were previewing free agent SPs this winter.

    They both agreed that Harvey could not come back to the East Coast, because his reputation preceded him. Stern has NYC ties and Lidge was with Phillies, so that was interesting.

    They did say that Harvey could likely land a 2 year deal, either for $18 million or $20 million total. Perhaps with the Reds or a team out West.

    They weren’t reporting as having inside information, but they are friendly with Scott Boras, and have him on their show about once every 6 weeks or so.

    • Old-school

      Boras is going to do what’s best for his client. Watching Harvey interact in the dugout after Reds fans gave him a standing ovation was nice. Joey votto came over and they seemed to have a good talk. Danny Darwin congratulated him as well as numerous players.He seems comfortable pitching for the Reds.

      There are issues bigger than baseball and Reds fans welcomed Brandon Phillips and Josh Hamilton as they rebuilt their careers in Cincinnati. If Harvey finishes the next 6 weeks strong, I expect him back with a mutually agreeable deal and a market based offer. If Castillo and Disco continue their recent strong pitching, a rotation nucleus is finally there.

  3. msanmoore

    A 2 year Harvey deal might work. Then again, Boras …

    • David

      Nick Senzel’s agent is Scott Boras. Just sayin’

      • msanmoore

        Nick Senzel is under Reds’ control for the near future. Harvey isn’t.

  4. Jim Walker

    This team reminds me so much of the 1999 team at the plate. Too bad they never had the pitching to give them a fighting chance.

  5. Bill J

    What player was it said he dropped Boras because he wasn’t trying to get him a deal, because Boras had bigger clients to deal with. Like for that to happen with Harvey, maybe the Reds could sign hom.

    • Jim Walker

      Boras’ M.O. has always been to let the top of market at a position get settled then work it downwards. That had always worked well until the last several when a number of the mid range and bottom guys have been left empty handed as the top end dropped due to the new CBA. Be interesting to see how/ if Boras adjusts moving forward.

  6. VaRedsFan

    Eric Thames not in the lineup??? Is Counsell on crack???

    • Mike Adams

      Naw, it is based on metrics, two times two is four, cats climbing up trees, eye tests, matchups, days off, tea leaves, insert your own reason here………

  7. docproctor

    Homer didn’t look like he had much. I’m not sure how long he’ll be able to fool the Brew Crew by nibbling at the corners with low 90s fastballs.

    • Mike Adams

      Is he intentionally nibbling at the corners, or is he just throwing all over the place?
      I was thinking his control was not good at all, or am I wrong?

    • Mike Adams

      Again, Bailey had trouble locating with Chase Anderson batting. You would think he would go right after the pitcher and save some pitches for later.
      And I think the Brewers are helping him out by swinging at some balls off the plate that are hard to hit.

  8. docproctor

    Dear Rig:
    Please note that Ervin hit that HR against a righty.

    • big5ed

      But he would have it farther against a lefty.

  9. CI3J

    I really wonder if Ervin can play CF…. They have to at least give him a shot there, right?

    • docproctor

      He played there some in the minors. I’m betting he would be better than Schebler defensively (and easily a better arm).

  10. musicclown

    Schebler 0-3 in his rehab start for Pensacola tonight. Reds plan for rehab to be 3 games.

  11. seat101

    It looks like I’m not the only member of the Jose Pereza fan club anymore. It was lonely there for a while at the beginning of the season

    Now don’t get mad at me but I’m not going to start a club that says Jose should either be our centerfielder or our second baseman next year.

    There are no fees to join this club. The only requirement is a resignation to the fact that the Reds will try nothing outside the box as long as we have this interim manager.

    • Steelerfan

      I absolutely agree that his bat seems to be coming around, and is trending above average for a SS.

      As an occasionally viewer due to blackout rules, I am not qualified to talk about his defense at SS, though I do not get the sense anyone is saying it is more than average.

      Sadly, we have seen no sign they are actually going to think out of the box. I am cautious about the idea of playing him in CF because there is at least some evidence that when you are moving players around the “defensive perspective” even when they should have the athleticism to make the move, infielders do not make good outfielders without some substantial experience. BP link (unfortunately subscription only I think) :

      And to your point about management, I think the article supports the point about getting people experience where you think they are going to play in MILB. Dilson should not be getting his first significant OF experience now…

  12. Jack

    Third time through the lineup now. Let’s see if Homer can get through.

  13. Scott C

    Another 0-2 pitch that Bailey gives up a home run

  14. VaRedsFan

    Shaw hammers fastballs
    Homer: I’ll try to sneak 92 by him.

  15. Steelerfan

    only “watching” on the mlb feed, but after the Aguilar at bat it kinda felt like that was coming…

    • VaRedsFan

      Aguilar’s was a bit lucky…Poke single opposite of the shift.
      At least they get Anderson out of the game.

  16. Indy Red Man

    I’m not watching it, but it sounds like Homer is competing? My question is….Riggleman pulled Disco with 85 pitches or something in 1 start and pulls other guys really quickly so why does he seem to leave Homer in? Homer was doing ok last start and then gave up 3-4 singles in that last inning. He would’ve pulled anyone else? Makes me think the front office is calling the shots again?

  17. Indy Red Man

    Reds working on 1-16 in Homer’s starts.

    Pitches bad they lose. Pitches decent they lose. Pitches good they lose. One of these days they’ll win 14-3 for him, but Parcells say you are what your record (era) says you are. His era is 6.21

  18. docproctor

    Hey Thom and Chris: While you were yammering about managers, did you notice that Dilson was batting for Ervin? Want to tell us about that?

    • Steelerfan

      any explanation now? Mlb not showing injury.

    • docproctor

      Oops–Dilson for Tucker. See? Needed you to notice.

      • Steelerfan

        Yup got it now. Sorry and thanks.

        Come on Reed, this is where we need you…

    • Sliotar

      Naw, they got company propaganda to push.

      Riggleman is “open” to analytics.


      Entering today, Reds were no. 1 in sacrifices in all of MLB.

      Why is a last place, rebuilding team worrying about sacrifice bunts when it has been statistically proven to not be the optimal solution in most game situations?

      Maybe cause Jimmy is all about trying to lose only 89 games. Just sayin’.

  19. VaRedsFan

    Hughes touched up a little. A rare occurrence.