The Reds appear to be nearing a pivotal point in the rebuild process. It’s time to strap in and see how they will assemble the final pieces of the this complicated puzzle we call the Reds next winning baseball team. Let’s hope they knock it out of the park.

Now let’s see what is going on down on the farm.

 
AAA Louisville Bats

The Bats have a 36 – 55 record and in 4th out of 4 in the International League West.

International League hitters are hitting .253/.323/.390/.713.

  • IF/OF Brandon Dixon, .329/.369/.563/.932, is 2nd on the team with 17 2B. The 26 year old is tied for 2nd on the club with 8 SB.
  • OF Phil Ervin, .286/.372/.494/.866, leads the club with 4 3B and 36 RBI. The 25 year old also leads the team with 10 SB.
  • RF Gabriel Guerrero, .297/.336/.462/.798, is tied for 2nd on the team with 8 HR. The 24 year old hit .296/.336/.469/.806 in 107 PA at Pensacola to begin the season.

International League pitchers have a 3.87 ERA.

  • RH SP Bob Stephenson, 3.29 ERA, has tossed 93 IP allowing 70 H and 47 BB with 114 SO. The 25 year old has allowed 6.8 H/9, 4.5 BB/9, and 11.0 SO/9.
  • RH SP Keury Mella, 5.00 ERA, tossed 9 IP allowing 11 H and 5 BB with 6 SO in 2 GS for the Bats this season. The 24 year old put up a 3.07 ERA in 85 IP allowing 70 H and 31 BB with 87 SO at AA Pensacola before his promotion to the Bats.
  • RH RP Tanner Rainey, 1.52 ERA, has tossed 29.2 IP allowing 12 H and 21 BB with 43 SO. The 25 year old has 13 SO/9.
  • RH RP Kevin Quackenbush, 2.54 ERA, has tossed 28.1 IP allowing 26 H and 5 BB with 34 SO. The 29 year old has recorded 13 S.

AA Pensacola Blue Wahoos

The Blue Wahoos have a 46 – 46 record and are 3rd out of 5 in the Southern League South

Southern League hitters are hitting .249/.327/.387/.714.

  • 3B/1B Mitch Nay, .254/.380/.559/.940 in 71 PA, has 5 HR since joining the Blue Wahoos. The 24 year was hitting .271/.342/.418/.760 in 281 PA at A+ Daytona before his promotion.
  • LF Narciso Crook, .338/.398/.500/.898 in 84 PA, has hit 2 3B since joining Pensacola. The 22 year old was hitting .208/.296/.354/.650 in 54 PA at A+ and .263/.337/.525/.862 in 92 PA at A before his promotion.
  • OF/1B Brian O’Grady, .260/.355/.475/.830, is tied for the team lead with 4 3B. The 26 year old LH hitter is 3rd on the team with 27 BB.
  • 2B Shed Long, .260/.357/.423/.781, leads the team with 54 R and 13 SB. The 22 year old LH hitter is also leads the team with 16 2B.
  • OF T. J. Friedl, .282/.396/.376/.773 in 101 PA, is already 3rd on the team with 7 SB. The 22 year LH hitter was hitting .294/.405/.412/.817 in 274 PA at A+ Daytona before his promotion.

Southern League pitchers have a 4.00 ERA.

  • RH SP Tony Santillan, 2.25 ERA, has thrown 12 IP allowing 13 H and 2 BB with 12 SO in 2 GS for Pensacola. The 21 year old put up a 2.70 ERA in 86.2 IP allowing 81 H and 22 BB with 73 SO at A+ Daytona before joining the Blue Wahoos.
  • LH RP Seth Varner, 2.60 ERA in 16 G/8 GS, has thrown 65.2 IP allowing 50 H and 18 BB with 62 SO. The 26 year has a 1.04 WHIP.
  • RH RP Alex Powers, 2.60 ERA, has tossed 27.2 IP allowing 18 H and 6 BB with 33 SO. The 26 year old has recorded 9 S with a 0.87 WHIP.

High A Daytona Tortugas

The Tortugas have a 50 – 42 record and are 1st out of 6 in the Florida State League North. They have qualified for the Playoffs by being the First Half Division winners.

Florida State League hitters are hitting .252/.322/.369/.691.

  • 1B Ibandel Isabel, .238/.323/.511/.834, leads teh team with 19 HR and 93 SO. The 23 year old also leads the club with 46 RBI.
  • OF Taylor Trammell .294/.390/.416/.806, is 3rd on the team lead with 6 HR. The 20 year LH hitter leads the team with 54 R, 4 3B, 16 SB, and 42 BB.
  • OF Daniel Sweet, .277/.355/.446/.801, is back with the Tortugas after a short lived promotion to AA. The 23 year old switch hitter hit .143/.286/.186/.471 in 85 PA at Pensacola.
  • C Tyler Stephenson, .275/.355/.428/.782, is 2nd on the team with 8 HR. The 21 year old is also 2nd on the team with 15 2B.
  • RF Michael Beltre, .289/.395/.371/.766 in 115 PA, has 17 BB and 19 SO with the Tortugas. The 22 year old switch hitter hit .297/.404/.448/.853 in 200 PA at Dayton.

Florida State League pitchers have a 3.76 ERA.

  • RH SP Andrew Jordan, 2.45 ERA, went 11 IP allowing 12 H and 5 BB with 6 SO in 2 GS since joining the Tortugas. The 20 year old put up a 3.83 ERA in 54 IP allowing 55 H and 17 BB with 34 SO at A Dayton before his promotion.
  • LH SP Scott Moss, 3.99 ERA, has thrown 88 IP allowing 92 H and 26 BB with 76 SO. The 23 year old has 2.7 BB/9.
  • RH RP Ryan Hendrix, 1.23 ERA, has thrown 36.2 IP allowing 24 H and 19 BB with 55 SO. The 23 year has a very good 13.5 SO/9 and has recorded 7 S.
  • RH RP Joel Kuhnel, 2.68 ERA, has thrown 37 IP allowing 33 H and 7 BB with 41 SO. The 23 year has 11 S.

Low A Dayton Dragons

The Dragons have a 43 – 50 record and are 6th out of 8 in the Midwest League Eastern

Midwest League hitters are hitting .252/.327/.377/.704.

  • C Hendrik Clementina, .271/.340/.510/.850, is leads the club lead with 11 HR. The 21 year old also leads the team with 39 RBI.
  • OF Malik Collymore, .303/.343/.455/.797 in 70 PA, has 5 2B since joining the Dragons. The 23 year old hit .235/.325/.382/.707 in 77 PA at A+ Daytona before coming to Dayton.
  • 2B/SS Jeter Downs, .260/.343/.417/.761, is 2nd on the club lead with 10 HR. The 19 year old middle infielder leads the team with 50 R, 26 SB, 37 BB, and 21 2B.
  • OF Lorenzo Cedrola, .341/.348/.409/.757 in 49 PA, has 6 SB since joining the Dragons. The 20 year old hit .318/.350/.427/.776 in 229 PA at A Greenville before being acquired by the Reds from Boston.

Midwest League pitchers have a 3.91 ERA.

  • LH SP Packy Naughton, 4.04 ERA, has thrown 104.2 IP allowing 114 H and 22 BB with 88 SO. The 22 year old has allowed 1.9 BB/9.
  • RH SP Hunter Greene, 4.69 ERA, has thrown 63.1 IP allowing 65 H and 20 BB with 80 SO. The 18 year old phenom has 2.8 BB/9 and 11.4 SO/9.
  • RH RP Cory Thompson, 2.47 ERA, has tossed 47.1 IP allowing 45 H and 6 BB with 50 SO. The 23 year old has 5 S and 1.1 BB/9.
  • RH RP Ryan Nutof, 3.33 ERA, has tossed 48.2 IP allowing 58 H and 19 BB with 56 SO. The 22 year old has recorded 2 S for the Dragons.

Rookie Billings Mustangs

The Mustangs have a 13 – 18 record and are 4th out of 4 in the Pioneer League North.

The Pioneer League hitters hit .275/.349/.426/.775.

  • OF Zeek White, .333/.471/.667/1.137 in 34 PA, is tied for the team lead with 2 3B. The 21 year old hit .438/.514/.625/1.139in 38 PA at R Greeneville before joining the Mustangs.
  • LF Reshard Munroe, .314/.385/.477/.862, is tied for the team lead with 3 HR. The 22 year old LH hitter leads the team with 6 SB.
  • OF/1B Bren Spillane, .246/.413/.443/.855, is tied for 3rd on the club lead with 2 HR. The 21 year old also leads the team with 16 BB and 33 SO.
  • 2B Dylan Harris, .329/.355/.493/.848, is tied for 3rd the club lead with 1 3B. The 23 year old has 2 BB in 76 PA.

The Pioneer League average ERA is 4.96.

  • RH SP Jared Solomon, 2.01 ERA, has thrown 31.1 IP allowing 19 H and 10 BB with 35 SO. The 21 year old has a 0.93 WHIP.
  • RH SP Luis Alecis, 2.27 ERA, has thrown 31.2 IP allowing 17 H and 15 BB with 40 SO. The 21 year old has 11.4 SO/9.
  • RH RP Eddy Demurias, 1.00 ERA, has thrown 9 IP allowing 7 H and 1 BB with 7 SO. The 22 year old has a 0.89 WHIP.

Rookie Greeneville Reds

The Reds have a 9 – 17 record and are 5th out of 5 in the Appalachian League West

The Appalachian League hitters hit .267/.354/.405/.759.

  • 3B Jonathan India, .276/.475/.621/1.096 in 40 PA, is 4th on the team with 10 BB. The 21 year old has 10 BB and 7 SO in 40 PA.
  • 1B Rylan Thomas, .226/.406/.566/.972, leads the club lead with 5 HR. The 21 year old also leads the team with16 BB.
  • 2B/3B Jonathan Willems, .333/.371/.589/.960, leads the team with 8 2B. The 19 year old leads the club with 3 3B and 22 RBI.
  • C Hunter Oliver, .322/.359/.559/.919, is 2nd on the club with 13 R. The 20 year old is 2nd on the team with 4 HR.

The Appalachian League average ERA is 5.02.

  • RH SP Josiah Gray, 3.98 ERA, has thrown 20.1 IP allowing 14 H and 5 BB with 20 SO. The 20 year old has a 0.93 WHIP.
  • RH SP Alexis Diaz, 3.00 ERA, has thrown 18 IP allowing 18 H and 5 BB with 29 SO. The 21 year old has 14.5 SO/9.
  • RH RP A.J. Moore, 2.08 ERA, has thrown 13 IP allowing 10 H and 7 BB with 13 SO. The 22 year old has 9 SO/9.

Rookie AZL Reds

The Reds have a 5 – 17 record and are 6th out of 6 in the AZL Central.

The AZL hitters averaged .250/.340/.354/.694.

  • IF Reyny Reyes, .355/.395/.421/.816, leads the team with 27 H. The 19 year old is 2nd on the team with 5 2B.
  • CF Danny Lantigua, .241/.264/.506/.770, leads the team lead with 3 3B. The 19 year old switch hitter also leads the team with 12 R, 4 HR, and 18 RBI.
  • SS Luis Lopez, .283/.377/.391/.769, is tied for 3rd on the team with 1 HR. The 18 year old is 3rd on the club with 5 BB.
  • 2B Danielito Remy, .304/.333/.420/.754, leads the team with 8 2B. The 20 year old has 2 BB in 72 PA.

The AZL average ERA is 4.25.

  • RH SP Daniel De La Fuente, 2.86 ERA, has thrown 22 IP allowing 16 H and 15 BB with 17 SO. The 20 year old has 6.5 H/9.
  • RH SP Orlando Noriega, 3.15 ERA, has thrown 20 IP allowing 17 H and 6 BB with 23 SO. The 19 year old has 2.7 BB/9 and 10.4 SO/9.
  • RH RP Marvin Mateo, 1.04 ERA, has thrown 8.2 IP allowing 4 H and 3 BB with 6 SO. The 20 year old has a 0.81 WHIP and 2 S.

Rookie DSL Reds

The Reds have a 17 – 21 record and are 5th out of 6 in the Dominican Summer League Baseball City.

The DSL hitters averaged .236/.340/.333/.674.

  • RF Fidel Castro, 258/.400/.536/.936, leads the team with 6 2B and 6 3B. The 19 year old LH hitter is tied for the team lead with 3 HR.
  • OF Darlin Guzman, .271/.344/.529/.873, is 2nd on the team lead with 5 3B. The 17 year old LH hitter is also tied for the club lead with 3 HR.
  • 2B Fraudys Jimenez, .219/.375/.375/.750, leads the team with a .310 BA. The 19 year old LH hitter has 4 BB and 7 SO in 64 PA.
  • CF Allan Cerda, .310/.375/.379/.754, is 2nd on the team with 15 BB. The 18 year old leads the team with 6 2B.

The DSL average ERA is 3.91.

  • LH RP Jose Salvador, 1.78 ERA, has thrown 30.1 IP allowing 14 H and 14 BB with 37 SO. The 18 year old has a 0.92 WHIP.
  • RH SP Raul Hernandez, 1.99 ERA, has thrown 22.2 IP allowing 13 H and 13 BB with 36 SO. The 19 year old has 14.3 SO/9.
  • RH SP Andres Falcon, 2.21 ERA, has thrown 20.1 IP allowing 20 H and 9 BB with 25 SO. The 20 year old has 11.1 SO/9.

Join the conversation! 23 Comments

  1. It seems to me that despite the fact the various rating systems agree the Reds system is flush with talent, they always seem to have trouble assembling winning teams in the minors.

    OK, yes the object is to develop the talent, not win the most games; but, when all the evaluators comment on the depth of talent across the system, wouldn’t it stand to reason that if it was being effectively developed, they would win more games than they do?

    Reply
    • It is strange that a highly ranked system can have so many losing records. I assume the ranking is more based on the number of guys expected to make an impact at the big league level, than overall depth at the minor league level. So if you have 4 guys in the top 25 prospect list and a bunch of guys who will never make it your system is highly regarded. If your system is full of guys who are AAAA or have the ceiling of bench pieces you could probably win a lot a games in the minors. My guess is if they were to rank who has the best minor league teams vs who has the most potential MLB talent the rankings would differ significantly

      Reply
      • That is a very good, astute observation Bill. Just like a MLB team with 3-4 outstanding hitters in the lineup and 2-3 black holes. That team just doesn’t win very many games. As Reds fans, we are way too familiar with that situation.

        Reply
      • See what you are saying but the team drafts at the same position in every round. If they are good at picking the cream at the top, shouldn’t they also be good at filling out down the line? Maybe they are less aggressive down the line in spending choices on guys that require overslot money to keep them out big time college programs and end up with less ready guys?

        However, the Reds are also notorious for not jump starting their top talent to AA, A+ or even low A; and they make them spend half a season or so at each level above rookie league on the way up. So, the only places they are really ending up with 4A/ career filler guys is toward the top of the system.

        Reply
        • Just adding on to what has been said, some of these graphs can be pretty telling that even if there are a handful of top prospects, the overall depth is not good

          https://twitter.com/darenw/status/1013052948526530560

          https://twitter.com/darenw/status/1005460885828198400

          Reply
        • I’d also be interested in average ages of our teams. The Blue Jays recently have been noted to hoard ‘older’ fringe MLBers in their AAA and AA systems to stock the cupboards with cheap replacement level talent for depth. These guys tend to be older and probably better minor leaguers. They use the waiver claim system expertly to achieve this.

          I imagine this makes their minor leagues teams better but not necessarily any better at churning out prospects?

          Reply
        • Jim, you already know the answer to that first question. It’s a crapshoot outside the very first picks in each draft. Now, if you’re questioning whether the Reds are doing a good job at developing talent, then you might be on to something.

          Reply
          • And indeed I was questioning whether the development was as effective as they are at picking the cream.

  2. I gotta assume that they will recall either Phillip Ervin or Brandon Dixon to take Scott Schebler’s spot. Ervin has been white hot for about a month now; Dixon has been hot as well, plus gives some positional flexibility. I predict Ervin, for whom it is fish or cut bait time.

    One of the two is going to be disappointed.

    Reply
    • Don’t think Dixon’s success is sustainable seeing he is walking less and striking out more and has a .442 BABIP. He is hitting way less ground balls though so that’s encouraging.

      Ervin looks to be the better bet to me but regardless of who gets it, I doubt Riggleman gives them much playing time.

      Reply
    • I think it will be Ervin, as we have no back up CF (unless Peraza, but doubt they will do that.)

      Reply
  3. Won’t matter they will not play unless another outfielder goes down.Its just what the Reds do.Minor league call ups know they won’t play and will do the doughnut and coffee run.

    Reply
    • Minor league call ups to replace guys on the DL don’t get playing time for any team unless they are top prospects. ErvIn and Dixon don’t have much of a future beyond a bench piece with the Reds. Neither one of them is replacing Schebler or Winker and Dixon isn’t playing CF. That leaves the only potential there for significant playing time is for Ervin to replace Hamilton, which he hasn’t hit enough to do

      Reply
      • Ervin was the 1st round (#27 overall) pick the season after Winker was the #49 overall (1st Rd Supplemental) pick. Ervin is a bit older because he was taken out of college as opposed to high school. Ironically, like Winker he also suffered a wrist injury which set back his hitting development.

        He is a good all around athlete who can play both corner OF and even CF at least short term or as a backup. Now that he is hitting and hitting for power, it is hard to believe the Reds wouldn’t want to have an honest look at him, even if it was just to add some to his value as a sweetener in an off season trade.

        Reply
        • Get Ervin a 1B mitt, a little instruction and send him out to pick throws and grounders during BP and at the least you’ve probably got a younger and cheaper Adam Duvall stand in for the next 3-4 seasons with the addition he can also fill in CF.

          Reply
          • I like the idea. Makes Duvall expendable though, but not without value.
            Two teams to help each other at trade deadline. LA Angels and the Reds.
            Reds send to LAA of Anaheim Duvall, Herrera and Robert Stephenson. Angels need a RF, 2B, and a SP. Stephenson could thrive back home in LA.
            LAA sends to Cincinnati a ML experienced LH starter with 3+ years of team control, Andrew Heaney. Reds need a LH starter.
            Stephenson and Herrera having no options left is a possible future headache avoided.
            For the Angels, Otani, Stephenson, and Jaime Barria would form a nice young nucleus to build their rotation around. Barria is a 22 year old rookie that is one of the top prospects in Angels system that got pressed into service with all of their rotation injuries. He is holding his own. Angels could also use the low salaries of Duvall, Herrera, and Stephenson on their books. Not that Heaney was expensive for them. He and Duvall next year should be close in salary. Duvall will be cheaper and better than Calhoun in RF. Stephenson will be cheaper than what Heaney will be next year. And Herrera will be cheaper than a free agent signing at 2B, with Cozart assuming 3B.

  4. I was really high on Ervin at the beginning of the year but he had his chance earlier and blew it. he looked uninterested and seems kind of lazy to me. he is the reds closest thing to a five tool player (which is kind of scary) but just didn’t perform well at all in the field or at the plate.

    Reply
    • And maybe Ervin learned his lesson. Since he went down to AAA in late May he has hit .287 with an OPS of .369/.485/.854 in 149 PA.

      And in the last month
      .366 average; OPS .438/.659/1.096 which is nothing left to prove at AAA territory.

      Reply
      • Agreed on both ends. Ervin looked disinterested early on, as Jreis says, but the light seems to have come on for him.

        He wouldn’t be the first guy to blossom late. Justin Turner was 26 when he first got some real playing time, and was 29 when he had his first good year.

        And the way Riggleman is using his outfielders, Ervin should get some play, against lefties and as a pinch-hitter.

        Reply
        • Riggleman could keep using the 3 “regular” outfielders just like he has been and put Ervin in the mix for Schebler without impacting the PT of the other 3 at all. But that’s probably too easy for the Reds to do it.

          Reply
    • Define what you mean by closest thing to 5 tool player for the reds. First name that came up for me was Senzel.

      Reply
      • run fast, hit for average ,hit for power. catch and throw.
        you are right Senzel and Taylor Trammel could fit that category too but I was talking about guys that have actually played on the major league club.

        it has been a while since we have had a player that ” can do it all” but at least we are headed in the right direction.

        Reply
  5. I hope you are right. he could be a big difference maker in the second half if he plays to his potential.!

    Reply

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