After that 9-1 beatdown of the Cardinals in the opening game of the series, the Reds will look to continue their red-hot hitting this afternoon at Busch Stadium. First pitch is at 4:10 ET.

Starting Pitchers

Pitcher IP ERA xFIP K% BB%
Luis Castillo 98.1 5.58 3.99 22.0% 8.2%
Jack Flaherty 70.0 3.34 3.44 28.4% 7.3%

It’s no secret that Luis Castillo has struggled in his second season in the big leagues, and many of the struggles are because he is giving up more home runs than a year ago. In 98.1 innings this season, Castillo has already given up seven more home runs than the 11 he gave up in 89.1 innings in 2017. Castillo’s HR/9 (home runs per nine innings) stands at 1.65, 0.5 worse than a year ago. While he has allowed eight runs in his previous three starts, he hasn’t given up a home run since June 22. Slowly, but surely he seems to be turning it around.

Castillo does have 94 strikeouts thus far this season, and he’s shown flashes of brilliance in some starts. In his last start against St. Louis, he allowed five earned runs in six innings, including two home runs, but was also able to strike out 10 batters.

There are five Cardinals who have an OPS over 1.000 against Castillo. Yadier Molina has done the most damage against the sophomore pitcher.

castillo vs cardinals

In Jack Flaherty’s first full season at the major league level, he’s faring quite well. He was sent down to Triple-A a couple times early this season, but since mid-May has been a solid fixture in the Cardinals rotation. In 13 starts, Flaherty has a 3.34 ERA, 82 strikeouts and only 21 walks in 70.0 innings.

Flaherty has five pitches, but rarely uses the change up. He primarily uses his fastball and slider, which is much different from Castillo, who uses a sinker and a change up much more than his slider. Flaherty’s average velocity on his fastball is 93.6, while his change up and slider are in the mid-to-upper 80s.

No Reds player has more than three at-bats against Flaherty. Joey Votto, Jesse Winker, and Jose Peraza each have two hits off him.

Lineups

REDS CARDINALS
1. Scott Schebler (RF)
2. Jose Peraza (SS)
3. Joey Votto (1B)
4. Scooter Gennett (2B)
5. Eugenio Suarez (3B)
6. Jesse Winker (LF)
7. Curt Casali (C)
8. Luis Castillo (P)
9. Billy Hamilton (CF)
1. Matt Carpenter (1B)
2. Kolten Wong (2B)
3. Yadier Molina (C)
4. Marcell Ozuna (LF)
5. Jedd Gyorko (3B)
6. Dexter Fowler (RF)
7. Paul DeJong (SS)
8. Tommy Pham (CF)
9. Jack Flaherty (P)

-In the last 14 days, Winker is hitting .448/.543/.690 with a 1.233 OPS and a 258 wRC+. In the last 28 days, he has a .513 OBP and a 1.164 OPS in 22 games. As long as he keeps playing everyday and keeps hitting like he has been, he’ll be a favorite for NL Rookie of the Year.

Stat of the Day

It’s almost like getting on base and making less outs is a good thing.

News and Notes

-Homer Bailey had his best “rehab start” yet last night in Louisville. Still don’t like that he’s going to return to the Reds rotation soon

-I’m looking forward to watching Hunter Greene and Taylor Trammell play in the Futures Game tomorrow.

Final Thoughts

I’m going to leave you with Billy Hamilton’s catch from last night. It’s one you will enjoy watching over and over again.

Join the conversation! 74 Comments

  1. Final line: 6-IP, 7-H, 4-ER, 3-BB, 10K, 1-WP, 1-3B, 2-2B, 100 pitches (65 strikes) and that’s his best game against minor league hitting.

    That’s a 6.00 ERA against minor league pitching, so I guess he’s about ready to pick up right where he left off with a cool 6+ ERA. I can’t wait…NOT!

    • His previous two were better; 6.2 IP 1 ER and 7 IP 3 ER

    • Cossack you beat me to it. 4 runs in 6 innings and that’s his best? Terrible. It’s a longshot for this team to get into the wild card picture but there is a chance. Putting Bailey in the rotation will close that door. 2 steps forward and one step back. That’s how we roll.

  2. Is this the last year for homer or does he have one more year ?

  3. And a 5 million dollar buy out for 2020. It’s only money.

  4. I really wish the Reds would realize Homer is a sunk cost at this point. He might be ok as a bullpen pitcher, but apparently it was decided he’s better as a starter. If this is “better”, he must have been putting up Kevin Gregg like numbers out of the bullpen.

    Oh, wait, that’s right, they never really tried him there, did they?

    • He probably isn’t any better as a reliever than starter, especially if he doesn’t want to be in the bull pen. He either starts or packs his bags. The bullpen is not going to be an option for him.

      • A guaranteed loss every 5th game. Bob C. could’ve played the Indians owner in Major League.

  5. This whole “return Homer to the rotation deal” smells to high heaven. Who actually believes that in a blind ballot, that the Reds 25 man roster would choose to reinstate Homer in the rotation (over Stephenson) (or keeping Harvey)? Does anybody believe that Riggleman requested Bailey back in the rotation? Reds pitching coach? Krall? even Williams? This edict came from Bob & Walt. Dollars to doughnuts that neither will stand up & take responsibility when it fails (again).

    • The money plays and always will.I wonder if they all had to memorize word for word what they would say to the press in an attempt to not luck silly?Didn’t work.

  6. Homer to replace Castillo I guess? BobSteve still circling the runway and waiting to land.

  7. Rain delay after one inning.

    Why even bother starting the game in that case?

  8. I didn’t realize this was the “whine about Bailey”.

    Is anyone actually have a new thoughts on this?

    #roywinker

    • It’s a fan blog, son. You’re gonna hear it whether you like it or not. Just move along if you don’t want to read it. That’s one of the beautiful things about this site. No need to snipe or complain about it. Think about it – you’re complaining about people complaining.

  9. The Braves just put their closer back on the DL for the 2nd time in a month.
    It is nice that the teams with deep farm systems are in need of a top closer. Looking at you Atlanta and Houston. Boston is.looking. Cleveland has a big need. Chicago has a need. Philly is looking too. The market is heating up.

  10. Mark Sheldon has an interview with Iggy. He wants to stay

  11. Scooter!

  12. Terrible bunting team and they have been for years….so no more auto-bunts? When your bunting success % is the same as your batting average then whats the point?

  13. Any idea how long the second delay will last?

  14. Harvey has completed his last start before the all star break. He has a a final 5 game stretch with improved velocity, stellar control and an attitude on the mound befitting an ace. Harvey has nothing left to prove and his improvement speaks for itself at this point. It’s time to pull the trigger and move Harvey. His value will not increase with 1 or 2 more starts after the break.

    5 games & 29.0 IP w/ 2.80 ERA, 26-H, 5-BB, 4-HBP, 23-SO, 1.07 WHIP, 1.65 BB/9, 7.1 SO/9, 4.6 SO/BB

    Mesoraco has improved his production with regular playing time, but he still has just a .722 OPS so I doubt he has much if any trade value at the deadline, especially with ~$4MM in salary remaining on his contract.

    Harvey alone should fetch a good prospect or could be bundled with an OF or reliever or both to increase the return. There’s a nice market for pitchers, relievers and starters (especially top of the rotation starters), so the Reds should be able to make this happen quickly and effectively. It’s past time to get Stephenson in the starting rotation, so he might as well join the team immediately after the break.

    • I agree but well we know Bob will not be up here.Homer gets a shot again and I hope he can get it done this time.Harvey did just what the Reds hoped he would do but he is looking for as big as contract next year as he can get and although he said all of the right things about his teammates and front office he ain’t signing with the Reds.As you said trade him and sweeten the deal if need be to get us a better return

    • I thought we were responsible for Mesoraco’s salary. And the Mets for Harvey’s salary. This made for higher value if either performed well.

      Am I wrong?

      • The Reds are not paying Mesoraco’s salary. They had to compensate the Mets for Mesoraco’s salary. What the Mets do with that money is entirely up to them. If they choose to kick in money to try and move Mesoraco at the trade deadline, that’s their option.

    • Speaking of Stephenson, he has made the improvement required to return to the show. During his last 11 starts, Stephenson has exhibited improved control while maintaining his strikeout command.

      11 games & 52.1 IP w/ 3.27 ERA, 43-H, 25-BB, 84-SO, 1.30 WHIP, 4.3 BB/9, 14.4 SO/9, 3.4 SO/BB

      This is Stephenson’s last shot as a starter with the Reds and the Reds last opportunity to evaluate him as a starter at the MLB level before he is out of options. Once Stephenson moves the the Reds bullpen at the MLB level again, he will never move out of the bullpen unless he is traded or released.

  15. Gametime!

  16. Here we go again! Riggleman the Bunter strikes again, and as usual, it backfires and the Reds get 0 runs out of it. Could be the play of the game.

  17. I’m so freaking over Sir Buntsalot! Such a ridiculous call. They can’t hire this clown.

  18. This is fun now

  19. That inning was showed the strength of the current Reds offense. They put up a 4 spot even though Votto struck out with bases loaded.

  20. 100 mph on 0-2? Homie don’t play that and neither does Scooter! Call me crazy but I’d like to keep him!!!

  21. Both Hernandez and Hughes will be 34 next year. I think if I had to choose I’d keep Hernandez. Hughes actually doesn’t throw strikes if you watch closely. They just swing because its close. If they could get a starting prospect and Hughes could help as a throw-in with Harvey, Iggy, etc. then that would be ok.

    • You still want to trade for DeJong?

      • Well 1 HR from him travels more then 5 of Peraza’s hits, but no I do not. Peraza is going to make something happen and power can go cold. DeJong might be another Gyorko or whatever his name is? Or he might be a slugger but I think we have enough middle infielders already!

    • Man, I love Hughes. Throws that sinker over and over, batters can’t lay off it. Induces lots of grounders and double plays.

  22. I love those multi hit nights. Especially when it’s two nights in a row

  23. I believe Peraza leads the NL now in singles.

  24. So if this holds up, we are 5 and 4 minimum on a really tough road trip, right?

  25. Shut. Up. Thom.

    Please someone make it stop.

  26. Casali sure was a nice pick up

  27. They are going to run Matheny out of town soon.

  28. Baseball – MLB – Total Runs O/U – Cincinnati Reds

    Cincinnati Reds @ St. Louis Cardinals

    Over 3.5 (-145) Jul 14, 2018 4:10 PM

    That rain delay profited me nicely:) The Reds have scored 4+ in 11 of 12 games now.

  29. TOOTBLAN!!!!

  30. TOOTBLANDINO

  31. Just think over 3 months ago The Reds were going with Gosselin and Pennington. The horror,the horror …

  32. Pile it on boys!!!

  33. Peraza needs to get to a casino….quickly!! Ameristar in St. Louis I think. The guy can do no wrong.

  34. The Cards appear ready for rebuild mode.

  35. Who’d a thunk it? Another blow out of Cards in their house. Not only could Iglesias, Hernandez, Hughes, Garrett, & Lorenzen improve some of these other Central division bullpens, but probably Crockett & Quackenbush as well.

  36. Some of us think they should stand pat pretty much and try to add some key pieces. Others think we should move some guys and not get too attached to short term results. Its a good debate! The Tigers appear to be losing out on waiting for better offers for Michael Fulmer. His era is now 4.50. Alot of people thought he was a solid #2 last year!

    • I think he gave up 4 today. Only 2 k’s?

    • I say get what you can for Harvey. Pair him with Hughes, Hernandez, Hamilton, or Duvall if it gets a better return. Trade Gennett if you get a a very good sp prospect in return (top 50-75 prospect type). Only trade Iglesias if the return is exceptional (which it may be).

  37. 9 back in wild card. “YOU GOTTA BELIEVE”

  38. I’d guess Lorenzen has given up about 6 extra basehits this year. No hrs for sure. He’s just hard to barrel up! Natural movement jamming them or running away from the barrel. He needs to be in the rotation! Plain & simple!

  39. This team is unreal right now. What a bizarre season.

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2018 Reds, Game Thread

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