The Reds will try to rebound from back-to-back losses against the division-leading Milwaukee Brewers this afternoon at sweltering Great American Ball Park. First pitch is at 4:10 ET.

It’s a hot one in the Queen City today, so if you’re going to the game (or if you’re outside at all today), make sure to take necessary precautions.

Starting Pitchers

Pitcher IP ERA xFIP K% BB%
Tyler Mahle 86.0 3.98 4.20 22.0% 9.8%
Jhoulys Chacin 92.0 3.82 4.76 18.1% 10.2%

Tyler Mahle had his ups and downs early this season, but has put together a very good month of June, giving Reds fans everywhere hope for the future. He’s 3-0 with a 2.30 ERA and 25 strikeouts in 27.1 innings, with a chance to bolster that today on this last day of the month. Although he’s pitching well, Mahle has struggled with walking batters. In June, he’s walked fourteen, but as it’s been all season, he’s been excellent at getting out of sticky situations. In his last start at Atlanta, he walked four batters in five innings, but managed to give up no more than three runs.

One of the reasons for his success is that he hasn’t been giving up the home run ball. In April and May, Mahle surrendered 13 home runs, but has only given up two this month. Already he’s given up 15 home runs in 86.0 innings this season, the most in his professional career.

The Brewers have very limited plate appearances against Mahle. I’ll point out that Eric Thames does have a home run off him, but what Reds pitcher hasn’t given up a home run to Thames at this point?

tyler mahle vs brewers

Jhoulys Chacin has been a journeyman pitcher over the last three years. After spending six seasons with the Colorado Rockies, he seems to have found a home with the Brewers in 2018 after being with four different teams since 2015. In Milwaukee, Chacin has proven to be a good addition to the starting rotation, with a 3.82 ERA in 92.0 innings. If there’s one thing he has struggled with at times this season, it’s command. Chacin has walked 40 batters already, compared to 71 strikeouts.

Chacin has faced the Reds once this season, on April 30. He lasted just 4.1 innings, giving up four runs on five hits while walking three and striking out only one batter.

Here are his career stats against the Reds:

jhoulys chacin vs reds

Bullpens

A major strength of both teams coming into this series has been its’ bullpens, but the Brewers are winning that contest so far. The Reds bullpen has given up seven runs (though three of those came in the ninth off Jackson Stephens in mop-up duty), while the Brewers have surrendered exactly zero. We knew it would be difficult to come back on them in the late innings, and Josh Hader, Jeremy Jeffress, and Corey Knebel have all pitched lights out in the first two games.

Everyone should be available out of the pen for the Reds except Michael Lorenzen, as he pitched three innings last night. For the Brewers, everyone should also be available. Jeffress would be the most likely to get a break as he’s pitched the most innings the last two nights.

Lineups

News and Notes

I don’t think Sal Romano pitched as badly last night as Jim Riggleman makes it seem in his interview. Excuses to use Romano as the odd man out when Homer Bailey comes back?

What most people forget about this game is that the Reds were down 7-0 in the bottom of the eighth. I remember the Austin Kearns home run in the eighth to get the Reds on the scoreboard. From there, the offense took off, and the rest is history.

The Reds are giving away this bobblehead today. I think it’s cool and different from the player bobbleheads normally given away.

Final Thoughts

I was listening to Marty and Jeff in the ninth inning last night. They were relaying a stat from Reds media relations director Rob Butcher. The Brewers have hit at least one home run in each of their last 17 games at Great American Ball Park. Thames has hit six of his 62 home runs at GABP, and in 14 games, Keon Broxton has three home runs already

How can the Reds be so unprepared when it comes to Brewers’ hitters? Reds pitchers absolutely dominated Cubs hitters a week ago, but can’t get the Brewers out. I think the Reds need a complete overhaul of all Milwaukee scouting reports.

All statistics are from Baseball Reference and FanGraphs.

Join the conversation! 109 Comments

  1. Louisville catcher Joe Hudson announced on Twitter that he has been traded to the Angels. https://twitter.com/joehud4/status/1013119920924708865

    No other details available as of 1:30 p.m. Saturday.

    Reply
  2. Ashley,

    Thanks for reminder on Rosie bobblehead. Will look for them on eBay later. I am happy my nieces and nephews don’t really care for Gapper, and think Rosie is the best mascot by far.

    Thames is already a Reds Killer, but the Broxton production is just bad luck. If Yelich doesn’t tweak his back in the first inning of Thursday’s game, we probably don’t see even Broxton at all.

    Would be nice for Mahle to have a good day and stop a losing streak from gaining steam.

    Go Redlegs.

    Reply
  3. “Joe Hudson was well known for his defense. He showed off a strong and very accurate arm behind the plate and controlled the running game well. The former Notre Dame catcher had thrown out 43% of attempted base stealers in his minor league career with the Cincinnati Reds organization. He is also noted for handling a pitching staff well and is a strong receiver and game caller behind the plate.”
    ~Doug Gray

    Reply
  4. C’est a rire.

    Reply
  5. Thames again????
    Fire the advanced scouting dept.

    Reply
  6. Can we trade for Thames?

    Think what he could do in 81 games at GABP?

    Reply
  7. Amen again and again and again on the Reds book of the Brewers hitters. Thames again. Next allows him an HR should be banished somewhere nasty

    Reply
  8. Let’s hope this is not another good day for The Crew.

    Reply
  9. The return of the 30-pitch first inning by a Reds SP (actually 31 pitches).

    Hello darkness, my old friend.

    Reply
  10. Marty just noted the reds are 2-16 against the cards and Brewers

    Reply
    • Kind of tells us how far we have to go just to compete in our own division doesn’t it?

      Reply
  11. Mahle threw 31 pitches in the first inning today.He will have to have some quick ones to get us to the 5th but he is still learning.

    Reply
  12. Barnhart can certainly use the day off as he’s had some very uncharacteristically unTucker like playing lately.

    Reply
  13. Its a really bad time to stop hitting as a team but we seem to be doing it.

    Reply
  14. Duvall continues to Duvall… Meanwhile, Mahle seems to have figured it out.

    Reply
  15. This team would really benefit from a few hours of Little League coaching.

    Reply
  16. I love Joey, but he has got to be one of the worst baserunners in mlb. Slow plus horrible decision making. He got a horrible break on Scooters double to start that avalanche of runs vs the Cubs. If the Cubs don’t miss the cutoff and then have Russell overthrow the catcher then Joey is out by 15 feet? Guess you could blame that one on Hatcher sending him, but Joey is just plain awful on the bases.

    Reply
  17. Thanks for the effort, Joey, but no. Just no.

    Reply
  18. As well a Mahle has pitched thru 5, it would be a huge shame to get beat 1-0 on that stupid home run.

    Reply
  19. Hello. Mahle just pitched his way out of quite the jam. Rearing back for 98 on his FB, while getting back to painting the edges.

    Nicely done.

    Reply
  20. I’m start to rethink the thought that Mahle’s stuff isn’t elite. 98 on a fastball there to Shaw. 95 and above all day with a good slider and decent changeup! If only they could scratch out a few runs?

    Reply
  21. Mahle with 12 Ks in 5 innings!! Wow!

    Reply
  22. Apparently tootblans are contagious

    Reply
  23. I have never seen that in a major league baseball game.

    C’est a tire!

    Reply
  24. Wow, Brewers just pulled a Reds on that bunt by Mahle. Let’s get some runs now…

    Reply
  25. Man this ump is terrible

    Reply
  26. Jose Peaza ineeds a double flap helmet. He’s always worried about getting hit in the ear on a pick off throw.

    Reply
  27. 1 lousy run with bases loaded/nobody out and the top of the lineup? I don’t get it? The Brewers starters are not that great? The Reds just don’t look good up there?

    Reply
  28. Well, it’s pretty obvious that Riggleman is throwing up the white flag, bringing in Crockett instead of Hughes, Hernandez, or Iglesias.

    Reply
  29. Reds offense has stalled .Milwaukee is in first for a reason. Aside from the premier lefty relief pitcher in baseball.. .they don’t throw 96 either.

    Reply
  30. Counsell is too smart to run Chacin out there again after being on base twice and pitching in 94 degree heat. He’s got the pen and he knows it. He’s on top of things! No way we should be going on 1-8 vs this team? Their whole outfield is hurt? They need to wakeup and take care of business. Even great pens can’t roll thru people for 3-4 innings every night!

    Reply
  31. Bases loaded no outs. Bottom of the order. Lorenzen time

    Reply
  32. Duvall does what Duvall does this year. What a choke.

    Reply
  33. Duvall’s gonna Duvall. First pitch swinging with bases loaded and no one out.

    Reply
  34. Someone needs to make an argument that Adam Duvall is a regular every day outfielder in major league baseball .. Have at it. Make your argument.

    Reply
    • I have no confidence in him or Hamilton offensively. I can live with one or the other as 4th outfielder that plays once or twice a week. What I can’t live with is one of them as the 3rd outfielder. There has to be better options somewhere.

      Reply
  35. Blandino doesn’t have the intangibles. Find a way . Foul a ball off to extend an at bat .he doesn’t have it . He’s not good. Bring up Dilson Herrera yesterday.

    Reds blew it .

    Reply
    • On the bright side it was a swinging strikeout for Blandino. I’m surprised he didn’t stand there and watch it go by. Baby steps.

      Reply
  36. What a disaster. Bases loaded, no outs and you only get one run without a double play. Sheesh.

    Reply
  37. We will get em tomorrow cause it won’t happen today.What a woeful display of hitting by a major league team.Singles and station to station baseball will not win at GABP.Mahle was really good wasn’t he?Shame he got no support and against a guy that nobody wanted.Hats off to Chacin though.

    Reply
    • I hate to be the guy to point out you were wrong but lol…. boy you couldn’t have been more wrong!

      Reply
  38. Lost in all the lost opportunities is the fact that the Reds pitching has been pretty good today.

    Reply
  39. Watch Peraza if there is a pick off throw

    Reply
  40. Thank you Scooter!

    Reply
  41. Scooter is the man!

    If you trade him, you better get a lot in return.

    Reply
  42. Tied again. Please take the lead, Reds. The bullpen will get you a win.

    Reply
  43. And we don’t want to play scooter in left because he is terrible. Meanwhile the first place team plays Thames out there and he makes Scooter look like Hamilton.

    Reply
  44. Winker comes thru with the go ahead RBI. Keep it going, Reds.

    Reply
  45. And thank you Mr. Winker

    Reply
  46. I don’t understand why Scooter didn’t bunt there. Was Riggleman in the bathroom or something?

    Reply
  47. Duvall needed that one and I’m glad he got it. Nice knock to drive in 2.

    Reply
  48. I like this move. Come on Lorenzen

    Reply
  49. Why not pinch run Hamilton for Winker when he was at 2nd? Face palm again

    Reply
  50. Ha ha ha ha ha ha ha ha ha ha ha ha ha ha ha ha

    Reply
  51. YES! HAHAHHAHAHA – GRAND SLAM

    Reply
  52. Lorenzen is approaching Scooter Legend territory

    Reply
  53. Lorenzen is a keeper.
    That guy needs a jersey in the gift shop yesterday . Along with winker Phil.

    Reply
  54. Pretty good inning.

    Reply
  55. I <3 Lorenzen!! PLEASE make him an outfielder!

    Reply
  56. Unbelievable! Lorenzen just hit a pinch hit slam…

    Reply
  57. Guess the guys got tired of me bashing them for their hitting but I will do it all the time if we can get 8 runs in an inning.Free Lorenzen and play him any place he wants to play.

    Reply
  58. Cal State, Fullerton gets it done. The best moment of the season.

    Reply
  59. Honestly the Reds need to be seriously figuring out how to get Lorenzen more ABs. I mean would he be more valuable in the field?? He’s atleast an important guy off the bench on the days he’s not pitching.

    Reply
  60. I can’t support Duvall as a regular but he is on pace for 93 rbis:

    RISP = .254 average & .891 ops
    RISP w/2 out = .275 average & .816 ops

    And he’s great defensively….he just doesn’t need to play vs righties with sliders

    Lorenzen? I have no words. They need to start him off in LF….maybe 5 innings to get used to it. Stretch him out as a frontline player. The guy IS.A.MONSTER

    Reply
    • Duvall and Billy are what they are.Adam gets a start here and there and you ride him when he is hot but he at best a 4th outfielder.Billy is late inning defensive player or pinch runner.Adam is affordable but Billy is not.One other thing on Duvall is that he does have power which plays at GABP.

      Reply
  61. Lorenzen is downright unbelievable

    Reply
  62. Maybe its time to try Lorenzen in CF. Could have our future CFer right under our noses.

    Reply
  63. I am in a bar in SF watching this on my phone and running around telling random people that Lorenzen, Reds pitchers, and the team in general are home run/grand slam machines. This team is starting to become very fun

    Reply
    • Way to spread the word! This is a fun team to watch right now, the way we’re hitting you can’t ever count them out!

      Reply
  64. Ohio Jim, you were advocating for Lorenzen in the outfield a few years ago. Maybe he is the poor man’s Ohtani???. … If Lorenzen still wants to be a starting pitcher, he ought to get extra consideration for that role because of what he could do as a hitter between starts.

    Reply
  65. Note to Riggleman: THIS is a Jackson Stephens type of situation.

    Reply
  66. I’ll repeat from yesterday’s thread–wouldn’t this be fun next year?
    Schebler RF
    Suarez 3b
    Votto 1b
    Senzel SS
    Gennett 2b
    Lorenzen CF
    Winker LF
    Barnhart C

    (Rearrange them any way you want–I just went LRLRLRLS)

    Reply
  67. The key AB in that inning was Votto choking up resisting 96mph heaters just off the plate and working the walk… then Gennett doubles (obviously very clutch but Votto could have easily Kd or hit into double play so I think his AB is desrving of respect)… then Counsell walked Suarez and Winker with a bigtime groundball single,,, also worth noting Hamilton was sent into to pinch run for Winker at 3rd base with bases loaded so Lorenzen could hit. Well played by Riggelman! Scooter didn’t bunt and Hamilton was used properly. Big crooked number on the board.

    Reply
  68. I still shake my head at Riggleman … Welsh said that Riggleman’s explanation for pinch hitting for Lorenzen on Friday night was that he had to think about his bench players. Really? We’re more worried about hurting people’s feelings than we are about winning games?

    Reply
  69. Lorenzen last 5 atbats….3 HRs and the hardest hit ball of the year by a Red for a single….plus a walk. This hitting thing is easy!

    Reply
  70. This is the time to experiment w/Lorenzen. He’s been good out of the pen, but start him in LF and bat him 6th. See how 5 innings feel and then go from there. They need a right-handed power bat and the guy hits HRs like the overgrown kid in little league.

    Reply
  71. Great win for the Reds. Broke the Brews spell on them (for now). If the good Harvey shows up tomorrow, it will be a shot at a series split. We’ll take that.

    Reply
  72. I thought the same thing he just looks like he is well the big kid in the sand box that doesn’t belong.Guy is just a brute and well if you lift it at GABP it will go but that slam goes out anywhere.

    Reply
  73. There are 33 ML players with 49 or more RBI right now- including Adam Duvall. Mike Trout & Bryce Harper also have 49 RBI, by the way. Tomorrow is the first of July. I call that gettin’ ‘er done. Low BA & all.

    Reply
    • Helps that he has had Votto, Scooter, and Suarez hitting right in front of him. Wonder how another player would do with them in front of them.

      Reply
      • That’s exactly right. Among the things I have learned here is that RBIs are a stat of opportunity. With Duvall’s poor batting average, you could almost ask how many RBIs he would have if he were hitting .270 instead of .207 or whatever it’s at now. … RBIs are fun and all, but the stat surely needs context. … For example, if Winker were getting all of those RBI opportunities, how many would HE get, from a higher average overall plus driving in runs on sac flies or groundouts maybe, instead of Duvall’s near-constant strikeouts on pitches nowhere near the strike zone.

        Reply
        • Winker has 32 rbi. Maybe we should blame Price & Riggleman for batting Jesse at the top of the lineup where he had less chances to drive in Votto, Suarez, & Scooter.

          Reply
          • Of course, batting at the top of the lineup gives Jesse more opportunities to be driven in by Votto, Suarez, Gennett, (& Duvall). Wait a minute, Winker is tied for 8th place in runs scored (with Adam Duvall). How is that possible? Maybe Jesse leads the Reds in being left on base, or some other irrelevant stat.

      • That reasoning goes directly back to the 2013 season when Bruce and Phillips had ‘career’ seasons with 109 & 103 RBI’s respectively. Those RBI followed Choo (.423 OBP) and Votto (.435 OBP) at the top of the lineup in front of Phillips and Bruce. This season is even more stacked for a ‘career’ season in RBI’s with Votto (.429 OBP), Suarez (.391 OBP) and Gennett (.372 OBP) hitting in front of Duvall.

        Reply

Leave a Reply

Category

2018 Reds, Game Thread

Tags

, , , , , ,