All good things end eventually and so it went for the Reds six game winning streak yesterday. However today is a new day and a chance for the Reds to start a new winning streak  against the Giants in game 2 of the current series at AT&T Park in San Francisco. Game time is 10:15pm ET.

Starting Pitchers

Tyler Mahle will make the start for the Reds. In his last start the young Reds right hander bobbed and weaved his way through trouble not always of his own making for five innings with the Reds fate seemingly hanging by a thread on almost every pitch. However, when the dust cleared, Mahle had allowed just 1 unearned run; and, the Reds offense came to life late to secure a win. All and all Mahle’s performance was one of the most masterful jobs turned in by any Reds starter in some time. Mahle needed 109 pitches to complete those 5 innings full of leverage situations. Tonight his task is to demonstrate the physical and mental mettle to go back to the mound five days later and do it all over again if need be. Such is the life of a top of the rotation MLB starter.

Left hander Ty Blach starts for the Giants. MLB.com says that in a rotation bereft of Madison Bumgarner and Johnny Cueto, Blach has emerged as the Giants most effective starter. Like last night Giants starter Chris Stratton, the 27 year old Blach became a Giants property as a result of the 2012 June draft in which he was  the 178th overall pick (5th round). After a cameo MLB debut on 2016 Blach appeared in 34 games (24 starts) last season.  He has been in the rotation  all year for the Giants in 2018, making his tenth start tonight.  Blach is a fastball (60%)/ change up (23%) pitcher who also mixes in both a slider (6%) a curve (11%). His heater comes in at about 90MPH, the change and slider at around 80MPH and the curve a bit  slower than that.

Here are the 2018 Comparative stats.

PITCHER xFIP HR/9 BB% K%
Tyler Mahle 4.02 1.83 8.1% 23.7%
Ty Blach 4.20 0.55 7.6% 11.8%

Mahle’s K% is edging toward the elite level; but, he still has work to do at keeping the ball in the park. If Blach starts racking up K’s against the Reds, it could be a sign of long night ahead.

Bullpens

Both bullpens got a workout last night but the Reds a little more so. Jackson Stephens and Dylan Floro are both probably unavailable tonight aside from maybe a single out. Austin Brice is good for probably only an inning. Tyler Mahle really needs to go at least 5-6 innings. If he doesn’t we are likely to see the Reds leverage crew pitching wasted innings.

Cory Gearrin worked 2 innings out of the Giants pen last night and would appear to be their only reliever on short call for tonight.

Lineups

           REDS           GIANTS
1. Jose Peraza (SS)
2. Jesse Winker (LF)
3. Eugenio Suarez (3B)
4. Scooter Gennett (2B)
5. Adam Duvall (1B)
6. Scott Schebler (RF)
7. Tony Cruz (C)
8. Tyler Mahle (P)
9. Billy Hamilton (CF)
1. Gregor Blanco (LF)
2. Andrew McCutchen (RF)
3. Buster Posey (C)
4. Brandon Belt (1B)
5. Evan Longoria (3B)
6. Brandon Crawford (SS)
7. Austin Jackson (CF)
8. Kelby Tomlinson (2B)
9. Ty Blach (P)

As expected Votto is sitting out. Barnhart also gets a rest.

News and Notes

Early reports are that all went well in the initial rehab efforts of Anthony Desclafani and Michael Lorenzen Monday evening

Joey Votto left Monday’s game with “lower back tightness” and may sit out tonight but nobody seems too concerned about any longer term issues with it, least of all Votto.

But Votto also recently had some other not so lighthearted thoughts

The Reds bullpen won the “Bullpen of the Week” award largely for their efforts helping with the 6 game winning streak.

Final Thoughts

Last night was one of those games that seemed like it was settled early when Sal Romano gave up 6 runs in 2.1 innings. But then the Reds came roaring back to cut the deficit to 2 runs only to have the Giants then expand it to the 5 runs then 6, the largest lead of the game. However, the Reds managed to plate 3 more in the 9th to set the final margin of 10-7. Seems like those last 3 were just “consolation runs”?  Well, an unearned run and a late seemingly meaningless run by the Giants provided 2 of the 3 run game margin, leaving me with the feeling that this was a game the Reds might have stolen back but weren’t quite up to doing so.

Over an MLB season just 10 games added to or subtracted from the 81-81/ .500 midpoint often become the difference between a playoff team and an also run. The lesson to be learned by a young team like the Reds is that every game and every out earned or made is precious because in baseball teams that find ways to consistently steal back  games like last night’s are usually the teams playing in October. Go Reds!


Data and stats courtesy of  MLB.com, and Fangraphs

https://www.facebook.com/jim.walker.79
ohiojim67@hotmail.com
Twitter: @jn_walkerjr

Join the conversation! 41 Comments

  1. Like a lot of young pitchers our guys are inconsistent.
    Hope Mahle does real well tonight.
    GO REDS.

  2. A 5 run deficit is a big hole to dig out of, but not impossible. The bullpen has done a great job of shutting down the opponent during the 6-game winning streak, allowing the Reds offense to dig their way out and come from behind several times. With the Reds facing both Cutch and Posey, I can understand the one game slip. It’s time to right this riverboat and start another winning streak.

    • The Reds were 2 down with 9 offensive outs left when the wheels fell off in the Giants sixth.
      First mistake was walking the lead off man after having a 1-2 count on him. He has to be forced to put the ball in play.

      Second mistake was Peraza not making sure he got an out on Cuthch’s 1 out ground ball. To Peraza’s credit, I believe he was looking to nail the guy advancing to 3B and bobbled the ball because he was trying to pick and turn toward 3B at the same time. But he if it isn’t a clear clean virtually certain play at 3B, he has to take his out at 1B and have 2 outs and a man on 3rd rather than end up at 1st and 3rd with just 1 out.

      Facing Posey with 2 outs and 1st base open would have been a whole different deal.

  3. Peraza hitting directly behind Hamilton is once again crippling Hamilton’s biggest offensive contribution.

    • Now tonight I agree. Winker should be in lead off. This team just isn’t good enough to have Winker on the bench. He has no power but he does get on base. The outfield is such a weak link with out him. Will Schebler ever grab a hold of that extra outfield spot and run away with it. I would even try Scooter out there. His defense stinks at second but maybe shagging a 1000 balls in the outfield will make him better. His offense is needed out there.

    • I also groaned when I saw the lineup. Peraza is hitting lead off with a 293 OBP and a grand total of four walks. If Hamilton is on base and Peraza sacrifice bunts I may lose it mentally.

  4. As much as I think JP is the shortstop of the future, I think he needs to be sat down for a couple of games.

  5. Jim,

    Agree with your “buying time to steal back a game” comment. This team does not have that mentality or culture. Too many current players knowing nothing but losing as a Red, and Votto doing whatever he expects to accomplish by ranting to the media (again).

    Your comment did make me think of Terry Francona, and the novelty of bringing in his closer, Keith Foulke, in the 6th inning of Game 4 of the 2004 ALCS, even though the Yankees were winning 4-3 at the time. Dave Roberts steals second in the bottom of the ninth, Big Papi walk-off in the 12th and the Red Sox miracle 3-0 series comeback was on.

    https://www.baseball-reference.com/boxes/BOS/BOS200410170.shtml

    Dramatic, memorable playoff games feel like a different universe. We really are in the dregs right now as Reds fans.

    Only 4 teams in the NL right now have a losing record, and one is a temporary mess (Dodgers). The rest, Reds, Padres and Marlins, all seem like they really are a level below everyone else.

    Lots of work still to be done. Go Redlegs.

    • I don’t think Padres are that bad. They have some good pieces. Tough division though.

  6. https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=MYBZeU46LL4

    The Roberts steal.

    8 mins of drama. Young Bronson Arroyo shown in first minute.

    Oh, to see one moment like this at GABP.

  7. Bullpen of the week too cool. Anthony and Michael pitched well I’m ready for another six in a row. Go reds

  8. The fascination of Peraza at the top of the order is interesting. He is just a bad hitter. At this point, Hamilton is proving that he deserves to bat lead off more than Peraza.

    This should be a good start for Mahle, good ballpark and he just competes.

  9. Brandon Belt is approaching eligibility for the Reds Killer Hall of Fame? Huh.

    Don’t play them enough for it to sting, I guess.

  10. Is it just me or does Winker look like he’s running against an 80 mph wind?

  11. Suarez hurt

  12. Coming into the game Scooter was batting .323 vs lefties. Who keeps calling for him to platoon?

  13. At least two of the two strike pitches to Belt we’re right on the top line of foxtrax. Squeeze Alert tonight!!

  14. I like Mahle working the top of the zone to lefty Belt

  15. Not sure if this has been discussed, but excellent commentary by Doug Gray on Reds needing to call Mariners after Cano news. I would include other teams looking for services at 2B.
    http://redsminorleagues.com/2018/05/15/robinson-cano-suspended-reds-need-to-be-calling/

    • It’s not just the Mariners.

      The Dodgers are rolling at 2B with…. 39 year old Chase Utley and Kike Hernandez, who can’t hit RHP.

      Either Dick Williams is trying to fleece teams, or there is no interest in Scooter. Or, some of both.

      His numbers are going to dip if he goes somewhere else, especially the marine air in Dodgers Stadium and Seattle.

    • The opportunity is there, but seattle doesnt have much to offer, unless you get a real young guy. No interest in the often injured prospect that Doug spoke of

  16. Scooter 2 more hits vs the lefty… He sure is lucky

  17. Billy…big 2 out rbi knock

    • Scooter is lucky but Billy with a knock?
      How bout Billy with a lucky blooper and picked off ..49 mph exit velocity

  18. Good call Sliotar…as Belt continues to torment the Reds….he hit in the Cove

  19. Flu seem to be affecting Mahle. velocity is down tonight

  20. LOL. Thanks, I think.

    He crushed that thing.

    My brother lives out there, and it’s funny to hear him tell that SF fans are completely split love/hate on Belt.

  21. 3-0 lead evaporated. In the hands of the bullpen now.

  22. Not a good night for Mahle obviously. Sick or not, I wonder if having barnhart behind the plate might have helped him. Especially against Panda, looked like he was looking for low pitches and that exactly what he kept giving him.

  23. It stinks he did not get out of the inning, but props to either Mahle or Cruz.

    With both the strikeout and Sandoval’s hit, there was no giving in, no meatball thrown, not even on 2-2, resulting in a K.

    Mahle throwing everywhere and anything, even with bases loaded. Good to see he’s not afraid to use all of his stuff in that situation.

  24. Peraza dropped several line drives last year. I think 90 % of MLB shortstops make that play. Ruled a hit.

  25. Great outing by Garrett.

  26. Hamilton…great catch.

    The angle of his glove was so low to the ground. Longoria was still running hard a couple of seconds afterwards, like he could not come to grips that it was actually caught.

  27. I just had a crazy idea. Since Duvall is among the team’s worst hitters, how about we don’t have him hitting either immediately before, immediately after, or anywhere in between the lineup’s three best hitters? Pretty radical, I know, but I think it might be time to try something radical.

    • I was afraid to look it up, but…

      RISP

      Duvall – .182 (6 for 33), 2 HRs….11Ks

      Gennett – .234 (11 for 47), 0 HRs….11Ks

      (Entering tonight. Will be worse tomorrow)

      Even with a good bullpen, can pile up a lot of close losses with the heart of the order can’t get the big hit.

Comments are closed.

About Jim Walker

https://www.facebook.com/jim.walker.79 ohiojim67@hotmail.com Twitter: @jn_walkerjr

Category

2018 Reds

Tags

, , , , ,