The Cincinnati Reds (8-26) will continue their homestand tonight at 7:10 PM against the New York Mets (17-15). The Reds so far are just 1-5 on the homestand, coming off back-to-back losses to the lowly Marlins. The Mets have lost six straight games, but are still currently right in the thick of the NL East race, 1.5 games out of first place. The top four teams in the NL East (Braves, Phillies, Mets, Nats) are all separated by less than two games. The Mets are lead in part by former Reds, Todd Frazier and Jay Bruce. Frazier is off to a resurgent 2018 season, as he enters play on Monday with 5 homers and a 135 wRC+.

Starting Pitchers

Homer Bailey‘s last three starts have not been good: 15.2 IP, 20 H, 12 ER, 6 HR, 4 BB, 5 K. Bailey is really struggling so far in 2018 to miss bats, and that has be concerning as the temperature warms up this summer. It won’t get any easier for Bailey tonight as he has a career 6.49 ERA against the Mets, and the combined currents Mets hitters have a 1.002 OPS.

The Reds catch a break tonight as they will face P.J. Conlon in his MLB debut. Conlon is taking the place of the injured Jacob DeGrom. Mets manager Mickey Callaway said about Conlon (courtesy NY Post): “He’s a guy that throws strikes, has a good changeup and maybe he can keep them off balance for a while and then let out bullpen come in and try to finish the job.” He was the Mets second choice to fill the rotation spot (the other got his travel schedule messed up), so even they aren’t putting a lot of faith in him. One interesting fact is that Conlon will be the first Irish-born player in the major leagues since 1945.

Starting Lineups

You can find the lineups here.

Conclusion

This is the kind of game you have to pounce on if you are the Reds. You are facing a rookie starter who has no business being here, and a team that has lost six straight games. Go Reds!

Nick is a lifelong Reds fan who was born and raised in Cincinnati. He acquired his love of baseball from his late grandfather. Nick moved to the Cleveland area in 2014 with his wife, and his currently fighting to convert his beautiful baby daughter Emma to Reds fandom. Nick has been writing for Redleg Nation since 2013. Follow Nick on Twitter @nicholaspkirby.

Join the conversation! 83 Comments

  1. I will be there. Section 135, row C today. Considering the attendance lately, if anyone would like to stop by and say “hi”, it shouldn’t be hard to find me.

    Looking forward to seeing Frazier and Bruce again. Bruce is my favorite current player. Bruce isn’t exactly killing the ball at the moment and I hope he and Frazier go 0-fer when it matters this series.

    Hopefully, Homer gets off to a good start and can give the Reds 6-7 strong innings. I’d very much like to see an elusive win for the home team.

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  2. On Rotogrinders (good, free source for helping put together daily fantasy lineups), the site posts the Vegas implied run totals for each team.

    For (I think) for the first time all season, the Reds are projected to have the top run total of the night….4.78.

    But, the Mets are right behind are 4.72.

    The fantasy gurus really don’t like Homer’s K rate sliding to 13% this year from 18% last year.

    Hope the Redlegs can bring home a win for LWBlogger2.

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    • I predict LW is going to be very upset if the Reds lay an egg and meanwhile he misses seeing the Caps put the Pens out of their misery.

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      • Oh please let it happen tonight. I’m a longtime Caps fan, suffering from post season agony. Go Reds, and let the hockey gods smile on the Caps for once!

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  3. Sorry to ask. Have been out of range. Any update on Senzel? Looking at the Bats lineup before the Reds lineup.
    Sad state of affairs

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  4. Play Blandino vs lefties please? Give Herrera a few starts as well. What difference does it make?

    Adrian Gonzalez 11-25 with 6 Hrs off Homer? Thats insane! Just walk him please. This might actually be a fun 8-6 victory tonite. Maybe? Looking at the Mets….they’re a old team on the downslide despite some great arms in the rotation. I’d offer up Iggy and/or farm system players for Michael Conforto. He’s running cold so far this year, but he’s a very talented hitter and I guess he can play CF now. A .939 ops with 27 HRs last year!

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    • If Herrera got any OF starts and did well then they’ end up with an OF rotation with as many guys as the pitching rotation…..

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      • You mailed that one Jim. If Blanfino also got time in CF and played well, then the Reds would have to set up a bullpen for the OF rotation!

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  5. That started well.

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  6. Yes indeed.Goodness.

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  7. Maybe we could just start in the 2nd and play the 10th.Gee wiz.

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  8. Good to see Super Todd and Bruuuuuuuuuuuuuce again. I don’t want them to win though. LOL

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  9. Facing a lefty making his first big league start and soft tossing at 86 looks like we are in for a long night.

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  10. Catcher hitting .150…no problem. Lost 6 in a row and guy making his start ever? No problem…..the Reds have whatever ails you!

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    • That’s what I told a Mets fan today at work. Conlon will look like a Hall of Famer against this team

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    • Not just the catcher, Indy. That second run came from a guy who has 3 RBIs all season and a K rate of 24%.

      The old Bailey would have targeted him for a K, and had a decent chance of getting it, and maybe escaping the inning. That reach back just isn’t there for him any more.

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  11. Homer is awful tonight. Hope he can get it together.

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  12. Reds hitters look pitiful. Pathetic.

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  13. They DFA’d Harvey to early. He could have thrown 7 shutout innings against the Reds and raised his trade value.

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  14. Glad to see we’re facing Cy O’Young tonight.

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  15. Bruuuuuuuuuuuuuuuuuuce, oh wait……….

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  16. Homer….lol. Breaking balls just hanging there for batting practice. Can’t they just pay him the rest of his unearned lottery ticket and send him on his way?

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  17. Homer in the last 3,starts has given up 6 homers and only 4 strikeouts. Maybe we should call him David Bailey from now on.

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  18. We don’t resemble a major league team in any phase of the game tonight.I guess our 8-26 record is what we deserve

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  19. How about we pH for Bailey in the bottom of the third and let Garrett go as long as he can.

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  20. Super Todd needs to give Homer the Heimlich maneuver, he’s choking out there tonight!

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  21. Homer is done.Just pinch hit for him and call Lousiville,Try him again in 5 days.

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  22. Gonzalez hit his 7th HR off Bailey. Some people say you need 8000 ABs to get a true gauge of Batter vs Pitcher. 13-27 off Homer

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  23. A 1-8 homestand is just what the fan base needs.

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  24. Worst team in baseball and its not close. Baltimore has to play the Yankees and Red Sox all the time. I wish DW and Jocketty and Big Bob would get booed every time they take the field or show up at gabp like NFL fans boo Goodell. God knows they deserve it.

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  25. At this rate everybody in the bullpen will have a sore arm by July

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  26. Homer looks like he may take one for the team tonight.May help may not.

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  27. Billy goes deep!!! 86 mph is right up his alley

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  28. Thought the same thing.Found somebody that can handle 86.

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  29. Bronson from the left side if you will.Slow stuff baffles us.

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  30. Go to get a snack and even the pitcher has gotten a hit.

    Third time through lineup coming up and a 4-run lead. Everyone will be looking to go yard vs. Homer’s (lack of) stuff.

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  31. Early in the game, behind again. Teams that come into Cincy with a losing streak, usually leave revived.

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  32. That are literally murdering the baseball. They make knock the stitches off the ball and Billy won’t know which piece to chase to the wall.

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  33. Pretty ugly when they call up Jackson Stephens because they doubt Homer can make it through 4.

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  34. Grab a bat.

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  35. Kid making his first start and now he’s had to run the bases. I think the Reds get a few runs here! An offensive explosion!!

    Totally meaningless but my boy Duvall saved a run with that catch the inning before. He’s a good guy and had his moments with the Reds. It would be nice if he got going and they could atleast trade him for something.

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  36. Hope your right and I like Duvall but he needs to start hitting.

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  37. I wish I had a dollar for every time a Reds’ TV announcer has been left with nothing else to say early in a game this season besides, “There’s still a long way to go in this one.”

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  38. Use this lost season to move Bailey and Finnegan to the bullpen and insert two young pitchers to see if they have what it takes to be starters. This is the time to do it.

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    • They will never move Bailey to the bullpen. It would hurt his feelings

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    • Its possible but I think they will wait awhile.Of course getting only 3 or 4 innings out of them will not work at all.

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    • Aside from Garrett which young pitcher do you recommend? Robert Stephenson has been up and down all year and I haven’t read anything about Cody Reed in quite some time.

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  39. Why do I feel dumber after listening to Them and Jeff Brantley discuss where Winker and Hamilton will hit? Hamilton would be a fine leadoff hitter getting on at 300 or 310 OBP according to Brantley.

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    • *Thom

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    • Spot on.

      “He is trying to get on base, and that is taking away from his talent.” – the Old Cowboy.

      Unreal.

      I like Brantley, especially on radio, but, boy, the line is toed on the TV broadcasts in regards to putting Hamilton in the best light at every possible turn.

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      • Most teams would value a youngster 9th in the National League with an on-base percentage of .404 but, apparently, Winker needs to change his game to help Hamilton out.

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        • Brantley’s point seemed to be that Winker has power and isn’t showing it. Thom’s point…I don’t know what Thom’s point ever is.

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      • I was disappointed that they acted like it was a bad thing that Winker is trying to get on base.

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    • I am dumb and numb cause Billy has always been at 299 or 300.

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  40. Duvall catches atleast one (if not both) of those doubles that Suarez and Scooter hit. Cepedes is HORRIBLE out there

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    • I have to listen to the Mets channel here in NY. They think Cespedes is awesome and in the first inning were criticizing Duvall defense.

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  41. Did y’all hear Marty talking about Homer Bailey?

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  42. They sent down Rainey for Jackson Stephens. Why? I give up 440 foot Jacks-on Stephens is terrible. Why can’t they ever figure out what everybody else already knows?

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  43. It’s becoming harder and harder to believe they’re actually trying to win these games. Their reluctance to stop relying on players and/or strategies that have failed time after time after time is hard to square with “we want to win.” I’ve never seen a more stubborn commitment to losing.

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    • Commitment to Winning! Bob Castelini must have a big ulcer right now. Because this team is lousy and they are a LONG way from even being respectable.

      And go Eugenio! Home Run!!!!!!

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  44. I’m just waiting for Christopher Lloyd to show up with his friends in sparkling pajamas. Then the Reds will start winning! Hey, it could happen!

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  45. Does anybody know what they’d have to pay Matt Harvey if they signed him? He could take Finnegan’s spot if they were determined to keep Garrett in the pen. Homer is staying in even if his era is 10.00 although he should be the mop-up man.

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    • I believe they would owe league minimum, but I have had more than enough washed up pitchers getting handed starts. I would much rather have Stephenson and Reed called up to throw batting practice with the rest of the staff

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    • At this point, the Reds would need to trade for Harvey. Earning $5.6 million this year and is a free agent after the season

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  46. Man, I like Jared Hughes.

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  47. Top of the lineup is 0-11 with a walk.Their pitcher has 5 outs on 12 pitches and he is throwing 90 mph.Can we trade for him?

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  48. The good: Scooter HR!!!

    The bad: They are now in another 1 run game

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  49. They put up 6 runs with the top 3 guys going 0-12 and the pen giving up only 1 run.Can’t do any more then that.Its just who we are right now.

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About Nick Kirby

Nick is a lifelong Reds fan who was born and raised in Cincinnati. He acquired his love of baseball from his late grandfather. Nick moved to the Cleveland area in 2014 with his wife, and his currently fighting to convert his beautiful baby daughter Emma to Reds fandom. Nick has been writing for Redleg Nation since 2013. Follow Nick on Twitter @nicholaspkirby.

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