The St. Louis Cardinals have to be devastated that the Cincinnati Reds are leaving town. The Cardinals completed their second sweep of the Reds in the young 2018 season. The Cardinals are 7-0 against the Reds, and 6-8 vs everyone else.

For the Reds, this is rock bottom. The Reds lost their fifth straight game. They are now 3-18 and officially have their worst start through 21 games in the 137 year history of this franchise. The Reds had been keeping pace with the 1931 team for futility, but that team was 4-17 at this point in the season.

The Reds fell behind early again, but rallied back to cut the deficit to 3-2. Kevin Quackenbush allowed a three run bomb to Paul DeJong in the 7th inning, and that all but ended this game. The Cardinals piled on in the 8th inning, and the Reds eventually fell 9-2.

Final R H E
Cincinnati Reds (3-18) 2 5 0
St. Louis Cardinals (13-8) 9 12 1
W: Mikolas (3-0) L: Castillo (1-3)
FanGraphs Win Probability | Statcast | Box Score | Game Thread

Biggest Play of the Game

According to Fangraphs WPA statistic (winning percentage added), the most important play of the game was Kevin Quackenbush allowing a 3-run home run to Paul DeJong with 2 outs in the 7th inning, giving the Cardinals a 6-2 lead. That play decreased the Reds chances of winning by 18.1% (from 78.6% to 96.8%).


Jesse Winker had an RBI single. Winker has a .433 OBP and a 125 wRC+ despite just 2 extra base hits so far. In a season full of nothing but disappoints so far, Winker has not disappointed.

Scott Schebler had a beautiful opposite field single in the second inning, beating the shift. The Reds desperately need Schebler to give them some production to try to extend the lineup a little bit.


Luis Castillo had another mediocre start (5.0 IP, 7 H, 3 ER, 4 BB, 3 K, 6.95 FIP). He is fortunate that he didn’t get rocked for a lot more runs allowing 11 baserunners in five innings. Castillo has allowed at least 3 earned runs in all five of his starts in 2018. It looks like he hasn’t fully settled into the season just yet.

Kevin Quackenbush was brought into a one-run game in the 7th inning. Jim Riggleman got what he deserved for pitching Quack there. He gave up a three run bomb to Paul DeJong, game over. Riggleman sent Quack back out in the 8th inning, and he kindly gave the Cardinals another three runs. It is pretty apparent that this fella has no reason being on an MLB roster.

Not so random thoughts………….

The Reds, no matter who is the manager, can not help themselves with putting at least one of their terrible hitters with speed at the top of the order. Today, it was Jose Peraza hitting leadoff with Winker second. I guess that is better than having a terrible hitter sandwiched between Winker and Votto, but for a team that is having a brutal time scoring runs it might be wise to get your best hitters the most trips to the plate. Bat Peraza 7th, and shift everyone else in the lineup up a spot. It’s not that hard.

Up Next:

Braves at Reds
Monday, 6:40 PM
TV: FOX Sports Ohio
Sal Romano (5.75 ERA/6.25 FIP) vs Mike Foltynewicz (2.53 ERA/3.33 FIP)

84 Responses

  1. Mark Lang

    It’s gotten so you can just start that FanGraph probability chart at 90% chance of a loss before the first pitch.

  2. kmartin

    I wish the save concept did not exist. Riggleman needs to completely ignore the concept and pitch Iglesias, Garrett, and Peralta in any high leverage situation (e.g. difference of +/- two runs seventh inning or later).

    • kmartin

      I also do not think Winker should be part of any outfield rotation. Unless injured, he should hit first every day.

    • VaRedsFan

      What are you thinking??? They wanted Garrett to experience an extra day of success after his 1/3 of an inning on Saturday

    • Aaron Bradley

      He is free to do that if he has the guts. When save opps are rare it makes all the more sense. He did bring Iglesias in his first game, down 2 runs in the 8th inning. But today he brought in Quackenbush… hopefully he learned his lesson on that.

  3. Jeffrey Copeland

    I can’t take this anymore. I’ve watched most of the games so far this year, but I’m taking a break for a few weeks.

    • Jeff Reed

      I don’t need any on-site game commentary. I just watch it with the mute on.

      • greenmtred

        You don’t need to mute it: Grande (in particular) and Welch are so discouraged that they refer to the real-time action infrequently.

  4. Mike Adams

    I am beginning to think that where Peraza and or Hamilton bat is like deciding where to throw a cup of water into a volcano. Neither will make any difference.
    New manager, old manager doesn’t make any difference because the young guys are not very good and the experienced guys are playing like the young talent.

    • james garrett

      Riggleman will not make this team any better.Only getting back to full strength in the pen,getting Suarez back and bringing up Senzel will help.Nobody is hitting and with so many holes to begin with you had to know this offense was well not close to last year which in my opinion was only good because we were so behind so much we got cookies to hit.You don’t get cookies in close games such as in the last two games against the Brewers and all 3 games against the Cards.We should have won all 5 of them if you throw out the last two innings of today’s game but we aren’t hitting and some of these guys will never hit so bring up some young guys and lets see what they can do.

  5. doofus

    “We will build one of the most respected organizations in baseball.” Robert H. Castellini, Chief Executive Officer W. Joseph Williams, Jr., Chairman of the Board Thomas Williams, Vice-Chairman of the Board

    • bouwills

      They have. It’s a small building with a bench seat inside. There’s a round hole in that bench seat & a Sear’s catalog alongside. oh, & a quarter moon carved in the door.

  6. Klugo

    I havent watched a game this season. I told myself I would save myself the heartache. However, I do keep up with them any and every way I can. I’d be shocked if the players weren’t doing anything but trying their best to win. I believe they are. But maybe this was the FOs plan all along. A fan’s worst nightmare… the tank. Ride the guys we’re going to eventually have to trade as long as we can even if we get little in return. Disguise it with the “reboot” mantra: looking for “MLB ready” in return. And ride the L train until we can rebuild from scratch without actually leading on that’s the plan. Is that giving the FO too much credit?

    • jazzmanbbfan

      Even worse, I think the front office actually thought their “plan” would provide results. Obviously they were sadly mistaken. I tend to be optimistic but I’m already barely paying attention and it’s still April. I’m sure at some point they will win a few games here and there but I have trouble imagining this team being even remotely competitive in this Division for several years.

  7. Still a Red

    Time to remember where we are in the rebuild. Don’t worry at this point about our record, because we weren’t playing for the playoffs this year anyway. We want improvement, right? Plenty of time yet to improve…even though it certainly doesn’t look like its anywhere in sight. People wanted our young pitchers to be thrown in the deep end…so they are. We are all hard on Peraza, but he’s showing some improvement. Votto will get hot. Winker is showing he belongs. Gennett hanging in there. Barnhart solid. We’ll be getting Suarez back soon. Duvall? Hopefully just a slow start. Billy?? Time to use him more creative. Reds hitting a lot of ground balls…no power. Bad luck? If, however, we play like this after the All-Star break…we’ll have to rebuild the rebuild.

  8. Jim Walker

    Fully a third of the Reds games have been with the Cards. It would be really interesting to hear the true candid opinions of the Reds in the opinions of Cardinal veterans like Molina and Carpenter. We may despise them as opponents but they’ve been around the block and have seen everything a time or two; and, their thoughts would probably be pretty spot on and enlightening.

    • Jeff Reed

      Sorry, I’m not interested in Cardinal opinions. But I give them credit for a full house of 44,340 to see the 3-17 Reds battle their team.

      • Jim Walker

        An effective opponent almost always know things about their opposition that the opposition does not realize about itself. Finding out what that may be is a task but it is well worth knowing.

  9. vegastypo

    So the bottom of the Reds’ lineup today was Blandino, pitcher’s spot, and Hamilton, followed by Peraza. (And Castillo had as many hits as those other three guys combined.) I dislike Peraza at the top of the lineup about as much as anybody, but what to do otherwise?? Have Blandino, pitcher’s spot, Peraza and Hamilton? It’s the players, not the batting order….

    But if Peraza is still in the 1 or 2 hole when Suarez returns and Senzel is called up, I’ll be looking for my torch-and-pitchfork gear and heading to Nuxhall Way.

    • jazzmanbbfan

      If you really live in Vegas I hope you’re driving. I’m guessing the airlines won’t look favorably on torches and pitchforks being brought on board.

  10. Sliotar

    “CEO Derek Jeter expects Marlins to compete, contend”

    This should sting more than the blowout loss today. The Marlins are 2 games better currently in the standings than the Reds.

    Miami should finish behind the Reds at season’s end, but I know which message I prefer. The one above instead of “Better Times Are Ahead” by Dick Williams on Friday, with no time frame attched for organizational urgency.

    I have seen Chad on Twitter and now Steve in the Game Thread defend Bob Castellini. To each their own. Everyone has opinions.

    IMO, when Bob Castellini circles himself with yesterday’s man, Jocketty, and an ownership family member with no MLB GM experience, that’s on him. Plenty of MLB teams, including recent World Series winners, went and got executives from other organizations to get them competitive.

    The results of Mr Winning Baseball’s decisions and actions are currently speaking for themselves.

  11. Jim Walker

    The Cards have to be laughing all the way to the bank to be 7-0 versus the Reds. Even if the Reds lose 100 games this year, they will win 59 of their final 141 which is likely to add some costly losses to other Central division and wild card seeking foes.

  12. Still a Red

    This is probably still a Williams franchise, ever since they broke up the Big Red Machine in the 70s. Notwithstanding who the majority owner is…Marge, Linder, Castellini…these are just the ones willing to put up the largest share of bucks. I’m willing to bet the Williams still hold sway over the organization.

    • Sliotar

      Very interesting and insightful thought, Still A Red.

      If true, a lot of things could be explained as to why #RedsWay and the insularity has existed compared to other MLB teams.

    • Jeff Reed

      Rest assured Cincinnati money will always own the majority interest in the Reds. That’s the way it’s been going back almost 90 years to the days of Powell Crosley. And there’s plenty of ‘old’ money in Cincinnati and the environs dating back to the Proctors and Gambles.

  13. scotly50

    The Reds are in for much tougher times than we are seeing right now. This team was built around Votto and Bailey. They have most of the payroll going to only two players. They just can’t go and and pick up foundational type players. They can only the money for complementary players.

    Everyone says bring up Senzel. He is hitting .241 with 13 strikeouts and 6 walks. I say bring up Williams. Bat him first and put him in centerfield. He is batting .342 and has an OPS of 928.

    • Aaron Bradley

      I am all for that. DFA Pennington and Quackenbush, bring up Dixon and a young arm. Seems like a no brainer. Dixon was hot all ST. As soon as the offense went south they should have found a way to bring him up.

      • Shchi Cossack

        Yes, the Monday morning DFA express…

        Kevin Quackenbush
        Cliff Pennington
        Phil Gosselin


        Tanner Rainey (age 25) – already on the 40-man roster
        Rosell Herrera (age25) – must be added to the 40-man roster
        Brandon Dixon (age 26) -must be added to the 40-man roster

        Those transactions would leave an open spot available on the 40-man roster.

        Tanner Rainey demonstrated serious control issues during his brief introduction to MLB this season, but he’s walked 1 hitter in 5 innings at AAA this season. Although he’s just dipped his big toe in AAA, he may have a role in the Cincinnati bullpen next season, so give him a chance to prove what he can do in a legitimate opportunity at the MLB level since he’s already on the 40-man roster.

        Rosell Herrera has an upside as a MLB utility role player and could have a role as a utility player for Cincinnati next season. Last season at AAA, he slashed .278/.351/.394. This season at AAA, he’s slashing .292/.370/.604 in very limited action. Herrera will play no worse than Penningtom and Gosselin and has the defensive flexibility to marginally play every OF and IF position.

        Brandon Dixon has an upside as a pinch hitter at the MLB level. Last season at AAA, he slashed .261/.327/.457. This season at AAA, he’s slashing .303/.361/.424 in very limited action. Dixon will play no worse than Penningtom of Gosselin and has the defensive flexibility to play every OF and IF position except SS, although his defense is not very good.

        None of the younger players will be expected to make any significant difference at the major league level this season, except to gain experience and possibly work toward a position on the 2019 25-man roster. They would be replacing three players who should never have been added to the 40-man and 25-man rosters at all and actually creating an additional spot on the 40-man roster in the process. Blandino should still play every day until Suarez comes back off the DL and then hopefully begin a platoon role at 2B with Scooter.

        If any of these three young players stick on the MLB roster, the Reds would still control their contracts for the next 7 seasons. If any of all of these three players fail at the MLB level, the Reds retain options for two more seasons to give them additional chances if they enhance their performance in the future. None of the three players are elite or even top prospects, just role players, so there’s really nothing to lose by trying.

      • james garrett

        Way to simple for this team so it won’t be done.I continue to say let the young guys play.You are spot on Cossack.

  14. Dewey Roberts

    The young players that the Reds are going to build a contending team with are not great young players—for the most part. Those Big Red Machine teams had some dynamic young arms as starting pitchers (many of whom suffered early arm troubles)—Gary Nolan, Wayne Simpson, Don Gullett, Ross Grimsley, Milt Wilcox— all of whom were starters in their early 20’s and winners with low ERA’s. Then, there were the position players who became All-stars and HOF-ers. Meanwhile, we are still waiting on this new era of young pitchers to show that they can win at the major league level. As for position players, there is a dearth of talent. This franchise is talent deficient at too many positions with little backup in the pipeline.
    I don’t think this franchise will produce a winner for another 5 years at the soonest. The talent is just not there.

    • Mason Red

      I agree. The talent just isn’t here on the field or off.

  15. Cyrus

    When are we going to see a headline that simply says, “We SUCK!”

    • Mike Adams

      The politically correct term for “suck” is “we create negative pressure differentials”.

      • vegastypo

        That sounds more sabermetrically analytical than politically correct, but I like it either way.

  16. Tom Mitsoff

    Marty said it during the portion of the game I listened to today — the young starting pitchers have all regressed from the end of last season. I agree.

    • vegastypo

      Well, at least last year, the Reds’ pitchers might have been able to reasonably expect the Reds to score some runs for them. Whether you blame the lack of Reds’ offensive output on their own ineptitude or the strength of their opponents, I wonder how much extra pressure this puts on the Reds’ pitchers.

    • bouwills

      So that leads to asking how long you leave these guys out there if they keep getting shelled? What options do the Reds have if they deem it best to send Mahle, &/or Romano, &/or Castillo down? Garrett not stretched out, Stevenson probably not ready, Reed not a good option, I’d say behind Nicolino, the cupboard is bare.

      • Jim Walker

        Comparing AAA to MLB is probably a little bit of an apples to oranges exercise; but, I think Robert Stephenson’s raw numbers this year stand up to all the MLB starters except Bailey right now. He hasn’t regressed, he just is what he is. I think they should take a longer look at whether he would play in MLB because his 1/3 of a season as a starter last year was marginally passable. See if the league overruns him or maybe he learns the league and does a bit better.

    • Colorado Red

      It seems we have real problems in developing players.
      Either terrible picks by Walt and Dick, or no development.

    • jessecuster44

      This team will seriously contend to be worse than 61-101

  17. J

    The young starters have regressed somewhat, but for the most part they still look promising. I’m still very optimistic about them. The problem with this team isn’t so much the “rebuild” players, it’s that they won’t actually commit seriously to the rebuild. With two young arms rotting away in the bullpen and various others in AAA, why would Quackenbush or Gallardo pitch even a single inning? With various promising position players in the minors, why are Pennington and Gosselin on this team? It just doesn’t make any sense. They’re supposedly “rebuilding,” but for some reason letting Quackenbush (and previously Gallardo) give games away, while two lousy veterans serve as their primary pinch hitters and occasional starters? For what purpose?

    • Tom Mitsoff

      J, there is a tendency to believe that the “prospects” in the minors are always going to be better than veteran players. We all hope that is true, but it might be a leap of faith. It’s clear Rainey and Weiss were not ready. At this point, there is absolutely no point in rushing a “prospect” to the majors before he’s proven he can excel at his current level of competition, which I believe why Senzel is not with the big league club yet. They want to give him time to adjust to Class AAA pitching and to playing second base.

      I don’t usually go this far out on a limb with criticism, but the Gallardo signing falls clearly into the dunce cap, very clearly stupid category. He hadn’t shown a thing for years. But some Reds scout saw him pitch well in shorter spans of innings than he did as a starter, and that was the rationale. Ugh.

      Quackenbush would not have made this team if there were not three relievers on the DL. He’ll be the first one gone when someone comes off the DL. I’m not in favor of releasing him now to bring up someone who is not ready. Let him serve as a long man or mop-up guy until that time comes. I certainly don’t think Riggleman will use him in a tight situation again.

      The only useful purpose this baseball season can now serve is to make sure that the players in the farm system are ready for their chance in the bigs. Rushing players before they’re ready is the only way this current season can be made any worse, because the players in the minors are the only hope for the future.

      • J

        To be honest, I don’t fully grasp the concept of “not rushing” players to the majors. There are countless examples of guys who were “rushed” to the majors and did extremely well. In some cases players perform better in the majors than they did in the minors. There are also many examples of guys who were supposedly “ready” for the majors but flopped once they arrived.

        And I’m not just talking about guys in the minors. I’m talking about young guys on the major league team who are being passed over in favor of guys like Quackenbush and Pennington. Today, for example, Gosselin (now a .130 hitter) was used as a pinch hitter with Ervin sitting on the bench. Why? How does that help the team in the long run? (And never mind the fact that Ervin seems to be the better hitter right now.)

      • George

        TOM:” why Senzel is not with the big league club yet. They want to give him time to adjust to Class AAA pitching and to playing second base.”

        Thanks Tom, 150% agreement

    • james garrett

      Amen.Fish or cut bait but you can’t do both.The young starters will have there ups and downs because well all do and have for years.Nothing new about that but they just need to pitch.Problem so far this year is the woeful offensive but everybody saw this coming and this front office did nothing to improve it and compounded it by having a terrible bench and missing two key releivers certainly hasn’t helped.Small sample size but we could and should have won the last 5 games but we have only scored 7 runs in those games.Lets see how our young starters look after 20 to 25 starts.The Reds have a tendency to anoint or throw guys under the bus after a few starts and it just doesn’t work that way.Let the young guys pitch and the young position players play and lets hope the others who have some data on the back of their card step up and perform to the data.Losing is losing so lets go young and be patient and lets see.

  18. WVRedlegs

    The manager is gone, been scapegoated for this mess.
    Many proclaimed it couldn’t get any worse. Three games in and it already is worse.
    The Reds ownership refuses to hold the General Manager accountable. This is squarely on the GM.
    The only thing left to do is to start remaking the 25 man roster. Some “change of scenery” trades are bound to be in order soon. Long before the end of July comes.
    I can see a small trade with Atlanta that could occur this week. Or maybe a waiver claim pick up from ATL by next weekend.
    That will bring in a legit backup CF/OF and a solid PH bat.
    It is going to take a lot to overhaul this mess, but it has to start somewhere, and the roster is the next in line.
    If the Reds pass up on this OF from ATL, it will show just how out of touch the Reds front office really is.

    • George

      In a recent posting, before Price being fired, the topic was about should Price be fired. There were several respondents. I am reposting what I added to that article;

      “”Jason: “If he gets fired, it will be more because the Reds need to look like they’re doing something…”
      Bill: “what does firing Bryan Price really accomplish?
      Steve:” That’s when it’ll become clear that Bryan Price wasn’t the main cause of the Reds losing record.”
      In my humble opinion the above quotes say it all.
      This “Family” ownership is the issue.””

    • Jim Walker

      WV> I think a lot of the same mid level crew that worked under Jocketty is almost certainly still in place. They tend to go really heavy on pitching versus position players; and they are not very light on their feet when it comes to adjusting to changes in their environment seeing and grabbing opportunities. As Walt once now infamously once said “We’ve already got Jack for that.”

  19. Aaron Bradley

    Guys, it could be worse or even crazier… I just read this hilarity after someone posted about it on another Reds BBS. I like the crazy experimentation, bring it on!

    The College of Coaches was an unorthodox strategy employed by the Chicago Cubs in 1961 and 1962. After the Cubs finished 60–94 in 1960, their 14th straight second-division finish, Cubs owner P. K. Wrigley announced in December 1960 that the Cubs would no longer have a manager, but would be led by an eight-man committee. The experiment was widely ridiculed in baseball circles, and was effectively ended in 1962 before being completely abandoned in 1965.

    In announcing the experiment, Wrigley argued, “Managers are expendable. I believe there should be relief managers just like relief pitchers.” He also contended that the manager system was nepotistic and led to constant turnover.

    However, there was no discernible pattern in the coaching rotation. The head coach position rotated among four different men in 1961 and three more in 1962. Occasionally the various coaches were at odds with each other. Each coach brought a different playing style and a different lineup. Additionally, according to relief pitcher Don Elston, the other coaches didn’t bother to help the “head coach”, leaving whoever was in charge to fend for himself.[2] Without firm and consistent leadership, chaos reigned in the Cubs’ dugout.

    • Aaron Bradley

      I have a feeling this was employed cause Wrigley was sick of paying contracts and just preferred musical chairs of guys he could keep on the payroll. LOL… still pretty funny and something we should probably consider at this juncture.

    • Mason Red

      I can’t even imagine this FO assembling a managing “committee”. I don’t have confidence in them finding one let alone 8.

  20. Tom Mitsoff

    I used to manage a company softball team, and made out the batting order this way:

    1. best on-base percentage
    2. best remaining on-base percentage after 1, 3 and 4 are already in the order
    3. best slugging percentage
    4. most rbis
    5 through 10 — highest to lowest remaining batting averages

    If this method was used to construct the Reds batting order:

    1) Winker
    2) Barnhart
    3) Schebler
    4) Duvall
    5) Gennett
    6) Votto
    7) Peraza
    8) Blandino
    9) Pitcher

    Two things stood out after this exercise — Suarez’s absence is such a gaping hole in the batting order, and Votto’s slump is much worse than I realized.

    I didn’t — but maybe I should have — put Luis Castillo in the leadoff spot with his .444 average and OBP. 😉

    • Old-school

      I think Votto in the 2 hole and Suarez at 3 depending on matchups should be considered.

      Winker sitting the bench in a rotation is laughable at this point for an offense that is anemic.

  21. sezwhom

    Batting Peraza leadoff equals failure. He has one walk and 11 K’s in 77 AB’s going into today. In four years, he has 30 walks in 876 ABs. Has 0 walks in 49 ABs during away games. His OBP is .274. Yeah, let’s bat him leadoff. Unbelievable. Let’s just fast forward to September and get this nonsense over with.

  22. redsfan06

    Imagine a time traveler from the 70’s arriving in this season we are now experiencing. The Cubs and Astros have won the last two World Series. Instead of the Reds being in the pennant race annually, they are now a perennially losing team with an unimaginatively disastrous record. Upon submitting his report after returning, the time traveling machine would be destroyed as a failed experiment which sent the traveler into a non-existent bizarro world.

    • lwblogger2

      Astros are in the wrong league! Heck, so are the Brewers!

  23. redsfan06

    It only took 8 years from 1931 for the Reds to make the World Series. Right now, that doesn’t sound too bad. Of course, there was a team bankruptcy in between.

    • Jim Walker

      And a depression which nearly destroyed the country.

  24. nicolecushing

    Ways it could get worse…

    Miami Marlins fans outnumber Reds fans at GABP during early May home stand.

    Speedo day at GABP. (Given away to all hairy, overweight dudes eighty years and over.)

    Fox Sports Ohio broadcasters replaced by the sarcastic, taunting robots from Mystery Science Theater 3000.

    Marlins sweep Reds.

    In a desperate attempt to cease all the bunting, the front office recruits their next manager from the ranks of slowpitch softball. (Where bunting is against the rules.) Your opening day manager for 2019 is Some Old Dude Named Benny, whose claim to fame is managing Pitch Slap to the championship of the Over 40 Coed League for Corncob County Parks and Rec.

    Gapper defects to North Korea.

    In an exclusive interview with our own Chad Dotson, Mr. Redlegs confesses he’s a hipster d-bag who “only follows baseball ironically”.

    Schebler and Hamilton have to work late at the tire shop on Monday night, and the dudes who say they will substitute aren’t answering texts, so the team is forced to forfeit. (But the Brewers lend a couple of players to the Reds so they can still play a game for fun.)

    Reds lose the game played just for fun.

    They lose 14-2.

    Votto is injured during the game played just for fun.

    All the Reds players’ toenails fall out after the game played just for fun.

    Except for Pennington.

    Dick Williams Bobblehead Night

    Your opening day manager for 2019 is Jim Cornette.

    Reds Rally Pack DFA’d due to chronic inability to instigate rallies.

    Rosie Red arrested for DUI. Ugly TMZ video surfaces of the traffic stop. While taking the field sobriety test she’s angrily screaming the lyrics to Alanis Morrisette songs.

    • Steelerfan

      I think having Crow and Tom Servo comment on the games would be perfectly appropriate given how the season is going. It might actually be an improvement on the announcing…

    • Servo

      I would listen to Tom Servo, Crow, and Gypsy, with TV’s Frank replacing Jim Day (not that I dislike JD, but you can’t break up the MST3K gang) over THOM! any day of the week and twice on Sundays.

      My screen name may or may not be relevant to this position…

    • lwblogger2

      Good stuff!! Most of us heavier guys aren’t going to live past 80 though. Any guy without a perfect body in a speedo could be really rough on the eyes though. Trust me, you’d get enough eye-torture with just a regular GABP “crowd” … Actually rather fond of the idea of going with the MST3K gang for play-by-play and analysis. I feel pretty good about Benny as the Reds new manager too.

      Thanks for the laughs.

  25. Darrell

    “That play decreased the Reds chances of winning by 18.1% (from 78.6% to 96.8%).”

    Decreased it by 20.7% (Or 18.1 percentage points.) Subtracting percentages is not the percent difference.

  26. Jreis

    2020 starting lineup

    1. Jose Siri rf
    2 . Nick Senzel 2b
    3. Joey Votto 1b
    4. Hunter Greene ss
    5. Eugenio Suarez 3b
    6. Taylor Trammel LF
    7. Tucker Barnhart – c
    8. Billy Hamilton- cf

    With Winker, Gennett, Ervin, Peraza on the bench

    Move the wall back 15 feet at gabp and switch from grass to the artificial turf crap that they use in Puerto Rico and college football fields now.

    Try to recreate riverfront stadium to allow our speedy outfielders to thrive

    • lwblogger2

      What do you have against these poor guys’ knees!!??!!

  27. Randall

    21 games is 1/8 (13%) of the season. That’s not a bad sampling statistic, though 32 games (20%) would be more telling. Casey Stengel’s Amazin’ Mets of 1962, in their first year in existence, finished 40-120 for a .250 winning percentage, the worst of any of the expansion teams from 1961 through 1998 in their first season. At the rate they are going, this year’s Reds would have a record of 23-139 for a .143 winning percentage. They will almost have to double that percentage to .262 the remainder of the season just to win 40 games. It’s bad enough that Ohio has the Cleveland Browns, however the Browns only had 16 tries to win. It’s going to be a long season for the 2018 Reds.

  28. Ethan L

    Thanks WJ, DW, and BC for this mess!!! This is all on you, clowns. Big dead machine. Why on Earth is Peraza batting first?

    • greenmtred

      Because he had a 3-game hitting streak. And why not?

  29. Sandman

    Not making excuses for the Reds bcuz what’s the point. But I did happen to notice how brutal this opening month plus of the season has been as far as the opponents are concerned. Here’s the Reds opponents in this first month plus of the season with their current record:

    Wsh= 10-12 (but we know they’re better than that).
    CHC= 10-9 (They’ll be better as well)
    P I T= 12-10
    PHI = 14-7
    STL= 13-8
    MIL= 14-9
    ATL= 12-8
    MIN= 8-8

    Couple this with our injuries and it’s almost understandable. Still, it’s not fun and I don’t know if anybody thought it’d be THIS bad.

    • Shchi Cossack

      If you remove the Reds contribution to those records, they look much more mundane than dominant.

      WSH = 7-12
      CHC = 10-8
      PIT = 9-9
      PHI = 11-7
      STL = 6-8
      MIL = 12-8

      Through yesterday’s games, opposing teams would have a 55-52 record. That’s just 3 games over .500 and a .514 winning percentage. A .514 winning percentage probably doesn’t make the playoffs. We’ve had some pretty average teams beating up on the Reds so far this season.

      • Sandman

        I didn’t think of it like that. But still, you gotta believe that Wsh & CHC are better than their starts.
        It seems that you’re saying that if we were completely healthy that we’d have more wins bcuz you characterized the reds competition so far this year as average.

      • Sandman

        Also, Phi & Mil are looking strong without the reds contributions.

  30. Old-school

    It gets much easier with some west coast road trips in May.
    Stephenson 6 BB in 3 innings today.