We know you need answers about the upcoming Reds season, so our authors got together to offer a few. We also thought we’d change-up the standard package by asking a few unusual, but important, questions. We even ventured a couple semi-educated guesses about 2019.

Thanks to the 17 writers who had the time to participate: Jordan Barhorst, Nick Carrington, Ashley Davis, Nick Doran, Chad Dotson, Grant Freking, Chris Garber, Matt Habel, Wes Jenkins, Nick Kirby, Bill Lack, Clay Marshall, John Ring, Jackson Thurnquist, Jim Walker, Matt Wilkes and yours truly.

With Opening Day just two days away, let’s get started!

How many games will the Reds win this season? 

For context, the Reds won 64, 68 and 68 games the past three seasons. They won 99, 98, 108 and 102 games from 1973-76.

Our staff answers reflected universal optimism, in varying degrees. Predictions ranged from a high of 81 wins (Chad) to a low of 71 wins (Clay). The most common answers were 78 and 79, with four writers each. A cluster of picks around 74-75 rounded out the choices.

Who will win the 2018 National League pennant?

Every writer answered either the Chicago Cubs, Washington Nationals or Los Angeles Dodgers. The most common answer was the Dodgers (Nick C., Chris, Wes, Nick K., Bill, Steve, Clay and Jim). The Dusty-free Nationals received five endorsements. The Cubs got four. Let the record show that the stupid Cardinals got zero.

Who will win the 2018 World Series?

Our predictions have a decidedly American League tilt, with 12 of us choosing the junior circuit. Cleveland (Chad, John, Jackson, Jim and Matt W.) was the most common answer. Three writers (Nick K., Bill and Clay) picked the Yankees. Three more (Jordan, Ashley and Steve) chose the defending champion Houston Astros. On the NL side, three writers predicted the Dodgers and one (Nick D.) chose the Cubs. Grant picked the Nats. Matt H. went with the Red Sox.

Sports books have made the Astros and Yankees joint favorites.

Who will bat leadoff the most for the Reds in 2018?

Only two players received predictions: Billy Hamilton and Jesse Winker. 12 of our authors chose Hamilton, with varying degrees of regret. Five of us (Nick C., Chad, Nick K., Steve, Matt W.) went with our heart over our brains and picked Winker.


What Reds player is most likely to be traded during the season? 

The answers here were scattered. But each of the five players mentioned received at least two votes. The top pick to be traded, with five votes (Chris, Matt H., Steve, Clay and Jim) was Devin Mesoraco. Four people (Jordan, Wes, Jackson and Matt W.) chose Adam Duvall. Four others (Chad, Grant, Bill and John) chose Scooter Gennett. Raisel Iglesias and Billy Hamilton each received two votes. One person who thought Hamilton would be traded also thought he would lead off the most.

What Reds player will be the biggest surprise in 2018?

As you might imagine, there were a lot of different answers. Six of us chose a pitcher, leaving eleven of us picking position players. Of the latter group, five players received predictions: Billy Hamilton, Scott Schebler (5), Jose Peraza, Devin Mesoraco (2) and Jesse Winker. Four pitchers — all starters — were chosen: Amir Garrett (2), Sal Romano, Tyler Mahle (2) and Homer Bailey. (The Mahle votes came in before last night’s game against Texas.)

So the most common prediction was Scott Schebler.


What Reds player will be the biggest disappointment in 2018?

You knew we had to ask. The replies were evenly divided among pitchers and position players. Only one player, Scooter Gennett, received three (Grant, Steve and Jackson). Homer Bailey, Anthony DeSclafani, Michael Lorenzen, Billy Hamilton and Jose Peraza each were the choice of two writers. Individual votes were cast for Brandon Finnegan, Sal Romano, Tucker Barnhart and Adam Duvall.

Clearly, no consensus. Our pessimism was spread all over the roster.

What will the date be when Nick Senzel is called up?

You’ll be relieved to know we all chose dates from the 2018 season.

This was tough. Not only are there the service time considerations of team control and Super Two status, but Senzel doesn’t really have an obvious position to play right now. And the performances of Jose Peraza and Scooter Gennett, the two players he’d most likely replace, are hard to predict. If Peraza and Gennett are getting the job done, would the Reds rush Senzel up? How soon would the Reds bench Peraza or trade Gennett to make room?

Good luck with that, Dick Williams.


Photo: Kareem Elgazzar, Cincinnati Enquirer

The earliest prediction for Senzel Day was April 14 (Clay) and the latest was September 1 (Jordan).

Many replies were clustered around late May to early June, presumably timed to coincide with the expiration of Super Two considerations. I guess this group thinks the Reds will find a place to play Senzel one way or the other. Keep in mind that the Super Two cutoff varies from year-to-year, and isn’t calculated until the season is over. Within this range you had May 28 (Nick D.) June 2 (Matt H.), June 3 (Wes), June 4 (Jackson), June 5 (Steve), June 6 (John and Bill) and June 9 (Matt W.). Chad picked May 13. I picked June 5 to coincide with the start of a home stand against the Rockies and Cardinals.

Other choices clustered around the All-Star Break. July 19 (Chris), July 20 (Nick C.) were examples of those. In retrospect, a prediction around the trade deadline might have made sense.

When Nick Senzel is called up, what position will he play? 

Nine people chose 2B, seven chose SS and one picked 3B.

Who will be the Reds starting pitcher on Opening Day 2019?

No one selected Hunter Greene. Then again

The overwhelming choice here was Luis Castillo, selected by 13 of us. Chris picked Anthony DeSclafani, Nick Kirby and Clay chose Homer Bailey. Jim Walker said it would be a pitcher not currently on the roster, so maybe that’s a sly vote for Greene after all.


Who will be the Reds manager at the end of 2018?

Again, most of us (12) picked Bryan Price. Chad chose Buddy Bell. Three of us (Steve, Clay and John) picked Jim Riggleman. Jim Walker picked Riggleman or John Farrell.

Bell and Riggleman are coaches on Price’s staff. Farrell is the former Red Sox manager who was just hired by the Reds as a scout.

Who will be the Reds manager at the start of the 2019 season? 

It should be noted that these answers were submitted before Barry Larkin’s tacky campaign commercial for the job was posted.

Our answers reflect a lot of uncertainty.

First the inside candidates. Four writers stuck with Bryan Price (Jordan, Ashley, Nick K. and Jackson). Five of us (Nick D. Chad, Bill, Steve and Clay) chose Barry Larkin. Nick Carrington picked Farrell. Chris chose Riggleman.

A few of our writers felt the Reds would go outside the organization and out of character. Wes picked former Astros manager Bo Porter. Matt Wilkes likes former Yankee manager Joe Girardi for the job. Grant did a random Google search and came up with Chris Woodward, one of the LA Dodgers coaches. John Ring predicts Joe Espada, coach of the Astros.

Matt Habel has started beating the mustache drum for Corky Miller.


So there you have it Nation. The collective wisdom of our authors. How would you answer these questions? And no waffling.

51 Responses

  1. Ken

    Three picked Billy Hamilton to big the biggest disappointment? That says a ton, seeing how expectations are incredibly low to begin with. Maybe folks are expecting him to start betting on baseball or something?

  2. scottya

    18′ Reds Record 77-85; NL Pennant: Dodgers; World Champs Cleveland;
    Biggest Dissapointment: Jose Peraza.
    9/1/18 Nick Senzel call up date (& I don’t like it.)
    SS position Senzel will play when called up.
    19′ opening day starter: Luis Castillo.
    Brian Price will be the manager at the end of the year.
    Barry Larkin will be the manager on opening day of 19′.

    • scottya

      Side note: Mahle’s fastball was flat as a pancake last night. I was highly disappointed. His fastball earlier in spring training had really good movement. Hopefully he was only throwing a four seam fastball. Anyone else notice?

      • Indy Red Man

        Everything was up….and even the outs were mostly loud fly balls. Not good…but he’ll be fine. He normally gets the offspeed stuff over and that makes his fastball look better. I don’t think he’s #1 material but I’m guessing 3.40-3.50ish era. If not then I see few remaining escape routes from the 90 loss zone again?

      • TomN

        He’s won at every level after an initial setback. I’m thinking he’ll ‘get it’ pretty soon. Seems to be a quick learner.

    • scottya

      I overlooked the biggest surprise: Scott Schebler with an ops north of .850 and war above 3.

  3. wkuchad

    who wants to fess up for picking Hamilton as biggest surprise? 🙂

    • scottya

      If Price will bat him left handed only and use him as a pinchrunner, late inning defensive replacement… I could see it happening = 2 war in about 400 ab’s. But that’s never going to happen so Nah.

    • greenmtred

      Maybe the same person who picked Cozart the year before.

  4. doofus

    Unless the Reds get much better pitching than last year there is no way they have more than 69 wins.

    • doofus

      Other than Castillo, Mahle and Romano making the OD roster the staff is really the same. I like the potential of the first two, I’m not sold on Romano. All 3 will deal with growing pains. Jeez, I wish this front office got these 3 pitching in the bigs much sooner last year.

      • greenmtred

        No Feldman, Adelman or Arroyo. The staff is not the same.

      • doofus

        Continuing from the end of last season, it is the same. What “new” starting pitchers were added? Did Dick Williams make a deal for a starter that I’m not aware of? As for the bullpen, it’s the same “fill the bullpen with old relievers no one wants” strategy. In other words, the bullpen is supplemented by bottom-feeding.

      • greenmtred

        With young pitchers especially–which the Reds have–the assumption is that they change, and if we’re lucky, improve. Same names, different results. Maybe.

  5. WVRedlegs

    Record: 75-87.
    NL pennant: Milwaukee
    WS winner: Cleveland.
    Most AB’s leadoff: Jose Peraza.
    Most likely traded: Lorenzen and Scooter, maybe in the same deal.
    Biggest surprise: Jose Peraza. Tanner Rainey a close second in the bullpen after Lorenzen is traded.
    Biggest disappointment: Scott Schebler. After torrid spring reverts back to 2017. Also as evidenced by most biggest surprise votes.
    Date Senzel is up: May 20, 2018 after Scooter is traded. To play 2B.
    OD ’19 starter: Luis Castillo.
    End ’18 Mgr.: Bryan Price.
    Beginning ’19 Mgr.: Ron Wotus (SF Giants bench coach). He had 3 Manager of the Year Awards in the minors, and 3 World Series wins with the Giants. Bochy’s right hand man for several seasons.

    • doofus

      I like the Ron Wotus as 2019 manager. However, this means that the FO/ownership will actually interview outside candidates or non-family. Maybe hell does freeze over this year.

      • Old-school

        Joe Jocketty is now a scout. Throw him in the mix.

      • Colorado Red

        The Bengals made it to the superbowl a long time ago.
        Hell must have frozen over then, and maybe it can again?

      • doofus

        I’m not a Bengals fan, never have been, never will be.

    • Jim Walker

      Big question if Lorenzen is traded is whether his new team continues to try and develop him as a pitcher or instead reaches some sort of arrangement with him which lands him in the minors to see how well he can hit and play OF

    • Lee Carter

      Ron Wotus would be a huge hire and make things very fun in Cincy. Mix of old and new school regarding both Bochy and Wotus. Both great people.

  6. Old-school

    I thought the Reds would hiccup early against a tough schedule and then find a groove the second half to get 77-78 wins. With their bullpen shaky now and disco out and Price not preparing his team in ST or willing to play the best lineup….I think they dig a wire to wire hole in last place with a historically awful April. 90 losses 4 years in a row which will be the biggest disappointment.

    Scooter Gennett’s lefty power bat in GABP again will be the biggest surprise and he will be the first player traded to acquire a great young pitcher.

    Nick Senzel will be brought up after the all star break.

    Price will be fired in early August with Jim Riggleman finishing the season. Joe Girardi will be the manager in 2019 with Luis Castillo starting opening Day.

  7. TomN

    18′ Reds Record 78-84; NL Pennant: Nationals; World Champs Astros;
    Biggest Disappointment: Jose Peraza.
    5/14/18 Nick Senzel call up date
    SS position Senzel will play when called up.
    19′ opening day starter: Luis Castillo.
    Bryan Price will be the manager at the end of the year.
    John Farrell will be the manager on opening day of 19′.

  8. doofus

    69-73. Most Likely Traded: Iglesias. ’19 Manager: Farrell

  9. David

    I am amused at the Scooter Gennett dislike generally visible here. He had a great Spring, and also hit lefties well. But no, let’s trade him. A great young pitcher for him, yet we NEED to trade him. Right. Because people expect him to tank, yet…we must trade him.

    I understand the need to play Senzel, but really.
    Wins could be 81-82 victories, if a lot goes right.
    I actually expect the pitching staff to look different on July 1 than it does now. Also the 25 man roster.

    I think Price will bat Billy 8th or 9th in the regular season, and Winker leads off, when he plays.

    Senzel plays 2nd base, but is then going to play SS when he comes up? of course, the ways of the Reds do mystify me.

    • Jim Walker

      The situation the Reds have with Senzel is not unlike the situation the Cubs faced with Kris Bryant 3 (or was it 4) years ago. Senzel will play nearly every day when he comes up because of his offense. Fortunately it looks like he is good enough defensively to play at least passably at several spots. Where he “ends up” may depend on how others progress, who the Reds can trade for the best return (exclusive of Suarez at this point) and the like.

  10. Shchi Cossack

    I really didn’t know how to respond to 2018 predictions, but I settled on the realization that if DW isn’t the GM needed to take the Reds back to competitiveness, then nothing else really matters, so…

    The season will be divided into before and after. Before…the Reds will fall flat on their collective face due to mismanagement of available resources and stiff competition form serious contenders. After a series sweep by the Birds places a dramatic exlamation point on a miserable 24-64 start, DW ceclares enough already and the axe falls. Price is fired on June 10th with Farrell accepting a request to fill in as a temporary, interim manager while the Reds complete a search for their next manager. After…the Reds finish the remainder of the season 50-24 at 74-88, missing the playoffs but riding a tidle wave of enthusiasm headed into the off season.

    The LAD lose to the NYY in the world series.

    For the season, Scott Schebler’s .950 OPS and 40 HR was the biggest surprise, but Amir Garrett’s performance as a top-of-the-rotation starter and 180 IP, Winker’s .850 OPS and .380 OBP leading off for more than half the season and Senzel’s .350 OBP and .300 ISO ranked right up with Schebler’s surprise performance.

    The biggest disappointment of 2018 has to be Tyler Mahle’s unsuccessful initial experience as a MLB starter and being optioned back to AAA on April 15th after 3 completely ineffective starts and is replaced in the starting rotation by Brandon Finnegan. Finnegan joins Bailey, Castillo, Romano and Amir Garrett (who stepped in as the 5th starter on April 9th) in the starting rotation.

    After the game against the Royals on the morning of June 14, the Reds introduce the new manager of the CincinnatiReds, Joe Espada, and retain all coaches pending a review at the end of the season. The lineup posted on June 15th against the Pirates has Winker leading off and playing LF, Schebler playing RF and Hamilton playing CF and hitting 9th. Winker did not relinquish the leadoff position for the remainder of the season. On June 18th, the Reds announce that Nick Senzel will be promoted to the major league roster and take over at SS on June 19th in the game against the Tigers. The lineup on June 19 has Winker leading off and playing RF, Suarez hitting in the #2 hole, Votto hitting in the #3 hole, Schebler hitting in the #4 hole and playing CF, Senzel hitting in the #5 hole and playing SS and Duvall hitting in the #6 hole and playing LF, Scooter hitting in the #7 hole and Barnhart hitting in the #8 hole. From June 19th forward, Schebler and Senzel would share the #4 hole based on the starting pitcher, Blandino and Mesoraco would play strict platoons 2B and C depending on the starting pitcher with Blandino and Barnhart alternating hitting in the #8 hole and Mesoraco and Gennett alternating in the #7 hole.

    At the trade dealine, Mesoraco’s .350 OBP and .900 OPS and Duvall’s .850 OPS and .300 ISO make for a seller’s market at the trade deadline, netting the Reds the CF they need until Siri or Tramell arrive at the MLB level to lock down CF and a premier, low-level prospect to combine with their pending top 10 pick in the rule 4 draft and their previous #5 pick in the rule 4 draft.

    During the off season, the Reds and Mesoraco reach an agreement on a contract to bring him back to the Cincinati Reds and team with Barnhart as the premier catching tandem in MLB. After an up and down ‘before’ performance, Homer Bailey dominated NL hitters during his ‘after’ performance. Joe Espada names Homer as the starting pitcher for the 2019 opening day. He also names his starting rotation for 2019 as Bailey, Garrett, Castillo, Finnegan and Mahle.

    ‘And that’s the way it will be!’ to paraphrase a brilliant TV anchor from days gone by.

    • doofus

      Hmmmm, Joe Espada, Astros bench coach.

    • greenmtred

      Remarkable specificity, Cossack.

  11. Tom Mitsoff

    I wish I wasn’t as pessimistic as I currently feel about this year. I know spring training results don’t mean anything, but when you have the worst record in the National League playing against teams that are also competing on the same basis (looking at talent, getting pitchers “ready”), in my mind that says something. If everyone’s on a level playing field and you’re last after five weeks of games …

    That being said, I think the bullpen will be better, and the starting pitching has to be better. Without looking up the stats, the Reds had the worst starting pitching in the bigs the past couple of years. This year, there are some teams like the Marlins and the Padres that you don’t have any idea who the heck they’ll be running out there on the mound.

    I think the biggest surprise will be Scott Schebler. He’ll hit for a much better average and even more power than last year.

    The bench will be surprising. Don’t forget that in each game, you’ll have two pinch-hitters available from a group of Mesoraco, Barnhart, Duvall, Hamilton, Winker and Schebler.

    There will be a Louisville shuttle on the pitching staff in the early weeks, as guys come off the disabled list. As I check the online roster at 4:53 p.m. Central time, none of the pitchers currently with the team show up as being on the DL. Almost certainly we’ll hear about DeSclafani and Lorenzen going there, with possibilities for Hernandez and Finnegan.

    Despite the pessimistic tone, I’m always pumped for the beginning of a new season. Because you never know until you actually play the games.

    • Jim Walker

      I feel the lack of depth is a real concern with the starting pitching. It can be spun a lot of ways; but, the fact that Stephenson and Reed are at AAA and Mahle is in Cincy says the organization has decided it is better served to burn Mahle’s service time at MLB in search of his ceiling than to see what either of the former two might develop into if given the ball every 5th day at the MLB level. Consider that Mahle has made a grand total of 14 AAA starts compared to ~40 for Stephenson and ~35 for Reed. The org’s apparent preference to use Amir Garrett(~25 AAA starts) out of the pen indicates they are about in the same place with him. So where is the immediate depth for this year and next wave?

  12. big5ed

    I predict David Ross as 2019 manager.
    Schebler the biggest surprise; Duvall the biggest disappointment.
    Senzel plays centerfield the most.

    • Bill

      David Ross is my pick too. If only t happens. Would like to see Brian Bannister as pitching coach.

  13. DRE

    I’m really hoping the Reds can win 71 this year but it will be tough. I’m hoping we can finish ahead of Pittsburgh. There’s literally zero chance of beating anyone else.

    • BigRedMike

      The Reds schedule may present a challenge, 63 games against the Cubs, Cardinals, Brewers, and Indians. The Reds are likely at the same level as the Pirates, another 19 games.
      The Reds starting pitching appears to have some potential, but, there is downside there as well. Ramano, Garrett, and Mahle have not proven anything at this level, that is 3 of the 5. Bailey is a question as well.

  14. nicolecushing

    Reasons for optimism: no geriatric (or journeyman) free agents in the starting rotation, so at least Jason Marquis Syndrome has come to an end. Some positive free agent acquisitions in the bullpen. Winker and possibly Senzel may become factors at some point in the season. The much-vaunted “sorting process” may progress. Their interleague play schedule includes slightly more matchups against struggling teams than with dominant ones

    Reasons for pessimism: Billy Hamilton leading off. Billy Hamilton pushing thirty and possibly nearing (or already past) the peak of his trade value.While Castillo is solid, other pitchers on the staff are likely to be inconsistent. While the Reds have made improvements, these improvements are not enough to keep pace with those of their competitors in the division. They’ll get clobbered on a regular basis by the Cubs, Cardinals, and Brewers. ,Outside of Joey Votto (and possibly an on-the-hot-seat Bryan Price), little sense of urgency to turn things around.

    Predictions: while the Reds are moving in the right direction, other teams in the division (and out of it) are moving in even BETTER directions. Success is a moving target and “not sucking quite as much” is unlikely to yield significant results in this environment. Look for a fourth or fifth place finish, with the only glory coming in seeing the hated Pirates in the cellar. Final record: 72-90. Bryan Price ousted at the end of the season. John Farrell replaces him.

  15. Matt WI

    I was .500 ish till the Disco injury. 72 wins.

  16. Jeff Reed

    The only solid starting pitcher capable of throwing a complete game is Luis Castillo. The rest of the starting staff will more than likely need relief help by the 4th. or 5th. inning which will exhaust the relief corps by mid-July. The leadoff position has not been clarified by Price so I’m sure Hamilton will be leading off in at least 75% of the games. I also doubt Winker will be a regular in the lineup. The Reds will avoid 90 losses by winning 73 games. Price will be let go at the All Star break and replaced by Riggleman on an interim basis. I have no idea who will manage in 2019.

  17. CI3J

    How many games will the Reds win this season?

    Who will win the 2018 National League pennant?

    Who will win the 2018 World Series?

    Who will bat leadoff the most for the Reds in 2018?
    Billy Hamilton, followed by Jose Peraza, and finally Jesse Winker will get the 3rd most leadoff ABs.

    What Reds player is most likely to be traded during the season?
    From most to least likely: Duvall, Scooter, BHam, Lorenzen, Iglesias.

    What Reds player will be the biggest surprise in 2018?
    Peraza, although Schebler will also have a nice season.

    What Reds player will be the biggest disappointment in 2018?
    Homer Bailey.

    What will the date be when Nick Senzel is called up?
    August 1.

    When Nick Senzel is called up, what position will he play?

    Who will be the Reds starting pitcher on Opening Day 2019?

    Who will be the Reds manager at the end of 2018?

    Who will be the Reds manager at the start of the 2019 season?
    This one, I don’t know, but not Price.

  18. Colorado Red

    How many games will the Reds win this season?

    Who will win the 2018 National League pennant?

    Who will win the 2018 World Series?

    Who will bat leadoff the most for the Reds in 2018?
    Billy Hamilton for most of the season.

    What Reds player is most likely to be traded during the season?
    From most to least likely: None, DW does not know how to trade a
    Player during the season.

    What Reds player will be the biggest surprise in 2018?
    Mahle will win 10 – 15 games.

    What Reds player will be the biggest disappointment in 2018?
    Jose will hit less then Billy.

    What will the date be when Nick Senzel is called up?
    June 1.

    When Nick Senzel is called up, what position will he play?

    Who will be the Reds starting pitcher on Opening Day 2019?

    Who will be the Reds manager at the end of 2018?
    I do not know, but I sure hope it is not Price. Maybe Chad

    Who will be the Reds manager at the start of the 2019 season?
    Ron Wotus. Like that Idea.

  19. Indy Red Man

    I think they go 75-87. Losing Disco really hurt. They were also counting on Stephenson, Lorenzen, and Finnegan for depth and they’re all shaky. It seems like Stephenson is always bad early in the year. Hopefully he’ll come back and have a good 2nd half like last year.

    Most disappointing….Homer

    Most surprising….Duvall. He’ll maintain the .840 ops he has in mid-August every year thru the whole season now that they’ve figured out he needs no more then 425 atbats or so.

    Scooter and Iglesias will both get traded to the Yankees for 26 yr old reliever Chad Green and lefty starter Jordan Montgomery.

    Scooter/Iggy will also be WS champions as they beat the Cards in 6. We really should’ve made a play for Ozuna!

  20. The Duke

    84-78, missing out on the last playoff spot by 2 games.

    • WVRedlegs

      Hey bartender. A round for everybody of whatever The Duke is having.
      I want this to be right.
      I want to be this optimistic, but I cannot for the life of me squint hard enough to see 84 wins. Not with a rotation of 4 rookies, an at best mediocre bullpen, a less than mediocre bench, and an offense that lacks a couple more quality hitters. More top half of the lineup type of hitters, and start trading off the bevy of #6, #7 and #8 hitters strewn throughout the Reds lineup.
      Dick Williams had a fairly specific to-do list this winter, but what he did do over the off-season to have the Reds ready for 2018 was disappointingly incompetent.
      What Dick Williams did do, was to fill holes in the Big Red Machine with bondo and give the BRM an Earl Scheib paint job. By the end of May the paint will be peeling off as the Reds stand 21-36 on May 31.

  21. greenmtred

    You guys have mostly depressed me, but, on a bright note, my wife has secured our MLB tvpackage, so I’ll be able to watch opening day! My predictions: For reasons I can’t predict, the Reds will be better than most of us expect. Winker and Senzel will replace Cozart’s missing pop and then some, and the pitching will considerably exceed the worst-case scenario. Other good things will happen, too (the ones I can’t predict), and the Reds will compete for a WC spot. The Yankess won’t win the WS because 2/3 of their batting order will be busted mid-season for ped use. The Cubs won’t win, either, without Dusty at the helm. The crystal ball is getting too cloudy for further prognostication.

  22. Bill Moore

    80 wins
    The Indians win the World Series
    The Cubs win the NL
    Hamilton will lead off the most
    Gennett gets traded first
    Pereza has a surprise year
    Price manages to make it to the end of this season
    Farrell is the new manager

  23. Steven M Schoenbaechler

    Like last year, and the year before, it will come down to their pitching. And, I predicted before all of this that at least 2 of the Reds starting rotation on opening day will see significant time on the DL this season. And, here, 2 of them, Disco and Finnegan, are already on the dang thing.

    Overall, I don’t believe they will make more than 70 wins. And, it will be because of the starting pitching. As for the offense, we have too many weapons right now for Hamilton to be anywhere near that leadoff spot.