Game Thread / 2017 Reds

Reds at Cubs — October 1, 2017

Well, it’s October and the Reds (67-94) are still playing baseball! After another frustrating season for the ol’ Redlegs, game 162 is here. Even in another 90-loss year, it’s always a little sad when the baseball season comes to an end. And while it’s been a frustrating campaign at times, there have certainly been some memorable moments and more than a few reasons to be encouraged for the future. Of course, getting to watch Joey Votto every day makes even the worst season a bit more tolerable. At 3:25 p.m. ET, we’ll get to watch Votto and Co. one final time until the gates to Great American Ball Park open again on March 29, 2018.

The Reds have lost 10 of their last 11 games coming into Sunday’s season finale against the Cubs (92-69). They’re currently lined up to receive the No. 5 pick in next year’s draft, but they could move up to No. 4 today with a loss or a White Sox win.

Starting Pitchers

Name IP ERA xFIP K% BB%
Deck McGuire 8.2 4.15 4.99 23.7% 5.3%
Mike Montgomery 127.2 3.45 4.38 18.5% 10.4%

A month ago, Deck McGuire was pitching in the Southern League playoffs for the Double-A Pensacola Blue Wahoos. Now, he’s starting the final game of the season for the Cincinnati Reds. He moved into the rotation earlier this week when Rookie Davis was shut down with a hip injury. McGuire’s first career big-league start didn’t go well, as he was knocked around for six runs (four earned) on six hits in three innings against the Brewers on Tuesday. A good outing today would give the Reds something to think about as they decide whether to keep McGuire on the 40-man roster this offseason.

McGuire vs. Cubs

Today will be McGuire’s first appearance against any Cubs hitter.


Jake Arrieta was originally scheduled to start today’s regular season finale for the Cubs, but he was scratched with a hamstring injury. Swingman Mike Montgomery will make the start for Chicago instead. The left-hander has been a valuable part of the Cubs’ pitching staff this season, splitting his time between the bullpen and the starting rotation, with 13 starts and 30 appearances in relief. He’s not an overpowering pitcher by any means — he has a low strikeout rate and a high walk rate — but he generates a lot of ground balls (57.7 GB%, seventh among all pitchers with 100+ IP), which has helped him limit damage.

Montgomery vs. Reds

Lineups

Reds

Cubs

CF Billy Hamilton (67 wRC+) 1B Anthony Rizzo (134 wRC+)
SS Zack Cozart (143 wRC+) 3B Kris Bryant (147 wRC+)
1B Joey Votto (164 wRC+) CF Jon Jay (102 wRC+)
LF Adam Duvall (97 wRC+) LF Ben Zobrist (83 wRC+)
3B Eugenio Suarez (117 wRC+) SS Addison Russell (87 wRC+)
2B Scooter Gennett (125 wRC+) C Alex Avila (108 wRC+)
RF Phillip Ervin (104 wRC+) RF Jason Heyward (88 wRC+)
C Tucker Barnhart (91 wRC+) 2B Javier Baez (98 wRC+)
P Deck McGuire (4.99 xFIP) P Mike Montgomery (4.38 xFIP)

— Votto is officially the first Reds player since Pete Rose in 1975 to start all 162 games for the Reds. Iron man.

— Minus Scott Schebler, the regular starters are in there for the last game of the year.

News, Notes, & Pre-Game Reading

Stat of the Day

Only one stat matters now: 179 days until Opening Day 2018.

Final Thoughts

Thank you to all the loyal Redleg Nation readers for hanging out with us once again this season, and stay tuned during the offseason for some more great content on our favorite baseball team. Go Reds!

34 thoughts on “Reds at Cubs — October 1, 2017

  1. Matt, your opening sentence mirrored my thoughts this morning when I galanced at the calender. Facing six months without Reds baseball, even bad Reds baseball, will glue me to the game this afternoon. Sometimes the Old Cossack is simply a glutton for punishment, but I must admit that I have long since moved on from the Bengals. I recall the infancy of the Bengal’s franchise with Paul Brown and Greg Cook, but since Paul Brown relinquished control of the team, I simply have no eneergy or commitment to follow the only professional football team with which I have ever had a connection as a fan. I’m hoping that BC doesn’t bring the same result with the Reds, but I do feel a declining enthusiasm about the only professional baseball team with which I have ever had a connection as a fan since BC’s involment.

  2. Does anyone really care about Hamilton winning the stolen base competition? I can honestly say that I am completely indifferent to that situation. I am much more interested in Hamilton’s pursuit of a gold glove this season, but his stolen bases carry absolutely no interest for me. I guess that’s probably related to the impact on the team’s success.

    • I’m much more interested in him winning the Gold Glove as well. The Reds could easily have two winners this year between him and Barnhart.

      • Michael Taylor is probably Hamilton’s biggest competition from a stats perspective.

        Taylor: 11 DRS, 17.0 UZR/150
        Hamilton: 8 DRS, 11.2 UZR/150

        Hamilton’s biggest advantage is he has over 200 more innings in CF this year (1161.1 vs. 931.1), which is a huge reason he lost to Inciarte and Lagares the last two years. It hasn’t been Hamilton’s best defensive year, but I think he’ll win his first GG.

        • While Barnhart is completely deserving, I doubt he has the national name recognition or reputation to produce a gold glove.

      • That would be way cool, especially knowing Suarez, Cozart and Duvall play just below that gold glove level. That’s 5 of the 8 position players putting up very good defense. Of course, we then get to watch Scooter play borderline terrible defense at 2B. I think that falls right in line with the philosophy that a successful team can carry one poor offensive player and one poor defensive player and still be successful. It’s when the team tries to carry more than one, that the negative impact becomes over-burdoning.

        • It’s hard to fathom pitching as bad as ours when they’ve got 5 Gold Golve type players fielding behind them. Can you imagine just how bad it could be with average fielders?

    • Check out the Marlins lineup. Gordon hitting ninth and Stanton first. I guess the Marlins care more about 60 home runs than the stolen base title.

  3. Yes, I’d like to see him get the stolen Base title. Why would you not want to see a Red succeed, unless it fits an agenda against a certain player. The gold glove was stolen from him last year. He should win it this year. I’ve seen a few plays this year that Inciarte didn’t make, that Billy always makes. 3 errors this year, two of which were perfect throws that hit a baserunner in the back and got away

    • Would love to see it, but the first two at bats produced nothing to give him the chance. If he doesn’t win a GG it’s pure robbery.

  4. Usually, when your team finishes a bad season, you can look forward to next year and hope for better days, especially if you feel they are going to make some big trades in the offseason.

    …..Then you remember Bryan Price is still going to be manager……..

    sigh……

  5. This is like a spring training game for the Stupid Cubs with all the different players. George’s scorecard is all messed up.

  6. Oh.my.word. George is talking about a “veteran pitcher to mentor the young pitchers.

  7. 97 RBI’s from a last-minute, bench-bat, part-time player … that’s one for the books.

  8. Thank you, Tucker! Looking forward to your leadership and presence over the next few seasons.

  9. Whats Scooter really worth? I really dont see anyone over paying for him, hes cheap, maybe hes worth keeping around.

    • You keep him unless somebody overwhelms you. While the year is at least part aberration, he’s a solid player to have around.

    • Scooter can hit, there’s no doubt about that. His defense leaves something to be desired. Perhaps an AL club who needs a DH or a backup will include a decent pitcher in a trade. The Reds will miss his offense but starting pitching is primary.

  10. Thank you, Zack! No matter what happens now you will long be remembered as a Cincinnati Red. I first saw you in AA some 10 years ago. We wish you the best whether as a Red or elsewhere.

  11. Well it’s far too beautiful of a day to sit an putter at the computer while watching the Reds play against the tune-up Stupid Cubs.

    It’s been a great year on this forum even with the multiple BLARGH’s that ruled our season. Thanks to Chad, Steve and the entire crew for seeing it through. Thanks especially to MBE for reminding us that baseball is life.

    My remaining +163,294 points spread out amount the RLN team.

    GO TRIBE!!!

  12. Is winner hurt or did he speak out of turn the other day and price playing a game?

  13. See Dusty was right, you don’t want slow guys like Winker clogging up the bases!

  14. And that’s it folks. Close the book on the 2017 Cincinnati Reds baseball season.

    Now let’s see how hot that stove gets through the cold winter months.

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