Game Thread

Reds at Brewers – September 27, 2017

The Cincinnati Reds (66-91) will try to end their seven game losing streak tonight at 8:10 PM at the Milwaukee Brewers (83-74). The Reds lost their fourth game by one run during the losing streak last night 7-6. The Reds will send Homer Bailey to the mound tonight for his final start of 2017.

The Brewers are running out of time in their playoff push. The Rockies currently lead the Marlins 14-3 as this is typed. If that score holds, the Brewers will be 2.0 games back from the second wild-card spot. The Rockies are off tomorrow, so the Brewers basically have to beat the Reds both tonight and tomorrow to have a real chance. If they lose to the Reds, they would be at least 2.0 games back going into the final weekend of the season. The Cubs can also clinch the NL Central with a win tonight at St. Louis, or a Reds win.

Starting Pitchers

PITCHERS IP K/9 BB/9 ERA FIP fWAR
Homer Bailey 84.0 6.75 4.18 6.96 5.00 0.5
Brandon Woodruff 40.2 7.08 2.88 3.76 3.72 0.8

Homer Bailey will be making his 18th and final start of 2017 tonight. Bailey making 18 starts is in itself a major accomplishment for him. Sure, the results aren’t where Bailey and the Reds might have wanted, but there has been progress.  Bailey has a 4.40 ERA over his last six starts, which might not seem like much, but the MLB average for starting pitchers is 4.49. In half of Bailey’s starts this year, he has gone 5+ IP, allowing 3 ER or less.

Bailey’s last two starts against this Brewers have been pretty good: 11.0 IP, 5 ER, 9 K, 5 BB. Bailey has a 4.87 career ERA in 25 starts against the Brewers. The current Brewers have a combined .935 OPS vs Bailey, which is scary, but about half of those at-bats have been from Ryan Braun and Neil Walker.


Brandon Woodruff is currently the Brewers #4 prospect (MLB Pipeline), and was a top 100 prospect at the end of last season according to Baseball America. Woodruff made his MLB debut on August 4th, and has been great for the Brewers. That probably came as a surprise to the Brewers, as he had just a 4.30 ERA/4.44 FIP in 16 starts this season at AAA. Woodruff might have hit a bit of wall however, as he has allowed 13 ER in his last 3 starts. This will be his first career appearance against the Reds.

Starting Lineups

Reds Brewers
1. Billy Hamilton (CF)
2. Zack Cozart (SS)
3. Joey Votto (1B)
4. Scooter Gennett (2B)
5. Eugenio Suarez (3B)
6. Scott Schebler (RF)
7. Adam Duvall (LF)
8. Tucker Barnhart (C)
9. Homer Bailey (P)
1. Eric Thames (1B)
2. Neil Walker (2B)
3. Ryan Braun (LF)
4. Travis Shaw (3B)
5. Domingo Santana (RF)
6. Stephen Vogt (C)
7. Orlando Arcia (SS)
8. Brett Phillips (CF)
9. Brandon Woodruff (P)

Jesse Winker is out of the Reds lineup yet again. This will mark a fifth consecutive day that Winker is not starting. It is puzzling that Price can’t give Duvall, Schebler, or Hamilton a day off here and there to get Winker some starts. Chad wrote more about just that today.

Conclusion

It sure would be nice to see Homer Bailey finish off 2017 strong. The Reds will really need Bailey to be good in 2018 for the team to take a step forward. I still believe in Homer. Go Reds!

25 thoughts on “Reds at Brewers – September 27, 2017

  1. I root for Homer. He is a stubborn committed pitcher trying to come back. Go Homer and Go Reds. But….
    Billy Hamilton batting leadoff and Jesse Winker being punished is insanity.
    Shame on Bob Castellini for asking Reds fans to be insane.
    He is the worst owner in Reds history.
    Might be time for Reds fans to boycott Reds-fest.
    Send a message.

    • No Marge still holds that record. Even if they won a world Series she about killed the organization to get it.

      • I don’t see it that way. She deservedly killed her own reputation, but they won and nobody accused them of a Pitino or a Belechik. I loved those years…all Pete could ever do was 2nd in the division.

      • The Bob Castellini losership era is the worst.
        Owner.FO and manager and team….worst since Roosevelt.

  2. Joey! They should bat him 2nd next year but they won’t. Trout bats 2nd for the Angels. Bryant bats 2nd for the Cubs. Again its not rocket science!

    • You are correct Indy, they should but they won’t. Even more idiotic is not having the 2nd and 3rd best on-base hitters in front of him if he is going to hit 3rd.

      • Billy Hamilton is a joke.
        Nice weak grounder to the pitcher.
        Bob Castellini doesn’t know anything about baseball.

  3. It would be nice to see what they could do offensively if you replace Billy with Winker and add Senzel? They couldn’t afford Billy long term as a defensive replacement/pinch-runner, but Milw is doing it with Broxton right now. They could start off that way next year and trade him if Schebler/Ervin were passable?

    Another option…they could take Cozarts $ and sign Lorenzo Cain (31 yrs old)! He’s a winner and career high .364 obp this year. 25 of 27 w/steals and 15 HRs in a pitchers park. He’d prob be a 20/20 man for the Reds for atleast a year or 2. Might cost $55-60 mil for 4 years? Might take 3 years?

    • Love Lorenzo Cain he’d be a huge upgrade to the lineup and outfield. Unfortunately he’ll get $17MM-$20MM per year from the big revenue clubs.

    • Have you noticed the reds are 22 games behind the Cubs and lost 91 games….again???
      Kudos to Homer Bailey and Joey Votto for their leadership and competitiveness . Great Reds….but beyond that what cowbell are you clanging???? They wont lose 100?

    • He’s amazing defensively! Best I’ve ever seen! I saw Seattle era Griffey when I lived in Texas. He could make circus catches like Billy, but didn’t the range or the accuracy with his arm!

      • Duvall is excellent defensively as well! Gets a great jump and makes up for average speed! 3rd baseman arm obviously helps too!

  4. So what happened to force Cozart out of the game? I’m assuming Price didn’t just remove him from the game to rest his already injured legs.

  5. Thom brennemsn for the RNN just announced reds fest for Dec1/2.
    Send Bryan price a message…walt Jocketty….Bob Castellini…. they punished Jesse Winker.

    Boycott Reds fest…Boycott Bryan Price……support Jesse Winker…demand modern baseball analytics…..

  6. We had only 1 hit since the 3rd inning that is until Winker leads of the 9th with a double.Guy is a hitter and I hope he takes it right to spring training next year.

  7. Nice seeing Peraza play. Really wish we could have seen what he could do with regular playing time over the past 2 months.

Comments are closed.