Everyone take a deep breath. Despite trying their best to blow a 10-2 lead in Friday’s series opener, the Reds (49-67) managed to squeak out an 11-10 win over the Brewers (59-59) and are now riding a three-game winning streak. Don’t look now, but the Redlegs have won eight of their last 12 games since snapping a six-game losing streak against the Marlins on July 30.
They’ll look to win their fourth consecutive game and hand the reeling Brewers their seventh straight loss tonight at 7:10 p.m. ET.
Following a month-long stint on the disabled list for right knee inflammation, Scott Feldman will take the mound again for the Reds tonight. His only second-half start came on July 17 against the Nationals and ended after one inning as he exited with the injury. Before hitting the DL, Feldman was the Reds’ most consistent starter, boasting a career-high strikeout rate and going six or more innings nine times (which still leads the staff). Although he missed almost four weeks, Feldman did not go on a rehab assignment. He takes the place of Tim Adleman in the starting rotation.
Feldman vs. Brewers
Feldman faced the Brewers twice in April, and neither outing went well. The Reds lost both games, as he pitched five innings and gave up five walks in each start.
Here are his career numbers against the Brewers (stats courtesy of Baseball Reference):
Brent Suter, a Cincinnati native and an alumnus of Moeller High School, will make his ninth start of the season for Milwaukee tonight. A former 31st-round pick out of Harvard University in 2012, the left-hander made his way to the big leagues last season and broke into the Brewers’ starting rotation on a full-time basis this year after Chase Anderson suffered an oblique injury. Though he was an unheralded prospect coming through the Milwaukee farm system, Suter has settled into in the major-league staff and already outranks $50-million pitcher Matt Garza in fWAR (1.3 vs. 1.2) despite pitching 40 fewer innings.
Suter doesn’t beat batters by blowing them away with his fastball. In fact, he owns the lowest average fastball velocity among all pitchers in the game who have thrown the pitch 500 or more times, as Ryan Romano at Beyond the Box Score wrote about. The next closest pitcher, the Dodgers’ Rich Hill, throws the four-seamer nearly three mph faster. Romano also notes Suter is the fastest worker in the game, taking only 18 seconds on average between pitches. In addition, Suter generates ground balls at a slightly above-average rate (45.4%) and keeps the ball in the park, with only four home runs allowed this season.
Two of those four home runs were hit by Yadier Molina two starts ago, the first of back-to-back poor outings for Suter coming into tonight’s game. The southpaw lasted only 9.1 innings and gave up eight runs on 13 hits in his previous two starts.
Suter vs. Reds
Suter has only appeared in four career games against the Reds, all in relief. He struck out two in a perfect inning against them earlier in 2017.
Here are his career numbers against Cincinnati hitters:
|CF Billy Hamilton (65 wRC+)||2B Jonathan Villar (60 wRC+)|
|SS Zack Cozart (153 wRC+)||1B Eric Thames (124 wRC+)|
|1B Joey Votto (166 wRC+)||LF Ryan Braun (128 wRC+)|
|LF Adam Duvall (110 wRC+)||3B Travis Shaw (130 wRC+)|
|3B Eugenio Suárez (119 wRC+)||RF Domingo Santana (116 wRC+)|
|2B Scooter Gennett (125 wRC+)||SS Orlando Arcia (88 wRC+)|
|C Devin Mesoraco (88 wRC+)||CF Keon Broxton (86 wRC+)|
|RF Patrick Kivlehan (87 wRC+)||C Andrew Susac (-100 wRC+)|
|P Scott Feldman (4.09 xFIP)||P Brent Suter (4.10 xFIP)|
— Devin Mesoraco is making his first start behind the plate in a week.
— Jesse Winker is getting the day off in favor of Patrick Kivlehan.
News, Notes, and Pre-Game Reading
Is Tucker Barnhart emerging as the everyday catcher for the Reds?
The Arismendy Alcantara era has ended. Considering how poor he’s been at the plate this season (.171/.181/.248, 6 wRC+, 35.2 K%, 1.9 BB% in 108 plate appearances), there’s probably a decent chance he clears waivers and heads to Louisville. The move also opens up a spot on the 40-man roster.
Eugenio Suarez could see some action at shortstop:
Both teams are wearing throwback uniforms in honor of Negro Leagues Tribute Night. Here’s the Reds’ look:
Stat of the Day
Joey Votto is good.
I wanted to see how Votto’s O-Swing% (percentage of pitches swung at outside the strike zone) ranked in Reds history. I was actually surprised to find out it ranks eighth since 2002, when FanGraphs began tracking the stat.
(Looks like Scott Hatteberg is, indeed, a good player.)
Votto’s O-Swing% in the second half is 9.5 percent, though, so he’s climbing up the list quickly.
A win tonight would put the Reds one away from their season high winning streak of five and push the Brewers to their worst losing streak since 2015. Let’s just see if the Redlegs can do it without coughing up an eight-run lead this time.