After losing two out of the three to the St. Louis Cardinals, the Cincinnati Reds (45-66) welcome the San Diego Padres (49-61) to Great American Ball Park for the first of a four-game series. First pitch is at 7:10 EDT.
The Padres come into town having lost four of the last six games, including a walk-off loss in Pittsburgh on Sunday. The fourth place team in the NL West is last in nearly every offensive category in the NL, but that did not stop them from scoring 19 runs in the three-game sweep of the Reds at Petco Park in June. The Padres also have a team ERA of 4.66 ERA, 11th in the NL, and have given up a total of 144 home runs, but it still isn’t as bad as the Reds’ team ERA of 5.17, last in the NL.
Just as fast as Tim Adleman was ushered out of the starting rotation, he is back in the rotation, as he fills in for Robert Stephenson, who was put on the 10-day DL Sunday for an elbow contusion. (Stephenson seems likely to only miss one start, however). In Adleman’s last start on July 29 against Miami, he did not make it through five innings, giving up six runs on six hits and four walks.
Adleman’s biggest issue has been the home run ball. He’s given up 24 home runs in 104.2 innings. In his two seasons in the majors, he’s been a fly ball pitcher, with a 45.5 FB% in both 2016 and 2017. However, in 35 more innings pitched this season, he’s already given up 11 more home runs. He’s also walked 23 more batters (43) than in 2016, which has only added to his problems.
Jhoulys Chacin has been the best pitcher in the Padres rotation in 2017, and he has drastically improved from the beginning of the season to now. In April and May, Chacin had a 5.82 ERA and 5.70 ERA, respectively. His ERA was 3.00 in June and a sparkling 2.51 ERA in July. The difference? He stopped giving up home runs, allowing just two in July compared to 13 combined in the three months prior. Chacin has had a little luck on his side too. His BABIP in the month of May was .347, and in the month of July, it was .143.
Chacin has already faced the Reds once this season. In San Diego, he pitched seven innings of five-hit, two-run baseball, in which he struck out four and earned the win.
|1. Manuel Margot (CF)
2. Carlos Asuaje (2B)
3. Jose Pirela (LF)
4. Yangervis Solarte (3B)
5. Wil Myers (1B)
6. Hunter Renfroe (RF)
7. Austin Hedges (C)
8. Dusty Coleman (SS)
9. Jhoulys Chacin (P)
|1. Billy Hamilton (CF)
2. Zack Cozart (SS)
3. Joey Votto (1B)
4. Adam Duvall (LF)
5. Scooter Gennett (2B)
6. Eugenio Suarez (3B)
7. Jesse Winker (RF)
8. Tucker Barnhart (C)
9. Tim Adleman (P)
-No Padres hitter has faced Adleman.
Even with Homer Bailey’s short outing yesterday, the Reds should have everyone available for the start of this series. After playing a twelve-inning game on Sunday, the Padres bullpen may be a bit limited.
Stat of the Day
Joey Votto could be the all-time home run leader at Great American Ball Park as early as tonight. His home run Sunday was also the 250th in his career, and his 29th in 2017. The only other season Votto has hit more than 30 home runs? His MVP season in 2010.
News and Notes
-Congratulations to the Mesoraco family on the birth of Luke!
-Jim Day interviewed David Letterman at GABP yesterday. My favorite quip from the retired late night host was the “Did we win?” after the Eugenio Suarez home run.
-Jose Siri gets rewarded for his hitting in the month of July.
-Tonight’s game is the free game of the day on MLB.TV (for out-of-market fans).
Just when you thought the Reds might start playing better, as evidenced by winning two of three in Pittsburgh and taking the first game of the St. Louis series, the team loses two straight in games where the offense goes quiet (exception: Joey Votto) and the pitching melts down again.
Such is the life of a rebuilding team. Fans have seen flashes of hope from young guys like Luis Castillo and Jesse Winker, but with that hope comes the bad, like Homer Bailey’s struggles to return to what he once was and guys who really shouldn’t be on a major league roster (*ahem* Lisalverto Bonilla). It’s a slow process, and we can only hope the patience pays off in the end.