After going 1-6 through the first seven games of the 10-game home stand and being outscored 58-16 in those six losses, the Cincinnati Reds (40-55) try to salvage what’s left of it as they welcome the Miami Marlins (42-51) to town for a three game series at Great American Ball Park. First pitch is at 7:10 EDT.
The Marlins come in hitting 9th in the NL in OPS and 7th in OBP. However, they are 3rd in the NL in batting average and 3rd in total hits. Overall, it looks as if the Marlins and the Reds have similar offenses in terms of the numbers. The Reds are 6th in the NL in OPS and 8th in OBP.
As for the pitching, Marlins pitchers have been better than the Reds (what team isn’t?), but not a lot better. The Marlins currently rank 11th in the NL in ERA, and are tied with the Reds for most walks given up in the NL (363). Unlike the Reds, however, Marlins pitchers do not give up the home run ball. While the Reds have allowed 166 home runs, the Marlins have surrendered only 102 this season.
It’s hard to judge Bailey on the five starts he’s made thus far. In two of those games, Bailey pitched against one of the best offensive teams in the Washington Nationals and got shellacked, giving up 16 runs on 14 hits in 5.2 innings. But he has also shown flashes of his old self against Arizona and Colorado, pitching six innings or more and giving up only one run in each of those starts. He has struck out 17 in 21.1 innings, but he’s also walked 11.
In 2015, 25-year-old Jose Urena was the Marlins’ #4 prospect. He’s now in the middle of his third year in the majors, and has already surpassed his total innings pitched from the previous year. After starting the season in the bullpen, the Marlins moved him to the rotation at the beginning of May. He’s a hard-throwing right hander, with an average fastball velocity of 95.7, and has a changeup and a slider in his arsenal.
Urena is coming off a rough start against the Dodgers, in which he gave up five runs in three innings. The Dodgers are beating everybody right now though, so it’d be unfair to judge Urena’s performance based on that start.
|1. Dee Gordon (2B)
2. Giancarlo Stanton (RF)
3. Christian Yelich (CF)
4. Marcell Ozuna (LF)
5. Justin Bour (1B)
6. J.T. Realmuto (C)
7. Derek Dietrich (3B)
8. Miguel Rojas (SS)
9. Jose Urena (P)
|1. Billy Hamilton (CF)
2. Zack Cozart (SS)
3. Joey Votto (1B)
4. Adam Duvall (LF)
5. Scooter Gennett (2B)
6. Eugenio Suarez (3B)
7. Scott Schebler (RF)
8. Tucker Barnhart (C)
9. Homer Bailey (P)
Giancarlo Stanton and his powerful swing makes his once a year appearance at GABP. Stanton currently leads the NL in home runs with 30 and has five home runs in 19 career games in Cincinnati. Left fielder Marcell Ozuna might be the one to watch this weekend, however. The first-time All-Star is having a breakout year, hitting .315/.373/.555, with an OPS of .928, and has continued to hit since the break, going 7-for-23 with two runs scored.
Much like Ozuna, Zack Cozart has continued his solid hitting after the break, going 7-for-18 with two home runs, three walks, and three runs scored. His trade value keeps going up, and the intrigue surrounding the Reds and whether they will trade him or won’t trade him continues.
Five batters in the Reds lineup tonight have had success against Urena, including Scott Schebler who is 3-for-3, and Tucker Barnhart, who is 1-for-2 with a home run.
News and Notes
I’m not sure how I feel about this move. On one hand, Peraza’s plate discipline has been downright awful this season. He has just six walks this season and 51 strikeouts. And in 2016, his walk/strikeout numbers were similar. On the other hand, he’s only 23 and could use the experience to improve his game. The Reds definitely shouldn’t give up on Peraza yet, and being that the team is out of contention, this could be the perfect time to work on his approach at the plate. This is the time for the Reds to evaluate what they have in the young stars, to see who could potentially help them contend in 2018.
I’m guessing that because Scooter Gennett is playing well, Bryan Price wants to reward him with playing time. If Peraza is indeed pressing too much as Price thinks he is, Price sees this as a good opportunity to get Gennett playing time and give Peraza a bit of a break. And of course, everything could change in a week if Cozart is traded by the deadline.