Game Thread

Nationals vs Reds – July 14, 2017

The Cincinnati Reds (39-49) are fresh off the all-star break, and will kick off the second half by hosting a four game series against the first place Washington Nationals (52-36). The Nationals cruised through the first half of the season with a 9.5 game lead in the NL East. The Nationals boast one of the best lineups and rotations in baseball. Their biggest struggle has been their bullpen and defense.

  Reds Nationals
OBP .327 (14th) .345 (2nd)
SLG .451 (3rd) .467 (2nd)
wRC+ 100 (9th) 108 (4th)
DRS 41 (1st) -23 (26th)
SP ERA 5.91 (30th) 3.71 (3rd)
SP FIP 5.94 (30th) 3.79 (3rd)
RP ERA 3.97 (10th) 5.20 (30th)
RP FIP 4.33 (20th) 4.90 (29th)

Starting Pitchers

IP K/9 BB/9 ERA FIP WAR
Gio Gonzalez 113.1 8.74 3.89 2.86 4.19 1.6
Tim Adleman 84.0 8.25 3.54 4.71 5.61 0.0

Gio Gonzalez has a career 2.98 ERA in 8 starts against the Reds. However, the Reds hit him hard last year, scoring 9 runs off 15 hits in just 12.0 innings. Votto has 3 homers in 18 AB against Gio, which is pretty incredible for Votto against a quality LHP.

Tim Adleman has been giving up a lot of home runs lately (6 over his last 3 starts). That doesn’t seem good against the Nationals lineup. Adleman also has pitched exactly 5.0 innings over his last four starts. Tonight will be the first time Adleman has ever faded any hitter on the Nationals roster.

Starting Lineup

Nationals Reds
1. Brian Goodwin (CF)
2. Wilmer Difo (SS)
3. Bryce Harper (RF)
4. Ryan Zimmerman (1B)
5. Stephen Drew (2B)
6. Anthony Rendon (3B)
7. Matt Wieters (C)
8. Chris Heisey (LF)
9. Gio Gonzalez (P)
1. Billy Hamilton (CF)
2. Zack Cozart (SS)
3. Joey Votto (1B)
4. Adam Duvall (LF)
5. Eugenio Suarez (3B)
6. Scott Schebler (RF)
7. Jose Peraza (2B)
8. Tucker Barnhart (C)
9. Tim Adleman (P)

The big bad Washington Nationals lineup is missing a few bats tonight. It sounds like Daniel Murphy is just getting an extra day of rest after playing in the All-Star Game. You can expect Bryce Harper to get a day off this weekend too. Jayson Werth is still on a rehab assignment. Trea Turner is out for quite a while with a fractured wrist. Our good friend Chris Heisey is back in the lineup at GABP tonight! Dusty Baker hasn’t changed, as he has his worst hitter batting second because he plays SS.

Reds rotation

Here is the Reds rotation to star the second half (Tuesday the Reds start a series at GABP against the Diamondbacks):

Friday: Tim Adleman
Saturday: Luis Castillo
Sunday: Homer Bailey
Monday: Scott Feldman
Tuesday: Sal Romano

All-Star Reds

The Reds finally broke the long hitless streak at the All-Star Game when Zack Cozart ripped a first pitch base hit (Reds hitters were 0 for their previous 25). Joey Votto kept the NL alive by walking with 2 outs in the 11th inning, so it was a good night for the Reds. Votto also traded a bunch of his signed all-star gear with a fan so Cozart could get the ball he hit. Votto seems like a pretty good teammate, eh?

Conclusion 

If you subscribe to the theory that Brewers aren’t that good and will come back down to earth in the second half, here is one thing to consider. The Reds simply need to play just one game better than the Chicago Cubs up until the last series on the season (The Reds are currently 4.0 games behind the Cubs). The Reds finish the 2017 season with a 3-game series at Wrigley Field, so any deficit of less than 3 games heading into the final series of the year would keep the Reds alive.

Pipe dream? Sure, but why not dream a little? Go Reds!

39 thoughts on “Nationals vs Reds – July 14, 2017

  1. STEPHEN DREW IN FRONT OF ANTHONY RENDON!!

    Wow. I mean, Bryan Price is generally clueless at this offense thing, but Dusty Baker is something else entirely.

    • My immediate hypothesis was that at some point in his career Drew was two for four against Adleman. However, Drew has not faced Adleman so that hypothesis is out. The next possibility is that Drew bats left and Rendon right. If you look at the lineup starting with Harper I think it goes left, right, left, right. This is the kind of thing that would appeal to Dusty.

      Wow, I am starting to think like Dusty. Scary.

  2. Here’s hoping for a shut down appearance by Iggy in the bottom of the 9th to secure a victory for the good guys tonight. Then for good measure, a rinse and repeat performance by Iggy on Saturday and Sunday.

    On Monday morning at 6:00 a.m., DW makes a call to Rizzo.

    “Good morning Mike! I hope I didn’t wake you. So, are you seriously interested in Mr. Iglesias yet?”

    • I just don’t understand this at all. I would hope he gets bombed but somehow I think they would trot him bsck out there in 5 days.

  3. Adelman is horrible.
    I have all but give up hope on Winker every playing regular with this club. They have no clue about OBP.

  4. Aldeman is a 4 or 5 inning guy that will give up the same number of runs.Its just who he is but the Nats can hit so he may not make it that far.Are we still sorting?

    • Yeah he goes 5 and gives up 6 hits and 5 runs and Price thinks the 6 hits is great . The guy is not the answer whatsoever. I don’t see anybody trading for him as well.

  5. We kind of know what Aldeman is going to do so what you say we try somebody else the next time out.

  6. Miss Reds baseball? Well let Adleman cure you of that. His glory days of 3er in 5ip might be over?

    • Indy I mentioned the other day that Adlemamwould be much better served in long relief and a few poster thought a 29 year old with very little upside should stay in the rotation.

  7. Jackson Stephens 3 shutout ip tonite for Lville and a 2.55 era over his last 53 ip. They’re on the same schedule obviously…..if the Reds understood how a rebuild works then tonite would be the end of Adleman but I expect him to pitch til August atleast.

  8. I don’t want to pile on Aldeman at all.He just will not be able to get a good hitting team like the Nats out.He is not a swing and miss pitcher and the good teams like the Nats pound guys like him.We have other options that may not do any better but until you try them you just don’t know.

  9. Gausman of the Orioles gave up 4 to the Cubs in the 1st.His era is above 6 but I would love to see the Reds get him.I know the Birds need pitching so they probably wouldn’t but he has electric stuff.I think we have talked about him on here before but Cozy for him straight up would be a good trade for us.

    • You’re mad because he hit a screaming liner to center that the cf’er made a diving catch on?

  10. Well there is another Harper homer for run number 5.Just can see it coming for miles and miles.

  11. Bryce has a shot at pulling a Scooter tonite!! Hernandez would be a fly in the ointment but if Price does his usual and rolls out Wojo and Wood then its atleast 3.

      • They’re just always worried about rushing a kid to the majors? If Harper or Doc Gooden were coming up with this Reds front office they wouldn’t see the major til they were atleast 23.

        • Castillo pitched 5ip vs Votto & company in the futures game this spring. All they had to was ask Joey if this kid could get big league hitters out. Well….he’s the 2nd hardest throwing starter in mlb….so theres that?

          They decided to go with 3 full months of the Lollipop kid serving up 440 ft souvenirs.

  12. Not mad at Peraza for swinging or making an out.Just saying that the pitchers know he swings at everything so why throw a strike.I am not watching the game so how about I say he saw 3 pitches and made two outs but one of the outs was a line drive.Doesn’t change the fact he see fewer pitches then anybody in the league and has walked 5 times in almost 300 at bats.

    • all 3 pitches have been strikes. He put 2 of them in play, one being a line drive. They are throwing him strikes because the don’t fear him. Why walk a fast guy that hits mostly singles?

  13. Gonzalez topping out at 90-91 and just mowing us down! 95% of the time…lefties don’t throw as hard so you better have good breaking stuff or you won’t make it. Our lefties never have squat for breaking stuff? Its a failure by the Reds scouting. Reed doesn’t have anything soft? Finnegan finally developed a change but his curve is subpar. Garrett has a change but that’s about it. Cingrani…never a chance to be a starter for the same reason. The only lefty I’ve seen with the Reds in 3-4 years with good breaking stuff is Peralta! That’s why I think he could be a starter if looked that direction? He neutralizes lefties completely!

  14. Like I said I am not watching the game.So if you are saying he is only swinging at strikes tonight then so be it but I have seen enough of his at bats to say that isn’t always the case.Do you really think he only swings at strikes most of the time I mean you would have to have more then 5 walks in 338 at bats just by accident wouldn’t you.

    • Peraza is a hacker….no doubt about it but your love of the long at-bats and the walk is going to leave you frustrated with this team. For one thing….we’re down 4-5 runs in the 3rd inning constantly so their pitcher is challenging people. Secondly…we have guys like Billy, Peraza, and Barnhart with zero power so they won’t nibble there. Then you add big swing-n-miss guys like Schebler, Duvall, etc and they won’t usually foul off enough balls to make atbats really long. Suarez and Cozart are doing much better! This lineup is a work in progress but no sense in getting upset because its all they can do right now.

  15. Had enough….not watching any more games vs lefties unless Castillo or Mahle are pitching. They completely suck vs lefties???

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