With the first half of the season coming to a close, the Reds (38-49) are ending things on a positive note. Behind much better pitching, the club is 8-6 over its last 14 games, putting a 1-14 stretch in June in the rearview mirror. Following a dominant start from Luis Castillo last night — one of the best efforts from a Cincinnati starting pitcher this season — the team will close out its series with the Diamondbacks (53-35) this afternoon at 4:10 p.m. ET.

Starting Pitchers

Name IP ERA xFIP K% BB%
Homer Bailey 10.2 12.66 5.21 12.3% 8.8%
Patrick Corbin 95.1 4.81 4.03 20.0% 6.5%

Coming off his best start of the season (6 IP, 1 ER, 0 BB, 3 K vs. the Rockies in Coors Field), Homer Bailey will try to build off of that success. The right-hander is still working his way back from a series of elbow ailments, so expecting the multiple no-hitter Homer to return is probably wishful thinking. But his last start was a huge step in the right direction. Bailey showed much better command than in his first two starts and held a powerful offense at bay in the most hitter-friendly park in baseball.

Here is Bailey’s track record against current D-Backs (stats courtesy of Baseball Reference):


Early in his career, Patrick Corbin looked poised to become the Diamondbacks’ ace. Coming off an all-star season in 2013, he was slated to be the team’s Opening Day starter but missed all of 2014 after undergoing Tommy John surgery. The left-hander rebounded nicely upon returning in mid-2015 but had a rough time in his first full season back in 2016, eventually getting demoted to the bullpen.

Corbin returned to the rotation this year and has showed promise at times. His overall numbers are ugly, but the peripherals indicate he hasn’t been as bad as his 4.81 ERA shows. His walk numbers are below league average and his strikeout rate, which is slightly worse than the league average, is on the rise. In his five starts since June 8, the southpaw has pitched to the tune of a 3.41 ERA and 3.20 xFIP, striking out 25.2 percent of the batters he’s faced.

Here are Corbin’s numbers against the Reds:

Lineups

Reds

Diamondbacks

CF Billy Hamilton (64 wRC+) CF A.J. Pollock (95 wRC+)
2B Scooter Gennett (152 wRC+)  RF David Peralta (115 wRC+)
1B Joey Votto (167 wRC+) 1B Paul Goldschmidt (155 wRC+)
LF Adam Duvall (122 wRC+) 3B Jake Lamb (130 wRC+)
3B Eugenio Suárez (112 wRC+) 2B Chris Owings (100 wRC+)
RF Scott Schebler (117 wRC+) C Chris Iannetta (106 wRC+)
SS José Peraza (56 wRC+) SS Ketel Marte (75 wRC+)
C Tucker Barnhart (90 wRC+) LF Gregor Blanco (79 wRC+)
P Homer Bailey (5.21 xFIP) P Patrick Corbin (4.03 xFIP)

— Zack Cozart is getting a breather before he heads to Miami to start at shortstop in the All-Star Game. Jose Peraza is sliding over to shortstop while Scooter Gennett starts at second base.

— Speaking of Peraza, it’s a bit odd that he continues to bat ahead of Tucker Barnhart, who has proven himself to be an above-average hitter for a catcher.

— Jesse Winker is once again on the bench. Adam Duvall and Scott Schebler are playing well, to be sure, but it’s puzzling and frustrating that Bryan Price couldn’t get the organization’s top hitting prospect even one start in this series.

News and Notes

Stat of the Day

While watching Luis Castillo throw bullets last night, I started wondering how many times a Reds pitcher has hit 100+ mph on the radar gun this season. According to Statcast, that number is eight. Raisel Iglesias has the fastest pitch at 100.5 mph, but he’s only touched triple digits a single time. Ariel Hernandez has four such pitches, while Castillo has done it thrice.

Final Thoughts

Getting another solid start from Bailey would be a great way for the pitching staff to ride some momentum into the all-star break. The staff has largely held the Reds back this season but is starting to show signs of turning it around with the addition of Castillo, Sal Romano, and a healthy Bailey.

127 Responses

  1. Shchi Cossack

    Scooter Gennett made an error. “Forget it,” Luis Castillo nodded.
    “That,” Zack Cozart said, “reminds me of Cueto.”

    Castillo is a rookie in MLB service time only. Cozart provides veteran leadership. Such leadership can only come from a starter.

    Can the Reds afford to extend Cozart? If not, then I hope, from a Reds perspective, the FA market for Cozart does not develop and the Reds can pick him up on bargain FA contract, even if it’s just a 1-year contract to reestablish his value for a shot at a new contract next offseason.

    • David

      He has poise on the mound, and quiet confidence. Not cocky, just knows he has good stuff. The Reds pitching last night was actually pretty impressive. Castillo, followed by Peralta (who threw smoke and some great sliders) and then Ariel Hernandez, who threw smoke and a couple of curves.

      Last night it was power pitching for the Reds. And they did not have to touch Lorenzen and Iglesias.

    • Old-school

      Their was an interview recently that Cozart said his quad is going to be a nagging injury the rest of the year….and he’s not willing to take a month off to get it 100%.

      This torpedoes his trade value. He will not be traded. Cozart doesn’t want to be traded. He will put all his chips in the FA market and will pronounce himself 100% on Dec 1.

  2. james garrett

    The starters are competing and all teams at better when that happens.Competing is a mindset and all pitchers don’t have it but Castillo competed his first two starts against the Nats and Rockies on the road against two very good lineups.Last night he dominated and never gave the Snakes a chance.So far so good.

    • David

      Watching Castillo last night, my impression was that he threw more fastballs last night than his previous two starts, and thus fewer sliders and change-ups. He has a great fastball, so why not use it? A pitcher does need more than one pitch to succeed in the Majors, but command is also an issue. It will be interesting to see how he pitches (pitch sequence, etc.) in his next start at home.

      • jazzmanbbfan

        I would disagree. A starter needs more than 1 pitch to succeed. Otherwise good hitters will just sit on the fastball. Even in the bullpen, if Peralta only threw fastballs and no sliders, I doubt he would be having the success he has had this year. Command is a necessity for any pitcher at this level to succeed.

  3. Jack

    At some point in time after the all star game Adleman needs to go to the bullpen. He is the odd guy out for younger pithers to get their chance. He won’t be in the,starting rotation next year and they need to find out who will be.

  4. Cincity80

    I’m puzzled why they didn’t even let Winker start a game. He’s been sitting on the bench

  5. msanmoore

    Senzel first pitch RBI single in the Future’s Game!!

  6. Indy Red Man

    We have a terrible record vs lefties. Scooter has never hit lefties and Schebler hangs in there pretty good but he was bad last yr vs lefties. Billy has been much worse vs lefties. Mesoraco was sort of a counter but he’s always hurt? That’s something they need to work on.

    • msanmoore

      “You’re … still … missing … the cutoff man … that’s something … I’d like you to work on … before next year …”

  7. Scott Carter

    The use or unused of Winker is puzzling, confounding and confusing.

  8. msanmoore

    A Billy/Joey run … got to love that!

  9. james garrett

    Hope Winker gets a chance after the break.He has had a cup of coffee and a doughnut so let him play or send him down.Has to be hard on him because he has earned the right to get some playing time,

  10. msanmoore

    Loved seeing Votto and Goldschmidt chatting over there in Paul’s office … a couple of first-class guys.

  11. Indy Red Man

    Homer set up that run with a solid single! Man….wish any of our lefties had a slider like Corbin’s? Reed is the only one with a slider with any real break and its usually for a ball or above the belt.

  12. james garrett

    Homer competing through 3 innings.Big pitch to get Goldschmidt to hit into a DP.

    • msanmoore

      Started by our own Eh-You-Hey-Knee-O!!

  13. Jack

    Man that outfield is in terrible shape.

    • msanmoore

      Comes from “forcing” grass in Phoenix … tough thing to do.

    • msanmoore

      I paid more attention during that inning … I’m thinking “terrible” is an understatement. Our High-A field is in better shape.

  14. msanmoore

    Just over 40 pitches and only one run. Help from the IF on several plays. Nice outing so far, Homer … let’s keep it up.

  15. james garrett

    Both teams wanting to get this one over in a hurry.Hacking away.Car is packed,kids are waiting and the wife is on the phone with the umpire’s wife wondering what is taking so long.Don’t blame em one bet.

    • msanmoore

      +100 for that … and another +50 because I’m of the age where I “lived” such a trip.

      Homer, however, is having nothing of that. Nice double!

  16. james garrett

    Homer pitching and hitting.May have to win this one by himself.

    • msanmoore

      I little bingo here and he would score the go ahead run … too much to ask?

  17. james garrett

    Billy and Scooter saw a lot of pitches just didn’t get a hit.That will pay off in the next inning or two.Corbin is dealing though.

    • msanmoore

      Considering Billy was “robbed” on a very good play is second AB, I tend to agree. Keep working the count and wearing them down.

      Then there is Peraza with his feast or famine approach (one of each today so far).

  18. Ben

    I saw Bailey at Coors Field last week. He worked around a lot of baserunners and showed real poise. He really knows how to pitch, and I think it will just come down to staying healthy and getting stronger.

  19. msanmoore

    Watched the Senzel 1st pitch RBI single on my FB feed (saw it when it happened on TV) … he’s how old, 14? I’m thinking any stubble I saw was drawn on with his sister’s mascara pen.

  20. james garrett

    Another big pitch by Homer.Didn’t want to pitch to Goldie with two on.Great job.

  21. Jack

    This staff is,starting to take shape. Bailey, Feldman, Castillo, and…It’s to bad disco isn’t healthy. 2nd half should be fun.

  22. Indy Red Man

    Wow….I don’t think I’ve ever seen Homer with this much command. Mixing his pitches beautifully today and keeping the ball on the ground. We could be competitive next year if the starters hold up?

    • Jack

      I’m still not giving up hope on this year. In this division anythings possible.

      • Indy Red Man

        Nah…..9.5 is too much and Cubs will prob buy Sonny Gray and a hitter. Milw draws well and can afford Alex Cobb or someone. You never know but Milw has a really really deep lineup. Vogt hit a HR today for them. Their GM has done really well but I like our potential rotation next year much better!

    • msanmoore

      He’s basically in “late Spring Training” mode at this point. He’s still working out some kinks, but getting much more comfortable with it all.

  23. renbutler

    Come on, Suarez.

    The pitch was clearly a strike.

    A two-month slump takes its toll.

    • msanmoore

      Not sure he argued it … debate in the booth says perhaps he used profanity (then again, few of them don’t do that). Wonder who comes in now.

      • Jack

        He needs these days off. Hope he comes back refreshed.

      • msanmoore

        Completely agree … his glove hasn’t suffered at all at least. We don’t even question it anymore unless he makes an error.

  24. msanmoore

    Duvall + Schebler (plus the turf) … manufacture a run, boys!

    • Jack

      Lol its those divots all over the outfield. I’m surprised it hasn’t happened sooner.

      • msanmoore

        More than divots … looks like moles …

  25. msanmoore

    Can Homer pull it off? Going to be fun to watch.

    • msanmoore

      Yeah … I knew that was asking too much. But you can’t take him out the way he’s pitching today.

  26. Indy Red Man

    Corbin hasn’t normally been that good in years but they scratched out 2 runs for the lead! This game should be “all hands on deck” for Price but I doubt he looks at it that way.

    • msanmoore

      Like James Garrett said … the cars are all packed and the wives are calling each other wondering when it will be over.

  27. Indy Red Man

    Jeez….terrible for an 0-2 pitch? Why do guys do that? They make a hitter look bad and get ahead 0-2 or 1-2 and then get too much of the plate on a setup pitch?

    • Jack

      I would say it was a great hit by Goldy. Decent pitch.

      • msanmoore

        Yep … and erased by a very good Duvall throw.

  28. Indy Red Man

    You find a game where Dave Kingman hit a double down the rightfield line and also threw out the tying run at the plate…lol. Adam Duvall is the real deal!!!

    • Barry Gilpin

      Well, Kingman did have 14 assists to home plate in his career, so it could have happened.

  29. msanmoore

    20 OF assists … tied for the most in the NL. And we have a LF’er who is a legit Gold Glove candidate. It’s been a while, folks.

    • Tom Mitsoff

      That throw was A-MAZ-ING. Right where it had to be — high, low or wide and the runner is safe.

      • Indy Red Man

        3rd base coach…lol. Nobody out and a former 3B in LF so you know he can throw. He has 2 assists in 1 game this year.

      • msanmoore

        Instead it nailed him by 1+ steps.

  30. msanmoore

    Nasty pitch to a guy too willing to chase it. Nice block and tackle by Tucker.

  31. Indy Red Man

    Peralta was throwin 99 mph smoke last night. This is a huge atbat….I’d bring him to face the lefty.

  32. VaRedsFan

    Why was the SS up the middle holding the runner, when Owens got that hit? DBacks broadcast showed the overall defense. Could not believe where our SS was playing for RH hitter.
    Awesome throw by Duval to bail them out.

  33. msanmoore

    Anybody bet we’d escape that inning still ahead?

    • Indy Red Man

      Shocking how good Bailey looks after the first 2 games!!

  34. james garrett

    Nope but they are in a hurry.So lets just forget the rest of this game and we win.

    • msanmoore

      Deal … you grab the keys and we’re off …

  35. james garrett

    Billy k’s for the third time.I think he is ready.

    • msanmoore

      Mississippi and Mama’s fried chicken on his mind?

    • Jack

      He struggles against RH pitching. He should have sat today and let Winker play.

    • VaRedsFan

      he stole a base and scored their only run though til that point.

  36. msanmoore

    OK, I’m gonna say it right here on this forum. I’ve been an anti-Yankee guy for over 4 decades. But tomorrow, I’m pulling for Judge to wreck the ball all night long. Just something about the kid makes the baseball fan in my smile. He’s reminiscent of Adam Dunn with better plate discipline and bigger still.

    • Jack

      Better hitter than Dunn and if he wore his glove on the other hand he would still be a better fielder than donkey.

      • msanmoore

        Well … yeah … the kid has crazy talent. And he’s so likeable.

      • Jack

        I live here in NY so it’s Yankees everything. Judge is refreshing because he is almost shy about his HRS.

      • msanmoore

        He just seems like such a humble kid … the ultimate “Happy to be here and help the team” attitude. Very rare these days and much more so historically where Pinstripes are concerned.

      • VaRedsFan

        The Yankees actually play their prospects when they are called up. Sanchez, Judge, Hicks, now Frazier

  37. VaRedsFan

    There goes the no-no in Colorado…Melky Cabrera breaks it up

    • msanmoore

      Yep … 8 1/3 innings is quite a feat.

  38. msanmoore

    Nice high gas at 95 MPH. One more out and he can head for the showers and a few days off.

  39. msanmoore

    Here comes Captain Hook, Jr. Good move by Bryan. Homer at 102 and deserves to win this one.

    • Indy Red Man

      I don’t know why Price pushed him so hard? They could’ve started Lorenzen or whoever fresh and they might not be facing Goldschmidt? Price is managing like its just another game…..1 of 12 in 12 days or something.

      • msanmoore

        Agreed … though perhaps they were trying to get him to 100 pitches. Just playing with fire, though. The Snakes can hit.

      • VaRedsFan

        Inning over if Perza doesnt bobble the taylor made double play ball.

      • Indy Red Man

        Yep….can’t lose that fact even though it didn’t burn them this time. He can’t walk, rarely hits, and he’s sketchy in the field even though he’s athletic and has alot of range. I would send him down and bring up Herrera to platoon w/Scooter

  40. VaRedsFan

    Lorenzen hung one, but Goldy missed it.

    • VaRedsFan

      and the got him on a great 3-2 pitch. All breaking balls that sequence

      • Tom Mitsoff

        That’s quite the accomplishment — getting out Goldschmidt while not throwing your best pitch.

  41. msanmoore

    We needed that one. Nice job bearing down by Lorenzen.

  42. msanmoore

    Would love to see another Duvall-Schebler run here.

    • msanmoore

      Or just Schebler when it’s his turn …

  43. VaRedsFan

    Gennett is 0-4…how is that possible?

    • msanmoore

      Tired and facing LHP … needs the time off like everyone else.

      • Indy Red Man

        Herrera has been hitting and Brandon Dixon has a .975 ops vs lefties. Scooter needs a platoon partner

      • VaRedsFan

        Send Alcantra down right? He can’t back up Zach at SS

      • Indy Red Man

        Why not? He was a super prospect for the Cubs not that long ago.

      • Tom Diesman

        Alcantara can play SS, and has no options left, so he would have to pass through waivers first.

  44. msanmoore

    Quality start for Homer. Can’t lose it, in line to win. Only real issue was 4 BB’s. Nice way to end the shortened first half for him.

  45. msanmoore

    And the lead-off gets on merry-go-round continues … looks like our Reds are really up for the break.

    Nice DP as I type …

  46. msanmoore

    It’s a Jesse Winker sighting …

  47. Indy Red Man

    Groundballs and Ks….thats why Lorenzen MUST be in the rotation next year! As talented as Castillo is….he’s already given up more HRs this year then Lorenzen.

    • msanmoore

      I’m betting he’s in the mix for 2018.

  48. msanmoore

    Hard hit but right into the “shift”

  49. msanmoore

    Iggy time … is this one of the last times we see him before some inter-stellar deal we just cannot/should not refuse to make? The rumor mill says the asking price is as high as we’d expect it to be.

  50. Indy Red Man

    Castillo, Disco, Lorenzen, Homer, and best available. A Reds team with that rotation goes atleast .500 if they stayed reasonably healthy

    • msanmoore

      I’m thinking “yes” to that projection.

  51. VaRedsFan

    Streak!!! 2 monster pitching performances in a row. Has that happened this year so far?

  52. msanmoore

    2 of 3 from the Snakes. 4 of 7 on the road trip. Ready for the break.

    see y’all on the flip side back in Cincy. Audio only for me since Raleigh is Nat’s country (it has to belong to somebody, yes?)

  53. Indy Red Man

    Hit a double…score the tiebreaking run and then throw out the tying run. Vote Duvall:)

    • msanmoore

      Yep … got to be Adam or Homer today. Best performances out there.

  54. james garrett

    We are neighbors.I hang out in Sanford but catch a few Reds games on dish.