The Reds and Rockies meet tonight in game 3 of this 4 game series in Colorado. The series stands at 1-1 which sets tonight as the pivotal game of the series. The winner will do no worse than split the series and will have a shot a winning it outright in Thursday’s matinee. The loser…. well, that’s simple zero sum math everyone can figure out on their own. Despite the Reds scoring 8 runs on Tuesday, we still haven’t had a typical Coors Field rock’em sock’em game yet. I’d gladly take a pass on having one tonight so long as the Reds pick up the win.
Scott Feldman gets the call for the Reds. While it would be euphemistic to call the righthander a staff ace, in the last month his performance has stabilized at a level that merits calling him the backbone of the Reds starting staff. In six June starts, Feldman completed 36.1 innings with a 2.97 ERA. His FIP and xFIP numbers were both just more than a run higher than his ERA, indicating he may enjoyed greater than his fair share of good luck in June.
Righthander Jon Gray will be on the mound for the Rockies. Gray, 25, is yet another Rockies starter who was a top 10 overall draft pick, being picked #3 overall by the Rockies in 2013. In the last three games, the Reds will have faced the 2013 draft #3 overall, and the 2014 draft #8 and #9 overall picks. Sounds like the Rockies have a plan for dealing with the Coors Field shooting gallery. This will be Gray’s second start since returning from a foot injury which cost him 2 months on the DL. In his return appearance against the DBacks, Gray worked 6 innings allowing 2 runs (both earned) while striking out 10 and walking only 1. Don’t expect a soft touch because he is recently back from injury.
Both teams used around 3 innings last night spread across three relievers each Neither should be severely distressed for tonight. Asher Wojciechowski drew the thankless job of pitching the 9th inning for the Reds with a 7 run lead and handled the situation well. Michael Lorenzen and Wandy Peralta each threw an inning and are unlikely to go any longer than that if called on tonight.
Scooter Gennett is in for Adam Duvall, both in LF and in the batting order.
Ryan Hanigan (remember him?) gets a start for the Rockies behind the plate.
Here is breaking news that is not one bit good.
Mesoraco’s left shoulder is the one which was surgically repaired about a year ago.
The injury is “not serious” (for now)….
The deadline for signing 2017 draftees who are not college seniors is 5PM EDT Friday. Word on the street is that Reds overall #2 pick Hunter Greene, the only still unsigned member of the draft’s top 10, has completed his physical; but, there still has been no announcement that he has signed. It will be a big relief when official word finally comes especially given this late Tweet from Zach Buchanan
Even with the Reds most reliable starting pitcher to date on the mound tonight, Fangraph’s pregame win probability projection has the Rockies as big favorites (57/43%). Hopefully the Reds will blow that out of the water just like they did last night’s projection. Go Reds!