Hope you slept quick because we have a 12:10 matinee coming up as the Reds finish their series versus the Rays. Today’s game sets up as the series rubber match after the Rays withstood a 2 out, 2 run ninth inning rally by the Reds to win 6-5 Tuesday night. In case you missed it; or, if you just want to see a thing of beauty all over again, here is the opening blow of the Reds ninth inning rally:
Righthander Tim Adleman makes the start for the Reds. Over the last month, Adleman has arguably been the Reds most reliable starter. In 5 starts, he is averaging slightly more than 6 innings per start and has posted an ERA of 2.25. Digging a little deeper though, his FIP over the same period is 4.97; his xFIP is 5.01.
Why the great divergence between ERA and FIP for Adleman in the last month? It is because the FIP formula doesn’t like the number of walks and home runs he has allowed in comparison to his strikeouts over the number of innings he has pitched. So, if a person trusts FIP, Adleman has been more lucky than truly good over the last month.
Erasmo Ramirez will be on the mound for the Rays. Ramirez is a 27 year old righthander who has been in professional baseball for a decade. He first appeared in MLB during the 2012 season then bounced back and forth between the MLB and the minors until 2015 when he stuck with the Rays primarily as a starter. However in 2016 he was moved to bullpen, appearing in 64 games only one of which was a start. He began 2017 as a reliever but was moved back into the rotation about a month ago.
In the rotation through 6 games, Ramirez ERA is 7.06; but, his FIP is 4.59. Per FIP, in the last month he is the flip side of the coin from Adleman, more unlucky than truly bad.
|PITCHER (All 2017 Games)||xFIP||HR/9||BB/9||K/9|
The Reds “B team” did all the pen work last night and did it admirably. The front line guys should all be on deck today; and, with an off day following on Thursday, Bryan Price should feel no constraints in how he uses them.
The availability of closer Alex Colomé on a short turnaround may be an issue for the Rays since Colomé was extended to 23 pitches last night in the ninth inning. The other burning question? Will the Reds leave town without seeing Jumbo Diaz on the mound opposing them.
SP: Tim Adleman
SP: Erasmo Ramirez
|1. Billy Hamilton (CF)
2. Scooter Gennett (2B)
3. Joey Votto (1B)
4. Adam Duvall (LF)
5. Eugenio Suarez (3B)
6. Scott Schebler (RF)
7. Devin Mesoraco (C)
8. Jesse Winker (DH)
9. Jose Peraza (SS)
|1. Mallex Smith (LF)
2. Corey Dickerson (DH)
3. Steven Souza Jr. (RF)
4. Logan Morrison (1B)
5. Trevor Plouffe (3B)
6. Daniel Robertson (SS)
7. Taylor Featherston (2B)
8. Peter Bourjos (CF)
9. Jesus Sucre (C)
Is it too early in the day to complain about Jesse Winker being dropped to 8th? On second thought, that is a pretty robust group batting in front of him except for the lead off spot.
From our RLN leader, Tuesday’s game in less than 140 characters
Here’s a late (early AM) story with clubhouse comments about that below average start
Personally, I’ve taken to calling games like last night Slip Slidin’ Away games because the Paul Simon song of that name pops into my mind as the starter gets into deeper and deeper trouble until finally it is too late to escape. The good news is the song says “You know the nearer your destination, the more you’re slip slidin’ away” So, that “better eventually” Chad predicted has to be getting much closer with all the slip slidin’ away that’s been going on, right?
And finally this late breaking tidbit
Go Reds. Start a new winning streak today!