2017 Reds / Minors / This Week on the Farm

This Week on the Farm

The 2017 MLB draft has concluded and below are the Reds selections. The list is highlighted by number two overall pick RHP Hunter Greene. The Reds will now undergo the task of getting these players signed. The players signed will most likely all end up on the Billings and AZL rookie level teams.

RND PLAYER POS
1 Hunter Greene RHP
1.5 Jeter Downs SS
2 Stuart Fairchild OF
3 Jacob Heatherly LHP
4 Cash Case SS
5 Mac Sceroler RHP
6 Tyler Buffet RHP
7 Mark Kolozsvary C
8 Connor Ryan RHP
9 Packy Naughton LHP
10 Robby Howell RHP
11 Jared Solomon RHP
12 Tommy Mace RHP
13 Ricky Karcher RHP
14 Brody Wofford OF
15 Nate Scantlin OF
16 Ryan Nutof RHP
17 Junior Harding RHP
18 John Ghyzel RHP
19 Seth Lonsway LHP
20 Blake Wiggins 3B
21 Christian Lindsay-Young RHP
22 Justin Bellinger 1B
23 Adrian Chacon RHP
24 Anderson DeLeon RHP
25 Doug Norman RHP
26 Tyler Brown RHP
27 Clay Fisher SS
28 Harrison Rutkowski LHP
29 A.J. Bumpass OF
30 Garret Shoenle LHP
31 Dondrae Bremner 2B
32 Michael Bono RHP
33 Brady McConnell SS
34 R.J. Barnes OF
35 Stephen Keller RHP
36 Logan Chapman RHP
37 Robert Touron RHP
38 Tyler Littlefield SS
39 Zach Gahagan 3B
40 Ian Jenkins OF

 

AAA Louisville Bats

The Bats have a 26 – 37 record and are 4th out of 4 in the International League West.

The AAA All-Star Game will be on July 12th.

International League hitters are hitting .255/.324/.392/.716.

C Rob Brantley, .301/.333/.474/.807, continues to do a great job for the Bats. OF Jesse Winker, .301/.379/.379/.758, has hit a bit of a slump over the last week. OF/IF Darnell Sweeney, .333/.414/.431/.845 in 58 PA, is off to a hot start with the Bats. OF Sebastian Elizalde, .295/.361/.392/.753, is having a very solid season at AAA. IF/OF Hernan Iribarren, .297/.348/.430/.779, continues to be a solid performer for the Bats. C Stuart Turner, .222/.300/.222/.522, is struggling a bit in his rehab assignment. 2B Dilson Herrera, .242/.291/.374/.665 has yet to get hot this season.

International League pitchers have a 3.99 ERA.

LH SP Cody Reed (2.47 ERA in 8 GS) is still working out his control issues (43.2 IP, 26 BB). RH SP Sal Romano (1.69 ERA in 6 GS) continues to pitch well. RH SP Robert Stephenson (0.00 ERA in 2 GS) has allowed only 1 H over 9 IP, but allowed 8 BB with 8 SO. RH RP Kevin Shackelford (1.76 ERA) now has 10 S and 39 SO in 30.2 IP. RH RP Louis Coleman (2.38 ERA) has done very well out of the bullpen.

 

AA Pensacola Blue Wahoos

The Blue Wahoos have a 38 – 27 record and are 1st out of 5 in the Southern League South.

Pensacola will be hosting the AA Southern League All-Star game on June 20th.

Southern League hitters are hitting .244/.323/.369/.692.

IF Alex Blandino, .258/.379/.440/.819, has been on a tear of late. OF Tyler Goeddel, .264/.364/.413/.778, has cooled off a bit lately. OF Brian O’Grady, .195/.338/.416/.754, has been placed on the DL. 1B Eric Jagielo .240/.354/.377/.731, continues to up his numbers. Aristides Aquino, .213/.275/.387/.662, has cooled off a bit from his recent hot streak.

Southern League pitchers have a 3.61 ERA.

Tyler Mahle (1.54 ERA) continues to dominate at AA. RH SP Luis Castillo (2.68 ERA) continues to do a great job at AA. Deck McGuire (3.45 ERA) is pitching well also. RH SP Jose Lopez (3.07 ERA over 14.2 IP) has done well since his promotion from A+ where he had a 2.84 ERA. RH RP Jimmy Herget (2.73 ERA) now has 16 S.RH RP Ariel Hernandez (2.25 ERA) has 39 SO in 32 IP. RH RP Geoff Broussard (1.33 ERA) and RH RP Domingo Tapia (2.62 ERA) continue to pitch well out of the bullpen. RH RP Carlos Gonzalez (0.00 in 4 IP) is throwing great since joining the club.

 

High A Daytona Tortugas

The Tortugas have a 32 – 29 record and are 3rd out of 6 in the Florida State League North.

The A+ Florida State League All-Star game will be played on June 17th.

Florida State League hitters are hitting .251/.321/.366/.686.

2B Shed Long, .316/.378/.543/.921, is the teams leading hitter. 1B Gavin LaValley, .289/.335/.547/.881, continues to impress at A+. 3B Nick Senzel, .303/.364/.471/.835, is still doing a great job for the Tortugas. C Chad Tromp,.315/.355/.414.770, has made the most of his 121 PA. SS Alfredo Rodriguez (.631 OPS) and C Chris Okey (.513 OPS) continue to struggle at the plate.

Florida State League pitchers have a 3.55 ERA.

RH SP Wendolyn Bautista (2.47 ERA) has only allowed 36 H and 15 BB in 47.1 IP. RH SP Jonathon Crawford, (3.42 ERA), has more BB (37) than SO (24). RH SP Jesus Reyes (3.20 ERA) is pitching well. RH SP Vladimir Gutierrez (5.08 ERA) has struggled lately. RH RP Zack Weiss (3.24 ERA) is pitching well since joining the club. RH RP Tanner Rainey (4.18 ERA) has 47 SO in 28 IP.

 

Low A Dayton Dragons

The Dragons have a 40 – 26 record and are 2nd out of 8 in the Midwest League Eastern.

The A Midwest League All-Star will be played on June 20th.

Midwest League hitters are hitting .249/.323/.380/.703.

1B Bruce Yari, .277/.407/.462/.869, is off to a great start over his first 81 PA. OF T.J. Friedl, .280/.372/.477/.849, continues to do a great job for the Dragons. OF Taylor Trammell, .269/.358/.438/.797, is doing a great job this season. C Tyler Stephenson, .267/.372/.369/.741, is having a very good season as well. OF Jose Siri, .257/.319/.408/.727, has been hitting well lately.

Midwest League pitchers have a 3.92 ERA.

LH SP Scott Moss (2.47 ERA) is leading the rotation. RH SP Tony Santillan (2.63 ERA) is doing a great job as well. LH SP Wennington Romero (3.82 ERA) is pitching well also. LH RP Andy Cox (1.64 ERA), RH RP Carlos Machorro (1.65 ERA), RH RP Aaron Fossas (2.31 ERA), and RH RP Ryan Hendrix (2.43 ERA) are all pitching well out of the bullpen.

 

Rookie Billings Mustangs

The Mustangs begin play on June 19th.

 

Rookie AZL Reds

The Reds begin play on June 24th.

 

37 thoughts on “This Week on the Farm

  1. I’d like to see Long and Senzel, and perhaps LaValley bumped to AA mid-season. That jump in pitching quality will be a big test for both and should clarify just how prospect-y they really are. And if that opens spots at high A for Trammell and Friedl then I’d say they’ve earned the promotion.

  2. Dilson Herrera really struggled for the 1st 2 months of the season, but has performed well above league average (.270/.289/.486/.776) during June and the really good news is his shoulder appears to be healthy since he is playing defensively almost every game and has even had 2 starts at 3B.

    • Excellent news, indeed. Thanks for sharing. The Bruce trade has been a bit of a lowlight until now.

    • That is good to hear, but caution is still much warranted. Peel back that slash line a layer or two and there still are some big concerns there.
      In 10 June G’s, 10 H in 37 AB’s, 12 K’s, 1 BB, 2 2B, 2 HR, 5 RBI, 5 R, and 1 SB. That 12:1 K/BB ratio is a killer.
      Some there to like, some not to like.
      It is progress though.

  3. Alex Blandino looks like he may have fully adjusted to AA pitching after a .670 OPS in 2016 and a very weak start in April with a .594 OPS, his .860 OPS in May and a scorching 1.046 OPS in June has him banging on the door to AAA. With Juan Perez on the DL and no other IF performing at league average for the season at AAA, Blandino can make a pretty good case for consideration.

      • League average is .716 OPS. Renda has a .708 OPS. I believe .708<.716. Sweeney only has 14 games under his belt in the International league, but he does have a .761 OPS in those 14 games. That's a pretty small sample size to formulate any expectations. Prior to coming to the Reds, Sweeney had a .702 OPS in 38 games while playing in the uber-friendly hitters paradise know as the PCL and about a third of his games were played as an outfielder.

        Sweeney may have a shot as a utility player at the major league level, but his defense at SS & 3B stinks. Blandino has just started to pound AA pitching after a cup of coffee at AA in 2015 and a full season at AA in 2016 with poor offensive results. He's not being promoted mid-season, but may get a cup of coffee at AAA before the season ends. He still has tho prove his recent performance is more than just a flash in the pan before throwing his cap in the ring with Herrera & Long as the heir apparent at 2B.

        • I’ll be pretty surprised if Senzel (.835), Long (.921), and LaValley (.881) aren’t promoted soon. I’d think bumping Blandino (.819) and possibly Jagielo (.731) up to AAA to help make room might make pretty good sense with only Perez (.931), Irabarren (.797), Dixon (.719), Renda (.708), and Herrera (.651) at AAA.

  4. We are at the point where Super2 considerations should be about by the board. It will be interesting to see what the Reds do with Winker in this regard. As of today he is OBPing and slugging at almost exactly the same rates. The issue is that rate is ~.375 for both.

    If he is not going to slug well over .400, he needs to OBP in the .400 range at a minimum to hold down a corner OF spot in MLB.

    • No available playing time unless they trade one or an injury. Sure could use his bat in the leadoff spot, though.

      • We may see it very soon as BHam may go on the DL tomorrow if his thumb isn’t better by then. Or so they said on the telecast Tuesday Night. Those thumb dingers can take some time to heal up.

        • Yeah. Although last time they called up Winker, he sat the bench. It’s clear they don’t value OBP in the lead off hitter very much, so when Winker does play, he’ll probably bat 7th or 8th. I’m not disagreeing with you, I hope they do call Winker up, move Schebler to CF and play all three of them. And that’s the totally, 100% logical thing to do, if Hamilton goes on the DL. But they haven’t shown much inclination to act that way with Winker.

          • “Ahhh, that’s nice kid… So, um, when are you gonna start hitting them over the wall?”

            Seems to be how the Reds think about Winker. Maybe they are right and we’re wrong but I’d like to see what he could do in GABP playing almost every day.

      • I agree about the lead off spot. However, if Winker goes in for one of the corner guys, it’s likely creates a net OPS drop and need for increased slugging through the rest of the lineup. It could be time to come to grips with what the opportunity cost and negative offsets are to keeping Hamilton as a regular.

        • Winker can play some CF during that 10 day DL stint for Billy if there is one. Schebler can cover on other days. The DL stint will be back-dated 2-3 days so it really would only be 7-8 days for Winker to be up. No sitting on the bench like last time.
          Against RH pitcher the Reds could use a lineup of
          Winker>Schebler>Votto>Duvall>Suarez>Cozart>Gennett>Barnhart>P.

          Against LH: Cozart>Schebler>Votto>Duvall>Mesoraco>Suarez>Winker>Peraza>P.

          For a week to 10 days they could get along with that.

          • So what if at the end of BHam’s (possible) DL stint, the serious number crunchers, i.e. the Reds professional analytics dept, say the offensive improvement with the new lineup is greater than the defensive fall off from not having Hamilton playing?

          • No way the Reds would do LLLRRRLS. They also don’t seem to change the lineup much for a platoon advantage.

            In a season of sorting #RebuildBinder, I think Peraza still needs to play almost every day. I think I’d go: Winker, Cozart, Votto, Duvall, Schebler, Suarez, Mesoraco/Barnhart, Peraza

            Against LHP maybe: Cozart, Suarez, Votto, Duvall, Mesoraco, Schebler, Winker, Peraza

        • A net drop in OPS doesn’t necessarily mean a net drop in offensive production, since OBP is more valuable than SLG. For instance, Suarez’s OBP/SLG is .368/.484 (.852 OPS) and he has a 123 wRC+. Schebler is at .326/.549 (.875 OPS) and also has a 123 wRC+. Duvall is .320/.536 (.856 OPS) but has a 118 wRC+.

          It really all comes down to what can Winker OBP in the big leagues. If he’s in the .380 – .400 range, that’s likely going to provide enough value to outweigh any power deficiencies. If he is in the .340 – .360 range, that’s probably not going to be enough to compensate a lack of power.

          • I don’t think we really disagree on this. Right now Winker’s is in something of a ‘tweener range in OBP. He had a huge night Thursday which pushed his OBP all the way to .375 to .389; but that is AAA, not MLB.

            I’m not sure I agree OBP is necessarily more valuable than slugging. wRC relies on wOBA, The weighting in wOBA is such that a home run counts more than double the amount of a single or walk. Suarez’s wRC wouldn’t be in the same area code as Schebler’s or Duvall’s without his 10 HRs. Winker’s slugging is almost 100 points lower than Suarez’s. It would take a Votto OBP to make up that difference.

          • Those familiar with Louisville slugger field…help me in this…but isn’t it a tough hitters park? Gabp turns scooter into babe Ruth….schebler is leading the league in HR…I predict Winker if he got 600 at bats would hit 10 homers minimum and a good number of doubles and his OPS would be in sight of of .800.

          • OS,
            I think Winker is a valuable property. What I question is whether he should be replacing one of the corner OF or perhaps instead the CF. BHam is only going to get older (slower) and more expensive. I’m suggesting to examine the trade offs across the board of Winker replacing him in the everyday lineup with Schebler sliding to CF versus Winker replacing one of the corner guys.

  5. Aside from Hunter Greene, that is a very underwhelming list of draftees. Again, aside from Greene, this looks like the 2014 draft all over again. Not a good draft at all, especially drafting in the #2 spot in each round. Of course time will tell about this draft, but at the outset it is not impressive at all, aside from Greene.
    Scott Moss at Dayton, a run-and-a-half below league average ERA is sensational. Santillan also.
    That infield at Daytona continues to impress.
    Tyler Mahle and Luis Castillo at AA are both having tremendous seasons. One or both should be up to Louisville soon.

      • That is strictly because of Hunter Greene. Take Greene out of the equation and what kind of draft do you see? Mind-numbingly ordinary for the second pick in each round. It just seems like the Reds short-changed themselves on about 75% of their picks through the top-20 rounds.
        Their stated philosophy of taking the best player on their board at each round just does not float as evidenced by these picks. There were several higher ranked players in many rounds the Reds didn’t go after when they selected. While Downs and Fairchild might turn out to be good players, the Reds had a chance for better ones. They aimed low, shot low, and scored low after the Greene selection.

        • Ill second what Tom said below. The reds have been getting praised for their draft. What did you expect or want them to do differently?

        • Just curious who had a good draft? It seemed like I went back and looked at a few of the first round draft picks from 5 years ago and only about half are in the major making any impact, curious if anyone perceived to have a good draft 5 or so years ago actually did.

    • One rival executive didn’t mince words. “Cincinnati won the draft by far,” that executive said.

      Not only is No. 2 overall pick Hunter Greene a potential All-Star, so are the Reds’ second and third picks – prep shortstop Jeter Downs and Wake Forest outfielder Stuart Fairchild, that exec asserted.

      That executive went on to cite “bad scouting by other organizations” as reasons for the Reds’ haul. He said stars just kept falling into the Reds’ lap.

      “Sometimes it just falls that way,” he said.

      https://www.fanragsports.com/mlb/reds/reds-got-haul-hunter-greene-will/

  6. I would platoon Winker with the other 3 guys and hit him lead off starting tomorrow.I don’t know about service time for him but this kid needs to play.Billy should not be sent out there if he is banged because he isn’t getting it done over the last couple of weeks.Rest him and let Winker play some.

  7. The next few weeks are going to be pretty interesting. I think you can make an argument that the entire Daytona infield should be promoted. Long (165 wRC+), Senzel (141 wRC+) and LaValley (151 wRC+) are destroying A+ pitching. A-Rod was signed out of Cuba mostly because he was the “closest” to ML ready, so might as well see what he can do in AA. If you move them up, or even just Senzel and Long, you have to move Blandino (142wRC+) up to AAA. Do you move Blandino or Herrera off 2nd in that case?

    Dayton’s OF + Tyler Stephenson look close to earning a call-up, too, especially Friedl (142wRC+) and Stephenson (115wRC+), but it’s hard to see them bumping up Okey or playing Stephenson ahead of him in Daytona.

    I’d love to see the Pensacola pitching staff with the Daytona infield and Dayton OF + Stephenson.

    • I leave Herrera at 2B and play Blandino (2B-36, 3B-17, SS-4 at AA) at 3B at AAA. Heck maybe even move him back to SS for a bit to get ABs. Not like Vincej, Perez, or Irabarren are in the plans for SS at the next level. Dixon who leads the Bats with 12 E can play less 3B and more 1B then.

      Maybe Stephenson and Okey need to swap A+ and A assignments.

      • I was thinking the same things regarding Stephenson and Okey. I hate to see prospects moved back after being promoted, but sometimes its the best move to make. This isn’t little league where everyone gets equal playing opportunities and Okey might benefit from some additional experience at Dayton and getting himself refocused at the plate before taking another shot at Daytona.

        • But why move Okey back? He was elected to the FSL all-star game this year that is this weekend. Just kidding. He hasn’t hit well at all. His sub-Mendoza line BA is horrible. He must be something else defensively behind the plate then to be elected to the all-star game by the coaches. I think the teams media reps also vote. At least the vote is by people who see these players day in and day out.

      • With Herrera’s two years of shoulder issues, I would not want him playing 3B very often and yes, Blandino is probably a better option at 3B anyway with Herrera playing 2B. That gets both players on the field and in the lineup.

  8. I like Stuart Fairchild! I watched Wake a little and he looks pretty smooth in the outfield. Its a huge IF but if he can hit w/the wood bats then he’s more enough tools to make it!

  9. Thought the Reds were going to take Rooker with the comp A pick. I think Downs would have still been there for the round 2 pick. We got Fairchild. Only time will tell between Rooker and Fairchild. Something to follow over the next few years

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