On the night of the MLB Draft, most thoughts are on the future, and more specifically, Reds 1st Round Draft Pick Hunter Greene. If you haven’t read Doug Gray’s write-up at RedsMinorLeagues.com, you should go do that now. It is quite good. This game recap will still be here when you get back. Teaser: The game wasn’t good.
After a terrible time in Los Angeles over the weekend, the Reds headed south to face off against the Padres. Future Jimmy Buffett-listener Bronson Arroyo started the game. As you might have been able to guess, it didn’t go well. Arroyo gave up 9 earned runs in 4.2 IP. Again…this should not come as a surprise to you. Bronson Arroyo is not a major-league caliber starting pitcher. This is generally what should be expected. The Reds should be embarrassed that they keep running him out there every 5 games, injuries or not.
-Scott Schebler had a bases-loaded single in the first inning, along with another single. He almost hit a homer in the 4th inning. I like Scott Schebler…even if he experiences phantom bean-balls.
-Joey Votto had a pair of singles. His slash line stands at .304/.419/.604. With Cozart’s recent performance, Votto is once again the best hitter on the team. Cozart is carrying a fantastic 155 wRC+ to Votto’s 162.
-Adam Duvall had a single and double, along with a pair of strikeouts.
-The Reds ‘pen pitched 3.1 scoreless innings. Too bad the game was over before any of them threw a pitch.
Babe Barry Scooter Gennett had a pinch-hit RBI single. Yeah, these are the things under “The Good.”
-Arroyo was bad. But you already knew that. His ERA is now 7.01. His FIP is 7.00. His xFIP, which gives him league-average luck on fly balls leaving the yard, is still an unsightly 5.75. It is hard to have an xFIP that high, given the adjustment.
-Jose Peraza has been decent defensively so far this season, but he made a poor play in the Padres 6-run 2nd. With the infield in, he had a very catchable ball carom off his glove into right field. Following the missed pop-up in LA, Peraza’s stock is pulling back a bit. If he can’t play above-average defense, he’s not a starter (yet).
-The Reds offense was fairly bad tonight. A few guys got on base and a few guys went warning track, but mostly they made Luis Perdomo look like a good pitcher, which he isn’t. The two runs in the 1st inning were aided by some not-great Padres defense.
-I hate to put Billy here, but I am going to do it. His wRC+ stands at 58. During his two best years (2014 and 2016), he ran a wRC+ of 78 and 79. For his defense and base running to make him an above-average player, he needs to be in that mid-70s range. If he’s in the 50s, he’s a below-average regular.
SOMEWHAT RANDOM-ISH THOUGHS
-Hunter Greene, eh?
-The Reds also drafted a player named “Jeter Downs.” I fully support this pick, as anyone with “Jeter” in their name is a born winner.
-Defense and speed have their place, but I really wish the Reds didn’t have 33% of the lineup covered by guys who can’t hit well and have little projection (Hamilton, Peraza, Pitcher).