Despite another comeback effort, the Reds (29-32) came up short against the Dodgers (38-25) once again last night, dropping their eighth straight game in Los Angeles in walk-off fashion. Rather than countering Kenley Jansen, the Dodgers’ best reliever, with Raisel Iglesias, the Reds’ best reliever, manager Bryan Price opted to go with Drew Storen and Tony Cingrani in the ninth. It didn’t work.

After the game, Bryan Price said he was holding Iglesias in case the Reds got a lead. #KillTheSave.

(Clay Marshall wrote more about this frustrating subject today. You can read it here.)

The Reds will try to avoid the sweep today at 4:10 p.m. ET.

Starting Pitchers

Name IP ERA xFIP K% BB%
Tim Adleman 53.0 4.42 4.61 21.4% 8.4%
Hyun-Jin Ryu 53.0 4.08 4.14 20.2% 7.5%

Tim Adleman is riding a hot streak into today’s contest. Over his last three starts spanning 21 innings, he has allowed only four runs (1.71 ERA), 10 hits, and six walks while striking out 16. He’s not dominating by any means, but he’s eating innings and keeping the Reds in games, which is all the club needs from him right now. The right-hander has thrown well enough that he’s probably a safe bet to remain in the rotation once Homer Bailey and Brandon Finnegan return at the end of the month.

Adleman has one career start against the Dodgers, which came last season. He tossed five innings of shutout baseball against them as the Reds went on to win. Here is how their current hitters fared against him (stats courtesy of Baseball Reference):


The Dodgers signed South Korean pitcher Hyun-Jin Ryu to a six-year, $36 million contract before the 2013 season (in addition to a $25 million bid just to negotiate with him), and he rewarded the club with two solid seasons to start his big-league career. But shoulder and elbow injuries knocked his career off track, forcing him to miss all of 2015 and most of 2016.

Ryu’s left arm is healthy now, and he’s back in the Dodgers’ rotation. He’s had an up-and-down season to this point as he works his way back from almost two years out of action, even spending some time in the bullpen. The injuries seem to have taken away some of his velocity, as his average fastball (89.8 mph) is down by more than one mph from his last healthy season in 2014 (90.9 mph). He did touch 94 mph in his last start, however, so he’s showing signs of getting back to where he was before the arm ailments.

His last start was also encouraging because he was able to get deep into the game, tossing a season-high seven innings and 102 pitches against the Nationals on Monday. In his last four appearances, Ryu has struck out 13 and allowed seven runs, 19 hits, and only three walks in 22.1 innings. He’s not beating teams with the strikeout (and never really has), but he throws strikes and generates a lot of ground balls — 49.7 GB% vs. a league average of 44.5%.

Here is how Reds hitters have performed against Ryu in the past:

Lineups

Reds

Dodgers

CF Billy Hamilton (60 wRC+)  2B Chase Utley (105 wRC+)
SS Zack Cozart (165 wRC+)  SS Corey Seager (128 wRC+)
1B Joey Votto (162 wRC+)  3B Justin Turner (168 wRC+)
LF Adam Duvall (122 wRC+)  1B Adrian Gonzalez (77 wRC+)
3B Eugenio Suárez (128 wRC+) CF Chris Taylor (145 wRC+)
RF Scott Schebler (117 wRC+) LF Cody Bellinger (123 wRC+)
2B José Peraza (64 wRC+) C Yasmani Grandal (103 wRC+)
C Devin Mesoraco (106 wRC+)  RF Yasiel Puig (91 wRC+)
P Tim Adleman (4.61 xFIP) P Hyun-Jin Ryu (4.14 xFIP)

— Adam Duvall is back in the lineup after a two-game absence due to illness.

News and Notes

Stat of the Day

Since Yankees’ outfielder Aaron Judge broke his own Statcast-era record with a 121.1 mph home run last night, let’s check in on the Reds’ hardest hit dingers this season.

By only one-tenth of a mile per hour, Joey Votto holds the mark to beat at 110.9 mph.

 

Adam Duvall and Scott Schebler are tied for second at 110.8 mph.

The hardest-hit ball overall comes from a surprising player. Although it went for a ground out, Patrick Kivlehan smashed a baseball at 111.6 mph on April 8.

Final Thoughts

After sweeping the Cardinals in four games, the Reds are on the verge of being swept by the Dodgers. The team has been involved in their fair share of sweeps this season, both as the winner (three times) and loser (also three times) of the series. Let’s hope they avoid being on the wrong end of a sweep again behind another strong performance from Adleman.

77 Responses

  1. larry

    Nice write up Matt. I like the reds chances today. Both pitchers have similar statristics, and Adleman seems to be the one trending up. We also have our cleanup hitter back.

  2. james garrett

    Not to be out done so does Schebler with Suarez on base.

  3. Preach

    I sure hope that was the sky, otherwise Peraza needs to stay late and take infield pop ups

  4. james garrett

    You could see it coming couldn’t you?

  5. Preach

    Come back Mez…..that’s just 2 outs….

  6. GreatRedLegsFan

    Peraza is still steps away from ML caliber player, hitting, fielding & on the bases.

  7. Indy Red Man

    Someone has to win this division? The Cubs may turn it on but there’s also a great chance they won’t! They’re not hitting and their starters haven’t been that great either.

    • GreatRedLegsFan

      So far The Brew Crew looks very good

    • Playtowin

      Why would any team out a shift on Votto?

  8. james garrett

    Not sure why Ryu is throwing strikes but keep it up.We are hacking in the dugout.

  9. james garrett

    Walks Utley on 4 straight.Just can’t do that.

  10. Shchi Cossack

    Adelman keeps the Old Cossack cringing in the Old Recliner on virtually every pitch but he also has the hitters cringing after virtually every pitch. The Reds are now into the Dodgers bullpen in the top of the 5th inning and leading 4-2 with Adelman still in the game.

  11. Indy Red Man

    Adleman’s era down to 4.26. He’s not that bad….atleast we have a fighting chance when he starts! Billy really needs to bat 9th for a while.

  12. Shchi Cossack

    Nice lazy popup by Hamilton to short CF…can’t score if you can’t get on base.

  13. Shchi Cossack

    ARGH!!! Billy had that one and it came lose when his arm hit the top of the wall.

    • Indy Red Man

      Wow!! If Mesoraco can get it back to 20 HRs/800+ ops then this offense can be scary!!

  14. Preach

    Peraza 6-10 in the series with a big RBI there

    • msanmoore

      Handling it well today. Looked way more patient than he normally does.

    • jazzmanbbfan

      Is it too early to conclude that his shoulder surgery is no loner an issue regarding his ability to generate power?

  15. Preach

    Glad Billy snapped the 0-17 skid, but it was a lazy fly that found grass.

    • msanmoore

      Scooter’s first hit of 5 the other night was a Texas-league bloop. They all look like line drives in the box score and at least this is a mental boost for him with the slump off his back (for one at-bat).

  16. msanmoore

    I love to see Puig unhappy … something still tells me the Dodgers will find the money they paid him to be a little hard to digest over time. He’ll always be a headcase in my book.

  17. msanmoore

    Can we all agree that Suarez had completely adjusted to 3B? He’s making plays that we expect from gold-glove caliber guys. And his arm … what an asset over there.

    • Indy Red Man

      Its unbelievable when you think about how much he struggled a few years ago. Def Gold Glove caliber! I’m thinking Senzel could be a Jeff Kent type 2nd baseman? They’d be crazy to move Suarez.

      • msanmoore

        He is crazy-good over there this year. I’m not sure he could easily transition back to SS. You have to find a home for Senzel in the next 2 years. I’m thinking there will be some trading going on.

        Of course, at this pace, his free-agent money will be pretty steep. I keep telling my Yankee friends “We’re working on your next 3B”.

        And is play 1st half of last year at third vs. now … no comparison.

    • Tom Mitsoff

      Agreed. The list of NL third basemen you’d take over him starts with Nolan Arenado, and may not go much further than that.

  18. Preach

    Wow. Perfect way to get out of that jam.

      • msanmoore

        Inning ending DP. The Reds typical fielding play.

  19. msanmoore

    They are showing the NL Central standings. Still hard to believe the Stupid Cubs are only at .500. Not that I don’t like it, but the only way to the playoffs from this division this year is to win it all (at least at this point).

  20. msanmoore

    Yeah … I’m thinking Devin’s hip and shoulder are just fine. Not sure what we’ll do with Turner when he’s ready.

  21. Preach

    I like this combination of Day and the Cowboy.

    • msanmoore

      It’s very easy to listen to them.

    • msanmoore

      +10 … you’re running my dry of points today, Preach!

  22. CI3J

    Ok, here’s a question: Based on what we’ve seen this year to date, what would your ideal lineup be?

    • msanmoore

      Tough question. We’re seeing a lot more balance of late.

  23. msanmoore

    Patrick Kivelhan … decent bat, good plate coverage, adequate defense, pretty good eye based on that BB.

  24. msanmoore

    Well, Billy did get a good swat at it … just too much elevation.

    Can Cozy extend his on base streak?

    • msanmoore

      Nope. It’s gonna be up to Iggy to close it out. Will Price use him for 2 innings?

  25. msanmoore

    Finnegan had a 35 pitch outing with 23 of them strikes. That’s a good start to the road back to Cincy.

  26. msanmoore

    Need 3 outs from Iggy with no more damage, please. Don’t mess around with Puig .. he’s got an eternal chip on his shoulder.

  27. msanmoore

    Did Devin just give Iggy a “Don’t make me walk out there” stare?

  28. Preach

    Wow. Heart almost stopped on that one.

  29. msanmoore

    Cowboy is calling for a 59-foot curve.

  30. msanmoore

    #13 at the bottom of the zone as well. Tough at bat for Iggy. I’m thinking Cowboy was right about the bender in the dirt earlier.

  31. Indy Red Man

    Unreal. Those long atbats beat the Reds every time. Even if we end up getting the guy out….the pitcher breaks down? One dp or a K or a popup please!

  32. msanmoore

    He’s definitely battling … we really need a DP here.

  33. Indy Red Man

    Only the Reds could have every slugger in their lineup hit a HR and still find a way to lose

  34. msanmoore

    Have a great evening friends. I’m done for today. Really thought we had taken one from the Dodger. Brings back some very bad, old memories from the NL West days.

  35. CI3J

    You can’t make this stuff up. Even with the Reds best pitcher in, they still find a way to lose.

  36. Indy Red Man

    This season isn’t happening. They need to truly go for the rebuild. Bring up the young guys and cut the dead wood like Arroyo & Wood. Give Winker some playing time. They had the lead in every game in Toronto….tied late last night and had a big lead today and lost them all. Its time for Price to quit the lip service about the playoffs.

    • Indy Red Man

      This season is over. Alot of games to go but none of them matter. I want to see some of starters come back but its another lost season.

  37. 666wolverine

    We have never played good out West just how it happens in sports sometimes. We are playing close to .500 ball with a bunch of mop up pitchers and rookies pitching. I think this is pretty encouraging. They are scoring a lot of runs and hitting lots of HR’s which is fun to watch also. They are so far playing better than what the so-called experts are saying. Ups and Downs happen in baseball.