After dropping game one of the series, the Reds will need a win tonight to avoid a lot of bad things from becoming reality. A loss tonight means a five game losing streak, a sub-.500 record, and a second straight series loss. Let’s hope it doesn’t come to that!

Starting Pitchers

Name IP ERA xFIP K% BB%
Scott Feldman 47.2 3.59 4.19 17.8% 8.9%
Kyle Hendricks 39.2 3.40 3.97 21.0% 9.9%

The Reds will send their most valuable pitcher to the mound tonight in Scott Feldman. He’s acquired almost a full Win Above Replacement, which is more than any of the Cubs pitching staff, save Jon Lester, can say. Feldman has been underperforming his FIP numbers, and is arguably outperforming Dan Straily’s start to his 2016 season with the Reds. This will be Feldman’s first start against the Cubs in 2017.

Kyle Hendricks will try to bring doom to the Cincinnati Reds tonight. Like Feldman, he’s got pretty good numbers despite a high walk rate. Unlike Feldman, Hendricks’ numbers are more closely in line with what pundits expected he might do in 2017. After giving up 11 runs in his first 16 innings, Hendricks has improved on things a bit, giving up only 4 runs in his last 23.2 IP.

The lineups

Reds Cubs
CF Billy Hamilton (73 wRC+) LF Kyle Shwarber (83 wRC+)
SS Zack Cozart (161 wRC+) 3B Kris Bryant (150 wRC+)
1B Joey Votto (154 wRC+) 1B Anthony Rizzo (101 wRC+)
LF Adam Duvall (109 wRC+) CF Ian Happ (296 wRC+)
3B Eugenio Suarez (128 wRC+) 2B Ben Zobrist (87 wRC+)
RF Scott Schebler (116 wRC+) SS Addison Russell (74 wRC+)
2B Jose Peraza (57 wRC+) C Miguel Montero (120 wRC+)
C Tucker Barnhart (78 wRC+) P Kyle Hendricks (3.97 xFIP)
P Scott Feldman (4.19 xFIP) RF Jon Jay (106 wRC+)

The only difference between tonight’s Reds lineup and last night’s is the man on the mound. The offense was good enough to win most games last night, with Joey Votto, Zack Cozart and Tucker Barnhart all going yard. However, if you give up more runs than you score, you lose the game. Scott Feldman should give the Reds a better chance at preventing runs than Bronson Arroyo.

The Cubs lineup tonight is somehow an improvement on the winning lineup from last night’s game. As far as wRC+ goes, Ben Zobrist, Jon Jay and Miguel Montero are all hitting better than the guys they’re replacing in the lineup. On top of that, the mainstays of Shwarber, Bryant and Rizzo all saw their wRC+ improve from last night’s game, and rookie Ian Happ continues to obliterate everything that comes his way.

News and Notes

Final Thoughts

Last night’s seems an awful lot like foreshadowing for the series. Both teams hit the ball well, albeit aided by a gust of wind blowing would-be flyouts into the outfield seats. The Cubs are going to start clicking again eventually, but as a Reds fan I was hoping that might be delayed a few games. Here’s to hoping Reds pitching MVP Scott Feldman can put a stop to things.

Jordan has been a lifelong Reds fan, attending games since before he can remember. When he’s not watching, listening to, or writing about the Reds, he’s designing websites, photographing weddings, and hanging out with his friends and family.

Join the conversation! 84 Comments

  1. Tonight should be interesting. It is even windier today in Chicago than it was yesterday.

  2. I live a mile from Wrigley and my deck furniture just blew over. It might look like a Chargers-Bengals game from the mid 80’s

  3. I have a stiff neck from following all those homers the other but I still went to work.

  4. Billy single, stolen base and Cozart brings him home with an oppo single. Might need to average 1 per inning to take his one

  5. Small crowd here tonight, vs the Cubs no less. Redleg Nation needs a bobble head night.

  6. Walks to start an inning kill.

  7. Scotty Feldman walk- a – thon. Pathetic

    • Why is he not held accountable like Rookie Davis was (wink ,wink , nod , nod – talking to you Bryan Price ?? ??)

  8. 2 walks and hits a guy with the wind blowing out 23 mph….jeez? Can he work out of it?

    • Of course not! Scrub!! 2 strikes on everyone and can’t close the deal. Typical!

  9. Great, HBP loads the bases for Schwarber …

  10. Not looking good for Corey Feldman out there.

  11. Can someone explain to me what might be going through Hamilton’s mind? Runners at second and third and two outs, 1-0 count, he takes a big swing at a pitch that ends up two inches off the ground. Then on 3-2, with one of the hottest hitters in the league on deck, he takes a fast ball for strike three? Seriously, can anyone tell me what would he could possibly be thinking that allows him to take a third strike but swing at what would have been ball 2? How many years of experience does he need before he’ll figure the pitcher probably doesn’t want to walk him in that situation?

    • Hitting a baseball is hard. He obviously thought he could do something with the low pitch and didn’t think strike three was going to be strike three.

    • Man, I’d love to see what you’d do with those pitches…

        • Yeah. Really easy to criticize a guy from behind a screen. I’m sure the ball looked a little different to him than it did to you on the broadcast.

  12. If you can’t beat em…. make em sore from hit by pitches and from swinging to much.

  13. Feldman sucks

  14. Yank him. He can throw strikes/keep the ball down.

  15. You can’t walk people and hit guys, with this wind….it’s like coors field

  16. That ball was ripped, but Votto has to get in front of that one.

  17. With all the millionaires in the major leagues you would think that they could afford barbers or in the very least razors.
    Is it just me or do major league ballplayers look more like homeless people than professional athletes?

    • Look around at other sports. Beards are in, and not just hockey players during the Stanley Cup playoffs. I care about how they play. How they look is irrelevant. I work with the homeless so no, they don’t look more like homeless people than professional athletes.

  18. Wonder what scrubs we can pickup for next year? Bartolo “Triple cheese with bacon please” Colon or Jeff Weaver might be available!

  19. so….. who do the Reds bring in from the bullpen first?

  20. Train Weeck – time to end the Feldman experiment – just brutal

  21. They own us…..we get in the ring and look the other guy in the eye and inside they pucker up & quit

  22. Most of our guys don’t know about situational hitting they just swing.

  23. The ball was scalded, but but Votto turned his back and laid on the ground….2 runs.

    Then 2 more as Peraza doesn’t catch a line drive.

    1 run only if the defense makes the plays

  24. At this point you tell Corey… “I don’t care if you throw 300 pitches you are getting a complete game today. If you get a blister or your elbow hurts switch arms.”

  25. Same as last night but why would anybody expect any different?Its a mess but these inning eaters are there to keep the young guys from pitching too much.Yeah right.

    • I buy that. And to help us get a better draft pick next year. This team was never going to be a serious playoff contender. The Cubs and other central foes are just now warming up while we turn to frozen left overs.

  26. We have 2nd/3rd 2 out and Billy takes one down the middle….they have same situation and get 4 more runs on plays Joey or Peraza could’ve made! Winning is a habit but so is losing!

  27. Zach!!!…solo shot

  28. /17/17 8:05pm Props Baseball 7707 CIN Z.Cozart hits+runs+RBI +110* vs CUB B.Zobrist hits+runs+RBI (Fixed Price)

    Cozart vs Zobrist prop bet….I like me some Zack!!

  29. May 17th 1979. Phillies beat the Cubs 23-22 in 10 innings

  30. We could play all night and not beat these guys.

  31. Votto with the rare infield pop

  32. The Reds are in a hole again with the inning eaters getting beat up. In rebuild year #3, why aren’t the young pitchers getting beat up but at least getting ML experience.

    • In Cubs rebuild year 3, almost 80
      games were started by Edwin Jackson, Dallas Beeler or Travis Wood.

      • Dallas Beeler had 2 starts in 2014 and 3 starts in 2015. I’m not getting 80 starts with those 3 pitchers …

        Sorry, I was looking it up, wondering why I couldn’t remember Dallas Beeler.

        • You’re correct and I was wrong

          • However, it is still an interesting note that Edwin Jackson and Travis Wood started almost 60 games not all that long ago for these Cubs.

  33. Feldman is not doing much to up his trade value. But Cozart? Man his value just keeps rising, to the point that you have to question whether you should hold on to him.

    • Cozart isn’t worth much more now than on Opening Day. He’s a rental who’s playing at a level that is inconsistent with his career numbers. Teams understand that guys with .400 BABIP tend to revert to who they really are. His hot start likely means a subpar second half.

      • There were huge question on Cozart before the season. Could he bounce back from the injury. Questions answered. Value added as the original poster suggested

  34. Their guy (Bryant) stays in front of the hard hit ball. Inning over

  35. The Cubs developed their position players and went out and bought their starters.We have to develop both.

  36. I feel as if Feldman should take one for the team tonight.Pitch count doesn’t matter.Lets say he goes 6 regardless.

  37. Cozart is taking pitches and spraying the ball around. He’s a great defender and good teammmate. Just pay the man! Our offense is built around a guy thats older then he is!

  38. Another dropped fly ball…Duval the culprit.

    Note to Reds, the wind is blowing out. Go back further than you think you have to.

  39. I feel Cozart will get more on the open market in dollars and money then we can afford.I would love to have him back but I don’t see it happening.

    • I think they have $59 mil on the current 25 man roster. Quit paying Homer & Mesoraco and they have plenty of $. Peraza doesn’t seem like the sharpest tool in the shed….he has talent but he can’t replace what Cozart is doing right now!

  40. Wasn’t aware of that INDY.Sign him today.

  41. 5 Ls in a row and counting….not playing the violin and watching the Titantic sink all summer this year! My Colts reloaded their defense. Training camp starts pretty soon!

  42. Feldman at 80 pitches and 7 runs allowed and still in the third.Eat those innings.

  43. Right now we don’t belong on the same field as the cubs.

  44. Should have left him in.Don’t want to wear out the pen.

  45. 13-14 more with the Cubs. 4 with Cleveland & haven’t played LA, Colorado, Arizona, or the Nats yet

  46. It will get worse until we can improve our starting pitching.I don’t know if that means Homer,Finny,Disco,Reed,Stephensen,Romano or a host of others but it has to change.We are getting hammered and our young set and watch.

    • We pitched in SF though and couldn’t get the key hit! They get 2 out hits and execute a squeeze while we can’t make the key play. Its changing the culture but I don’t how u do it?

  47. Pitchers have the book on Suarez now: He will chase low. Throw him low breaking stuff, don’t miss, and you have yourself a strikeout.

    Until Suarez learns to lay off the low breaking pitches, his development as a hitter is stalled.

    • He’s just slumping a little….his walks were up in April! He’ll be ok!

  48. Suarez just needs a day or two off.

  49. Lets not over work Brice.I mean he is only 24 or 25.I’m kidding of course because these inning eaters are here to make sure that doesn’t happen.

  50. Its tough when for the third straight game its over after the second inning.Makes for a long night.Good night all.

  51. Duvall….that was a big atbat for him! I trust him to break out of slumps a little quicker then Suarez. Suarez seems to get pull happy sometimes and his swing gets long. Its easy to tell because he never gets hits to right when he’s pressing and gets a ton of hits to right & center when hes going good!

  52. Good comeback by the Reds…at least making a game of it. This is what is frustrating…the bad starts by Arroyo and Feldman, get the Reds in a Hole. Just wishful thinking, but wonder how the Reds would do this year with a Healthy Bailey, Desclanfani, and Finnegan…

  53. Heckuva AB by Zobrist vs Iglesias

  54. Iglesias likes to make us nervous, before slamming the door.

  55. Another walk parade fills the bases AGAIN for Schwarber.

  56. the 2 errors (called hits) cost the team 4 runs. You do the math

  57. Feldman , Arroyo, Adleman – 3/5ths if Reds rotation. That’s all you need to know at this point. With these 3, wins will be like finding a needle in a haystack .

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About Jordan Barhorst

Jordan has been a lifelong Reds fan, attending games since before he can remember. When he's not watching, listening to, or writing about the Reds, he's designing websites, photographing weddings, and hanging out with his friends and family.

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2017 Reds, Game Thread

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