Game Thread

Reds vs. Brewers — April 16, 2017

Following Jesse Winker’s late-inning heroics and another solid outing from the bullpen, the Reds took game three against the Brewers on Saturday after losing the first two games of the series. With a Cubs loss to go along with it, Cincinnati increased its lead in the NL Central to one-and-a-half games. The Reds staved off their first series loss of the season on Saturday; can they force a stalemate today?

Starting Pitchers

Pitchers IP ERA xFIP K% BB%
Wily Peralta
11.0
2.45
3.39
27.3%
11.4%
Sal Romano (AAA)
13.0
1.38
N/A
16.0%
2.0%

Now the second-longest tenured Brewers player after Ryan Braun, Wily Peralta is off to a nice start in his sixth big-league season. The right-hander showed promise in his first three seasons, but he’s really struggled the last two years, putting up a 4.57 xFIP in 2015 and a 4.22 mark in 2016. His performance was bad enough last year that he was sent down to the minor leagues in June. Milwaukee’s former No. 1 prospect responded well, however, posting a 3.59 xFIP in the second half of the season as he saw his strikeout rate increase and his walk rate decrease. The 27-year-old throws in the mid-90s but has never been a strikeout pitcher, fanning only 16.7 percent of the hitters he’s faced in the big leagues. Peralta displays average control, with a career walk rate of 8.1 percent. Where he finds success is getting batters to hit the ball on the ground, as he sports a career 51.9 GB%.

Aside from the Cardinals, Peralta has pitched against the Reds more than any other team and thrown well, owning a 3.11 ERA in 84 innings. Joey Votto has faced him 39 times, hitting .324/.410/.471. Billy Hamilton (5-for-10, two doubles, one triple, one homer) and Scott Schebler (4-for-7, one double) have also hit well against Peralta in much smaller samples.


Yet another Reds pitcher is set to make their MLB debut, as Sal Romano was called up from Louisville to take the place of the injured Rookie Davis. The 23-year-old was arguably the best pitcher in spring training; however, he had never pitched above the Double-A level, so the organization chose to send him to the minors. Romano continued to impress in two starts with the Bats, allowing only two runs and walking just one batter in 13 innings. The former 23rd-round pick has always been talented, but he really began turning some heads last year in Double-A Pensacola, where he posted a career-best ERA (3.52), FIP (3.06), strikeout rate (22.0%), and walk rate (5.2%). Before this season, Romano was ranked the organization’s No. 8 prospect by Baseball America and No. 9 by MLB Pipeline. Our own Doug Gray ranks him at No. 5. Doug also has a nice scouting report on Romano, which I encourage you all to read.

Lineups

Brewers Reds
1. Nick Franklin (2B) 1. Billy Hamilton (CF)
2. Eric Thames (1B) 2. Arismendy Alcantara (2B)
3. Ryan Braun (LF) 3. Joey Votto (1B)
4. Travis Shaw (3B) 4. Adam Duvall (LF)
5. Hernan Perez (RF) 5. Eugenio Suarez (3B)
6. Manny Pina (C) 6. Scott Schebler (RF)
7. Kirk Nieuwenhuis (CF) 7. Zack Cozart (SS)
8. Orlando Arcia (SS) 8. Tucker Barnhart (C)
9. Wily Peralta (P) 9. Sal Romano (P)

Adam Duvall is back in the lineup. Jose Peraza is getting a day off, with Arismendy Alcantara playing second base. Why Alcantara is batting second over Eugenio Suarez or Zack Cozart is a little baffling, though. Have to bat those speed guys at the top of the lineup even if they can’t get on base, I guess.

News and Notes

Final Thoughts

It’s always exciting to see a top prospect make their debut, and if all goes well today, Romano will probably stick in the rotation for a while after the injury to Brandon Finnegan. The Reds could desperately use a strong outing from the rookie, as the bullpen has already been responsible for throwing 15 innings in this series. Perhaps if they just intentionally walk Eric Thames the whole game, they’ll be OK.

Happy Easter, everyone!

88 thoughts on “Reds vs. Brewers — April 16, 2017

  1. Alcantara has not hit anyplace he’s been, in limited opportunities. But we put him second in the order? This must be Make Dusty Proud day at the ballpark.

  2. Apparently, if you can believe what Thom says, Duvall hasn’t hit the ball out of the infield in this series.

  3. Well, this was definitely a “growing pains” day.

    I’m about fed up with Alcantara. Surely there must be a more useful bat in AAA?

    • If he’s on the team, that’s one thing, but batting second? Maybe the batting order can be overrated, but it’d be nice to have some guys on base for 3-4-5.

  4. It all started wrong when BP decided to start Alcantara instead of Gennett at 2B. If Peraza rests, Gennett at 2B is the obvious choice. Better hitter than Alcantara and 2B is his natural position. As a result, 2 errors and 0-3 night. He’s now batting .083. And BP batted him 2nd. If Peraza is out of the lineup, Cozart should bat 2nd. We lost before the first pitch because BP can’t make the correct lineup. Romano, in his debut, should’ve gotten the best possible lineup to help him get his first W. BHam, Cozart, JV, Duvall, Gennett, Suarez, Schebler, Barnhart, Romano should’ve been the lineup today.

    • Well stated – Price is incapable of making adjustments more times than not – hasn’t learned one thing in the 3 years he’s ATTEMPTED to manage this team . I will pull for the REDS to win as always – I will not pull for the return of Price after this year. His act has grown old an I’ve seen enough of it .

    • Price’s bullpen management has been equal parts refreshing and maddening. It’s great to see that he doesn’t seem to care about the save statistic and that he’s willing to pitch his best pitchers in higher leverage situations.

      But I’m starting to wonder if he just lucked into those management decisions now, since it seems like nothing else he does is based on any sort of statistical analysis, especially his lineup construction. I have no delusions about the Reds being ready to compete this year, but I’ve said this about Price for a long time: Just because he doesn’t have the most talented players doesn’t mean he can’t put the talent he does have in the best position to succeed.

  5. Scooter should have been at second today but Alcantara didn’t cost us the game.Sure his play in the field was terrible but he did draw a walk which puts him one ahead of Peraza and one behind Billy for the year I believe.He also shouldn’t have batted second in the lineup but we lost because we only got 5 hits against Wily Peralta and well he has never been that good and his numbers have went south the last three years.The pen did their job again with 1 run over 6 innings.As for Price I am a little surprised at some of the moves he has made or not made this weekend.He has a much better roster to manage and he should be managing every game as it is his last because it could be.Granted sometimes it just doesn’t work out but you have too make adjustments with you lineup.By that I mean who plays and where they hit and you never ever let the game slip away with your best or better relievers watching.You could almost argue that until Cozart and Suarez stop hitting that they should bat 1 and 2 because it make sense to give them an extra at bat just like Joey. Its just my opinion but he could have done some things differently this series.I just struggle with doing the same things over and over and expecting different results such as speed at the top even if they don’t get on base.

  6. A winnable game for the Reds but not enough offense. A good outing for Adleman. A tough week coming up.

Tell us what you're thinking...

Fill in your details below or click an icon to log in:

WordPress.com Logo

You are commenting using your WordPress.com account. Log Out / Change )

Twitter picture

You are commenting using your Twitter account. Log Out / Change )

Facebook photo

You are commenting using your Facebook account. Log Out / Change )

Google+ photo

You are commenting using your Google+ account. Log Out / Change )

Connecting to %s