2017 Reds

Reds At Pirates-April 11, 2017

Tonight, the Reds will be looking to follow up on last night’s success versus the Pirates in game 2 of this 3 game series.  A win tonight for the Reds would advance their record to 6-2 and clinch the series marking  their third consecutive series win.

Before we talk more about tonight, how about one more shout out for Bryan Price’s handling of his pitching  in the series opener?  Bringing in Michael Lorenzen to relieve  Brandon Finnegan with the bases loaded and no outs in the 3rd inning was likely a game saver. Recall when we used to lament the lack of urgency reflected by the Reds game management tactics? No lamentations this time around from me. In fact, give me more of the same.

Starting Pitchers

Reds…

Righthander Rookie Davis makes his second start of the season for the Reds. Davis’ first start, his MLB premiere, did not go all that well. He lasted just 3 innings, allowing 5 runs (4 earned) on 5 hits (2 HRs) and 2 walks. But first times exist to get beyond; and, at least the Reds eventually won the game.  Nonetheless Davis probably needs do better in this second start if wants to stay in the Reds rotation.

Pirates…

The Pirates starter is righthander Jameson Taillon. Taillon is one of the Pirates young pitching lions. He was the #2 overall pick in the 2010 draft. He made his MLB debut in June of 2016 and went on to post 1.7 fWAR in 18 starts through the end of the season. In his first 2017 start, Taillon pitched 7 scoreless innings versus the Red Sox at Fenway Park, allowing 5 hits and 3 walks while striking out 6.

Numbers…

It feels a lot comparing apples and oranges; but, here are some ZIPS 2017 projections for Davis and Taillon:

PITCHER Projected 2017 FIP Projected HR/9 Projected BB/9 Projected K/9
Jameson Taillon 3.75 0.96 2.00 7.13
Rookie Davis 5.21 1.61 2.99 6.28

Bullpens

Micheal Lorenzen and Cody Reed both pitched 3 innings Monday and figure to be unavailable tonight for the Reds. If the Reds need a longman, some combination of Robert Stephenson, Blake Wood, and Tony Cingrani seems likely to be employed. Unless Bryan Price has totally thrown “the book” away (we can dream can’t we?), he will be looking to get to at least the 8th inning with a lead before calling on Raisel Iglesias.

Thanks to Wade LeBanc’s stellar longman stint on Monday, the Pirates bullpen looks to be in good shape unless Taillon runs into very early very big trouble.

Starting Lineups

1. Billy Hamilton (CF)
2. Jose Peraza (SS)
3. Joey Votto (1B)
4. Adam Duvall (LF)
5. Eugenio Suarez (3B)
6. Scott Schebler (RF)
7. Scooter Gennett (2B)
8. Tucker Barnhart (C)
9. Rookie Davis (P)
1. Starling Marte (CF)
2. Josh Bell (1B)
3. Andrew McCutchen (RF)
4. Gregory Polanco (LF)
5. David Freese (3B)
6. Francisco Cervelli (C)
7. Josh Harrison (2B)
8. Jordy Mercer (SS)
9. Jameson Taillon (P)

Note that Zack Cozart is still out of the lineup after being a late scratch Monday due to a “sore wrist”.  I’ve not found anything further about this injury.

Final Thoughts

The Reds need Rookie Davis to give them some innings tonight. If Davis were a veteran, he probably would be advised he was on the mound for 5 or 6 innings come what may.  Watch what Bryan Price does if  Davis is having a rough go or even doing reasonably as far as results but runs up a high pitch count early on. If Davis is pulled early, the Reds likely will need to call up reinforcements for the bullpen since they do not have an off day until Monday.

Today is supposedly the crunch day in the contract squabble between Fox and Spectrum/ TWC  cable. As of about an hour ago,  Fox Sports Ohio was still working. Wish me luck at least through tonight’s game.

 

63 thoughts on “Reds At Pirates-April 11, 2017

  1. If you lose fox sports Ohio sign up for ps vue, sling TV or Direct TV now.

    • I’ve been seriously looking at PS Vue for several months. The reason I’ve waited is because I want to see the BlueJackets playoff games. Spectrum/ TWC allows FSOhio to play different content on separate channels simultaneously. I’m concerned that with PS Vue, I’ll only be able to get the “main” feed which for Dayton will be the Reds.

  2. A question I asked in Travis Sawchik’s chat the other day seems to have spawned an article on FanGraphs about Votto swinging at every darn thing! Go check it out! Interesting read.

  3. It’s a free game on MLB.tv which means I may get to watch. Although the last one I got to watch was a complete dumpster fire.

  4. I wouldn’t worry about Joey! They came inside on him constantly in April/May last year and he struggled. We’re seeing quite a few awkward swings where he’s trying to inside out the baseball when its on the inside corner. He’ll start recognizing them more and driving them which opens up the walks and his bread-n-butter which is middle away! Everyone else seems to be contributing so they’ll be scary when he gets going!!

  5. Jim, thanks for keeping track of external factors like to schedule which affect the tactics like burning out the pirchets because there’s no day off until next Monday

  6. What a difference in the Pirates’ pitchers from last night to now. Taillon absolutely not afraid to challenge hitters with his stuff.

  7. Duvall is a beast right now….man he really got locked in with about 10 days left in spring training and took it east with him!

    I’ve never seen Rookie Davis before….looks like he is really determined to keep the ball down! The pressure is on him because Reed looks good and Sal Romano threw 7 shutout tonite for Lville! Absolutely no reason to keep Arroyo around imo….unless they want to pay him to be a coach!

  8. I really enjoyed Jim Day’s segment on the rookie pitchers living together.

  9. Awwww….thats on Tucker 100%! The ball beat him by a mile but Barnhart has to make a swipe tag there!

  10. I felt we had seen this start before from Rookie, so I looked it up:

    Start #1 – 3.0 IP, 5H, 2BB, 4K, 2HR – 74 pitches

    Tonight – 3.0 IP, 2H, 4BB, 3K – 73 pitches (and a couple of deep fly outs)

    • He looks like he’s not quite ready to me! He throws hard enough and his slider is good but its not usually a strike. He looks like he needs an adequate 3rd pitch! Not bad though….decent potential for a 4th starter 3.80 era type!

      How bout Suarez….he’s locked in too! Not trying to pull everything for a HR and just hitting the ball hard where its pitched!!

  11. 3 shutouts already and we walked in their 1 run last night! They would have zero tonite if Barnhart makes an aggressive tag! The pitching isn’t going to be like this for long but its fun to watch!!

    • If Sco0tter can make a hand glove exchange, or if Perza can just take time on an easy throw…giving them runs

  12. I know there are not a lot of Cingrani fans out there, but I disagree with pulling him. He threw a decent 5th, this is a 2-1 game and you could be short staffed if it goes extra

      • He should not bat in the 7th, but you almost have 2 otherwise you relying on getting 3 innings from Wood and Iglesias, I assume Lorenzen & reed are not available

      • Basically you trade Cingrani in the 6th for Peralta in the 7th and lost Storen for the game, hope it works out

    • If Storen can get out of this mess, I do not know the plan, he is due up next inning, are you planning a 3 inning outing Iglesias

  13. How many more starts does Rookie get before he’s sent back to Louisville? Nothing against the lad, he obviously has some talent, he’s just not quite “there” yet. Definitely has a bright future with a little more seasoning.

    I say give Rookie 3 more starts. If he still can’t cut the mustard, give Reed or Romano a try in the rotation, prefer Reed since he’s already up.

  14. We’ve been spoiled for years with BP’s defense out there. Scooter’s D isn’t quite on the same level.

  15. Nice AB by Hamilton, seem the Pirates were doing the same thing to Alcantara by getting higher and higher inside, Billy took and then got the mistake into center, Alcantara swung and missed….then Peraza swings at the first pitch, wasting a great chance to put some pressure and manufacture another run

  16. Could you imagine if Votto was hitting as well? Duvall and Suarez have been fantastic.

  17. No one ever compare scooter to skip…Scooter is helping this team beat good teams in meaningful at bats…. Period

  18. Iglesias needs some work, maybe we see him in the 9th and he can go back to back days if needed tomorrow.

    • I seriously hope Price did not wait for a save situation to get Iglesias in the game, he makes me nervous with guys on base as he all of sudden gets a little wild like Chapman did, lets mow em down

  19. This team is amazing right now! Its only 8 games but you can see the light at the end of the tunnel and its not the train this time! Everyone but Votto is chipping in and of course he will! Guys like Peralta are throwing 96-97 and looks like he could more then just a loogy. Scooter was a nice pickup and gives them some thump from the left side that they lost with Bruce. Sal Romano with 7 shutout innings at Lville tonite as well….future might not be now but its close!!!!

  20. Blake Wood…. having a hard time thinking he part of the pitching staff for the long haul. Maybe he is unlucky or maybe he just doesn’t have enough magic tricks to fool anyone.

    • He’s not an 8th inning guy really but he has the stuff to be a part of any staff. He had that streak last year where he hadn’t given up a HR since 2011! His control can be iffy at times but he’s hard to hit!

      • There is no such thing as an 8th inning guy, or there should not be, that was not the worst choice considering the personnel and the game situation, and I agree with others he got unlucky tonight

        • I’m talking about a 1 run game in the 8th….Wood’s control can be iffy at times! We were up 6-2 tonite

  21. They way Price is using the bullpen he has is amazing. Everyone is getting their chance and if they perform well they get more opportunity. Absolutely brilliant.

  22. Did Votto have to poop or what? He was in a hurry to get through the at bat!

    • Inadvertently maybe. It’s difficult to be flexible when your roster is constructed a certain way.

  23. 2 gift runs allowed tonite and walked in their 1 run last night. Could be finishing up our 5th shutout!

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