The first place Cincinnati Reds (3-1) will put their three game win streak on the line this afternoon against the St. Louis Cardinals (1-3) at 2:15. The Reds won for a second straight day yesterday with a rookie starting pitcher on the mound. Amir Garrett was brilliant yesterday, pitching six scoreless innings, and the Reds went on to win 2-0. The Reds took sole possession of first place in the NL Central as the Cubs lost to the Brewers in extra innings.
The following stats are 2017 ZiPS projections
He’s baaaaaaaaaaack! The Reds and Bronson Arroyo are together again. Arroyo has less than desirable ZiPS projections, but this is BRONSON ARROYO! FUTURE REDS HALL OF FAMER.
Look, I get it. Many hate that the Reds are giving starts to Bronson Arroyo with Robert Stephenson and Cody Reed sitting in the bullpen. However, if those guys were to start from Day 1, they would have an innings limit. I don’t know about you, but I am going to sit back, relax, and enjoy one final go around with Arroyo. If the Reds owed this to anyone, it would certainly be Bronson.
Arroyo only pitched 7.2 official innings over three games this spring, posting a 4.70 ERA (7.2 IP, 7 H, 4 ER, 2 HR, 2 BB, 6 K). He didn’t get beat around at least. Zach Buccanan of the Cincinnati Enquirer wrote a cool story about Arroyo when it became apparent he was going to make the rotation.
Arroyo has a 4.69 ERA in 39 games (37 starts) against the Cardinals, and a 5.33 ERA at Busch Stadium III (9.35 at the old Busch Stadium).
Michael Wacha went from a 3.38 ERA to 5.09 from 2015 to 2016. The puzzling aspect of that is that his peripheral numbers in 2016 (3.91 FIP, 7.43 K/9, 2.93 BB/9, and 0.98 HR/9) were nearly identical to the year prior. Wacha suffered a crazy leap in BABIP from .272 to .334 from 2015 to 2016.
Wacha will probably get back to around a league average pitcher. He probably isn’t the all-star pitcher he was when he jumped onto the scene in 2013. Wacha did have a very nice spring, posting a 2.42 ERA/1.15 WHIP with 6 BB and 22 K over 26.0 IP.
Wacha has a 3.07 ERA over 14 games (12 starts) against the Reds. The Reds did beat him around last year, as he had a 6.75 ERA in 4 games (3 starts). Votto is 11 for 29 with 1 HR and a 1.096 OPS against Wacha. Cozart has also had success (11 for 23), but Hamilton has really struggled (2 for 22).
|1. Scooter Gennett (2B)
2. Arismendy Alcantara (CF)
3. Joey Votto (1B)
4. Adam Duvall (LF)
5. Eugenio Suarez (3B)
6. Zack Cozart (SS)
7. Patrick Kivlehan (RF)
8. Tucker Barnhart (C)
9. Bronson Arroyo (P)
|1. Dexter Fowler (CF)
2. Aledmys Diaz (SS)
3. Matt Carpenter (1B)
4. Matt Adams (LF)
5. Yadier Molina (C)
6. Randal Grichuk (RF)
7. Jedd Gyorko (3B)
8. Kolten Wong (2B)
9. Michael Wacha (P)
Bryan Price has decided to sit three regulars today: Hamilton, Peraza, and Schebler. Ashley Davis wrote more about Hamilton and Peraza earlier today, and documented their early season struggles. Arismendy Alcantara (Chad wrote about him here), and Patrick Kivlehan (Doug wrote about him here) will make their first starts with the Reds. Scooter Gennett is starting for a second straight night, but at a different position.
Zack Cozart (.538/.533/.615) and Adam Duvall (.333/.333/.667) are off to great starts to 2017.
Other news and notes
Bronson Arroyo is back! Win, lose, or draw this will be fun. It would be a cherry on the top if the Reds could get to 4-1, and make the Cardinals fall to 1-4. Go Reds!