Last week, I covered the first early 2017 Reds hitting projections. This week, we will take a look at the 2017 Reds pitching projections from Steamer. As a reminder, one of the more popular projection systems, ZiPS is still likely a few weeks out (they were released on December 11th last season for the Reds). ZiPS is typically known as more reliable, while Steamer is typically more pessimistic. So take these for what they are.
Raisel Iglesias leads the way as the Reds best pitcher (3.64 ERA/3.73 FIP). Steamer, like all of us, are confused on if he will be a starter or not. Either way, he should be the Reds best pitcher, which doesn’t come as a surprise.
Anthony DeSclafani and Homer Bailey lead the way in fWAR among SP, but both pitchers have just slightly above average ERA’s and FIP’s. The biggest surprise is that Cody Reed leads the way among SP (if you exclude Iglesias) in both ERA (3.82) and FIP (3.98).
The most encouraging thing is the bullpen projections. If Iglesias is the closer, that makes the pen even better. Cingrani, Lorenzen, Diaz, and Wood all have ERA’s below 3.76, and all have high strikeout numbers.
It will however be a very long season if Tim Adleman actually makes 19 starts.