The Cincinnati Reds (67-93) will square off against the NL Central champion Chicago Cubs (102-57) on the eve of the regular season finale.
Today’s game will feature a mismatch of teams, and a mismatch of starting pitchers. Jon Lester is in the running for the NL Cy Young award. Lester has a 2.28 ERA, which is good for the second best mark in the NL, only trailing teammate Kyle Hendricks (1.99). The peripherals for Lester are good (3.35 FIP, 8.79 K/9, 2.23 BB/9), but show he probably isn’t actually the second best pitcher in the league.
The Reds will send Tim Adleman to the hill. Adleman has done a nice job for the Reds in 12 unexpected starts, posting a 3.90 ERA. However, the peripherals (5.49 FIP, 5.98 K/9, 1.81 HR/9) show that is do for some serious regression. If you are looking for positives, he does have a well above average 2.51 BB/9, and doesn’t hurt himself like many of the Reds pitchers do.