Game Thread

Reds vs Marlins – August 18, 2016

fernandez

The Cincinnati Reds (50-69) will go for a series win against the Miami Marlins (62-58) tonight at 7:10. If the Reds win tonight, it would be their 8th series win out of 10 attempts since the all-star break. The Reds dropped the first game of the series 6-3, but have bounced back with 6-3 and 3-2 wins.

Programming note: if you live outside of the Queen City, you can stream tonight’s game on MLB.tv for free! It is the MLB.tv Free Game of the Day.

Starting Pitchers

Fernandez-Straily

Dan Straily continues to be an absolute delightful surprise for the Reds in 2016. Straily will most likely not be a part of the next Reds rotation when they actually compete for a playoff spot, but I do think he could be a very solid long man. Either way, Straily has been really good of late. In his last 6 stats, he has a 2.13 ERA and 0.92 WHIP.

Straily’s last start was especially interesting. He allowed 10 hits over 5.1 innings against the Brewers, but only 2 ER. Straily struck out 6 without walking a batter in that game, so it was nice to see him rewarded for controlling what he can actually on control.

Straily’s only career appearance against the Marlins came on July 8th of this year (he faced tonight’s SP Jose Fernandez): 6.0 IP, 6 H, 3 ER, 2 BB, 2 K. The Reds lost that game 3-1, and Christian Yelich homered off Straily.


Jose Fernadnez is one of the best pitchers in baseball.  This is what I wrote about him last month before his start on July 8th, which he dominated the Reds in (7.0 IP, 6 H, 0 ER, 0 BB, 8 K):

Jose Fernandez is one of the best pitchers in baseball. He was the 14th overall pick in 2011, and quickly made it to the majors. He won the NL Rookie of the Year award in 2013, after posting a 2.19 ERA/2.73 FIP. However, his career was derailed in 2014 as he made just 8 starts in 2014, and eventually had to have Tommy John Surgery. He made his return in July of 2015, and picked up right where he left off, posting a 2.92 ERA/2.24 FIP.

This season, Fernandez ranks 3rd in the MLB in fWAR, 12th in ERA, 2nd in FIP, and 1st in K/9. Fernandez career 11.26 K/9 is tied with Yu Darvish for the best in MLB history of any qualifying MLB starter. Fernandez career 2.42 FIP is the best of any qualifying SP since 1950, and his career 2.53 ERA is only higher than Clayton Kershaw (2.39) and Jacob DeGrom (2.52).

Fernandez has a 2.52 career ERA with 26 K and 6 BB in 4 starts against the Reds. Brandon Phillips is the only current Red to have a home run against him.

Starting Lineups

Marlins
Reds
1. Dee Gordon (2B)
2. Martin Prado (3B)
3. Christian Yelich (LF)
4. Marcell Ozuna (CF)
5. Ichiro Suzuki (RF)
6. Chris Johnson (1B)
7. Jeff Mathis (C)
8. Adeiny Hechavarria (SS)
9. Jose Fernandez (P)
1. Billy Hamilton (CF)
2. Ivan De Jesus (SS)
3. Joey Votto (1B)
4. Brandon Phillips (2B)
5. Eugenio Suarez (3B)
6. Scott Schebler (RF)
7. Ramon Cabrera (C)
8. Tyler Holt (LF)
9. Dan Straily (P)

Adam Duvall is out of the lineup for a third consecutive day, and Zack Cozart is out of the lineup again after returning to the lineup yesterday.

Iggy to close?

Stats with Joel

Manfred pushing for more changes

Manfred

MLB commissioner Rob Manfed is pushing for some major changes as soon as next year. Bob Nightengale of USA Today Sports has the story:

HOUSTON – Major League Baseball, alarmed by the game’s lack of action this season is considering making the most radical changes to the game in more than a century.

The owners spent time Thursday discussing and reviewing how the game has changed over the years, with offenses suffocated by a record number of shifts and pitching changes, leading to longer games and less production.

Commissioner Rob Manfred said that baseball will consider limiting the number of pitching changes in the future, as well as curtailing the amount of shifts, and even implementing a 20-second time clock for pitchers to deliver a pitch.

“Our view of the pitch clock is that we feel it’s been effective in the minor leagues,’’ Manfred said, “we really do. I think when you look at our experience with the effort we undertook last year, and you look month-by-month in terms of where we were in terms of game time, we did really well early and kind of regressed the second half of last year, and certainly this year.

“Our evaluation of that is, the more we can have on the field, constant reminders so it’s in front of people’s minds, the better off we are in terms of continuing to move the game along. And I think the clock is probably the quintessential example of the reminder that keeps pace in people’s minds.

“And, quite frankly, the data shows that people don’t violate the 20-second. With or without a clock. It’s a reminder that moves things along.”

When asked if he would like to see the clock implemented perhaps as early as next season, Manfred didn’t hesitate.

“I would,’’ he said. “I said yes because there’s no temporal assigned to that.”

While pitch clocks might speed up the game, infield shifts already do – perhaps too much for Manfred’s liking. Manfred said research indicated that there were 2,400 infield shifts just five years ago; this season, major league clubs are on pace for 28,000 shifts, limiting offenses.
“I’m not saying that’s necessarily a bad thing,’’ Manfred said, “but it has ramifications for what people see when they buy that ticket to go to the ballpark. We just wanted to point out this whole series of changes that has occurred over time, very naturally, in the game and pose the question of whether or not we should be managing that change more aggressively.”

Conclusion

A series win against a playoff contender sure would be nice! Let’s do it fellas. Go Reds!

18 thoughts on “Reds vs Marlins – August 18, 2016

  1. Yeah, Manfred, Let’s make baseball more like pro-foot ball with more silly arcane adjustments to rules. Maybe next teams will only be allowed to have eight gloves on the field, but nine players. Somebody has to give up his glove on any given AB by the offense.
    And Charlie Finley’s idea about having the option of four outs in an inning.

  2. What about lowering the mound a few inches? Moving the mound back a foot or two? Changing the strike zone which is already being discussed? Narrowing the plate an inch or two? I know— baseball purists will call for my lynching for suggesting heinous changes as these.

  3. I’m not big on most of these changes that are discussed, but I am big on limiting the shifts. The shifts are a result of technology. Teams have every bit of data on hitters, which is something that they did not have in years past. Because of that, they are moving players all over the field, and it clearly has an affect on the game. It’s one thing to make moves at the end of a game like bringing your outfield in, or having 5 defenders in the infield with two outfielders, but that’s done based on the game situation; not based on information gathered by computer models that follow every player every day/night. I say eliminate the shift, and get rid of the pansy slide rules at 2nd base, and the blocking the plate/running into a catcher rule at home plate.

    • You’re right. Injuring the other team’s middle infielder is just the right thing to do!!

  4. …Also, plays under review should also be under a time limit. If the guys in NY can’t figure it out in 30 seconds, then the call on the field should stand. 3 and 5 minutes for a decision is just flat out wrong, from a fan perspective, as well as a pitcher’s perspective, who is left standing on the mound.

    • Coaches have to ask for a replay immediately. We should not be waiting for some yutz in the dugout watching a replay so he can tell the manager yes or no. That takes to much time.

    • I think you have to remember that with so many games going on at roughly the same time, the designated replay ump(s) in New York might have two or three calls come in at about the same time. And sure, nobody wants these guys to look at the same replay 9 times to make a decision, but to look at all relevant replays can take a few minutes.

      • Going back to the baseball changes, I would like to see the NL go the DH. I think this would help the Reds in the coming years as Joey gets older. I am “old school” but I think it makes sense now to go with the DH in both leagues. High School, College and Minor Leagues all utilize the DH, why not the NL?

  5. Pretty sad that Cozart has to sit from overuse, but he couldn’t take a day off to give Peraza a start when he was up.

  6. The way Peraza was handled was just awful.It couldn’t have gone any worse even if had been planned that way

  7. How about our Reds putting up a 5 spot on Fernandez already? With Straily on the mound, it looks like the makings of a potential good night at the ball orchard.

  8. You may be selling Starily a bit short. He will not over power you but he makes hitters look lost. His change up is deadly and he throws strikes. He locates well and if I’m going into next year he has a spot as of now. Disco,Bailey and Straily. The last two spots are up or grabs.

  9. Good grief. If Schebler had been trying to throw that ball into an Olympic size swimming pool he may have missed

  10. You know Jumbo D coming in and is NOT RELIABLE…knew he would give up runs. Not sure why the Reds keep fooling around with Jumbo and Ohlendorf….just like Ondrusek, Marquis, and Gregg…..they never ever learn!

  11. Gift of 2 runs but Iggy should be able to go the last 2….unless they want to run Cingrani out there 3 nights in row! Error, walk, and then a groundball to Dejesus where he could’ve cut the guy down at 3rd and saved us a run. Cozart is very good at that play but it might be hard to expect a backup to make that play because it involves some strange positioning to pivot on a ball and throw to 3rd

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