The Cincinnati Reds (44-64) will look to rebound from a tough 3-2 loss last night to the Pittsburgh Pirates (54-53). The two teams will square off again at PNC Park tonight at 7:05.
Homer Bailey was very good in his 2016 debut on Sunday (5.2 IP, 2 ER, 4 H, 0 HR, 3 BB, 6 K, 2.61 FIP). Here is what I wrote about Bailey in Sunday’s recap:
It was awesome to see Bailey back on the hill. He dominated through the first five innings, and at one point retired 13 consecutive batters. He ran into trouble in the 6th inning, walking all three of his batters in the game in the inning. He had a bit of a mental breakdown when he walked he bases loaded, then turned around in frustration knowing he was going to be taken out of the game. Wil Myers alertly stole home without a throw. Still, none of that should take away from a really great first start back for Bailey. His stuff was electric today.
Bailey has pitched very well in his career against the Pirates, especially at PNC Park. He threw a no-hitter there in 2012, and has 3.28 career ERA against the Pirates in 18 starts (1.92 ERA in 8 starts at PNC Park).
Ivan Nova will be making his Pittsburgh Pirates debut tonight. Nova was acquired on Monday from the Yankees for two players to be named later. Nova has sort of fallen off the cliff the last few seasons. In 2013, Nova posted a 3.10 ERA/3.47 FIP in 20 starts for the Yankees. Since then, he has posted a 5.31 ERA/5.16 FIP in 36 starts between 2014-16. David Slusser of Fansided wrote a nice piece explaining why the Pirates went after Nova, and why he could actually help their rotation. Here is part of that:
Ivan Nova does not have solid numbers, as he has a 4.90 ERA, but that number is still better than the 5.63 ERA from Jeff Locke and the 5.46 ERA from Francisco Liriano, ranking second and fourth worst in all of baseball respectively. The one thing Locke has that the other two don’t is a FIP under 5, with Nova at 5.09 and Liriano at 5.27. Nova’s SIERA, however, is the best of the three at 4.00, whereas Locke is 5.18 and Liriano is at 4.68.
When looking to see how the three pitchers will proceed in the future, Nova’s xFIP of 4.07 is better than Liriano’s 4.52 and Locke’s 4.97. Not to say, Nova will be better than Liriano, because if Frank finds his command, he’ll be back to being filthy Frank once more, and that would be better than anything Nova will likely provide. But with the numbers that the three have posted this season, Nova looks like he will be the safer bet going forward.
|1. Billy Hamilton (CF)
2. Zack Cozart (SS)
3. Joey Votto (1B)
4. Adam Duvall (LF)
5. Brandon Phillips (2B)
6. Scott Schebler (RF)
7. Eugenio Suarez (3B)
8. Tucker Barnhart (C)
9. Homer Bailey (P)
|1. Josh Harrison (2B)
2. Starling Marte (LF)
3. Andrew McCutchen (CF)
4. Matt Joyce (RF)
5. David Freese (3B)
6. John Jaso (1B)
7. Francisco Cervelli (C)
8. Jordy Mercer (SS)
9. Ivan Nova (P)
The Reds currently have won six consecutive series. If they want to keep that cool streak alive, they’ll have to win tonight and tomorrow. Go Reds!
Nick is a lifelong Reds fan who was born and raised in Cincinnati. He acquired his love of baseball from his late grandfather. Nick moved to the Cleveland area in 2014 with his wife, and his currently fighting to convert his beautiful baby daughter Emma to Reds fandom. Nick has been writing for Redleg Nation since 2013. Follow Nick on Twitter @nicholaspkirby.