Central Intelligence

Week 17: Big trade, big veto in the NL Central

The Cubs still hold a 7.5 game lead over the Cardinals, the exact same amount as last week. The Cubs made a big move acquiring Aroldis Chapman last Monday. The Cardinals also acquired a really good reliever in Zach Duke, but with far less of the fanfare. However, the big story of the NL Central this week was Jonathan Lucroy vetoing a trade to Cleveland.

The trade deadline is today at 4:00 PM, and there will almost certainly be more moves around the division. The Brewers and Reds are both sellers, and will likely trade one or more pieces. The Cubs and Cardinals may look to add another small piece, while it’s still unsure if the Pirates will be selling or not.

Chicago Cubs 63-41
St. Louis Cardinals 56-49 7.5 GB
Pittsburgh Pirates 52-51 10.5 GB
Milwaukee Brewers 47-56 15.5 GB
Cincinnati Reds 42-62 21.0 GB

Chicago Cubs

Chapman Cubs

The Cubs made a big splash when they officially acquired former Red, Aroldis Chapman on Monday. Chapman didn’t come cheap, as the Cubs had to give up their #27 prospect (according to Baseball America), SS Gleyber Torres. The Cubs also sent pitcher Adam Warren back to the Brox, and had to part with two other prospects.

Chapman was perfect in his first two appearances (2.1 IP, 0 H, 0 R, 0 BB, 4 K), but he did blow a save on Saturday night to the Mariners. Chapman recovered with a perfect inning last night in the Cubs thrilling 7-6 comeback win in 12 innings.

This Week:

  • Mon (8:05), Tues (8:05), Wed (2:20) vs Marlins
  • Fri (10:05), Sat (4:05), Sun (4:05) at Athletics

Milwaukee Brewers

Milwaukee Brewers v Pittsburgh Pirates

It looked like Jonathan Lucroy was on his way to Cleveland on Saturday night. The Brewers were on the verge of acquiring the Indians #6, #12, and #22 prospects (according to MLB Pipeline), but Lucroy declined the trade. Lucroy has limited no-trade rights, and the Indians were one of the teams on the list. Lucroy reportedly demanded that the Indians “rip up” his team option for 2017, making him a free agent at the end of the year. The Indians obviously wouldn’t give up that much talent for a two month rental. The Brewers are still going to try to move Lucroy at the deadline, and teams reportedly still in on him are the Red Sox, Mets, and Dodgers (none of those teams are on his no-trade list).

Ryan Braun has been out of the lineup the last four games because of right side tightness. The Brewers would probably like to deal Braun, but his recent injury combined with his thin trade market make a deal seem unlikely. The Brewers could also look to trade reliever Will Smith and Jeremy Jeffress.

This Week:

  • Mon (10:10), Tues (10:10), Wed (3:40) at Padres
  • Fri (9:40), Sat (8:10), Sun (4:10) at Diamondbacks

Pittsburgh Pirates

Melancon Nationals

The Pirates are only 4.0 games out of the second wild card spot, but they traded closer Mark Melancon to the Nationals on Saturday. The Pirates got two pitchers back in return, one Felipe Rivero, the other prospect Taylor Hearn. Rivero has appeared in 47 games this season, and has a 4.53 ERA/3.26 FIP. Last year, Rivero posted a 2.79 ERA/2.64 FIP in 49 games. Rivero has electric stuff, so this move probably won’t help the Pirates this season, but it will position them better for the future.

The Pirates are 52-51, and are kind of in a weird spot at the deadline. It will be interesting to see if they are tempted to sell more by tomorrow afternoon.

This Week

  • Tues (7:10), Wed (7:10), Thurs (7:10) at Braves
  • Fri (7:05), Sat (7:05), Sun (1:35) vs Reds

St. Louis Cardinals

Chicago White Sox v Baltimore Orioles

The Cardinals acquired former Red, Zach Duke from the White Sox on Sunday. The Cardinals had to give up their #12 prospect (according to MLB Pipeline), OF Charlie Tilson. Duke was having a very good year for the White Sox, posting a 2.63 ERA/3.03 FIP in 37.2 innings. The Cardinals will have Duke under control through 2017, and will owe him about $8 million total.

Matt Carpenter, Brandon Moss, and Jhonny Peralta all began rehab assignments this past week. Peralta is expected to join the Cardinals on Tuesday in Cincinnati, and Brandon Moss could join him then or later in the week. Carpenter just began his rehab assignment on Sunday, but should be back soon as well.

The Cardinals are currently 1.0 game out of the second wild-card spot (3.0 behind the first spot). This should be a week for them to gain ground as they play the last place Reds, and the last place Braves.

This Week:

  • Tues (7:10), Wed (7:10), Thurs (12:35) at Reds
  • Fri (8:15), Sat (7:15), Sun (2:15) vs Braves

 Nick’s Power Rankings

  1. Chicago Cubs

  2. St. Louis Cardinals

  3. Pittsburgh Pirates

  4. Cincinnati Reds ↑1

  5. Milwaukee Brewers ↓1


Players of the Week

Pitcher: Gerrit Cole, 1 GS, 9.0 IP, 1 ER, 6 K, 0 BB, 1.00 ERA, 2.14 FIP, 0.4 fWAR

Batter: Starling Marte, Pirates: .556/.636/.889, 3 SB, 307 wRC+, 0.6 fWAR

 

All statistics only include games played through 7/30/16, and used courtesy of Fangraphs, ESPN Stats and Info, and Baseball-Reference (including Baseball-Reference Play Index).

8 thoughts on “Week 17: Big trade, big veto in the NL Central

  1. Reds have “found a match” for a Bruce trade and expects Cincinnati to trade Bruce to a National League club

    • Normally, I’d be excited. But given how recent trades of the Reds big chips have gone, I’m preparing to be let down by whatever the offer is. Please don’t be more pitching……

  2. Please front office, trade for bats who can have good plate discipline and not pitchers. That’s all I ask. I don’t expect three top 100 prospects for Bruce, but don’t give us more pitching.

    • Shouldn’t they take the best players possible for Bruce? Would you rather have a good pitcher or 2 mediocre outfielders? If they develop a surplus in pitching couldn’t they eventually trade that surplus?

  3. At 0.2 fWAR, Homer Bailey has been the 5th most valuable Reds pitcher this year.

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